Performance Analysis
A Self-Commissioning Edge Computing Method for Data-Driven Anomaly Detection in Power Electronic Systems
Gomez, Pere Izquierdo, Gajardo, Miguel E. Lopez, Mijatovic, Nenad, Dragicevic, Tomislav
Ensuring the reliability of power electronic converters is a matter of great importance, and data-driven condition monitoring techniques are cementing themselves as an important tool for this purpose. However, translating methods that work well in controlled lab environments to field applications presents significant challenges, notably because of the limited diversity and accuracy of the lab training data. By enabling the use of field data, online machine learning can be a powerful tool to overcome this problem, but it introduces additional challenges in ensuring the stability and predictability of the training processes. This work presents an edge computing method that mitigates these shortcomings with minimal additional memory usage, by employing an autonomous algorithm that prioritizes the storage of training samples with larger prediction errors. The method is demonstrated on the use case of a self-commissioning condition monitoring system, in the form of a thermal anomaly detection scheme for a variable frequency motor drive, where the algorithm self-learned to distinguish normal and anomalous operation with minimal prior knowledge. The obtained results, based on experimental data, show a significant improvement in prediction accuracy and training speed, when compared to equivalent models trained online without the proposed data selection process.
What Machine Learning Can Do for Focusing Aerogel Detectors
Shipilov, Foma, Barnyakov, Alexander, Bobrovnikov, Vladimir, Kononov, Sergey, Ratnikov, Fedor
Particle identification at the Super Charm-Tau factory experiment will be provided by a Focusing Aerogel Ring Imaging CHerenkov detector (FARICH). The specifics of detector location make proper cooling difficult, therefore a significant number of ambient background hits are captured. They must be mitigated to reduce the data flow and improve particle velocity resolution. In this work we present several approaches to filtering signal hits, inspired by machine learning techniques from computer vision.
Out-of-distribution Detection Learning with Unreliable Out-of-distribution Sources
Zheng, Haotian, Wang, Qizhou, Fang, Zhen, Xia, Xiaobo, Liu, Feng, Liu, Tongliang, Han, Bo
Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection discerns OOD data where the predictor cannot make valid predictions as in-distribution (ID) data, thereby increasing the reliability of open-world classification. However, it is typically hard to collect real out-of-distribution (OOD) data for training a predictor capable of discerning ID and OOD patterns. This obstacle gives rise to data generation-based learning methods, synthesizing OOD data via data generators for predictor training without requiring any real OOD data. Related methods typically pre-train a generator on ID data and adopt various selection procedures to find those data likely to be the OOD cases. However, generated data may still coincide with ID semantics, i.e., mistaken OOD generation remains, confusing the predictor between ID and OOD data. To this end, we suggest that generated data (with mistaken OOD generation) can be used to devise an auxiliary OOD detection task to facilitate real OOD detection. Specifically, we can ensure that learning from such an auxiliary task is beneficial if the ID and the OOD parts have disjoint supports, with the help of a well-designed training procedure for the predictor. Accordingly, we propose a powerful data generation-based learning method named Auxiliary Task-based OOD Learning (ATOL) that can relieve the mistaken OOD generation. We conduct extensive experiments under various OOD detection setups, demonstrating the effectiveness of our method against its advanced counterparts.
Learning High-Dimensional Differential Graphs From Multi-Attribute Data
We consider the problem of estimating differences in two Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) which are known to have similar structure. The GGM structure is encoded in its precision (inverse covariance) matrix. In many applications one is interested in estimating the difference in two precision matrices to characterize underlying changes in conditional dependencies of two sets of data. Existing methods for differential graph estimation are based on single-attribute (SA) models where one associates a scalar random variable with each node. In multi-attribute (MA) graphical models, each node represents a random vector. In this paper, we analyze a group lasso penalized D-trace loss function approach for differential graph learning from multi-attribute data. An alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) algorithm is presented to optimize the objective function. Theoretical analysis establishing consistency in support recovery and estimation in high-dimensional settings is provided. Numerical results based on synthetic as well as real data are presented.
Low-Cost High-Power Membership Inference by Boosting Relativity
Zarifzadeh, Sajjad, Liu, Philippe, Shokri, Reza
Membership inference attacks (MIA) determine whether a specific data point has been used in training of a model [45]. These attacks represent a foundational tool in evaluating the privacy risks of unintentional exposure of information due to training machine learning models on different types of data in a wide range of scenarios. These scenarios encompass diverse settings such as statistical models [19, 2, 44, 36], machine learning as a service [45], federated learning [38, 26, 21], generative models [6], and also privacy-preserving machine-learning [47, 39, 20]. Membership inference attacks originated within the realm of summary statistics on high-dimensional data [19]. In this context, multiple hypothesis testing methods were developed to optimize the trade-off between test power and associated errors for relatively straightforward computations [44, 14, 36].
