Performance Analysis
Revisiting Inferential Benchmarks for Knowledge Graph Completion
Liu, Shuwen, Grau, Bernardo Cuenca, Horrocks, Ian, Kostylev, Egor V.
Knowledge Graph (KG) completion is the problem of extending an incomplete KG with missing facts. A key feature of Machine Learning approaches for KG completion is their ability to learn inference patterns, so that the predicted facts are the results of applying these patterns to the KG. Standard completion benchmarks, however, are not well-suited for evaluating models' abilities to learn patterns, because the training and test sets of these benchmarks are a random split of a given KG and hence do not capture the causality of inference patterns. We propose a novel approach for designing KG completion benchmarks based on the following principles: there is a set of logical rules so that the missing facts are the results of the rules' application; the training set includes both premises matching rule antecedents and the corresponding conclusions; the test set consists of the results of applying the rules to the training set; the negative examples are designed to discourage the models from learning rules not entailed by the rule set. We use our methodology to generate several benchmarks and evaluate a wide range of existing KG completion systems. Our results provide novel insights on the ability of existing models to induce inference patterns from incomplete KGs.
Loss Functions for Behavioral Game Theory
d'Eon, Greg, Greenwood, Sophie, Leyton-Brown, Kevin, Wright, James
Behavioral game theorists all use experimental data to evaluate predictive models of human behavior. However, they differ greatly in their choice of loss function for these evaluations, with error rate, negative log-likelihood, cross-entropy, Brier score, and L2 error all being common choices. We attempt to offer a principled answer to the question of which loss functions make sense for this task, formalizing desiderata that we argue loss functions should satisfy. We construct a family of loss functions, which we dub "diagonal bounded Bregman divergences", that satisfy all of these axioms and includes the squared L2 error. In fact, the squared L2 error is the only acceptable loss that is relatively commonly used in practice; we thus recommend its continued use to behavioral game theorists.
Exploiting Observation Bias to Improve Matrix Completion
Mann, Sean, Park, Charlotte, Shah, Devavrat
We consider a variant of matrix completion where entries are revealed in a biased manner, adopting a model akin to that introduced by Ma and Chen. Instead of treating this observation bias as a disadvantage, as is typically the case, our goal is to exploit the shared information between the bias and the outcome of interest to improve predictions. Towards this, we propose a simple two-stage algorithm: (i) interpreting the observation pattern as a fully observed noisy matrix, we apply traditional matrix completion methods to the observation pattern to estimate the distances between the latent factors; (ii) we apply supervised learning on the recovered features to impute missing observations. We establish finite-sample error rates that are competitive with the corresponding supervised learning parametric rates, suggesting that our learning performance is comparable to having access to the unobserved covariates. Empirical evaluation using a real-world dataset reflects similar performance gains, with our algorithm's estimates having 30x smaller mean squared error compared to traditional matrix completion methods.
Contrastive Bootstrapping for Label Refinement
Hou, Shudi, Xia, Yu, Chen, Muhao, Li, Sujian
Traditional text classification typically categorizes texts into pre-defined coarse-grained classes, from which the produced models cannot handle the real-world scenario where finer categories emerge periodically for accurate services. In this work, we investigate the setting where fine-grained classification is done only using the annotation of coarse-grained categories and the coarse-to-fine mapping. We propose a lightweight contrastive clustering-based bootstrapping method to iteratively refine the labels of passages. During clustering, it pulls away negative passage-prototype pairs under the guidance of the mapping from both global and local perspectives. Experiments on NYT and 20News show that our method outperforms the state-of-the-art methods by a large margin.
An ASR-Based Tutor for Learning to Read: How to Optimize Feedback to First Graders
Bai, Yu, Tejedor-Garcia, Cristian, Hubers, Ferdy, Cucchiarini, Catia, Strik, Helmer
The interest in employing automatic speech recognition (ASR) in applications for reading practice has been growing in recent years. In a previous study, we presented an ASR-based Dutch reading tutor application that was developed to provide instantaneous feedback to first-graders learning to read. We saw that ASR has potential at this stage of the reading process, as the results suggested that pupils made progress in reading accuracy and fluency by using the software. In the current study, we used children's speech from an existing corpus (JAS-MIN) to develop two new ASR systems, and compared the results to those of the previous study. We analyze correct/incorrect classification of the ASR systems using human transcripts at word level, by means of evaluation measures such as Cohen's Kappa, Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC), precision, recall and F-measures. We observe improvements for the newly developed ASR systems regarding the agreement with human-based judgment and correct rejection (CR). The accuracy of the ASR systems varies for different reading tasks and word types. Our results suggest that, in the current configuration, it is difficult to classify isolated words. We discuss these results, possible ways to improve our systems and avenues for future research.
