Goto

Collaborating Authors

 Performance Analysis


Look Who's Talking: Interpretable Machine Learning for Assessing Italian SMEs Credit Default

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The economy of the European Union (EU) is deeply grounded into Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs). SMEs represent about 99.8% of the active enterprises in the EU-28 non-financial business sector (NFBS), accounting for almost 60% of value-added within the NFBS and fostering the workforce of the EU with two out of every three jobs (European Commission, 2019a). Thus, there is a wide literature covering various economic aspects of SMEs, with a particular attention to default prediction (for an up-to-date review see Ciampi et al., 2021), which is of interest not only for scholars but also for practitioners such as financial intermediaries and for policy makers in their effort to support SMEs and to ease credit constraints to which they are naturally exposed (Andries et al., 2018; Cornille et al., 2019). Whether it is for private credit-risk assessment or for public funding, independently on the type of data imputed to measure the health status of a firm, prediction of default should success in two aspects: maximise correct classification and clarify the role of the variables involved in the process. Most of the times, the contributions based on Machine Learning (ML) techniques neglect the latter aspect, being rather focused on the former, often with better results with respect to parametric techniques that provide, on the contrary, a clear framework for interpretation.


Sarcasm Detection in Twitter -- Performance Impact while using Data Augmentation: Word Embeddings

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Sarcasm is the use of words usually used to either mock or annoy someone, or for humorous purposes. Sarcasm is largely used in social networks and microblogging websites, where people mock or censure in a way that makes it difficult even for humans to tell if what is said is what is meant. Failure to identify sarcastic utterances in Natural Language Processing applications such as sentiment analysis and opinion mining will confuse classification algorithms and generate false results. Several studies on sarcasm detection have utilized different learning algorithms. However, most of these learning models have always focused on the contents of expression only, leaving the contextual information in isolation. As a result, they failed to capture the contextual information in the sarcastic expression. Moreover, some datasets used in several studies have an unbalanced dataset which impacting the model result. In this paper, we propose a contextual model for sarcasm identification in twitter using RoBERTa, and augmenting the dataset by applying Global Vector representation (GloVe) for the construction of word embedding and context learning to generate more data and balancing the dataset. The effectiveness of this technique is tested with various datasets and data augmentation settings. In particular, we achieve performance gain by 3.2% in the iSarcasm dataset when using data augmentation to increase 20% of data labeled as sarcastic, resulting F-score of 40.4% compared to 37.2% without data augmentation.


FADE: FAir Double Ensemble Learning for Observable and Counterfactual Outcomes

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Methods for building fair predictors often involve tradeoffs between fairness and accuracy and between different fairness criteria, but the nature of these tradeoffs varies. Recent work seeks to characterize these tradeoffs in specific problem settings, but these methods often do not accommodate users who wish to improve the fairness of an existing benchmark model without sacrificing accuracy, or vice versa. These results are also typically restricted to observable accuracy and fairness criteria. We develop a flexible framework for fair ensemble learning that allows users to efficiently explore the fairness-accuracy space or to improve the fairness or accuracy of a benchmark model. Our framework can simultaneously target multiple observable or counterfactual fairness criteria, and it enables users to combine a large number of previously trained and newly trained predictors. We provide theoretical guarantees that our estimators converge at fast rates. We apply our method on both simulated and real data, with respect to both observable and counterfactual accuracy and fairness criteria. We show that, surprisingly, multiple unfairness measures can sometimes be minimized simultaneously with little impact on accuracy, relative to unconstrained predictors or existing benchmark models.


Bayesian learning of forest and tree graphical models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In Bayesian learning of Gaussian graphical model structure, it is common to restrict attention to certain classes of graphs and approximate the posterior distribution by repeatedly moving from one graph to another, using MCMC or methods such as stochastic shotgun search (SSS). I give two corrected versions of an algorithm for non-decomposable graphs and discuss random graph distributions, in particular as prior distributions. The main topic of the thesis is Bayesian structure-learning with forests or trees. Restricting attention to these graphs can be justified using theorems on random graphs. I describe how to use the Chow$\unicode{x2013}$Liu algorithm and the Matrix Tree Theorem to find the MAP forest and certain quantities in the posterior distribution on trees. I give adapted versions of MCMC and SSS for approximating the posterior distribution for forests and trees, and systems for storing these graphs so that it is easy to choose moves to neighbouring graphs. Experiments show that SSS with trees does well when the true graph is a tree or sparse graph. SSS with trees or forests does better than SSS with decomposable graphs in certain cases. Graph priors improve detection of hubs but need large ranges of probabilities. MCMC on forests fails to mix well and MCMC on trees is slower than SSS. (For a longer abstract see the thesis.)



