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The Role of Resampling Techniques in Data Science - KDnuggets

#artificialintelligence

When working with models, you need to remember that different algorithms have different learning patterns when taking in data. It is a form of intuitive learning, to help the model learn the patterns in the given dataset, known as training the model. The model will then be tested on the testing dataset, a dataset the model has not seen before. You want to achieve an optimum performance level where the model can produce accurate outputs on both the training and testing dataset. You may have also heard of the validation set.


Multiobjective Evolutionary Pruning of Deep Neural Networks with Transfer Learning for improving their Performance and Robustness

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Evolutionary Computation algorithms have been used to solve optimization problems in relation with architectural, hyper-parameter or training configuration, forging the field known today as Neural Architecture Search. These algorithms have been combined with other techniques such as the pruning of Neural Networks, which reduces the complexity of the network, and the Transfer Learning, which lets the import of knowledge from another problem related to the one at hand. The usage of several criteria to evaluate the quality of the evolutionary proposals is also a common case, in which the performance and complexity of the network are the most used criteria. This work proposes MO-EvoPruneDeepTL, a multi-objective evolutionary pruning algorithm. \proposal uses Transfer Learning to adapt the last layers of Deep Neural Networks, by replacing them with sparse layers evolved by a genetic algorithm, which guides the evolution based in the performance, complexity and robustness of the network, being the robustness a great quality indicator for the evolved models. We carry out different experiments with several datasets to assess the benefits of our proposal. Results show that our proposal achieves promising results in all the objectives, and direct relation are presented among them. The experiments also show that the most influential neurons help us explain which parts of the input images are the most relevant for the prediction of the pruned neural network. Lastly, by virtue of the diversity within the Pareto front of pruning patterns produced by the proposal, it is shown that an ensemble of differently pruned models improves the overall performance and robustness of the trained networks.


Benchmark for Models Predicting Human Behavior in Gap Acceptance Scenarios

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Autonomous vehicles currently suffer from a time-inefficient driving style caused by uncertainty about human behavior in traffic interactions. Accurate and reliable prediction models enabling more efficient trajectory planning could make autonomous vehicles more assertive in such interactions. However, the evaluation of such models is commonly oversimplistic, ignoring the asymmetric importance of prediction errors and the heterogeneity of the datasets used for testing. We examine the potential of recasting interactions between vehicles as gap acceptance scenarios and evaluating models in this structured environment. To that end, we develop a framework aiming to facilitate the evaluation of any model, by any metric, and in any scenario. We then apply this framework to state-of-the-art prediction models, which all show themselves to be unreliable in the most safety-critical situations.


Why is the prediction wrong? Towards underfitting case explanation via meta-classification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper we present a heuristic method to provide individual explanations for those elements in a dataset (data points) which are wrongly predicted by a given classifier. Since the general case is too difficult, in the present work we focus on faulty data from an underfitted model. First, we project the faulty data into a hand-crafted, and thus human readable, intermediate representation (meta-representation, profile vectors), with the aim of separating the two main causes of miss-classification: the classifier is not strong enough, or the data point belongs to an area of the input space where classes are not separable. Second, in the space of these profile vectors, we present a method to fit a meta-classifier (decision tree) and express its output as a set of interpretable (human readable) explanation rules, which leads to several target diagnosis labels: data point is either correctly classified, or faulty due to a too weak model, or faulty due to mixed (overlapped) classes in the input space. Experimental results on several real datasets show more than 80% diagnosis label accuracy and confirm that the proposed intermediate representation allows to achieve a high degree of invariance with respect to the classifier used in the input space and to the dataset being classified, i.e. we can learn the metaclassifier on a dataset with a given classifier and successfully predict diagnosis labels for a different dataset or classifier (or both).


A Two-Sided Discussion of Preregistration of NLP Research

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Van Miltenburg et al. (2021) suggest NLP research should adopt preregistration to prevent fishing expeditions and to promote publication of negative results. At face value, this is a very reasonable suggestion, seemingly solving many methodological problems with NLP research. We discuss pros and cons -- some old, some new: a) Preregistration is challenged by the practice of retrieving hypotheses after the results are known; b) preregistration may bias NLP toward confirmatory research; c) preregistration must allow for reclassification of research as exploratory; d) preregistration may increase publication bias; e) preregistration may increase flag-planting; f) preregistration may increase p-hacking; and finally, g) preregistration may make us less risk tolerant. We cast our discussion as a dialogue, presenting both sides of the debate.


Evaluation of Machine Learning Models with Scikit-learn: Metrics and Cross-Validation โ€“ vegibit

#artificialintelligence

In machine learning, model evaluation is the process of evaluating the performance of a model on a given dataset. It is an essential step in the machine learning pipeline as it helps to determine the effectiveness of a model and identify areas for improvement. Model evaluation can be performed using various metrics, such as accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score, which provide different insights into the model's performance. Additionally, techniques such as cross-validation can be used to assess the generalization performance of a model and prevent overfitting. This article will explore metrics and cross-validation for evaluating machine learning models with the scikit-learn library.


