Performance Analysis
Who is Gambling? Finding Cryptocurrency Gamblers Using Multi-modal Retrieval Methods
Huang, Zhengjie, Liu, Zhenguang, Chen, Jianhai, He, Qinming, Wu, Shuang, Zhu, Lei, Wang, Meng
With the popularity of cryptocurrencies and the remarkable development of blockchain technology, decentralized applications emerged as a revolutionary force for the Internet. Meanwhile, decentralized applications have also attracted intense attention from the online gambling community, with more and more decentralized gambling platforms created through the help of smart contracts. Compared with conventional gambling platforms, decentralized gambling have transparent rules and a low participation threshold, attracting a substantial number of gamblers. In order to discover gambling behaviors and identify the contracts and addresses involved in gambling, we propose a tool termed ETHGamDet. The tool is able to automatically detect the smart contracts and addresses involved in gambling by scrutinizing the smart contract code and address transaction records. Interestingly, we present a novel LightGBM model with memory components, which possesses the ability to learn from its own misclassifications. As a side contribution, we construct and release a large-scale gambling dataset at https://github.com/AwesomeHuang/Bitcoin-Gambling-Dataset to facilitate future research in this field. Empirically, ETHGamDet achieves a F1-score of 0.72 and 0.89 in address classification and contract classification respectively, and offers novel and interesting insights.
Algorithmic Bias in Machine Learning Based Delirium Prediction
Tripathi, Sandhya, Fritz, Bradley A, Avidan, Michael S, Chen, Yixin, King, Christopher R
Although prediction models for delirium, a commonly occurring condition during general hospitalization or post-surgery, have not gained huge popularity, their algorithmic bias evaluation is crucial due to the existing association between social determinants of health and delirium risk. In this context, using MIMIC-III and another academic hospital dataset, we present some initial experimental evidence showing how sociodemographic features such as sex and race can impact the model performance across subgroups. With this work, our intent is to initiate a discussion about the intersectionality effects of old age, race and socioeconomic factors on the early-stage detection and prevention of delirium using ML.
Neural Network Verification as Piecewise Linear Optimization: Formulations for the Composition of Staircase Functions
Anh-Nguyen, Tu, Huchette, Joey
We present a technique for neural network verification using mixed-integer programming (MIP) formulations. We derive a \emph{strong formulation} for each neuron in a network using piecewise linear activation functions. Additionally, as in general, these formulations may require an exponential number of inequalities, we also derive a separation procedure that runs in super-linear time in the input dimension. We first introduce and develop our technique on the class of \emph{staircase} functions, which generalizes the ReLU, binarized, and quantized activation functions. We then use results for staircase activation functions to obtain a separation method for general piecewise linear activation functions. Empirically, using our strong formulation and separation technique, we can reduce the computational time in exact verification settings based on MIP and improve the false negative rate for inexact verifiers relying on the relaxation of the MIP formulation.
Deep Fake Detection, Deterrence and Response: Challenges and Opportunities
Azmoodeh, Amin, Dehghantanha, Ali
Afterward, we offer a solution that is capable of 1) making our AI systems robust against deepfakes during development and deployment phases; 2) detecting video, image, audio, and textual deepfakes; 3) identifying deepfakes that bypass detection (deepfake hunting); 4) leveraging available intelligence for timely identification of deepfake campaigns launched by state-sponsored hacking teams; 5) conducting in-depth forensic analysis of identified deepfake payloads. Our proposed solution can be used as a technical guide for developing detection, deterrence, and forensics investigation solutions for deepfakes. Our solution would address important elements of Canada's National Cyber Security Action Plan (2019-2024) in increasing the trustworthiness of our critical services [5]. Following actions can be taken based on this research findings: Raising public awareness about risks of deepfakes: increasing the understanding of deepfake threats and empowering Canadian public to do their part in keeping our society and critical services safe from deepfake-based attacks is the most important and effective step in reducing risk of deepfakes. Cybersecurity should always be considered as a shared responsibility. While this paper is focused on development of technical solutions for early detection and deterrence of deepfakes, the effectiveness of our solutions (or any technical solution in cybersecurity) are limited without regular and systemic public awareness campaigns. Supporting development of public training programs in this domain should be considered as a top priority. Developing AI robustness monitoring solutions: there is a growing trend in using AI to detect deepfakes. However, more recently, adversaries made attempts to create adversarial deepfake payloads that are capable of deceiving humans while bypassing AI-based detection systems!