Ovarian Cancer Prediction from Ovarian Cysts Based on TVUS Using Machine Learning Algorithms

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Ovarian Cancer (OC) is type of female reproductive malignancy which can be found among young girls and mostly the women in their fertile or reproductive. There are few number of cysts are dangerous and may it cause cancer. So, it is very important to predict and it can be from different types of screening are used for this detection using Transvaginal Ultrasonography (TVUS) screening. In this research, we employed an actual datasets called PLCO with TVUS screening and three machine learning (ML) techniques, respectively Random Forest KNN, and XGBoost within three target variables. We obtained a best performance from this algorithms as far as accuracy, recall, f1 score and precision with the approximations of 99.50%, 99.50%, 99.49% and 99.50% individually. The AUC score of 99.87%, 98.97% and 99.88% are observed in these Random Forest, KNN and XGB algorithms .This approach helps assist physicians and suspects in identifying ovarian risks early on, reducing ovarian malignancy-related complications and deaths.


Survival Prediction of Heart Failure Patients using Stacked Ensemble Machine Learning Algorithm

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Cardiovascular disease, especially heart failure is one of the major health hazard issues of our time and is a leading cause of death worldwide. Advancement in data mining techniques using machine learning (ML) models is paving promising prediction approaches. Data mining is the process of converting massive volumes of raw data created by the healthcare institutions into meaningful information that can aid in making predictions and crucial decisions. Collecting various follow-up data from patients who have had heart failures, analyzing those data, and utilizing several ML models to predict the survival possibility of cardiovascular patients is the key aim of this study. Due to the imbalance of the classes in the dataset, Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) has been implemented. Two unsupervised models (K-Means and Fuzzy C-Means clustering) and three supervised classifiers (Random Forest, XGBoost and Decision Tree) have been used in our study. After thorough investigation, our results demonstrate a superior performance of the supervised ML algorithms over unsupervised models. Moreover, we designed and propose a supervised stacked ensemble learning model that can achieve an accuracy, precision, recall and F1 score of 99.98%. Our study shows that only certain attributes collected from the patients are imperative to successfully predict the surviving possibility post heart failure, using supervised ML algorithms.


Generating Answer Candidates for Quizzes and Answer-Aware Question Generators

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In education, open-ended quiz questions have become an important tool for assessing the knowledge of students. Yet, manually preparing such questions is a tedious task, and thus automatic question generation has been proposed as a possible alternative. So far, the vast majority of research has focused on generating the question text, relying on question answering datasets with readily picked answers, and the problem of how to come up with answer candidates in the first place has been largely ignored. Here, we aim to bridge this gap. In particular, we propose a model that can generate a specified number of answer candidates for a given passage of text, which can then be used by instructors to write questions manually or can be passed as an input to automatic answer-aware question generators. Our experiments show that our proposed answer candidate generation model outperforms several baselines.


I Am One of the Students Who Got a False Positive at Rice University

Slate

Coronavirus Diaries is a series of dispatches exploring how the coronavirus is affecting people's lives. This as-told-to essay is based on a conversation with An Luu, a 21-year-old senior at Rice University in Houston, who got a false positive due to a COVID-19 test glitch earlier this month. Luu was one of many Rice students whose positive (later discovered to be false positive) test results caused the university to move classes online. Ninety-five percent of the student population of Rice is vaccinated, including Luu. Slate reached out to Rice University's Crisis Management Team for comment on Luu's experience.


Confusion Matrix

#artificialintelligence

Please post some more articles. Measures are clearly explained with great addition of figures. Manisha could you please share your official email address on your profile. I want to discuss one opportunity with you regarding deep learning education. My spouse and I love your blog and find almost all of your posts to be just what I'm looking for.