Performance Analysis
Solving The Class Imbalance Problem
Imbalanced classification is a common problem in machine learning, particularly in the realm of binary classification. This occurs when the training dataset has an unequal distribution of classes, leading to a potential bias in the trained model. Examples of imbalanced classification problems include fraud detection, claim prediction, default prediction, churn prediction, spam detection, anomaly detection, and outlier detection. It is important to address the class imbalance in order to improve the performance of our model and ensure its accuracy. Notice that most, if not all, of the examples, are likely binary classification problems.
Multi-Task Learning with Prior Information
Multi-task learning aims to boost the generalization performance of multiple related tasks simultaneously by leveraging information contained in those tasks. In this paper, we propose a multi-task learning framework, where we utilize prior knowledge about the relations between features. We also impose a penalty on the coefficients changing for each specific feature to ensure related tasks have similar coefficients on common features shared among them. In addition, we capture a common set of features via group sparsity. The objective is formulated as a non-smooth convex optimization problem, which can be solved with various methods, including gradient descent method with fixed stepsize, iterative shrinkage-thresholding algorithm (ISTA) with back-tracking, and its variation -- fast iterative shrinkage-thresholding algorithm (FISTA). In light of the sub-linear convergence rate of the methods aforementioned, we propose an asymptotically linear convergent algorithm with theoretical guarantee. Empirical experiments on both regression and classification tasks with real-world datasets demonstrate that our proposed algorithms are capable of improving the generalization performance of multiple related tasks.
Anxolotl, an Anxiety Companion App -- Stress Detection
Gomes, Nuno, Pato, Matilde, Santos, Pedro, Lourenço, André, Rodrigues, Lourenço
Stress has a great effect on people's lives that can not be understated. While it can be good, since it helps humans to adapt to new and different situations, it can also be harmful when not dealt with properly, leading to chronic stress. The objective of this paper is developing a stress monitoring solution, that can be used in real life, while being able to tackle this challenge in a positive way. The SMILE data set was provided to team Anxolotl, and all it was needed was to develop a robust model. We developed a supervised learning model for classification in Python, presenting the final result of 64.1% in accuracy and a f1-score of 54.96%. The resulting solution stood the robustness test, presenting low variation between runs, which was a major point for it's possible integration in the Anxolotl app in the future.
Identifying Exoplanets with Deep Learning. V. Improved Light Curve Classification for TESS Full Frame Image Observations
Tey, Evan, Moldovan, Dan, Kunimoto, Michelle, Huang, Chelsea X., Shporer, Avi, Daylan, Tansu, Muthukrishna, Daniel, Vanderburg, Andrew, Dattilo, Anne, Ricker, George R., Seager, S.
ABSTRACT The TESS mission produces a large amount of time series data, only a small fraction of which contain detectable exoplanetary transit signals. Deep learning techniques such as neural networks have proved effective at differentiating promising astrophysical eclipsing candidates from other phenomena such as stellar variability and systematic instrumental effects in an efficient, unbiased and sustainable manner. This paper presents a high quality dataset containing light curves from the Primary Mission and 1st Extended Mission full frame images and periodic signals detected via Box Least Squares (Kovács et al. 2002; Hartman 2012). The dataset was curated using a thorough manual review process then used to train a neural network called Astronet-Triage-v2. On our test set, for transiting/eclipsing events we achieve a 99.6% recall (true positives over all data with positive labels) at a precision of 75.7% (true positives over all predicted positives). Since 90% of our training data is from the Primary Mission, we also test our ability to generalize on held-out 1st Extended Mission data. Here, we find an area under the precision-recall curve of 0.965, a 4% improvement over Astronet-Triage (Yu et al. 2019). On the TESS Object of Interest (TOI) Catalog through April 2022, a shortlist of planets and planet candidates, Astronet-Triage-v2 is able to recover 3577 out of 4140 TOIs, while Astronet-Triage only recovers 3349 targets at an equal level of precision. In other words, upgrading to Astronet-Triage-v2 helps save at least 200 planet candidates from being lost. The new model is currently used for planet candidate triage in the Quick-Look Pipeline (Huang et al. 2020a,b; Kunimoto et al. 2021). INTRODUCTION ally requires extremely precise observations.
Detecting Severity of Diabetic Retinopathy from Fundus Images using Ensembled Transformers
Adak, Chandranath, Karkera, Tejas, Chattopadhyay, Soumi, Saqib, Muhammad
Diabetic Retinopathy (DR) is considered one of the primary concerns due to its effect on vision loss among most people with diabetes globally. The severity of DR is mostly comprehended manually by ophthalmologists from fundus photography-based retina images. This paper deals with an automated understanding of the severity stages of DR. In the literature, researchers have focused on this automation using traditional machine learning-based algorithms and convolutional architectures. However, the past works hardly focused on essential parts of the retinal image to improve the model performance. In this paper, we adopt transformer-based learning models to capture the crucial features of retinal images to understand DR severity better. We work with ensembling image transformers, where we adopt four models, namely ViT (Vision Transformer), BEiT (Bidirectional Encoder representation for image Transformer), CaiT (Class-Attention in Image Transformers), and DeiT (Data efficient image Transformers), to infer the degree of DR severity from fundus photographs. For experiments, we used the publicly available APTOS-2019 blindness detection dataset, where the performances of the transformer-based models were quite encouraging.
