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Experimenting with an Evaluation Framework for Imbalanced Data Learning (EFIDL)

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Introduction Data imbalance is one of the crucial issues in big data analysis with fewer labels. For example, in real-world healthcare data, spam detection labels, and financial fraud detection datasets. Many data balance methods were introduced to improve machine learning algorithms' performance. Research claims SMOTE and SMOTE-based data-augmentation (generate new data points) methods could improve algorithm performance. However, we found in many online tutorials, the valuation methods were applied based on synthesized datasets that introduced bias into the evaluation, and the performance got a false improvement. In this study, we proposed, a new evaluation framework for imbalanced data learning methods. We have experimented on five data balance methods and whether the performance of algorithms will improve or not. Methods We collected 8 imbalanced healthcare datasets with different imbalanced rates from different domains. Applied 6 data augmentation methods with 11 machine learning methods testing if the data augmentation will help with improving machine learning performance. We compared the traditional data augmentation evaluation methods with our proposed cross-validation evaluation framework Results Using traditional data augmentation evaluation meta hods will give a false impression of improving the performance. However, our proposed evaluation method shows data augmentation has limited ability to improve the results. Conclusion EFIDL is more suitable for evaluating the prediction performance of an ML method when data are augmented. Using an unsuitable evaluation framework will give false results. Future researchers should consider the evaluation framework we proposed when dealing with augmented datasets. Our experiments showed data augmentation does not help improve ML prediction performance.


Diagnosis of Covid-19 Via Patient Breath Data Using Artificial Intelligence

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Using machine learning algorithms for the rapid diagnosis and detection of the COVID-19 pandemic and isolating the patients from crowded environments are very important to controlling the epidemic. This study aims to develop a point-of-care testing (POCT) system that can detect COVID-19 by detecting volatile organic compounds (VOCs) in a patient's exhaled breath using the Gradient Boosted Trees Learner Algorithm. 294 breath samples were collected from 142 patients at Istanbul Medipol Mega Hospital between December 2020 and March 2021. 84 cases out of 142 resulted in negatives, and 58 cases resulted in positives. All these breath samples have been converted into numeric values through five air sensors. 10% of the data have been used for the validation of the model, while 75% of the test data have been used for training an AI model to predict the coronavirus presence. 25% have been used for testing. The SMOTE oversampling method was used to increase the training set size and reduce the imbalance of negative and positive classes in training and test data. Different machine learning algorithms have also been tried to develop the e-nose model. The test results have suggested that the Gradient Boosting algorithm created the best model. The Gradient Boosting model provides 95% recall when predicting COVID-19 positive patients and 96% accuracy when predicting COVID-19 negative patients.


Interpretable Out-Of-Distribution Detection Using Pattern Identification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Out-of-distribution (OoD) detection for data-based programs is a goal of paramount importance. Common approaches in the literature tend to train detectors requiring inside-of-distribution (in-distribution, or IoD) and OoD validation samples, and/or implement confidence metrics that are often abstract and therefore difficult to interpret. In this work, we propose to use existing work from the field of explainable AI, namely the PARTICUL pattern identification algorithm, in order to build more interpretable and robust OoD detectors for visual classifiers. Crucially, this approach does not require to retrain the classifier and is tuned directly to the IoD dataset, making it applicable to domains where OoD does not have a clear definition. Moreover, pattern identification allows us to provide images from the IoD dataset as reference points to better explain the confidence scores. We demonstrates that the detection capabilities of this approach are on par with existing methods through an extensive benchmark across four datasets and two definitions of OoD. In particular, we introduce a new benchmark based on perturbations of the IoD dataset which provides a known and quantifiable evaluation of the discrepancy between the IoD and OoD datasets that serves as a reference value for the comparison between various OoD detection methods. Our experiments show that the robustness of all metrics under test does not solely depend on the nature of the IoD dataset or the OoD definition, but also on the architecture of the classifier, which stresses the need for thorough experimentations for future work on OoD detection.


Model-Agnostic Confidence Intervals for Feature Importance: A Fast and Powerful Approach Using Minipatch Ensembles

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

To promote new scientific discoveries from complex data sets, feature importance inference has been a long-standing statistical problem. Instead of testing for parameters that are only interpretable for specific models, there has been increasing interest in model-agnostic methods, often in the form of feature occlusion or leave-one-covariate-out (LOCO) inference. Existing approaches often make distributional assumptions, which can be difficult to verify in practice, or require model refitting and data splitting, which are computationally intensive and lead to losses in power. In this work, we develop a novel, mostly model-agnostic and distribution-free inference framework for feature importance that is computationally efficient and statistically powerful. Our approach is fast as we avoid model refitting by leveraging a form of random observation and feature subsampling called minipatch ensembles; this approach also improves statistical power by avoiding data splitting. Our framework can be applied on tabular data and with any machine learning algorithm, together with minipatch ensembles, for regression and classification tasks. Despite the dependencies induced by using minipatch ensembles, we show that our approach provides asymptotic coverage for the feature importance score of any model under mild assumptions. Finally, our same procedure can also be leveraged to provide valid confidence intervals for predictions, hence providing fast, simultaneous quantification of the uncertainty of both predictions and feature importance. We validate our intervals on a series of synthetic and real data examples, including non-linear settings, showing that our approach detects the correct important features and exhibits many computational and statistical advantages over existing methods.


