Performance Analysis
Combining Machine Learning Classifiers for Stock Trading with Effective Feature Extraction
Ullah, A. K. M. Amanat, Imtiaz, Fahim, Ihsan, Miftah Uddin Md, Alam, Md. Golam Rabiul, Majumdar, Mahbub
The unpredictability and volatility of the stock market render it challenging to make a substantial profit using any generalized scheme. Many previous studies tried different techniques to build a machine learning model, which can make a significant profit in the US stock market by performing live trading. However, very few studies have focused on the importance of finding the best features for a particular period for trading. Our top approach used the performance to narrow down the features from a total of 148 to about 30. Furthermore, the top 25 features were dynamically selected before each time training our machine learning model. It uses ensemble learning with four classifiers: Gaussian Naive Bayes, Decision Tree, Logistic Regression with L1 regularization and Stochastic Gradient Descent, to decide whether to go long or short on a particular stock. Our best model performed daily trade between July 2011 and January 2019, generating 54.35% profit. Finally, our work showcased that mixtures of weighted classifiers perform better than any individual predictor about making trading decisions in the stock market.
FLShield: A Validation Based Federated Learning Framework to Defend Against Poisoning Attacks
Kabir, Ehsanul, Song, Zeyu, Rashid, Md Rafi Ur, Mehnaz, Shagufta
Federated learning (FL) is revolutionizing how we learn from data. With its growing popularity, it is now being used in many safety-critical domains such as autonomous vehicles and healthcare. Since thousands of participants can contribute in this collaborative setting, it is, however, challenging to ensure security and reliability of such systems. This highlights the need to design FL systems that are secure and robust against malicious participants' actions while also ensuring high utility, privacy of local data, and efficiency. In this paper, we propose a novel FL framework dubbed as FLShield that utilizes benign data from FL participants to validate the local models before taking them into account for generating the global model. This is in stark contrast with existing defenses relying on server's access to clean datasets -- an assumption often impractical in real-life scenarios and conflicting with the fundamentals of FL. We conduct extensive experiments to evaluate our FLShield framework in different settings and demonstrate its effectiveness in thwarting various types of poisoning and backdoor attacks including a defense-aware one. FLShield also preserves privacy of local data against gradient inversion attacks.
FINER: Enhancing State-of-the-art Classifiers with Feature Attribution to Facilitate Security Analysis
He, Yiling, Lou, Jian, Qin, Zhan, Ren, Kui
Deep learning classifiers achieve state-of-the-art performance in various risk detection applications. They explore rich semantic representations and are supposed to automatically discover risk behaviors. However, due to the lack of transparency, the behavioral semantics cannot be conveyed to downstream security experts to reduce their heavy workload in security analysis. Although feature attribution (FA) methods can be used to explain deep learning, the underlying classifier is still blind to what behavior is suspicious, and the generated explanation cannot adapt to downstream tasks, incurring poor explanation fidelity and intelligibility. In this paper, we propose FINER, the first framework for risk detection classifiers to generate high-fidelity and high-intelligibility explanations. The high-level idea is to gather explanation efforts from model developer, FA designer, and security experts. To improve fidelity, we fine-tune the classifier with an explanation-guided multi-task learning strategy. To improve intelligibility, we engage task knowledge to adjust and ensemble FA methods. Extensive evaluations show that FINER improves explanation quality for risk detection. Moreover, we demonstrate that FINER outperforms a state-of-the-art tool in facilitating malware analysis.
Guarding the Guardians: Automated Analysis of Online Child Sexual Abuse
Puentes, Juanita, Castillo, Angela, Osejo, Wilmar, Calderón, Yuly, Quintero, Viviana, Saldarriaga, Lina, Agudelo, Diana, Arbeláez, Pablo
Online violence against children has increased globally recently, demanding urgent attention. Competent authorities manually analyze abuse complaints to comprehend crime dynamics and identify patterns. However, the manual analysis of these complaints presents a challenge because it exposes analysts to harmful content during the review process. Given these challenges, we present a novel solution, an automated tool designed to analyze children's sexual abuse reports comprehensively. By automating the analysis process, our tool significantly reduces the risk of exposure to harmful content by categorizing the reports on three dimensions: Subject, Degree of Criminality, and Damage. Furthermore, leveraging our multidisciplinary team's expertise, we introduce a novel approach to annotate the collected data, enabling a more in-depth analysis of the reports. This approach improves the comprehension of fundamental patterns and trends, enabling law enforcement agencies and policymakers to create focused strategies in the fight against children's violence.
Diffusion Denoised Smoothing for Certified and Adversarial Robust Out-Of-Distribution Detection
Franco, Nicola, Korth, Daniel, Lorenz, Jeanette Miriam, Roscher, Karsten, Guennemann, Stephan
As the use of machine learning continues to expand, the importance of ensuring its safety cannot be overstated. A key concern in this regard is the ability to identify whether a given sample is from the training distribution, or is an "Out-Of-Distribution" (OOD) sample. In addition, adversaries can manipulate OOD samples in ways that lead a classifier to make a confident prediction. In this study, we present a novel approach for certifying the robustness of OOD detection within a $\ell_2$-norm around the input, regardless of network architecture and without the need for specific components or additional training. Further, we improve current techniques for detecting adversarial attacks on OOD samples, while providing high levels of certified and adversarial robustness on in-distribution samples. The average of all OOD detection metrics on CIFAR10/100 shows an increase of $\sim 13 \% / 5\%$ relative to previous approaches.
