Performance Analysis
A Machine Learning based Empirical Evaluation of Cyber Threat Actors High Level Attack Patterns over Low level Attack Patterns in Attributing Attacks
Noor, Umara, Shahid, Sawera, Kanwal, Rimsha, Rashid, Zahid
Cyber threat attribution is the process of identifying the actor of an attack incident in cyberspace. An accurate and timely threat attribution plays an important role in deterring future attacks by applying appropriate and timely defense mechanisms. Manual analysis of attack patterns gathered by honeypot deployments, intrusion detection systems, firewalls, and via trace-back procedures is still the preferred method of security analysts for cyber threat attribution. Such attack patterns are low-level Indicators of Compromise (IOC). They represent Tactics, Techniques, Procedures (TTP), and software tools used by the adversaries in their campaigns. The adversaries rarely re-use them. They can also be manipulated, resulting in false and unfair attribution. To empirically evaluate and compare the effectiveness of both kinds of IOC, there are two problems that need to be addressed. The first problem is that in recent research works, the ineffectiveness of low-level IOC for cyber threat attribution has been discussed intuitively. An empirical evaluation for the measure of the effectiveness of low-level IOC based on a real-world dataset is missing. The second problem is that the available dataset for high-level IOC has a single instance for each predictive class label that cannot be used directly for training machine learning models. To address these problems in this research work, we empirically evaluate the effectiveness of low-level IOC based on a real-world dataset that is specifically built for comparative analysis with high-level IOC. The experimental results show that the high-level IOC trained models effectively attribute cyberattacks with an accuracy of 95% as compared to the low-level IOC trained models where accuracy is 40%.
A Covariate-Adjusted Homogeneity Test with Application to Facial Recognition Accuracy Assessment
Nguyen, Ngoc-Ty, Phillips, P. Jonathon, Tang, Larry
Ordinal scores occur commonly in medical imaging studies and in black-box forensic studies \citep{Phillips:2018}. To assess the accuracy of raters in the studies, one needs to estimate the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve while accounting for covariates of raters. In this paper, we propose a covariate-adjusted homogeneity test to determine differences in accuracy among multiple rater groups. We derived the theoretical results of the proposed test and conducted extensive simulation studies to evaluate the finite sample performance of the proposed test. Our proposed test is applied to a face recognition study to identify statistically significant differences among five participant groups.
Hyperparameter Tuning Cookbook: A guide for scikit-learn, PyTorch, river, and spotPython
This document provides a comprehensive guide to hyperparameter tuning using spotPython for scikit-learn, PyTorch, and river. The first part introduces spotPython's surrogate model-based optimization process, while the second part focuses on hyperparameter tuning. Several case studies are presented, including hyperparameter tuning for sklearn models such as Support Vector Classification, Random Forests, Gradient Boosting (XGB), and K-nearest neighbors (KNN), as well as a Hoeffding Adaptive Tree Regressor from river. The integration of spotPython into the PyTorch and PyTorch Lightning training workflow is also discussed. With a hands-on approach and step-by-step explanations, this cookbook serves as a practical starting point for anyone interested in hyperparameter tuning with Python. Highlights include the interplay between Tensorboard, PyTorch Lightning, spotPython, and river. This publication is under development, with updates available on the corresponding webpage.
Quality Assessment of Photoplethysmography Signals For Cardiovascular Biomarkers Monitoring Using Wearable Devices
Dias, Felipe M., Toledo, Marcelo A. F., Cardenas, Diego A. C., Almeida, Douglas A., Oliveira, Filipe A. C., Ribeiro, Estela, Krieger, Jose E., Gutierrez, Marco A.