Integrating Reward Maximization and Population Estimation: Sequential Decision-Making for Internal Revenue Service Audit Selection

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We introduce a new setting, optimize-and-estimate structured bandits. Here, a policy must select a batch of arms, each characterized by its own context, that would allow it to both maximize reward and maintain an accurate (ideally unbiased) population estimate of the reward. This setting is inherent to many public and private sector applications and often requires handling delayed feedback, small data, and distribution shifts. We demonstrate its importance on real data from the United States Internal Revenue Service (IRS). The IRS performs yearly audits of the tax base. Two of its most important objectives are to identify suspected misreporting and to estimate the "tax gap" -- the global difference between the amount paid and true amount owed. Based on a unique collaboration with the IRS, we cast these two processes as a unified optimize-and-estimate structured bandit. We analyze optimize-and-estimate approaches to the IRS problem and propose a novel mechanism for unbiased population estimation that achieves rewards comparable to baseline approaches. This approach has the potential to improve audit efficacy, while maintaining policy-relevant estimates of the tax gap. This has important social consequences given that the current tax gap is estimated at nearly half a trillion dollars. We suggest that this problem setting is fertile ground for further research and we highlight its interesting challenges. The results of this and related research are currently being incorporated into the continual improvement of the IRS audit selection methods.


Semi-Automated Construction of Food Composition Knowledge Base

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

A food composition knowledge base, which stores the essential phyto-, micro-, and macro-nutrients of foods is useful for both research and industrial applications. Although many existing knowledge bases attempt to curate such information, they are often limited by time-consuming manual curation processes. Outside of the food science domain, natural language processing methods that utilize pre-trained language models have recently shown promising results for extracting knowledge from unstructured text. In this work, we propose a semi-automated framework for constructing a knowledge base of food composition from the scientific literature available online. To this end, we utilize a pre-trained BioBERT language model in an active learning setup that allows the optimal use of limited training data. Our work demonstrates how human-in-the-loop models are a step toward AI-assisted food systems that scale well to the ever-increasing big data.


Membership Inference of Diffusion Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent years have witnessed the tremendous success of diffusion models in data synthesis. However, when diffusion models are applied to sensitive data, they also give rise to severe privacy concerns. In this paper, we systematically present the first study about membership inference attacks against diffusion models, which aims to infer whether a sample was used to train the model. Two attack methods are proposed, namely loss-based and likelihood-based attacks. Our attack methods are evaluated on several state-of-the-art diffusion models, over different datasets in relation to privacy-sensitive data. Extensive experimental evaluations show that our attacks can achieve remarkable performance. Furthermore, we exhaustively investigate various factors which can affect attack performance. Finally, we also evaluate the performance of our attack methods on diffusion models trained with differential privacy.


To Trust or Not To Trust Prediction Scores for Membership Inference Attacks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Membership inference attacks (MIAs) aim to determine whether a specific sample was used to train a predictive model. Knowing this may indeed lead to a privacy breach. Most MIAs, however, make use of the model's prediction scores - the probability of each output given some input - following the intuition that the trained model tends to behave differently on its training data. We argue that this is a fallacy for many modern deep network architectures. Consequently, MIAs will miserably fail since overconfidence leads to high false-positive rates not only on known domains but also on out-of-distribution data and implicitly acts as a defense against MIAs. Specifically, using generative adversarial networks, we are able to produce a potentially infinite number of samples falsely classified as part of the training data. In other words, the threat of MIAs is overestimated, and less information is leaked than previously assumed. Moreover, there is actually a trade-off between the overconfidence of models and their susceptibility to MIAs: the more classifiers know when they do not know, making low confidence predictions, the more they reveal the training data.


Automated Identification of Disaster News For Crisis Management Using Machine Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

A lot of news sources picked up on Typhoon Rai (also known locally as Typhoon Odette), along with fake news outlets. The study honed in on the issue, to create a model that can identify between legitimate and illegitimate news articles. With this in mind, we chose the following machine learning algorithms in our development: Logistic Regression, Random Forest and Multinomial Naive Bayes. Bag of Words, TF-IDF and Lemmatization were implemented in the Model. Gathering 160 datasets from legitimate and illegitimate sources, the machine learning was trained and tested. By combining all the machine learning techniques, the Combined BOW model was able to reach an accuracy of 91.07%, precision of 88.33%, recall of 94.64%, and F1 score of 91.38% and Combined TF-IDF model was able to reach an accuracy of 91.18%, precision of 86.89%, recall of 94.64%, and F1 score of 90.60%.


From Data Collection to Model Deployment: 6 Stages of a Data Science Project - KDnuggets

#artificialintelligence

Additionally, the chance is you won't be working with a dataset, so merging data is also a common operation you'll use. Extracting meaningful information from data becomes easier if you visualize it. In Python, there are many libraries you can use to visualize your data. You should use this stage to detect the outliers and correlated predictors. If undetected, they will decrease your machine-learning model performance.