Unleashing the Power of Extra-Tree Feature Selection and Random Forest Classifier for Improved Survival Prediction in Heart Failure Patients
Talukder, Md. Simul Hasan, Sulaiman, Rejwan Bin, Angon, Mouli Bardhan Paul
Heart failure is a life-threatening condition that affects millions of people worldwide. The ability to accurately predict patient survival can aid in early intervention and improve patient outcomes. In this study, we explore the potential of utilizing data pre-processing techniques and the Extra-Tree (ET) feature selection method in conjunction with the Random Forest (RF) classifier to improve survival prediction in heart failure patients. By leveraging the strengths of ET feature selection, we aim to identify the most significant predictors associated with heart failure survival. Using the public UCL Heart failure (HF) survival dataset, we employ the ET feature selection algorithm to identify the most informative features. These features are then used as input for grid search of RF. Finally, the tuned RF Model was trained and evaluated using different matrices. The approach was achieved 98.33% accuracy that is the highest over the exiting work.
From CNN to Transformer: A Review of Medical Image Segmentation Models
Yao, Wenjian, Bai, Jiajun, Liao, Wei, Chen, Yuheng, Liu, Mengjuan, Xie, Yao
Medical image segmentation is an important step in medical image analysis, especially as a crucial prerequisite for efficient disease diagnosis and treatment. The use of deep learning for image segmentation has become a prevalent trend. The widely adopted approach currently is U-Net and its variants. Additionally, with the remarkable success of pre-trained models in natural language processing tasks, transformer-based models like TransUNet have achieved desirable performance on multiple medical image segmentation datasets. In this paper, we conduct a survey of the most representative four medical image segmentation models in recent years. We theoretically analyze the characteristics of these models and quantitatively evaluate their performance on two benchmark datasets (i.e., Tuberculosis Chest X-rays and ovarian tumors). Finally, we discuss the main challenges and future trends in medical image segmentation. Our work can assist researchers in the related field to quickly establish medical segmentation models tailored to specific regions.
A Novel Self-training Approach for Low-resource Speech Recognition
Singh, Satwinder, Hou, Feng, Wang, Ruili
In this paper, we propose a self-training approach for automatic speech recognition (ASR) for low-resource settings. While self-training approaches have been extensively developed and evaluated for high-resource languages such as English, their applications to low-resource languages like Punjabi have been limited, despite the language being spoken by millions globally. The scarcity of annotated data has hindered the development of accurate ASR systems, especially for low-resource languages (e.g., Punjabi and M\=aori languages). To address this issue, we propose an effective self-training approach that generates highly accurate pseudo-labels for unlabeled low-resource speech. Our experimental analysis demonstrates that our approach significantly improves word error rate, achieving a relative improvement of 14.94% compared to a baseline model across four real speech datasets. Further, our proposed approach reports the best results on the Common Voice Punjabi dataset.
AI-Enabled Software and System Architecture Frameworks: Focusing on smart Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS)
Moin, Armin, Badii, Atta, Günnemann, Stephan, Challenger, Moharram
Several architecture frameworks for software, systems, and enterprises have been proposed in the literature. They identified various stakeholders and defined architecture viewpoints and views to frame and address stakeholder concerns. However, the stakeholders with data science and Machine Learning (ML) related concerns, such as data scientists and data engineers, are yet to be included in existing architecture frameworks. Therefore, they failed to address the architecture viewpoints and views responsive to the concerns of the data science community. In this paper, we address this gap by establishing the architecture frameworks adapted to meet the requirements of modern applications and organizations where ML artifacts are both prevalent and crucial. In particular, we focus on ML-enabled Cyber-Physical Systems (CPSs) and propose two sets of merit criteria for their efficient development and performance assessment, namely the criteria for evaluating and benchmarking ML-enabled CPSs, and the criteria for evaluation and benchmarking of the tools intended to support users through the modeling and development pipeline. In this study, we deploy multiple empirical and qualitative research methods based on literature review and survey instruments including expert interviews and an online questionnaire. We collect, analyze, and integrate the opinions of 77 experts from more than 25 organizations in over 10 countries to devise and validate the proposed framework.
Hierarchical Representations for Spatio-Temporal Visual Attention Modeling and Understanding
Fernández-Torres, Miguel-Ángel
Thesis concerns the study and development of hierarchical representations for spatio-temporal visual attention modeling and understanding in video sequences. More specifically, we propose two computational models for visual attention. First, we present a generative probabilistic model for context-aware visual attention modeling and understanding. Secondly, we develop a deep network architecture for visual attention modeling, which first estimates top-down spatio-temporal visual attention, and ultimately serves for modeling attention in the temporal domain. The first part of the thesis introduces our first proposal: a generative probabilistic framework for spatio-temporal visual attention modeling and understanding.