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 Performance Analysis


Analyzing FOMC Minutes: Accuracy and Constraints of Language Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This research article analyzes the language used in the official statements released by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) after its scheduled meetings to gain insights into the impact of FOMC official statements on financial markets and economic forecasting. The study reveals that the FOMC is careful to avoid expressing emotion in their sentences and follows a set of templates to cover economic situations. The analysis employs advanced language modeling techniques such as VADER and FinBERT, and a trial test with GPT-4. The results show that FinBERT outperforms other techniques in predicting negative sentiment accurately. However, the study also highlights the challenges and limitations of using current NLP techniques to analyze FOMC texts and suggests the potential for enhancing language models and exploring alternative approaches.


Classification and Uncertainty Quantification of Corrupted Data using Semi-Supervised Autoencoders

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Parametric and non-parametric classifiers often have to deal with real-world data, where corruptions like noise, occlusions, and blur are unavoidable - posing significant challenges. We present a probabilistic approach to classify strongly corrupted data and quantify uncertainty, despite the model only having been trained with uncorrupted data. A semi-supervised autoencoder trained on uncorrupted data is the underlying architecture. We use the decoding part as a generative model for realistic data and extend it by convolutions, masking, and additive Gaussian noise to describe imperfections. This constitutes a statistical inference task in terms of the optimal latent space activations of the underlying uncorrupted datum. We solve this problem approximately with Metric Gaussian Variational Inference (MGVI). The supervision of the autoencoder's latent space allows us to classify corrupted data directly under uncertainty with the statistically inferred latent space activations. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the model uncertainty strongly depends on whether the classification is correct or wrong, setting a basis for a statistical "lie detector" of the classification. Independent of that, we show that the generative model can optimally restore the uncorrupted datum by decoding the inferred latent space activations.


Vision- and tactile-based continuous multimodal intention and attention recognition for safer physical human-robot interaction

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Employing skin-like tactile sensors on robots enhances both the safety and usability of collaborative robots by adding the capability to detect human contact. Unfortunately, simple binary tactile sensors alone cannot determine the context of the human contact -- whether it is a deliberate interaction or an unintended collision that requires safety manoeuvres. Many published methods classify discrete interactions using more advanced tactile sensors or by analysing joint torques. Instead, we propose to augment the intention recognition capabilities of simple binary tactile sensors by adding a robot-mounted camera for human posture analysis. Different interaction characteristics, including touch location, human pose, and gaze direction, are used to train a supervised machine learning algorithm to classify whether a touch is intentional or not with an F1-score of 86%. We demonstrate that multimodal intention recognition is significantly more accurate than monomodal analyses with the collaborative robot Baxter. Furthermore, our method can also continuously monitor interactions that fluidly change between intentional or unintentional by gauging the user's attention through gaze. If a user stops paying attention mid-task, the proposed intention and attention recognition algorithm can activate safety features to prevent unsafe interactions. We also employ a feature reduction technique that reduces the number of inputs to five to achieve a more generalized low-dimensional classifier. This simplification both reduces the amount of training data required and improves real-world classification accuracy. It also renders the method potentially agnostic to the robot and touch sensor architectures while achieving a high degree of task adaptability.


Model Based Reinforcement Learning for Personalized Heparin Dosing

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

A key challenge in sequential decision making is optimizing systems safely under partial information. While much of the literature has focused on the cases of either partially known states or partially known dynamics, it is further exacerbated in cases where both states and dynamics are partially known. Computing heparin doses for patients fits this paradigm since the concentration of heparin in the patient cannot be measured directly and the rates at which patients metabolize heparin vary greatly between individuals. While many proposed solutions are model free, they require complex models and have difficulty ensuring safety. However, if some of the structure of the dynamics is known, a model based approach can be leveraged to provide safe policies. In this paper we propose such a framework to address the challenge of optimizing personalized heparin doses. We use a predictive model parameterized individually by patient to predict future therapeutic effects. We then leverage this model using a scenario generation based approach that is capable of ensuring patient safety. We validate our models with numerical experiments by comparing the predictive capabilities of our model against existing machine learning techniques and demonstrating how our dosing algorithm can treat patients in a simulated ICU environment.