Predicting Dog Breed with a CNN
Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) are an incredibly useful tool for analysing pictures, and in this article, we attempt to use one to identify breed given an image of a dog. On top of this, we also aim to input pictures of humans into the model and output the breed the human looks most similar to. To input into the model, we were provided with over 8,000 dog images each accompanied with the corresponding breed -- a total of 133 breeds over the whole dataset. To undertake this task, it was important to understand the theory behind CNNs and how they work, with particular application to how they work for image classification. The first consideration is how images can be represented for input to a CNN.
Deep Attention-Based Supernovae Classification of Multi-Band Light-Curves
Pimentel, Óscar, Estévez, Pablo A., Förster, Francisco
In astronomical surveys, such as the Zwicky Transient Facility, supernovae (SNe) are relatively uncommon objects compared to other classes of variable events. Along with this scarcity, the processing of multi-band light-curves is a challenging task due to the highly irregular cadence, long time gaps, missing-values, few observations, etc. These issues are particularly detrimental to the analysis of transient events: SN-like light-curves. We offer three main contributions: 1) Based on temporal modulation and attention mechanisms, we propose a Deep attention model (TimeModAttn) to classify multi-band light-curves of different SN types, avoiding photometric or hand-crafted feature computations, missing-value assumptions, and explicit imputation/interpolation methods. 2) We propose a model for the synthetic generation of SN multi-band light-curves based on the Supernova Parametric Model, allowing us to increase the number of samples and the diversity of cadence. Thus, the TimeModAttn model is first pre-trained using synthetic light-curves. Then, a fine-tuning process is performed. The TimeModAttn model outperformed other Deep Learning models, based on Recurrent Neural Networks, in two scenarios: late-classification and early-classification. Also, the TimeModAttn model outperformed a Balanced Random Forest (BRF) classifier (trained with real data), increasing the balanced-$F_1$score from $\approx.525$ to $\approx.596$. When training the BRF with synthetic data, this model achieved similar performance to the TimeModAttn model proposed while still maintaining extra advantages. 3) We conducted interpretability experiments. High attention scores were obtained for observations earlier than and close to the SN brightness peaks. This also correlated with an early highly variability of the learned temporal modulation.
Detecting broken Absorber Tubes in CSP plants using intelligent sampling and dual loss
Pérez-Cutiño, Miguel Angel, Valverde, Juan Sebastián, Díaz-Báñez, José Miguel
Concentrated solar power (CSP) is one of the growing technologies that is leading the process of changing from fossil fuels to renewable energies. The sophistication and size of the systems require an increase in maintenance tasks to ensure reliability, availability, maintainability and safety. Currently, automatic fault detection in CSP plants using Parabolic Trough Collector systems evidences two main drawbacks: 1) the devices in use needs to be manually placed near the receiver tube, 2) the Machine Learning-based solutions are not tested in real plants. We address both gaps by combining the data extracted with the use of an Unmaned Aerial Vehicle, and the data provided by sensors placed within 7 real plants. The resulting dataset is the first one of this type and can help to standardize research activities for the problem of fault detection in this type of plants. Our work proposes supervised machine-learning algorithms for detecting broken envelopes of the absorber tubes in CSP plants. The proposed solution takes the class imbalance problem into account, boosting the accuracy of the algorithms for the minority class without harming the overall performance of the models. For a Deep Residual Network, we solve an imbalance and a balance problem at the same time, which increases by 5% the Recall of the minority class with no harm to the F1-score. Additionally, the Random Under Sampling technique boost the performance of traditional Machine Learning models, being the Histogram Gradient Boost Classifier the algorithm with the highest increase (3%) in the F1-Score. To the best of our knowledge, this paper is the first providing an automated solution to this problem using data from operating plants.
