Performance Analysis
Combining chest X-rays and EHR data using machine learning to diagnose acute respiratory failure
Jabbour, Sarah, Fouhey, David, Kazerooni, Ella, Wiens, Jenna, Sjoding, Michael W
When patients develop acute respiratory failure, accurately identifying the underlying etiology is essential for determining the best treatment, but it can be challenging to differentiate between common diagnoses in clinical practice. Machine learning models could improve medical diagnosis by augmenting clinical decision making and play a role in the diagnostic evaluation of patients with acute respiratory failure. While machine learning models have been developed to identify common findings on chest radiographs (e.g. pneumonia), augmenting these approaches by also analyzing clinically relevant data from the electronic health record (EHR) could aid in the diagnosis of acute respiratory failure. Machine learning models were trained to predict the cause of acute respiratory failure (pneumonia, heart failure, and/or COPD) using chest radiographs and EHR data from patients within an internal cohort using diagnoses based on physician chart review. Models were also tested on patients in an external cohort using discharge diagnosis codes. A model combining chest radiographs and EHR data outperformed models based on each modality alone for pneumonia and COPD. For pneumonia, the combined model AUROC was 0.79 (0.78-0.79), image model AUROC was 0.73 (0.72-0.75), and EHR model AUROC was 0.73 (0.70-0.76); for COPD, combined: 0.89 (0.83-0.91), image: 0.85 (0.77-0.89), and EHR: 0.80 (0.76-0.84); for heart failure, combined: 0.80 (0.77-0.84), image: 0.77 (0.71-0.81), and EHR: 0.80 (0.75-0.82). In the external cohort, performance was consistent for heart failure and COPD, but declined slightly for pneumonia. Overall, machine learning models combing chest radiographs and EHR data can accurately differentiate between common causes of acute respiratory failure. Further work is needed to determine whether these models could aid clinicians in the diagnosis of acute respiratory failure in clinical settings.
Churn Prediction- Commercial use of Data Science - Analytics Vidhya
Churn prediction is probably one of the most important applications of data science in the commercial sector. The thing which makes it popular is that its effects are more tangible to comprehend and it plays a major factor in the overall profits earned by the business. Churn is defined in business terms as'when a client cancels a subscription to a service they have been using.' A common example is people cancelling Spotify/Netflix subscriptions. So, Churn Prediction is essentially predicting which clients are most likely to cancel a subscription i.e'leave a company' based on their usage of the service.
Towards Offensive Language Identification for Tamil Code-Mixed YouTube Comments and Posts
Vasantharajan, Charangan, Thayasivam, Uthayasanker
Offensive Language detection in social media platforms has been an active field of research over the past years. In non-native English spoken countries, social media users mostly use a code-mixed form of text in their posts/comments. This poses several challenges in the offensive content identification tasks, and considering the low resources available for Tamil, the task becomes much harder. The current study presents extensive experiments using multiple deep learning, and transfer learning models to detect offensive content on YouTube. We propose a novel and flexible approach of selective translation and transliteration techniques to reap better results from fine-tuning and ensembling multilingual transformer networks like BERT, Distil- BERT, and XLM-RoBERTa. The experimental results showed that ULMFiT is the best model for this task. The best performing models were ULMFiT and mBERTBiLSTM for this Tamil code-mix dataset instead of more popular transfer learning models such as Distil- BERT and XLM-RoBERTa and hybrid deep learning models. The proposed model ULMFiT and mBERTBiLSTM yielded good results and are promising for effective offensive speech identification in low-resourced languages.
Learning to Give Checkable Answers with Prover-Verifier Games
Anil, Cem, Zhang, Guodong, Wu, Yuhuai, Grosse, Roger
Our ability to know when to trust the decisions made by machine learning systems has not kept up with the staggering improvements in their performance, limiting their applicability in high-stakes domains. We introduce Prover-Verifier Games (PVGs), a game-theoretic framework to encourage learning agents to solve decision problems in a verifiable manner. The PVG consists of two learners with competing objectives: a trusted verifier network tries to choose the correct answer, and a more powerful but untrusted prover network attempts to persuade the verifier of a particular answer, regardless of its correctness. The goal is for a reliable justification protocol to emerge from this game. We analyze variants of the framework, including simultaneous and sequential games, and narrow the space down to a subset of games which provably have the desired equilibria. We develop instantiations of the PVG for two algorithmic tasks, and show that in practice, the verifier learns a robust decision rule that is able to receive useful and reliable information from an untrusted prover. Importantly, the protocol still works even when the verifier is frozen and the prover's messages are directly optimized to convince the verifier.