Embedding-Assisted Attentional Deep Learning for Real-World RF Fingerprinting of Bluetooth

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

A scalable and computationally efficient framework is designed to fingerprint real-world Bluetooth devices. We propose an embedding-assisted attentional framework (Mbed-ATN) suitable for fingerprinting actual Bluetooth devices. Its generalization capability is analyzed in different settings and the effect of sample length and anti-aliasing decimation is demonstrated. The embedding module serves as a dimensionality reduction unit that maps the high dimensional 3D input tensor to a 1D feature vector for further processing by the ATN module. Furthermore, unlike the prior research in this field, we closely evaluate the complexity of the model and test its fingerprinting capability with real-world Bluetooth dataset collected under a different time frame and experimental setting while being trained on another. Our study reveals a 9.17x and 65.2x lesser memory usage at a sample length of 100 kS when compared to the benchmark - GRU and Oracle models respectively. Further, the proposed Mbed-ATN showcases 16.9x fewer FLOPs and 7.5x lesser trainable parameters when compared to Oracle. Finally, we show that when subject to anti-aliasing decimation and at greater input sample lengths of 1 MS, the proposed Mbed-ATN framework results in a 5.32x higher TPR, 37.9% fewer false alarms, and 6.74x higher accuracy under the challenging real-world setting.


Speaker Profiling in Multiparty Conversations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In conversational settings, individuals exhibit unique behaviors, rendering a one-size-fits-all approach insufficient for generating responses by dialogue agents. Although past studies have aimed to create personalized dialogue agents using speaker persona information, they have relied on the assumption that the speaker's persona is already provided. However, this assumption is not always valid, especially when it comes to chatbots utilized in industries like banking, hotel reservations, and airline bookings. This research paper aims to fill this gap by exploring the task of Speaker Profiling in Conversations (SPC). The primary objective of SPC is to produce a summary of persona characteristics for each individual speaker present in a dialogue. To accomplish this, we have divided the task into three subtasks: persona discovery, persona-type identification, and persona-value extraction. Given a dialogue, the first subtask aims to identify all utterances that contain persona information. Subsequently, the second task evaluates these utterances to identify the type of persona information they contain, while the third subtask identifies the specific persona values for each identified type. To address the task of SPC, we have curated a new dataset named SPICE, which comes with specific labels. We have evaluated various baselines on this dataset and benchmarked it with a new neural model, SPOT, which we introduce in this paper. Furthermore, we present a comprehensive analysis of SPOT, examining the limitations of individual modules both quantitatively and qualitatively.


Constraining Representations Yields Models That Know What They Don't Know

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

A well-known failure mode of neural networks is that they may confidently return erroneous predictions. Such unsafe behaviour is particularly frequent when the use case slightly differs from the training context, and/or in the presence of an adversary. This work presents a novel direction to address these issues in a broad, general manner: imposing class-aware constraints on a model's internal activation patterns. Specifically, we assign to each class a unique, fixed, randomly-generated binary vector - hereafter called class code - and train the model so that its cross-depths activation patterns predict the appropriate class code according to the input sample's class. The resulting predictors are dubbed total activation classifiers (TAC), and TACs may either be trained from scratch, or used with negligible cost as a thin add-on on top of a frozen, pre-trained neural network. In the add-on case, the original neural network's inference head is completely unaffected (so its accuracy remains the same) but we now have the option to use TAC's own confidence and prediction when determining which course of action to take in an hypothetical production workflow. In particular, we show that TAC strictly improves the value derived from models allowed to reject/defer. We provide further empirical evidence that TAC works well on multiple types of architectures and data modalities and that it is at least as good as state-of-the-art alternative confidence scores derived from existing models. Recent work has revealed interesting emerging properties for representations learned by neural networks (Papernot & McDaniel, 2018; Kalibhat et al., 2022; Bäuerle et al., 2022). In particular, simple class-dependent patterns were observed after training: there are groups of representations that consistently activate more strongly depending on high-level features of inputs. This behaviour can be useful to define predictors able to reject/defer test data that do not follow common patterns, provided that one can efficiently verify similarities between new data and common patterns. Well known limitations of this model class can then be addressed such as its lack of robustness to natural distribution shifts (Ben-David et al., 2006), or against small but carefully crafted perturbations to its inputs (Szegedy et al., 2013; Goodfellow et al., 2014). These empirical evidences and potential use cases naturally lead to the question: can we enforce simple class-dependent structure rather than hope it emerges? In this work, we address this question and show that one can indeed constrain representations to follow simple, class-dependent, and efficiently verifiable patterns on learned representations. In particular, we turn the label set into a set of hard-coded class-specific binary codes and define models such that activations obtained from different layers match those patterns.