A Comprehensive Study of Radiomics-based Machine Learning for Fibrosis Detection
Yoo, Jay J., Namdar, Khashayar, McIntosh, Chris, Khalvati, Farzad, Rogalla, Patrik
Objectives: Early detection of liver fibrosis can help cure the disease or prevent disease progression. We perform a comprehensive study of machine learning-based fibrosis detection in CT images using radiomic features to develop a non-invasive approach to fibrosis detection. Methods: Two sets of radiomic features were extracted from spherical ROIs in CT images of 182 patients who underwent simultaneous liver biopsy and CT examinations, one set corresponding to biopsy locations and another distant from biopsy locations. Combinations of contrast, normalization, machine learning model, feature selection method, bin width, and kernel radius were investigated, each of which were trained and evaluated 100 times with randomized development and test cohorts. The best settings were evaluated based on their mean test AUC and the best features were determined based on their frequency among the best settings. Results: Logistic regression models with NC images normalized using Gamma correction with $\gamma = 1.5$ performed best for fibrosis detection. Boruta was the best for radiomic feature selection method. Training a model using these optimal settings and features consisting of first order energy, first order kurtosis, and first order skewness, resulted in a model that achieved mean test AUCs of 0.7549 and 0.7166 on biopsy-based and non-biopsy ROIs respectively, outperforming a baseline and best models found during the initial study. Conclusions: Logistic regression models trained on radiomic features from NC images normalized using Gamma correction with $\gamma = 1.5$ that underwent Boruta feature selection are effective for liver fibrosis detection. Energy, kurtosis, and skewness are particularly effective features for fibrosis detection.
A Deep Learning Anomaly Detection Method in Textual Data
In this article, we propose using deep learning and transformer architectures combined with classical machine learning algorithms to detect and identify text anomalies in texts. Deep learning model provides a very crucial context information about the textual data which all textual context are converted to a numerical representation. We used multiple machine learning methods such as Sentence Transformers, Auto Encoders, Logistic Regression and Distance calculation methods to predict anomalies. The method are tested on the texts data and we used syntactic data from different source injected into the original text as anomalies or use them as target. Different methods and algorithm are explained in the field of outlier detection and the results of the best technique is presented. These results suggest that our algorithm could potentially reduce false positive rates compared with other anomaly detection methods that we are testing.
Active Learning and Novel Model Calibration Measurements for Automated Visual Inspection in Manufacturing
Rožanec, Jože M., Bizjak, Luka, Trajkova, Elena, Zajec, Patrik, Keizer, Jelle, Fortuna, Blaž, Mladenić, Dunja
Quality control is a crucial activity performed by manufacturing enterprises to ensure that their products meet quality standards and avoid potential damage to the brand's reputation. The decreased cost of sensors and connectivity enabled increasing digitalization of manufacturing. In addition, artificial intelligence enables higher degrees of automation, reducing overall costs and time required for defect inspection. This research compares three active learning approaches, having single and multiple oracles, to visual inspection. Six new metrics are proposed to assess the quality of calibration without the need for ground truth. Furthermore, this research explores whether existing calibrators can improve their performance by leveraging an approximate ground truth to enlarge the calibration set. The experiments were performed on real-world data provided by Philips Consumer Lifestyle BV. Our results show that the explored active learning settings can reduce the data labeling effort by between three and four percent without detriment to the overall quality goals, considering a threshold of p=0.95. Furthermore, the results show that the proposed calibration metrics successfully capture relevant information otherwise available to metrics used up to date only through ground truth data. Therefore, the proposed metrics can be used to estimate the quality of models' probability calibration without committing to a labeling effort to obtain ground truth data.