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 Deep Learning


Unsupervised learning of acquisition variability in structural connectomes via hybrid latent space modeling

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Acquisition differences across sites, scanners, and protocols in dMRI introduce variability that complicates structural connectome analysis. This motivates deep learning models that can represent high-dimensional connectomes in a low-dimensional space while explicitly separating acquisition-related effects from biological variation. Conventional dimensionality reduction methods model all variance as continuous, so acquisition effects often get absorbed into a continuous latent space. Recent hybrid latent-space models combine discrete and continuous components to address this, but typically require manual capacity tuning to ensure the discrete component captures the intended variability. We introduce an unsupervised framework that removes this manual tuning by architecturally annealing encoder outputs before decoding, allowing the model to adaptively balance discrete and continuous latent variables during training. To evaluate it, we curated a dataset of N=7,416 structural connectomes derived from dMRI, spanning ages 2 to 102 and 13 studies with 25 unique acquisition-parameter combinations. Of these, 5,900 are cognitively unimpaired, 877 have mild cognitive impairment (MCI), and 639 have Alzheimer's disease (AD). We compare against a standard VAE, PCA with k-means clustering, and hybrid models that anneal only through the loss function. Our architectural annealing produces stronger site learning (ARI=0.53, p<0.05) than these baselines. Results show that a hybrid continuous-discrete latent space, with architectural rather than loss-based annealing, provides a useful unsupervised mechanism for capturing acquisition variability in dMRI: by jointly modeling smooth and categorical structure, the Joint-VAE recovers clusters aligned with scanner and protocol differences.


TabPFN-3: Technical Report

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Tabular data underpins most high-value prediction problems in science and industry, and TabPFN has driven the foundation model revolution for this modality. Designed with feedback from our users, TabPFN-3 builds on this foundation to scale state-of-the-art performance to datasets with 1M training rows and substantially reduce training and inference time. Pretrained exclusively on synthetic data from our prior, TabPFN-3 dramatically pushes the frontier of tabular prediction and brings substantial gains on time series, relational, and tabular-text data. On the standard tabular benchmark TabArena, a forward pass of TabPFN-3 outperforms all other models, including tuned and ensembled baselines, by a significant margin, and pareto-dominates the speed/performance frontier. On more diverse datasets, TabPFN-3 ranks first on datasets with many classes, and beats 8-hour-tuned gradient-boosted-tree baselines on datasets up to 1M training rows and 200 features. TabPFN-3 introduces test-time compute scaling to tabular foundation models. Our API offering TabPFN-3-Plus (Thinking) exploits this to beat all non-TabPFN models by over 200 Elo on TabArena, rising to 420 Elo on the largest data subset, and outperforms AutoGluon 1.5 extreme while being 10x faster, without using LLMs, real data, internet search or any other model besides TabPFN. TabPFN-3 extends the capabilities of our models, enabling SOTA prediction on relational data (new SOTA foundation model on RelBenchV1) and tabular-text data (SOTA on TabSTAR via TabPFN-3-Plus); and improves existing integrations: a specialized checkpoint, TabPFN-TS-3, ranks 2nd on the time-series benchmark fev-bench, and SHAP-value computation is up to 120x faster. TabPFN-3 achieves this performance while being up to 20x faster than TabPFN-2.5. In addition, a reduced KV cache and row-chunking scale to 1M rows on one H100 with fast inference speed.


How to Scale Mixture-of-Experts: From muP to the Maximally Scale-Stable Parameterization

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Recent frontier large language models predominantly rely on Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architectures. Despite empirical progress, there is still no principled understanding of how hyperparameters should scale with network width $N$, expert width $N_e$, number of experts $M$, sparsity $K$, and depth $L$ to ensure both stability and optimal performance at scale. We take a principled step toward resolving this gap by analyzing three different scaling regimes: (I) co-scaling $N\asymp N_e$, (II) co-scaling $N\asymp M\asymp K$, and (III) full proportional scaling of $N, N_e, M$, and $K$. For each regime, we develop a novel Dynamical Mean Field Theory (DMFT) description of the limiting training dynamics of MoEs that provides a formal foundation for our analysis. Within this framework, we derive the unique parameterization for SGD and Adam satisfying all maximal-update ($ฮผ$) desiderata. We then show that the resulting $ฮผ$P prescription does not reliably induce monotonic improvement with scale or robust learning-rate transfer. We trace these pathologies to scale-dependent observables in the aggregation dynamics, which motivates a refined set of desiderata that we term maximal scale stability. Guided by this principle, we derive a Maximally Scale-Stable Parameterization (MSSP) for both SGD and Adam in all three scaling regimes, and characterize the corresponding limiting dynamics - qualitatively distinct from the $ฮผ$P limit - through a separate DMFT analysis. Experiments verify that MSSP robustly recovers learning rate transfer and monotonic improvement with scale across regimes. Combined with existing depth-scaling theory, these results provide a complete scaling prescription for MoE architectures as a function of width, depth, expert width, and number of experts.


Language-Induced Priors for Domain Adaptation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Domain adaptation faces a fundamental paradox in the cold-start regime. When target data is scarce, statistical methods fail to distinguish relevant source domains from irrelevant ones, which often leads to negative transfer. In this paper, we address this challenge by leveraging expert textual descriptions of the target domain, a resource that is often available but overlooked. We propose a probabilistic framework that translates these semantic descriptions into a choice model, namely a Language-Induced Prior (LIP), that learns the preferences from a pretrained Large Language Model (LLM). The LIP is then integrated into an Expectation-Maximization algorithm to identify source relevance. Methodologically, this framework is compatible with any parametric model where a likelihood is available. It allows the LIP to guide the selection of sources when target signals are weak, while gradually refining these choices as samples accumulate. Theoretically, we prove that the estimator roughly matches an oracle cold-start MSE under a correct prior, while remaining asymptotically consistent regardless of the quality of the LIP. Empirically, we validated the framework on a descriptive (Gaussian estimation), a predictive (C-MAPSS dataset), and a prescriptive task (MuJoCo hopper).


