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 Deep Learning


The New Wild West of AI Kids' Toys

WIRED

These cuddly, connected companions could disrupt everything from make-believe to bedtime stories. No wonder some lawmakers want them banned. The main antagonist of, in theaters this summer, is a green, frog-shaped kids' tablet named Lilypad, a genius new villain for the beloved Pixar franchise . But if Pixar had its ear to the ground, it might have used an AI kids' toy instead. AI toys are seemingly everywhere, marketed online as friendly companions to children as young as three, and they're still a largely unregulated category.


TikTok scales back AI-generated video descriptions after absurd errors

BBC News

TikTok has rowed back on an AI feature which incorrectly summarised some videos on the platform, including claiming a celebrity was fruit. The company's'AI overviews' recently began appearing beneath content on the platform to describe what a video was showing, or provide more context. While only rolled out to some users in the US and the Philippines, the feature's incorrect and bizarre AI-generated summaries of TikTok content - seen beneath videos of celebrities like platform star Charli D'Amelio - have been shared widely. According to TikTok, its experimental summaries have been tweaked to only suggest products similar to those shown in videos. The changes were first reported by news outlet Business Insider .


Musk v. Altman Evidence Shows What Microsoft Executives Thought of OpenAI

WIRED

Leaders at the tech giant were skeptical of OpenAI--but wary of pushing it into the arms of Amazon, according to evidence revealed during the trial. OpenAI's relationship with Microsoft, its longtime investor and cloud partner, has grown increasingly complicated over the years as the ChatGPT-maker has grown into a behemoth competitor . But Microsoft executives had reservations about sending additional funding to OpenAI as far back as 2018 when it was just a small nonprofit research lab, according to emails between more than a dozen Microsoft executives, including CEO Satya Nadella, shown in a federal court on Thursday during the trial. The emails show how Microsoft, at the time, wavered over what has since been held up as one of the most successful corporate partnerships in tech history. Several Microsoft executives said in the emails their visits to OpenAI did not indicate any imminent breakthroughs in developing artificial general intelligence.


Forecasting Oncology Demand Trends with Boosting-Based Bayesian Conjugate Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Accurate trend forecasting in healthcare time series is essential for planning and resource allocation. This paper proposes a Bayesian framework for predicting oncology demand trends, modeling weekly appointments as a Poisson process with a Gamma prior to the demand rate. To enhance adaptability and capture persistent directional patterns, we incorporate a residual-based boosting mechanism grounded in a Gamma-Log-Normal conjugate structure. This boosting approach allows the model to track both short- and long-term trend shifts while maintaining the analytical tractability of conjugate Bayesian updating. The methodology was evaluated on real oncology service data from Cariri, Ceara, Brazil, and compared against established baselines, including linear regression, ARIMA, naive forecasting, LSTM neural networks, and XGBoost. Results showed that the proposed model outperforms competing methods in trend detection accuracy, with gains in terms of percentage of correct direction of 38.25% in relation to the second best approach in some cases.


Feature Starvation as Geometric Instability in Sparse Autoencoders

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Sparse autoencoders (SAEs) are used to disentangle the dense, polysemantic internal representations of large language models (LLMs) into interpretable, monosemantic concepts. However, standard $\ell_1$-regularized SAEs suffer from feature starvation (dead neurons) and shrinkage bias, often requiring computationally expensive heuristic resampling and nondifferentiable hard-masking methods to bypass these challenges. We argue that feature starvation is not merely an empirical artifact of poor data diversity, but a fundamental optimization-geometric pathology of overcomplete dictionaries: the $\ell_1$-induced sparse coding map is unstable and fundamentally misaligned with shallow, amortized encoders. To address this structural instability, we introduce adaptive elastic net SAEs (AEN-SAEs), a fully differentiable architecture grounded in classical sparse regression. AEN-SAEs combine an $\ell_2$ structural term that enforces strong convexity and Lipschitz stability with adaptive $\ell_1$ reweighting that eliminates shrinkage bias and suppresses spurious features, thereby jointly controlling the curvature and interaction structure of the induced polyhedral geometry. Theoretically, we show that AEN-SAEs yield a Lipschitz-continuous sparse coding map and recover the global feature support under mild assumptions. Empirically, across synthetic settings and LLMs (Pythia 70M, Llama 3.1 8B), AEN-SAEs mitigate feature starvation without auxiliary heuristics while maintaining competitive reconstruction abilities.


