Performance Analysis
An Intelligent Decision Support Ensemble Voting Model for Coronary Artery Disease Prediction in Smart Healthcare Monitoring Environments
Maach, Anas, Elalami, Jamila, Elalami, Noureddine, Mazoudi, El Houssine El
Coronary artery disease (CAD) is one of the most common cardiac diseases worldwide and causes disability and economic burden. It is the world's leading and most serious cause of mortality, with approximately 80% of deaths reported in low- and middle-income countries. The preferred and most precise diagnostic tool for CAD is angiography, but it is invasive, expensive, and technically demanding. However, the research community is increasingly interested in the computer-aided diagnosis of CAD via the utilization of machine learning (ML) methods. The purpose of this work is to present an e-diagnosis tool based on ML algorithms that can be used in a smart healthcare monitoring system. We applied the most accurate machine learning methods that have shown superior results in the literature to different medical datasets such as RandomForest, XGboost, MLP, J48, AdaBoost, NaiveBayes, LogitBoost, KNN. Every single classifier can be efficient on a different dataset. Thus, an ensemble model using majority voting was designed to take advantage of the well-performed single classifiers, Ensemble learning aims to combine the forecasts of multiple individual classifiers to achieve higher performance than individual classifiers in terms of precision, specificity, sensitivity, and accuracy; furthermore, we have benchmarked our proposed model with the most efficient and well-known ensemble models, such as Bagging, Stacking methods based on the cross-validation technique, The experimental results confirm that the ensemble majority voting approach based on the top 3 classifiers: MultilayerPerceptron, RandomForest, and AdaBoost, achieves the highest accuracy of 88,12% and outperforms all other classifiers. This study demonstrates that the majority voting ensemble approach proposed above is the most accurate machine learning classification approach for the prediction and detection of coronary artery disease.
Exploring the Whole Rashomon Set of Sparse Decision Trees
Xin, Rui, Zhong, Chudi, Chen, Zhi, Takagi, Takuya, Seltzer, Margo, Rudin, Cynthia
In any given machine learning problem, there might be many models that explain the data almost equally well. However, most learning algorithms return only one of these models, leaving practitioners with no practical way to explore alternative models that might have desirable properties beyond what could be expressed by a loss function. The Rashomon set is the set of these all almost-optimal models. Rashomon sets can be large in size and complicated in structure, particularly for highly nonlinear function classes that allow complex interaction terms, such as decision trees. We provide the first technique for completely enumerating the Rashomon set for sparse decision trees; in fact, our work provides the first complete enumeration of any Rashomon set for a non-trivial problem with a highly nonlinear discrete function class. This allows the user an unprecedented level of control over model choice among all models that are approximately equally good. We represent the Rashomon set in a specialized data structure that supports efficient querying and sampling. We show three applications of the Rashomon set: 1) it can be used to study variable importance for the set of almost-optimal trees (as opposed to a single tree), 2) the Rashomon set for accuracy enables enumeration of the Rashomon sets for balanced accuracy and F1-score, and 3) the Rashomon set for a full dataset can be used to produce Rashomon sets constructed with only subsets of the data set. Thus, we are able to examine Rashomon sets across problems with a new lens, enabling users to choose models rather than be at the mercy of an algorithm that produces only a single model.
Deep Crowd Anomaly Detection: State-of-the-Art, Challenges, and Future Research Directions
Sharif, Md. Haidar, Jiao, Lei, Omlin, Christian W.
Crowd anomaly detection is one of the most popular topics in computer vision in the context of smart cities. A plethora of deep learning methods have been proposed that generally outperform other machine learning solutions. Our review primarily discusses algorithms that were published in mainstream conferences and journals between 2020 and 2022. We present datasets that are typically used for benchmarking, produce a taxonomy of the developed algorithms, and discuss and compare their performances. Our main findings are that the heterogeneities of pre-trained convolutional models have a negligible impact on crowd video anomaly detection performance. We conclude our discussion with fruitful directions for future research.
No imputation without representation
Lenz, Oliver Urs, Peralta, Daniel, Cornelis, Chris
Imputation allows datasets to be used with algorithms that cannot handle missing values by themselves. However, missing values may in principle contribute useful information that is lost through imputation. The missing-indicator approach can be used to preserve this information. There are several theoretical considerations why missing-indicators may or may not be beneficial, but there has not been any large-scale practical experiment on real-life datasets to test this question for machine learning predictions. We perform this experiment for three imputation strategies and a range of different classification algorithms, on the basis of twenty real-life datasets. We find that missing-indicators generally increase classification performance, and that nearest neighbour and iterative imputation do not lead to better performance than simple mean/mode imputation. Therefore, we recommend the use of missing-indicators with mean/mode imputation as a safe default, with the caveat that for decision trees, pruning is necessary to prevent overfitting.