A Picture May Be Worth a Thousand Lives: An Interpretable Artificial Intelligence Strategy for Predictions of Suicide Risk from Social Media Images

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The promising research on Artificial Intelligence usages in suicide prevention has principal gaps, including black box methodologies, inadequate outcome measures, and scarce research on non-verbal inputs, such as social media images (despite their popularity today, in our digital era). This study addresses these gaps and combines theory-driven and bottom-up strategies to construct a hybrid and interpretable prediction model of valid suicide risk from images. The lead hypothesis was that images contain valuable information about emotions and interpersonal relationships, two central concepts in suicide-related treatments and theories. The dataset included 177,220 images by 841 Facebook users who completed a gold-standard suicide scale. The images were represented with CLIP, a state-of-the-art algorithm, which was utilized, unconventionally, to extract predefined features that served as inputs to a simple logistic-regression prediction model (in contrast to complex neural networks). The features addressed basic and theory-driven visual elements using everyday language (e.g., bright photo, photo of sad people). The results of the hybrid model (that integrated theory-driven and bottom-up methods) indicated high prediction performance that surpassed common bottom-up algorithms, thus providing a first proof that images (alone) can be leveraged to predict validated suicide risk. Corresponding with the lead hypothesis, at-risk users had images with increased negative emotions and decreased belonginess. The results are discussed in the context of non-verbal warning signs of suicide. Notably, the study illustrates the advantages of hybrid models in such complicated tasks and provides simple and flexible prediction strategies that could be utilized to develop real-life monitoring tools of suicide.


Model-X Sequential Testing for Conditional Independence via Testing by Betting

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper develops a model-free sequential test for conditional independence. The proposed test allows researchers to analyze an incoming i.i.d. data stream with any arbitrary dependency structure, and safely conclude whether a feature is conditionally associated with the response under study. We allow the processing of data points online, as soon as they arrive, and stop data acquisition once significant results are detected, rigorously controlling the type-I error rate. Our test can work with any sophisticated machine learning algorithm to enhance data efficiency to the extent possible. The developed method is inspired by two statistical frameworks. The first is the model-X conditional randomization test, a test for conditional independence that is valid in offline settings where the sample size is fixed in advance. The second is testing by betting, a ``game-theoretic'' approach for sequential hypothesis testing. We conduct synthetic experiments to demonstrate the advantage of our test over out-of-the-box sequential tests that account for the multiplicity of tests in the time horizon, and demonstrate the practicality of our proposal by applying it to real-world tasks.


Text Classification in the Wild: a Large-scale Long-tailed Name Normalization Dataset

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Real-world data usually exhibits a long-tailed distribution,with a few frequent labels and a lot of few-shot labels. The study of institution name normalization is a perfect application case showing this phenomenon. There are many institutions worldwide with enormous variations of their names in the publicly available literature. In this work, we first collect a large-scale institution name normalization dataset LoT-insts1, which contains over 25k classes that exhibit a naturally long-tailed distribution. In order to isolate the few-shot and zero-shot learning scenarios from the massive many-shot classes, we construct our test set from four different subsets: many-, medium-, and few-shot sets, as well as a zero-shot open set. We also replicate several important baseline methods on our data, covering a wide range from search-based methods to neural network methods that use the pretrained BERT model. Further, we propose our specially pretrained, BERT-based model that shows better out-of-distribution generalization on few-shot and zero-shot test sets. Compared to other datasets focusing on the long-tailed phenomenon, our dataset has one order of magnitude more training data than the largest existing long-tailed datasets and is naturally long-tailed rather than manually synthesized. We believe it provides an important and different scenario to study this problem. To our best knowledge, this is the first natural language dataset that focuses on long-tailed and open-set classification problems.


Learning to Increase the Power of Conditional Randomization Tests

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The model-X conditional randomization test is a generic framework for conditional independence testing, unlocking new possibilities to discover features that are conditionally associated with a response of interest while controlling type-I error rates. An appealing advantage of this test is that it can work with any machine learning model to design powerful test statistics. In turn, the common practice in the model-X literature is to form a test statistic using machine learning models, trained to maximize predictive accuracy with the hope to attain a test with good power. However, the ideal goal here is to drive the model (during training) to maximize the power of the test, not merely the predictive accuracy. In this paper, we bridge this gap by introducing, for the first time, novel model-fitting schemes that are designed to explicitly improve the power of model-X tests. This is done by introducing a new cost function that aims at maximizing the test statistic used to measure violations of conditional independence. Using synthetic and real data sets, we demonstrate that the combination of our proposed loss function with various base predictive models (lasso, elastic net, and deep neural networks) consistently increases the number of correct discoveries obtained, while maintaining type-I error rates under control.