Photoplethysmography (PPG) is a non-invasive technology that measures changes in blood volume in the microvascular bed of tissue. It is commonly used in medical devices such as pulse oximeters and wrist worn heart rate monitors to monitor cardiovascular hemodynamics. PPG allows for the assessment of parameters (e.g., heart rate, pulse waveform, and peripheral perfusion) that can indicate conditions such as vasoconstriction or vasodilation, and provides information about microvascular blood flow, making it a valuable tool for monitoring cardiovascular health. However, PPG is subject to a number of sources of variations that can impact its accuracy and reliability, especially when using a wearable device for continuous monitoring, such as motion artifacts, skin pigmentation, and vasomotion. In this study, we extracted 27 statistical features from the PPG signal for training machine-learning models based on gradient boosting (XGBoost and CatBoost) and Random Forest (RF) algorithms to assess quality of PPG signals that were labeled as good or poor quality. We used the PPG time series from a publicly available dataset and evaluated the algorithm s performance using Sensitivity (Se), Positive Predicted Value (PPV), and F1-score (F1) metrics. Our model achieved Se, PPV, and F1-score of 94.4, 95.6, and 95.0 for XGBoost, 94.7, 95.9, and 95.3 for CatBoost, and 93.7, 91.3 and 92.5 for RF, respectively. Our findings are comparable to state-of-the-art reported in the literature but using a much simpler model, indicating that ML models are promising for developing remote, non-invasive, and continuous measurement devices.
Machine-Learning-based Colorectal Tissue Classification via Acoustic Resolution Photoacoustic Microscopy
Tong, Shangqing, Ge, Peng, Jiao, Yanan, Ma, Zhaofu, Li, Ziye, Liu, Longhai, Gao, Feng, Du, Xiaohui, Gao, Fei
Colorectal cancer is a deadly disease that has become increasingly prevalent in recent years. Early detection is crucial for saving lives, but traditional diagnostic methods such as colonoscopy and biopsy have limitations. Colonoscopy cannot provide detailed information within the tissues affected by cancer, while biopsy involves tissue removal, which can be painful and invasive. In order to improve diagnostic efficiency and reduce patient suffering, we studied machine-learningbased approach for colorectal tissue classification that uses acoustic resolution photoacoustic microscopy (ARPAM). With this tool, we were able to classify benign and malignant tissue using multiple machine learning methods. Our results were analyzed both quantitatively and qualitatively to evaluate the effectiveness of our approach.
Navigating Fairness Measures and Trade-Offs
One of the main risks accompanying the use of artificial intelligence in decision making is that the algorithms that are used are biased, and as a result can lead to unfair outcomes (Pessach and Shmueli, 2020). In particular, artificial intelligence is prone to (unintentionally) indirectly discriminate against certain groups. Machine learning systems (a type of AI) are fitted to data and find patterns in that data in order to predict a target variable. In doing so, they often use correlations present in the data (e.g. between ethnicity and zip codes, as with segregated neighbourhoods the zip code is a good predictor for ethnicity) to select on a problematic property (ethnicity) not directly but through the use of information on an unproblematic property (zip codes). This means that often these systems do not have direct access to variables that would be unfair to select on, but they still produce outputs that would lead to unfair treatment of certain groups. Put more precisely, indirect discrimination is the situation where a group A (e.g.
Human Emergency Detection during Autonomous Hospital Transports
Zachariae, Andreas, Widera, Julia, Plahl, Frederik, Hein, Bjรถrn, Wurll, Christian
Human transports in hospitals are labor-intensive and primarily performed in beds to save time. This transfer method does not promote the mobility or autonomy of the patient. To relieve the caregivers from this time-consuming task, a mobile robot is developed to autonomously transport humans around the hospital. It provides different transfer modes including walking and sitting in a wheelchair. The problem that this paper focuses on is to detect emergencies and ensure the well-being of the patient during the transport. For this purpose, the patient is tracked and monitored with a camera system. OpenPose is used for Human Pose Estimation and a trained classifier for emergency detection. We collected and published a dataset of 18,000 images in lab and hospital environments. It differs from related work because we have a moving robot with different transfer modes in a highly dynamic environment with multiple people in the scene using only RGB-D data. To improve the critical recall metric, we apply threshold moving and a time delay. We compare different models with an AutoML approach. This paper shows that emergencies while walking are best detected by a SVM with a recall of 95.8% on single frames. In the case of sitting transport, the best model achieves a recall of 62.2%. The contribution is to establish a baseline on this new dataset and to provide a proof of concept for the human emergency detection in this use case.