Deep Transfer Learning Applications in Intrusion Detection Systems: A Comprehensive Review

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Globally, the external Internet is increasingly being connected to the contemporary industrial control system. As a result, there is an immediate need to protect the network from several threats. The key infrastructure of industrial activity may be protected from harm by using an intrusion detection system (IDS), a preventive measure mechanism, to recognize new kinds of dangerous threats and hostile activities. The most recent artificial intelligence (AI) techniques used to create IDS in many kinds of industrial control networks are examined in this study, with a particular emphasis on IDS-based deep transfer learning (DTL). This latter can be seen as a type of information fusion that merge, and/or adapt knowledge from multiple domains to enhance the performance of the target task, particularly when the labeled data in the target domain is scarce. Publications issued after 2015 were taken into account. These selected publications were divided into three categories: DTL-only and IDS-only are involved in the introduction and background, and DTL-based IDS papers are involved in the core papers of this review. Researchers will be able to have a better grasp of the current state of DTL approaches used in IDS in many different types of networks by reading this review paper. Other useful information, such as the datasets used, the sort of DTL employed, the pre-trained network, IDS techniques, the evaluation metrics including accuracy/F-score and false alarm rate (FAR), and the improvement gained, were also covered. The algorithms, and methods used in several studies, or illustrate deeply and clearly the principle in any DTL-based IDS subcategory are presented to the reader.


Variational Relational Point Completion Network for Robust 3D Classification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Real-scanned point clouds are often incomplete due to viewpoint, occlusion, and noise, which hampers 3D geometric modeling and perception. Existing point cloud completion methods tend to generate global shape skeletons and hence lack fine local details. Furthermore, they mostly learn a deterministic partial-to-complete mapping, but overlook structural relations in man-made objects. To tackle these challenges, this paper proposes a variational framework, Variational Relational point Completion Network (VRCNet) with two appealing properties: 1) Probabilistic Modeling. In particular, we propose a dual-path architecture to enable principled probabilistic modeling across partial and complete clouds. One path consumes complete point clouds for reconstruction by learning a point VAE. The other path generates complete shapes for partial point clouds, whose embedded distribution is guided by distribution obtained from the reconstruction path during training. 2) Relational Enhancement. Specifically, we carefully design point self-attention kernel and point selective kernel module to exploit relational point features, which refines local shape details conditioned on the coarse completion. In addition, we contribute multi-view partial point cloud datasets (MVP and MVP-40 dataset) containing over 200,000 high-quality scans, which render partial 3D shapes from 26 uniformly distributed camera poses for each 3D CAD model. Extensive experiments demonstrate that VRCNet outperforms state-of-the-art methods on all standard point cloud completion benchmarks. Notably, VRCNet shows great generalizability and robustness on real-world point cloud scans. Moreover, we can achieve robust 3D classification for partial point clouds with the help of VRCNet, which can highly increase classification accuracy.


Machine Learning Applications in Studying Mental Health Among Immigrants and Racial and Ethnic Minorities: A Systematic Review

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Background: The use of machine learning (ML) in mental health (MH) research is increasing, especially as new, more complex data types become available to analyze. By systematically examining the published literature, this review aims to uncover potential gaps in the current use of ML to study MH in vulnerable populations of immigrants, refugees, migrants, and racial and ethnic minorities. Methods: In this systematic review, we queried Google Scholar for ML-related terms, MH-related terms, and a population of a focus search term strung together with Boolean operators. Backward reference searching was also conducted. Included peer-reviewed studies reported using a method or application of ML in an MH context and focused on the populations of interest. We did not have date cutoffs. Publications were excluded if they were narrative or did not exclusively focus on a minority population from the respective country. Data including study context, the focus of mental healthcare, sample, data type, type of ML algorithm used, and algorithm performance was extracted from each. Results: Our search strategies resulted in 67,410 listed articles from Google Scholar. Ultimately, 12 were included. All the articles were published within the last 6 years, and half of them studied populations within the US. Most reviewed studies used supervised learning to explain or predict MH outcomes. Some publications used up to 16 models to determine the best predictive power. Almost half of the included publications did not discuss their cross-validation method. Conclusions: The included studies provide proof-of-concept for the potential use of ML algorithms to address MH concerns in these special populations, few as they may be. Our systematic review finds that the clinical application of these models for classifying and predicting MH disorders is still under development.