Human readable network troubleshooting based on anomaly detection and feature scoring
Navarro, Jose M., Huet, Alexis, Rossi, Dario
Network troubleshooting is still a heavily human-intensive process. To reduce the time spent by human operators in the diagnosis process, we present a system based on (i) unsupervised learning methods for detecting anomalies in the time domain, (ii) an attention mechanism to rank features in the feature space and finally (iii) an expert knowledge module able to seamlessly incorporate previously collected domain-knowledge. In this paper, we thoroughly evaluate the performance of the full system and of its individual building blocks: particularly, we consider (i) 10 anomaly detection algorithms as well as (ii) 10 attention mechanisms, that comprehensively represent the current state of the art in the respective fields. Leveraging a unique collection of expert-labeled datasets worth several months of real router telemetry data, we perform a thorough performance evaluation contrasting practical results in constrained stream-mode settings, with the results achievable by an ideal oracle in academic settings. Our experimental evaluation shows that (i) the proposed system is effective in achieving high levels of agreement with the expert, and (ii) that even a simple statistical approach is able to extract useful information from expert knowledge gained in past cases, significantly improving troubleshooting performance.
Multiple Sclerosis Lesions Identification/Segmentation in Magnetic Resonance Imaging using Ensemble CNN and Uncertainty Classification
Placidi, Giuseppe, Cinque, Luigi, Mignosi, Filippo, Polsinelli, Matteo
To date, several automated strategies for identification/segmentation of Multiple Sclerosis (MS) lesions by Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) have been presented which are either outperformed by human experts or, at least, whose results are well distinguishable from humans. This is due to the ambiguity originated by MRI instabilities, peculiar MS Heterogeneity and MRI unspecific nature with respect to MS. Physicians partially treat the uncertainty generated by ambiguity relying on personal radiological/clinical/anatomical background and experience. We present an automated framework for MS lesions identification/segmentation based on three pivotal concepts to better emulate human reasoning: the modeling of uncertainty; the proposal of two, separately trained, CNN, one optimized with respect to lesions themselves and the other to the environment surrounding lesions, respectively repeated for axial, coronal and sagittal directions; the ensemble of the CNN output. The proposed framework is trained, validated and tested on the 2016 MSSEG benchmark public data set from a single imaging modality, FLuid-Attenuated Inversion Recovery (FLAIR). The comparison, performed on the segmented lesions by means of most of the metrics normally used with respect to the ground-truth and the 7 human raters in MSSEG, prove that there is no significant difference between the proposed framework and the other raters. Results are also shown for the uncertainty, though a comparison with the other raters is impossible.
Comparing Classes of Estimators: When does Gradient Descent Beat Ridge Regression in Linear Models?
Richards, Dominic, Dobriban, Edgar, Rebeschini, Patrick
Modern methods for learning from data depend on many tuning parameters, such as the stepsize for optimization methods, and the regularization strength for regularized learning methods. Since performance can depend strongly on these parameters, it is important to develop comparisons between \emph{classes of methods}, not just for particularly tuned ones. Here, we take aim to compare classes of estimators via the relative performance of the \emph{best method in the class}. This allows us to rigorously quantify the tuning sensitivity of learning algorithms. As an illustration, we investigate the statistical estimation performance of ridge regression with a uniform grid of regularization parameters, and of gradient descent iterates with a fixed stepsize, in the standard linear model with a random isotropic ground truth parameter. (1) For orthogonal designs, we find the \emph{exact minimax optimal classes of estimators}, showing they are equal to gradient descent with a polynomially decaying learning rate. We find the exact suboptimalities of ridge regression and gradient descent with a fixed stepsize, showing that they decay as either $1/k$ or $1/k^2$ for specific ranges of $k$ estimators. (2) For general designs with a large number of non-zero eigenvalues, we find that gradient descent outperforms ridge regression when the eigenvalues decay slowly, as a power law with exponent less than unity. If instead the eigenvalues decay quickly, as a power law with exponent greater than unity or exponentially, we find that ridge regression outperforms gradient descent. Our results highlight the importance of tuning parameters. In particular, while optimally tuned ridge regression is the best estimator in our case, it can be outperformed by gradient descent when both are restricted to being tuned over a finite regularization grid.