Building Volumetric Beliefs for Dynamic Environments Exploiting Map-Based Moving Object Segmentation
Mersch, Benedikt, Guadagnino, Tiziano, Chen, Xieyuanli, Vizzo, Ignacio, Behley, Jens, Stachniss, Cyrill
Mobile robots that navigate in unknown environments need to be constantly aware of the dynamic objects in their surroundings for mapping, localization, and planning. It is key to reason about moving objects in the current observation and at the same time to also update the internal model of the static world to ensure safety. In this paper, we address the problem of jointly estimating moving objects in the current 3D LiDAR scan and a local map of the environment. We use sparse 4D convolutions to extract spatio-temporal features from scan and local map and segment all 3D points into moving and non-moving ones. Additionally, we propose to fuse these predictions in a probabilistic representation of the dynamic environment using a Bayes filter. This volumetric belief models, which parts of the environment can be occupied by moving objects. Our experiments show that our approach outperforms existing moving object segmentation baselines and even generalizes to different types of LiDAR sensors. We demonstrate that our volumetric belief fusion can increase the precision and recall of moving object segmentation and even retrieve previously missed moving objects in an online mapping scenario.
Automatic Identification of Alzheimer's Disease using Lexical Features extracted from Language Samples
Objective: this study has a twofold goal. First, it aims to improve the understanding of the impact of Dementia of type Alzheimer's Disease (AD) on different aspects of the lexicon. Second, it aims to demonstrate that such aspects of the lexicon, when used as features of a machine learning classifier, can help achieve state-of-the-art performance in automatically identifying language samples produced by patients with AD. Methods: data is derived from the ADDreSS challenge, which is a part of the DementiaBank corpus. The used dataset consists of transcripts of Cookie Theft picture descriptions, produced by 54 subjects in the training part and 24 subjects in the test part. The number of narrative samples is 108 in the training set and 48 in the test set. First, the impact of AD on 99 selected lexical features is studied using both the training and testing parts of the dataset. Then some machine learning experiments were conducted on the task of classifying transcribed speech samples with text samples that were produced by people with AD from those produced by normal subjects. Several experiments were conducted to compare the different areas of lexical complexity, identify the subset of features that help achieve optimal performance, and study the impact of the size of the input on the classification. To evaluate the generalization of the models built on narrative speech, two generalization tests were conducted using written data from two British authors, Iris Murdoch and Agatha Christie, and the transcription of some speeches by former President Ronald Reagan. Results: using lexical features only, state-of-the-art classification, F1 and accuracies, of over 91% were achieved in categorizing language samples produced by individuals with AD from the ones produced by healthy control subjects. This confirms the substantial impact of AD on lexicon processing.
Subsample Ridge Ensembles: Equivalences and Generalized Cross-Validation
Du, Jin-Hong, Patil, Pratik, Kuchibhotla, Arun Kumar
We study subsampling-based ridge ensembles in the proportional asymptotics regime, where the feature size grows proportionally with the sample size such that their ratio converges to a constant. By analyzing the squared prediction risk of ridge ensembles as a function of the explicit penalty $\lambda$ and the limiting subsample aspect ratio $\phi_s$ (the ratio of the feature size to the subsample size), we characterize contours in the $(\lambda, \phi_s)$-plane at any achievable risk. As a consequence, we prove that the risk of the optimal full ridgeless ensemble (fitted on all possible subsamples) matches that of the optimal ridge predictor. In addition, we prove strong uniform consistency of generalized cross-validation (GCV) over the subsample sizes for estimating the prediction risk of ridge ensembles. This allows for GCV-based tuning of full ridgeless ensembles without sample splitting and yields a predictor whose risk matches optimal ridge risk.