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 Performance Analysis


Prediction of Rapid Early Progression and Survival Risk with Pre-Radiation MRI in WHO Grade 4 Glioma Patients

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent clinical research describes a subset of glioblastoma patients that exhibit REP prior to start of radiation therapy. Current literature has thus far described this population using clinicopathologic features. To our knowledge, this study is the first to investigate the potential of conventional ra-diomics, sophisticated multi-resolution fractal texture features, and different molecular features (MGMT, IDH mutations) as a diagnostic and prognostic tool for prediction of REP from non-REP cases using computational and statistical modeling methods. Radiation-planning T1 post-contrast (T1C) MRI sequences of 70 patients are analyzed. Ensemble method with 5-fold cross validation over 1000 iterations offers AUC of 0.793 with standard deviation of 0.082 for REP and non-REP classification. In addition, copula-based modeling under dependent censoring (where a subset of the patients may not be followed up until death) identifies significant features (p-value <0.05) for survival probability and prognostic grouping of patient cases. The prediction of survival for the patients cohort produces precision of 0.881 with standard deviation of 0.056. The prognostic index (PI) calculated using the fused features suggests that 84.62% of REP cases fall under the bad prognostic group, suggesting potentiality of fused features to predict a higher percentage of REP cases. The experimental result further shows that mul-ti-resolution fractal texture features perform better than conventional radiomics features for REP and survival outcomes.


Systematic analysis of the impact of label noise correction on ML Fairness

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Arbitrary, inconsistent, or faulty decision-making raises serious concerns, and preventing unfair models is an increasingly important challenge in Machine Learning. Data often reflect past discriminatory behavior, and models trained on such data may reflect bias on sensitive attributes, such as gender, race, or age. One approach to developing fair models is to preprocess the training data to remove the underlying biases while preserving the relevant information, for example, by correcting biased labels. While multiple label noise correction methods are available, the information about their behavior in identifying discrimination is very limited. In this work, we develop an empirical methodology to systematically evaluate the effectiveness of label noise correction techniques in ensuring the fairness of models trained on biased datasets. Our methodology involves manipulating the amount of label noise and can be used with fairness benchmarks but also with standard ML datasets. We apply the methodology to analyze six label noise correction methods according to several fairness metrics on standard OpenML datasets. Our results suggest that the Hybrid Label Noise Correction method achieves the best trade-off between predictive performance and fairness. Clustering-Based Correction can reduce discrimination the most, however, at the cost of lower predictive performance.


MyDigitalFootprint: an extensive context dataset for pervasive computing applications at the edge

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The widespread diffusion of connected smart devices has contributed to the rapid expansion and evolution of the Internet at its edge. Personal mobile devices interact with other smart objects in their surroundings, adapting behavior based on rapidly changing user context. The ability of mobile devices to process this data locally is crucial for quick adaptation. This can be achieved through a single elaboration process integrated into user applications or a middleware platform for context processing. However, the lack of public datasets considering user context complexity in the mobile environment hinders research progress. We introduce MyDigitalFootprint, a large-scale dataset comprising smartphone sensor data, physical proximity information, and Online Social Networks interactions. This dataset supports multimodal context recognition and social relationship modeling. It spans two months of measurements from 31 volunteer users in their natural environment, allowing for unrestricted behavior. Existing public datasets focus on limited context data for specific applications, while ours offers comprehensive information on the user context in the mobile environment. To demonstrate the dataset's effectiveness, we present three context-aware applications utilizing various machine learning tasks: (i) a social link prediction algorithm based on physical proximity data, (ii) daily-life activity recognition using smartphone-embedded sensors data, and (iii) a pervasive context-aware recommender system. Our dataset, with its heterogeneity of information, serves as a valuable resource to validate new research in mobile and edge computing.