Estimating Implicit Regularization in Deep Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Deep learning systems are known to exhibit implicit regularization (alt. implicit bias), favoring simple solutions instead of merely minimizing the loss function. In some cases, we can analytically derive the implicit regularization -- connecting it to an equivalent penalty that augments the learning objective. However, modern deep learning systems are complex, carrying modifications to the training procedure and architecture (e.g. early stopping, minibatching, dropout) whose effects are not always directly interpretable. Although estimating the resulting implicit regularization could aid theorists in algorithm design and practitioners in interpreting their hyperparameter choices, this problem has received little direct attention. It is also tractable: regularization makes weight updates deviate from loss gradients, promising a signal for identifying implicit bias. Here we provide gradient matching methods that can be used to empirically estimate the implicit regularization. Our method works on networks with known regularization, recovering popular explicit penalties like $\ell_1$ and $\ell_2$. It also replicates known implicit effects, like the quadratic weight penalty induced by early stopping in gradient descent, demonstrating that it can be used to test theories of implicit regularization. Crucially, because our method is empirical, it can handle implicit regularization in arbitrary networks. We demonstrate this use by characterizing the effects of dropout in deep networks, showing implicit $\ell_2$ effects in this popular method. Our work shows that practitioners can use gradient matching to understand regularization in networks with implicit biases that are too complicated to derive analytically.


Permutation-preserving Functions and Neural Vecchia Covariance Kernels

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We introduce a novel framework for constructing scalable and flexible covariance kernels for Gaussian processes (GPs) by directly learning the covariance structure under a regression-type parameterization induced by Vecchia approximations, using deep neural architectures. Specifically, we model kriging coefficients and conditional standard deviations, deterministic quantities that uniquely characterize the covariance, providing stable and informative learning targets. Exploiting the permutation-equivariant structure of conditioning sets in the Vecchia factorization, we derive a universal representation for permutation-preserving functions and design neural architectures that respect this symmetry, leading to improved training stability and data efficiency. The proposed approach enables expressive, non-stationary kernel learning while maintaining computational scalability, thereby bridging classical GP methodology with modern deep learning.


Spectral Lens: Activation and Gradient Spectra as Diagnostics of LLM Optimization

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Training loss and throughput can hide distinct internal representation in language-model training. To examine these hidden mechanics, we use spectral measurements as practical and operational diagnostics. Using a controlled family of decoder-only models adapted from the modded NanoGPT codebase, we introduce an empirical protocol based on activation covariance and per-sample gradient SVD spectra. This dual-view reveals three empirical findings and one mechanistic explanation. First, batch size acts as a latent determinant of representation geometry: runs that reach equal loss settle into systematically distinct activation spectra. Second, the activation covariance tail measured early in training reliably forecasts downstream token efficiency. Third, movement of the activation spectrum head (leading modes), together with gradient spectra, characterizes underlying learning-dynamics changes, separating learning-side architectural improvements from primarily execution-side gains. These predictive and diagnostic signals persist across the 12-, 36-, and 48-layer model tiers. Finally, a mechanistic model proves the main observations and explains how activation covariance spectra correlate with task-aligned feature learning.


Temporal Functional Circuits: From Spline Plots to Faithful Explanations in KAN Forecasting

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Unlike MLPs, Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) expose explicit learnable edge functions on every connection, enabling mechanistic explanation in time-series forecasting. This paper introduces Temporal Functional Circuits, a framework that transforms KAN edge functions from latent visualizations into faithful, temporally grounded explanations. Built on a gated residual KAN that decomposes forecasts into a linear base and a sparsely activated KAN correction, the framework (i) maps each edge to input lags via output-aware attribution, (ii) ranks edges by learned activation range, and (iii) validates faithfulness through edge-level interventions including zeroing and spline removal. Removing the learned B-spline component while retaining the base SiLU term degrades forecasts, providing evidence that the spline shape itself carries predictive value beyond the base activation. On four synthetic regimes of increasing complexity, the learned gate opens progressively wider as signal complexity grows. On regime-switching signals, gated KAN achieves 59% lower MSE than linear-only models. Across eight benchmarks, the gated architecture is competitive with linear, attention, and MLP alternatives, while providing interpretable edge functions that MLP-based corrections cannot offer.


Transformers Provably Implement In-Context Reinforcement Learning with Policy Improvement

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We investigate the ability of transformers to perform in-context reinforcement learning (ICRL), where a model must infer and execute learning algorithms from trajectory data without parameter updates. We show that a linear self-attention transformer block can provably implement policy-improvement methods, including semi-gradient SARSA and actor-critic, via explicit parameter constructions. Beyond existence, we design a teacher-mimicking training procedure, analyze its gradient-flow dynamics, and establish the first convergence guarantee in the ICRL literature: under suitable richness conditions on the training MDP distribution, gradient flow converges locally and exponentially to an optimal parameter manifold corresponding to the desired RL update. Empirically, training transformers on randomly generated tabular MDPs confirms these predictions: the learned models recover the parameter structure of our explicit constructions and, when deployed on unseen MDPs, deliver strong in-context control performance. Together, these results illuminate how transformer architectures internalize and execute classical reinforcement learning algorithms in context, bridging mechanistic understanding and training dynamics in ICRL.