SAS: A Simple, Accurate and Scalable Node Classification Algorithm
Wang, Ziyuan, Yang, Feiming, Fan, Rui
Graph neural networks have achieved state-of-the-art accuracy for graph node classification. However, GNNs are difficult to scale to large graphs, for example frequently encountering out-of-memory errors on even moderate size graphs. Recent works have sought to address this problem using a two-stage approach, which first aggregates data along graph edges, then trains a classifier without using additional graph information. These methods can run on much larger graphs and are orders of magnitude faster than GNNs, but achieve lower classification accuracy. We propose a novel two-stage algorithm based on a simple but effective observation: we should first train a classifier then aggregate, rather than the other way around. We show our algorithm is faster and can handle larger graphs than existing two-stage algorithms, while achieving comparable or higher accuracy than popular GNNs. We also present a theoretical basis to explain our algorithm's improved accuracy, by giving a synthetic nonlinear dataset in which performing aggregation before classification actually decreases accuracy compared to doing classification alone, while our classify then aggregate approach substantially improves accuracy compared to classification alone.
On the Effectiveness of Automated Metrics for Text Generation Systems
von Däniken, Pius, Deriu, Jan, Tuggener, Don, Cieliebak, Mark
A major challenge in the field of Text Generation is evaluation because we lack a sound theory that can be leveraged to extract guidelines for evaluation campaigns. In this work, we propose a first step towards such a theory that incorporates different sources of uncertainty, such as imperfect automated metrics and insufficiently sized test sets. The theory has practical applications, such as determining the number of samples needed to reliably distinguish the performance of a set of Text Generation systems in a given setting. We showcase the application of the theory on the WMT 21 and Spot-The-Bot evaluation data and outline how it can be leveraged to improve the evaluation protocol regarding the reliability, robustness, and significance of the evaluation outcome.
Learning Latent Structural Causal Models
Subramanian, Jithendaraa, Annadani, Yashas, Sheth, Ivaxi, Ke, Nan Rosemary, Deleu, Tristan, Bauer, Stefan, Nowrouzezahrai, Derek, Kahou, Samira Ebrahimi
Causal learning has long concerned itself with the accurate recovery of underlying causal mechanisms. Such causal modelling enables better explanations of out-of-distribution data. Prior works on causal learning assume that the high-level causal variables are given. However, in machine learning tasks, one often operates on low-level data like image pixels or high-dimensional vectors. In such settings, the entire Structural Causal Model (SCM) -- structure, parameters, \textit{and} high-level causal variables -- is unobserved and needs to be learnt from low-level data. We treat this problem as Bayesian inference of the latent SCM, given low-level data. For linear Gaussian additive noise SCMs, we present a tractable approximate inference method which performs joint inference over the causal variables, structure and parameters of the latent SCM from random, known interventions. Experiments are performed on synthetic datasets and a causally generated image dataset to demonstrate the efficacy of our approach. We also perform image generation from unseen interventions, thereby verifying out of distribution generalization for the proposed causal model.
An agent-based epidemics simulation to compare and explain screening and vaccination prioritisation strategies
This paper describes an agent-based model of epidemics dynamics. This model is willingly simplified, as its goal is not to predict the evolution of the epidemics, but to explain the underlying mechanisms in an interactive way. This model allows to compare screening prioritisation strategies, as well as vaccination priority strategies, on a virtual population. The model is implemented in Netlogo in different simulators, published online to let people experiment with them. This paper reports on the model design, implementation, and experimentations. In particular we have compared screening strategies to evaluate the epidemics vs control it by quarantining infectious people; and we have compared vaccinating older people with more risk factors, vs younger people with more social contacts.
The Better Your Syntax, the Better Your Semantics? Probing Pretrained Language Models for the English Comparative Correlative
Weissweiler, Leonie, Hofmann, Valentin, Köksal, Abdullatif, Schütze, Hinrich
Construction Grammar (CxG) is a paradigm from cognitive linguistics emphasising the connection between syntax and semantics. Rather than rules that operate on lexical items, it posits constructions as the central building blocks of language, i.e., linguistic units of different granularity that combine syntax and semantics. As a first step towards assessing the compatibility of CxG with the syntactic and semantic knowledge demonstrated by state-of-the-art pretrained language models (PLMs), we present an investigation of their capability to classify and understand one of the most commonly studied constructions, the English comparative correlative (CC). We conduct experiments examining the classification accuracy of a syntactic probe on the one hand and the models' behaviour in a semantic application task on the other, with BERT, RoBERTa, and DeBERTa as the example PLMs. Our results show that all three investigated PLMs are able to recognise the structure of the CC but fail to use its meaning. While human-like performance of PLMs on many NLP tasks has been alleged, this indicates that PLMs still suffer from substantial shortcomings in central domains of linguistic knowledge.
Toward an Intelligent Tutoring System for Argument Mining in Legal Texts
Westermann, Hannes, Savelka, Jaromir, Walker, Vern R., Ashley, Kevin D., Benyekhlef, Karim
We propose an adaptive environment (CABINET) to support caselaw analysis (identifying key argument elements) based on a novel cognitive computing framework that carefully matches various machine learning (ML) capabilities to the proficiency of a user. CABINET supports law students in their learning as well as professionals in their work. The results of our experiments focused on the feasibility of the proposed framework are promising. We show that the system is capable of identifying a potential error in the analysis with very low false positives rate (2.0-3.5%), as well as of predicting the key argument element type (e.g., an issue or a holding) with a reasonably high F1-score (0.74).