Transfer Learning with Random Coefficient Ridge Regression

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Ridge regression with random coefficients provides an important alternative to fixed coefficients regression in high dimensional setting when the effects are expected to be small but not zeros. This paper considers estimation and prediction of random coefficient ridge regression in the setting of transfer learning, where in addition to observations from the target model, source samples from different but possibly related regression models are available. The informativeness of the source model to the target model can be quantified by the correlation between the regression coefficients. This paper proposes two estimators of regression coefficients of the target model as the weighted sum of the ridge estimates of both target and source models, where the weights can be determined by minimizing the empirical estimation risk or prediction risk. Using random matrix theory, the limiting values of the optimal weights are derived under the setting when $p/n \rightarrow \gamma$, where $p$ is the number of the predictors and $n$ is the sample size, which leads to an explicit expression of the estimation or prediction risks. Simulations show that these limiting risks agree very well with the empirical risks. An application to predicting the polygenic risk scores for lipid traits shows such transfer learning methods lead to smaller prediction errors than the single sample ridge regression or Lasso-based transfer learning.


Xplainer: From X-Ray Observations to Explainable Zero-Shot Diagnosis

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Automated diagnosis prediction from medical images is a valuable resource to support clinical decision-making. However, such systems usually need to be trained on large amounts of annotated data, which often is scarce in the medical domain. Zero-shot methods address this challenge by allowing a flexible adaption to new settings with different clinical findings without relying on labeled data. Further, to integrate automated diagnosis in the clinical workflow, methods should be transparent and explainable, increasing medical professionals' trust and facilitating correctness verification. In this work, we introduce Xplainer, a novel framework for explainable zero-shot diagnosis in the clinical setting. Xplainer adapts the classification-by-description approach of contrastive vision-language models to the multi-label medical diagnosis task. Specifically, instead of directly predicting a diagnosis, we prompt the model to classify the existence of descriptive observations, which a radiologist would look for on an X-Ray scan, and use the descriptor probabilities to estimate the likelihood of a diagnosis. Our model is explainable by design, as the final diagnosis prediction is directly based on the prediction of the underlying descriptors. We evaluate Xplainer on two chest X-ray datasets, CheXpert and ChestX-ray14, and demonstrate its effectiveness in improving the performance and explainability of zero-shot diagnosis. Our results suggest that Xplainer provides a more detailed understanding of the decision-making process and can be a valuable tool for clinical diagnosis.


Can AI-Generated Text be Reliably Detected?

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper, both empirically and theoretically, we show that several AI-text detectors are not reliable in practical scenarios. Empirically, we show that paraphrasing attacks, where a light paraphraser is applied on top of a large language model (LLM), can break a whole range of detectors, including ones using watermarking schemes as well as neural network-based detectors and zero-shot classifiers. Our experiments demonstrate that retrieval-based detectors, designed to evade paraphrasing attacks, are still vulnerable to recursive paraphrasing. We then provide a theoretical impossibility result indicating that as language models become more sophisticated and better at emulating human text, the performance of even the best-possible detector decreases. For a sufficiently advanced language model seeking to imitate human text, even the best-possible detector may only perform marginally better than a random classifier. Our result is general enough to capture specific scenarios such as particular writing styles, clever prompt design, or text paraphrasing. We also extend the impossibility result to include the case where pseudorandom number generators are used for AI-text generation instead of true randomness. We show that the same result holds with a negligible correction term for all polynomial-time computable detectors. Finally, we show that even LLMs protected by watermarking schemes can be vulnerable against spoofing attacks where adversarial humans can infer hidden LLM text signatures and add them to human-generated text to be detected as text generated by the LLMs, potentially causing reputational damage to their developers. We believe these results can open an honest conversation in the community regarding the ethical and reliable use of AI-generated text.


A Weakly Supervised Classifier and Dataset of White Supremacist Language

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We present a dataset and classifier for detecting the language of white supremacist extremism, a growing issue in online hate speech. Our weakly supervised classifier is trained on large datasets of text from explicitly white supremacist domains paired with neutral and anti-racist data from similar domains. We demonstrate that this approach improves generalization performance to new domains. Incorporating anti-racist texts as counterexamples to white supremacist language mitigates bias.