RAIDER: Reinforcement-aided Spear Phishing Detector
Evans, Keelan, Abuadbba, Alsharif, Wu, Tingmin, Moore, Kristen, Ahmed, Mohiuddin, Pogrebna, Ganna, Nepal, Surya, Johnstone, Mike
Spear Phishing is a harmful cyber-attack facing business and individuals worldwide. Considerable research has been conducted recently into the use of Machine Learning (ML) techniques to detect spear-phishing emails. ML-based solutions may suffer from zero-day attacks; unseen attacks unaccounted for in the training data. As new attacks emerge, classifiers trained on older data are unable to detect these new varieties of attacks resulting in increasingly inaccurate predictions. Spear Phishing detection also faces scalability challenges due to the growth of the required features which is proportional to the number of the senders within a receiver mailbox. This differs from traditional phishing attacks which typically perform only a binary classification between phishing and benign emails. Therefore, we devise a possible solution to these problems, named RAIDER: Reinforcement AIded Spear Phishing DEtectoR. A reinforcement-learning based feature evaluation system that can automatically find the optimum features for detecting different types of attacks. By leveraging a reward and penalty system, RAIDER allows for autonomous features selection. RAIDER also keeps the number of features to a minimum by selecting only the significant features to represent phishing emails and detect spear-phishing attacks. After extensive evaluation of RAIDER over 11,000 emails and across 3 attack scenarios, our results suggest that using reinforcement learning to automatically identify the significant features could reduce the dimensions of the required features by 55% in comparison to existing ML-based systems. It also improves the accuracy of detecting spoofing attacks by 4% from 90% to 94%. In addition, RAIDER demonstrates reasonable detection accuracy even against a sophisticated attack named Known Sender in which spear-phishing emails greatly resemble those of the impersonated sender.
Computing the Performance of A New Adaptive Sampling Algorithm Based on The Gittins Index in Experiments with Exponential Rewards
He, James K., Villar, Sofía S., Mavrogonatou, Lida
Designing experiments often requires balancing between learning about the true treatment effects and earning from allocating more samples to the superior treatment. While optimal algorithms for the Multi-Armed Bandit Problem (MABP) provide allocation policies that optimally balance learning and earning, they tend to be computationally expensive. The Gittins Index (GI) is a solution to the MABP that can simultaneously attain optimality and computationally efficiency goals, and it has been recently used in experiments with Bernoulli and Gaussian rewards. For the first time, we present a modification of the GI rule that can be used in experiments with exponentially-distributed rewards. We report its performance in simulated 2- armed and 3-armed experiments. Compared to traditional non-adaptive designs, our novel GI modified design shows operating characteristics comparable in learning (e.g. statistical power) but substantially better in earning (e.g. direct benefits). This illustrates the potential that designs using a GI approach to allocate participants have to improve participant benefits, increase efficiencies, and reduce experimental costs in adaptive multi-armed experiments with exponential rewards.
What Is Better: One General Model or Many Specialized Models?
"We have 60 churn models in production." I asked them why so many. They replied that they own 5 brands operating in 12 countries and, since they wanted to develop one model for each combination of brand and country, that amounts to 60 models. "Did you try with just 1 model?" They argued that it wouldn't make sense because their brands are very different from each other, and so are the countries they operate in: "You cannot train one single model and expect it to work well both on an American customer of brand A and on a German customer of brand B".
SAFEMYRIDES: Application of Decentralized Control Edge-Computing to Ridesharing Monitoring Services
Elnagar, Samaa, Thomas, Manoj A., Osei-Bryson, Kweku-Muata
Edge computing is changing the face of many industries and services. Common edge computing models offload computing which is prone to security risks and privacy violation. However, advances in deep learning enabled Internet of Things (IoTs) to take decisions and run cognitive tasks locally. This research introduces a decentralized-control edge model where most computation and decisions are moved to the IoT level. The model aims at decreasing communication to the edge which in return enhances efficiency and decreases latency. The model also avoids data transfer which raises security and privacy risks. To examine the model, we developed SAFEMYRIDES, a scene-aware ridesharing monitoring system where smart phones are detecting violations at the runtime. Current real-time monitoring systems are costly and require continuous network connectivity. The system uses optimized deep learning that run locally on IoTs to detect violations in ridesharing and record violation incidences. The system would enhance safety and security in ridesharing without violating privacy.
Multidimensional Item Response Theory in the Style of Collaborative Filtering
Bergner, Yoav, Halpin, Peter F., Vie, Jill-Jênn
This paper presents a machine learning approach to multidimensional item response theory (MIRT), a class of latent factor models that can be used to model and predict student performance from observed assessment data. Inspired by collaborative filtering, we define a general class of models that includes many MIRT models. We discuss the use of penalized joint maximum likelihood (JML) to estimate individual models and cross-validation to select the best performing model. This model evaluation process can be optimized using batching techniques, such that even sparse large-scale data can be analyzed efficiently. We illustrate our approach with simulated and real data, including an example from a massive open online course (MOOC). The high-dimensional model fit to this large and sparse dataset does not lend itself well to traditional methods of factor interpretation. By analogy to recommender-system applications, we propose an alternative "validation" of the factor model, using auxiliary information about the popularity of items consulted during an open-book exam in the course.