Long-Term Fairness with Unknown Dynamics
Yin, Tongxin, Raab, Reilly, Liu, Mingyan, Liu, Yang
As machine learning (ML) algorithms are deployed for tasks with real-world social consequences (e.g., school admissions, loan approval, medical interventions, etc.), the possibility exists for runaway social inequalities (Crawford and Calo, 2016; Chaney et al., 2018; Fuster et al., 2018; Ensign et al., 2018). While "fairness" has become a salient ethical concern in contemporary research, the closed-loop dynamics of real-world systems comprising ML policies and populations that mutually adapt to each other (Figure 1 in the supplementary material) remain poorly understood. In this paper, our primary contribution is to consider the problem of long-term fairness, or algorithmic fairness in the context of a dynamically responsive population, as a reinforcement learning (RL) problem subject to constraint. In our formulation, the central learning task is to develop a policy that minimizes cumulative loss (e.g., financial risk, negative educational outcomes, misdiagnoses, etc.) incurred by an ML agent interacting with a human population up to a finite time horizon, subject to constraints on cumulative "violations of fairness", which we refer to in a single time step as disparity and cumulatively as distortion.
Literature Review: Computer Vision Applications in Transportation Logistics and Warehousing
Naumann, Alexander, Hertlein, Felix, Dörr, Laura, Thoma, Steffen, Furmans, Kai
Computer vision applications in transportation logistics and warehousing have a huge potential for process automation. We present a structured literature review on research in the field to help leverage this potential. The literature is categorized w.r.t. the application, i.e. the task it tackles and w.r.t. the computer vision techniques that are used. Regarding applications, we subdivide the literature in two areas: Monitoring, i.e. observing and retrieving relevant information from the environment, and manipulation, where approaches are used to analyze and interact with the environment. Additionally, we point out directions for future research and link to recent developments in computer vision that are suitable for application in logistics. Finally, we present an overview of existing datasets and industrial solutions. The results of our analysis are also available online at https://a-nau.github.io/cv-in-logistics.
Dynamic Interpretable Change Point Detection
Garg, Kopal, Yu, Jennifer, Behrouzi, Tina, Tonekaboni, Sana, Goldenberg, Anna
Identifying change points (CPs) in a time series is crucial to guide better decision making across various fields like finance and healthcare and facilitating timely responses to potential risks or opportunities. Existing Change Point Detection (CPD) methods have a limitation in tracking changes in the joint distribution of multidimensional features. In addition, they fail to generalize effectively within the same time series as different types of CPs may require different detection methods. As the volume of multidimensional time series continues to grow, capturing various types of complex CPs such as changes in the correlation structure of the time-series features has become essential. To overcome the limitations of existing methods, we propose TiVaCPD, an approach that uses a Time-Varying Graphical Lasso (TVGL) to identify changes in correlation patterns between multidimensional features over time, and combines that with an aggregate Kernel Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) test to identify changes in the underlying statistical distributions of dynamic time windows with varying length. The MMD and TVGL scores are combined using a novel ensemble method based on similarity measures leveraging the power of both statistical tests. We evaluate the performance of TiVaCPD in identifying and characterizing various types of CPs and show that our method outperforms current state-of-the-art methods in real-world CPD datasets. We further demonstrate that TiVaCPD scores characterize the type of CPs and facilitate interpretation of change dynamics, offering insights into real-life applications.
A Context-Sensitive Word Embedding Approach for The Detection of Troll Tweets
Yilmaz, Seyhmus, Zavrak, Sultan
In this study, we aimed to address the growing concern of trolling behavior on social media by developing and evaluating a set of model architectures for the automatic detection of troll tweets. Utilizing deep learning techniques and pre-trained word embedding methods such as BERT, ELMo, and GloVe, we evaluated the performance of each architecture using metrics such as classification accuracy, F1 score, AUC, and precision. Our results indicate that BERT and ELMo embedding methods performed better than the GloVe method, likely due to their ability to provide contextualized word embeddings that better capture the nuances and subtleties of language use in online social media. Additionally, we found that CNN and GRU encoders performed similarly in terms of F1 score and AUC, suggesting their effectiveness in extracting relevant information from input text. The best-performing method was found to be an ELMo-based architecture that employed a GRU classifier, with an AUC score of 0.929. This research highlights the importance of utilizing contextualized word embeddings and appropriate encoder methods in the task of troll tweet detection, which can assist social-based systems in improving their performance in identifying and addressing trolling behavior on their platforms.
A Watermark for Large Language Models
Kirchenbauer, John, Geiping, Jonas, Wen, Yuxin, Katz, Jonathan, Miers, Ian, Goldstein, Tom
Potential harms of large language models can be mitigated by watermarking model output, i.e., embedding signals into generated text that are invisible to humans but algorithmically detectable from a short span of tokens. We propose a watermarking framework for proprietary language models. The watermark can be embedded with negligible impact on text quality, and can be detected using an efficient open-source algorithm without access to the language model API or parameters. The watermark works by selecting a randomized set of "green" tokens before a word is generated, and then softly promoting use of green tokens during sampling. We propose a statistical test for detecting the watermark with interpretable p-values, and derive an information-theoretic framework for analyzing the sensitivity of the watermark. We test the watermark using a multi-billion parameter model from the Open Pretrained Transformer (OPT) family, and discuss robustness and security.