RansomAI: AI-powered Ransomware for Stealthy Encryption

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Cybersecurity solutions have shown promising performance when detecting ransomware samples that use fixed algorithms and encryption rates. However, due to the current explosion of Artificial Intelligence (AI), sooner than later, ransomware (and malware in general) will incorporate AI techniques to intelligently and dynamically adapt its encryption behavior to be undetected. It might result in ineffective and obsolete cybersecurity solutions, but the literature lacks AI-powered ransomware to verify it. Thus, this work proposes RansomAI, a Reinforcement Learning-based framework that can be integrated into existing ransomware samples to adapt their encryption behavior and stay stealthy while encrypting files. RansomAI presents an agent that learns the best encryption algorithm, rate, and duration that minimizes its detection (using a reward mechanism and a fingerprinting intelligent detection system) while maximizing its damage function. The proposed framework was validated in a ransomware, Ransomware-PoC, that infected a Raspberry Pi 4, acting as a crowdsensor. A pool of experiments with Deep Q-Learning and Isolation Forest (deployed on the agent and detection system, respectively) has demonstrated that RansomAI evades the detection of Ransomware-PoC affecting the Raspberry Pi 4 in a few minutes with >90% accuracy.


GraphSR: A Data Augmentation Algorithm for Imbalanced Node Classification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Graph neural networks (GNNs) have achieved great success in node classification tasks. However, existing GNNs naturally bias towards the majority classes with more labelled data and ignore those minority classes with relatively few labelled ones. The traditional techniques often resort over-sampling methods, but they may cause overfitting problem. More recently, some works propose to synthesize additional nodes for minority classes from the labelled nodes, however, there is no any guarantee if those generated nodes really stand for the corresponding minority classes. In fact, improperly synthesized nodes may result in insufficient generalization of the algorithm. To resolve the problem, in this paper we seek to automatically augment the minority classes from the massive unlabelled nodes of the graph. Specifically, we propose \textit{GraphSR}, a novel self-training strategy to augment the minority classes with significant diversity of unlabelled nodes, which is based on a Similarity-based selection module and a Reinforcement Learning(RL) selection module. The first module finds a subset of unlabelled nodes which are most similar to those labelled minority nodes, and the second one further determines the representative and reliable nodes from the subset via RL technique. Furthermore, the RL-based module can adaptively determine the sampling scale according to current training data. This strategy is general and can be easily combined with different GNNs models. Our experiments demonstrate the proposed approach outperforms the state-of-the-art baselines on various class-imbalanced datasets.


Classification and Explanation of Distributed Denial-of-Service (DDoS) Attack Detection using Machine Learning and Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP) Methods

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

DDoS attacks involve overwhelming a target system with a large number of requests or traffic from multiple sources, disrupting the normal traffic of a targeted server, service, or network. Distinguishing between legitimate traffic and malicious traffic is a challenging task. It is possible to classify legitimate traffic and malicious traffic and analysis the network traffic by using machine learning and deep learning techniques. However, an inter-model explanation implemented to classify a traffic flow whether is benign or malicious is an important investigation of the inner working theory of the model to increase the trustworthiness of the model. Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) can explain the decision-making of the machine learning models that can be classified and identify DDoS traffic. In this context, we proposed a framework that can not only classify legitimate traffic and malicious traffic of DDoS attacks but also use SHAP to explain the decision-making of the classifier model. To address this concern, we first adopt feature selection techniques to select the top 20 important features based on feature importance techniques (e.g., XGB-based SHAP feature importance). Following that, the Multi-layer Perceptron Network (MLP) part of our proposed model uses the optimized features of the DDoS attack dataset as inputs to classify legitimate and malicious traffic. We perform extensive experiments with all features and selected features. The evaluation results show that the model performance with selected features achieves above 99\% accuracy. Finally, to provide interpretability, XAI can be adopted to explain the model performance between the prediction results and features based on global and local explanations by SHAP, which can better explain the results achieved by our proposed framework.