A Mutual Information Lower Bound for Multimodal Regression Active Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Active learning for continuous regression has lacked an acquisition function that targets epistemic uncertainty when the predictive distribution is multimodal: variance misses modal disagreement, and information-theoretic targets like BALD are designed for discrete outputs. We introduce a Two-Index framework that makes this separation explicit: one stochastic index selects among competing model hypotheses (epistemic source), while a second governs within-hypothesis randomness (aleatoric source). An entropy decomposition within the framework identifies the mutual information between the output and the epistemic index as a principled acquisition objective, and we prove this quantity vanishes as the model is trained on growing datasets, confirming that it captures exactly the uncertainty data can resolve. Because this mutual information is intractable for continuous outputs, we derive the Mutual Information Lower Bound (MI-LB) acquisition function, a closed-form approximation for Mixture Density Network ensembles. On benchmarks featuring multimodal systems, MI-LB matches or beats every baseline evaluated and is the only method to do so consistently -- geometric and Fisher-based baselines compete only when the input space already encodes the multimodality, and collapse otherwise.


InfoSFT: Learn More and Forget Less with Information-Aware Token Weighting

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Supervised fine-tuning (SFT) provides the standard approach for teaching LLMs new behaviors from offline expert demonstrations. However, standard SFT uniformly fits all samples -- including those with low likelihood under the base model -- which can disproportionately drive training updates toward overfitting specific samples rather than learning the target behavior. Moreover, adapting to these unlikely samples induces substantial policy shifts that degrade prior capabilities. Existing methods mitigate this by filtering, regenerating, or down-weighting low-likelihood data. In doing so, they often suppress precisely the novel behaviors the base model has yet to learn. We propose InfoSFT, a principled weighting scheme for the SFT objective that concentrates learning signals on maximally informative, medium-confidence tokens -- those neither overly familiar to the base model nor too unlikely to cause instability. Requiring only a one-line modification to the standard token-wise loss, InfoSFT demonstrably improves generalization over vanilla SFT and likelihood-weighted baselines across math, code, and chain-of-thought tasks with diverse model families, while better preserving pre-existing capabilities.


High-stakes courtroom drama of Musk v OpenAI hears closing arguments

The Guardian

OpenAI's CEO, Sam Altman, arrives at the federal courthouse in Oakland, California, on Thursday. OpenAI's CEO, Sam Altman, arrives at the federal courthouse in Oakland, California, on Thursday. Nine-person jury to consider whether AI firm bilked world's richest person and unjustly enriched themselves Closing arguments began on Thursday in Elon Musk's lawsuit against Sam Altman and OpenAI, bringing the weeks-long courtroom battle between the two tech moguls nearer to a decision. A nine-person jury is set to deliberate and return a verdict on whether they believe the AI firm and Altman are liable in the case. The trial, which began last month in an Oakland, California, federal courthouse, has gripped Silicon Valley and featured some of the tech industry's biggest names as witnesses.


Closing arguments begin in Elon Musk's landmark lawsuit against OpenAI

Al Jazeera

Closing arguments begin in Elon Musk's landmark lawsuit against OpenAI Lawyers for OpenAI and Elon Musk began closing arguments in a landmark trial that could impact the future of the ChatGPT maker. On Thursday, each side presented a concluding statement to jurors, who will decide whether OpenAI and its leaders profited from a venture that was meant to be a "charity". Musk sued OpenAI, its CEO Sam Altman and its president Greg Brockman, alleging that the company strayed from its founding mission to build AI that was safe and beneficial to humanity. Musk was not present for the closing statements on Thursday, as he is currently in China on a diplomatic visit with United States President Donald Trump. His lawyer, Steven Molo, used his final remarks to accuse OpenAI of breaching its charitable trust by enriching investors and insiders at the nonprofit's expense.


Sam Altman Is Taking a Lot of Punches on the Witness Stand

Mother Jones

Elon Musk's team seems to have one main goal: make the OpenAI boss look like a liar. Musk's wins so far mainly involve making OpenAI and Altman look ridiculous. Get your news from a source that's not owned and controlled by oligarchs. Can you trust Sam Altman? That was one of the central themes at the high-profile trial between the OpenAI CEO and Elon Musk in California this week, as Musk's lawyers peppered Altman with questions on his work relationships, including his temporary ouster from OpenAI three years ago by a mistrustful board of directors .


OpenAI brings its Codex coding app to mobile

Engadget

Since debuting last spring, OpenAI's Codex coding app has seen standalone Mac and Windows releases, so it was only a matter of time before OpenAI gave people a way to access their Codex projects on mobile. Starting today, all ChatGPT users, including those using the chatbot through OpenAI's Go and Free tiers, can use the software through the ChatGPT app on Android and iOS. To be clear, you won't be using Codex to program on your phone. Instead, the ChatGPT mobile app is acting here as a intermediary between you and whatever environment you've set it up for your coding projects, whether that be a physical device like a Mac mini or a remote space managed by your company. That might seem limiting, but it does mean your files, credentials and permissions stay secure on the machine where Codex is running.