Quantum Machine Learning on Near-Term Quantum Devices: Current State of Supervised and Unsupervised Techniques for Real-World Applications
Gujju, Yaswitha, Matsuo, Atsushi, Raymond, Rudy
The past decade has witnessed significant advancements in quantum hardware, encompassing improvements in speed, qubit quantity, and quantum volume-a metric defining the maximum size of a quantum circuit effectively implementable on near-term quantum devices. This progress has led to a surge in Quantum Machine Learning (QML) applications on real hardware, aiming to achieve quantum advantage over classical approaches. This survey focuses on selected supervised and unsupervised learning applications executed on quantum hardware, specifically tailored for real-world scenarios. The exploration includes a thorough analysis of current QML implementation limitations on quantum hardware, covering techniques like encoding, ansatz structure, error mitigation, and gradient methods to address these challenges. Furthermore, the survey evaluates the performance of QML implementations in comparison to classical counterparts. In conclusion, we discuss existing bottlenecks related to applying QML on real quantum devices and propose potential solutions to overcome these challenges in the future.
Precise Asymptotic Generalization for Multiclass Classification with Overparameterized Linear Models
We study the asymptotic generalization of an overparameterized linear model for multiclass classification under the Gaussian covariates bi-level model introduced in Subramanian et al.~'22, where the number of data points, features, and classes all grow together. We fully resolve the conjecture posed in Subramanian et al.~'22, matching the predicted regimes for generalization. Furthermore, our new lower bounds are akin to an information-theoretic strong converse: they establish that the misclassification rate goes to 0 or 1 asymptotically. One surprising consequence of our tight results is that the min-norm interpolating classifier can be asymptotically suboptimal relative to noninterpolating classifiers in the regime where the min-norm interpolating regressor is known to be optimal. The key to our tight analysis is a new variant of the Hanson-Wright inequality which is broadly useful for multiclass problems with sparse labels. As an application, we show that the same type of analysis can be used to analyze the related multilabel classification problem under the same bi-level ensemble.
On the instrumental variable estimation with many weak and invalid instruments
Lin, Yiqi, Windmeijer, Frank, Song, Xinyuan, Fan, Qingliang
Recently, estimation of causal effects with high-dimensional observational data has drawn much attention in many research fields such as economics, epidemiology and genomics. The instrumental variable (IV) method is widely used when the treatment variable of interest is endogenous. As shown in Figure 1, the ideal IV needs to be correlated with the endogenous treatment variable (C1), it should not have a direct effect on the outcome (C2) and should not be related to unobserved confounders that affect both outcome and treatment (C3). Figure 1: Relevance and Validity of IVs Our research is motivated by the difficulty of finding IVs that satisfy all the above conditions. In applications, invalid IVs (violation of C2 or C3) (Davey Smith and Ebrahim, 2003; Kang et al., 2016; Windmeijer et al., 2019) and weak IVs (concerning the weak correlation in C1) (Bound et al., 1995; Staiger and Stock, 1997) are prevalent. A strand of literature studies the "many weak IVs" problem (Stock et al., 2002; Chao and Swanson, 2005). With the increasing availability of large datasets, IV models are often high-dimensional (Belloni et al., 2012; Lin et al., 2015; Fan and Zhong, 2018), and have potentially weak IVs (Andrews et al., 2018), and invalid IVs (Guo et al., 2018; Windmeijer et al., 2021). Among those problems, we mainly focus on the invalid IV problem, while allowing for potential high-dimensionality and weak signals.
T-Cal: An optimal test for the calibration of predictive models
Lee, Donghwan, Huang, Xinmeng, Hassani, Hamed, Dobriban, Edgar
The prediction accuracy of machine learning methods is steadily increasing, but the calibration of their uncertainty predictions poses a significant challenge. Numerous works focus on obtaining well-calibrated predictive models, but less is known about reliably assessing model calibration. This limits our ability to know when algorithms for improving calibration have a real effect, and when their improvements are merely artifacts due to random noise in finite datasets. In this work, we consider detecting mis-calibration of predictive models using a finite validation dataset as a hypothesis testing problem. The null hypothesis is that the predictive model is calibrated, while the alternative hypothesis is that the deviation from calibration is sufficiently large. We find that detecting mis-calibration is only possible when the conditional probabilities of the classes are sufficiently smooth functions of the predictions. When the conditional class probabilities are H\"older continuous, we propose T-Cal, a minimax optimal test for calibration based on a debiased plug-in estimator of the $\ell_2$-Expected Calibration Error (ECE). We further propose Adaptive T-Cal, a version that is adaptive to unknown smoothness. We verify our theoretical findings with a broad range of experiments, including with several popular deep neural net architectures and several standard post-hoc calibration methods. T-Cal is a practical general-purpose tool, which -- combined with classical tests for discrete-valued predictors -- can be used to test the calibration of virtually any probabilistic classification method.
Rethinking Performance Measures of RNA Secondary Structure Problems
Runge, Frederic, Franke, Jörg K. H., Fertmann, Daniel, Hutter, Frank
Accurate RNA secondary structure prediction is vital for understanding cellular regulation and disease mechanisms. Deep learning (DL) methods have surpassed traditional algorithms by predicting complex features like pseudoknots and multi-interacting base pairs. However, traditional distance measures can hardly deal with such tertiary interactions and the currently used evaluation measures (F1 score, MCC) have limitations. We propose the Weisfeiler-Lehman graph kernel (WL) as an alternative metric. Embracing graph-based metrics like WL enables fair and accurate evaluation of RNA structure prediction algorithms. Further, WL provides informative guidance, as demonstrated in an RNA design experiment.