Predicting risk of sudden cardiac death in patients with cardiac sarcoidosis using multimodality imaging and personalized heart modeling in a multivariable classifier
Cardiac sarcoidosis (CS), an inflammatory disease characterized by formation of granulomas in the heart, is associated with high risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) from ventricular arrhythmias. Current “one-size-fits-all” guidelines for SCD risk assessment in CS result in insufficient appropriate primary prevention. Here, we present a two-step precision risk prediction technology for patients with CS. First, a patient’s arrhythmogenic propensity arising from heterogeneous CS-induced ventricular remodeling is assessed using a novel personalized magnetic-resonance imaging and positron-emission tomography fusion mechanistic model. The resulting simulations of arrhythmogenesis are fed, together with a set of imaging and clinical biomarkers, into a supervised classifier. In a retrospective study of 45 patients, the technology achieved testing results of 60% sensitivity [95% confidence interval (CI): 57-63%], 72% specificity [95% CI: 70-74%], and 0.754 area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [95% CI: 0.710-0.797]. It outperformed clinical metrics, highlighting its potential to transform CS risk stratification.
30 Most Asked Machine Learning Questions Answered - KDnuggets
Machine Learning is the path to a better and advanced future. A Machine Learning Developer is the most demanding job in 2021, and it is going to increase by 20–30% in the upcoming 3–5 years. Machine Learning by the core is all statistics and programming concepts. The language that is mostly used by Machine learning developers for coding is python because of its simplicity. In this blog, you will find some of the most asked machine learning questions that every machine learning enthusiast has to answer one day. Ans: Machine learning is the science of getting computers to act in a real-time situation without being explicitly programmed.
Cascading Neural Network Methodology for Artificial Intelligence-Assisted Radiographic Detection and Classification of Lead-Less Implanted Electronic Devices within the Chest
Demirer, Mutlu, White, Richard D., Gupta, Vikash, Sebro, Ronnie A., Erdal, Barbaros S.
Background & Purpose: Chest X-Ray (CXR) use in pre-MRI safety screening for Lead-Less Implanted Electronic Devices (LLIEDs), easily overlooked or misidentified on a frontal view (often only acquired), is common. Although most LLIED types are "MRI conditional": 1. Some are stringently conditional; 2. Different conditional types have specific patient- or device- management requirements; and 3. Particular types are "MRI unsafe". This work focused on developing CXR interpretation-assisting Artificial Intelligence (AI) methodology with: 1. 100% detection for LLIED presence/location; and 2. High classification in LLIED typing. Materials & Methods: Data-mining (03/1993-02/2021) produced an AI Model Development Population (1,100 patients/4,871 images) creating 4,924 LLIED Region-Of-Interests (ROIs) (with image-quality grading) used in Training, Validation, and Testing. For developing the cascading neural network (detection via Faster R-CNN and classification via Inception V3), "ground-truth" CXR annotation (ROI labeling per LLIED), as well as inference display (as Generated Bounding Boxes (GBBs)), relied on a GPU-based graphical user interface. Results: To achieve 100% LLIED detection, probability threshold reduction to 0.00002 was required by Model 1, resulting in increasing GBBs per LLIED-related ROI. Targeting LLIED-type classification following detection of all LLIEDs, Model 2 multi-classified to reach high-performance while decreasing falsely positive GBBs. Despite 24% suboptimal ROI image quality, classification was correct in 98.9% and AUCs for the 9 LLIED-types were 1.00 for 8 and 0.92 for 1. For all misclassification cases: 1. None involved stringently conditional or unsafe LLIEDs; and 2. Most were attributable to suboptimal images. Conclusion: This project successfully developed a LLIED-related AI methodology supporting: 1. 100% detection; and 2. Typically 100% type classification.