Modeling spillover effects from observational data is an important problem in economics, business, and other fields of research. % It helps us infer the causality between two seemingly unrelated set of events. For example, if consumer spending in the United States declines, it has spillover effects on economies that depend on the U.S. as their largest export market. In this paper, we aim to infer the causation that results in spillover effects between pairs of entities (or units), we call this effect as \textit{paired spillover}. To achieve this, we leverage the recent developments in variational inference and deep learning techniques to propose a generative model called Linked Causal Variational Autoencoder (LCVA). Similar to variational autoencoders (VAE), LCVA incorporates an encoder neural network to learn the latent attributes and a decoder network to reconstruct the inputs. However, unlike VAE, LCVA treats the \textit{latent attributes as confounders that are assumed to affect both the treatment and the outcome of units}. Specifically, given a pair of units $u$ and $\bar{u}$, their individual treatment and outcomes, the encoder network of LCVA samples the confounders by conditioning on the observed covariates of $u$, the treatments of both $u$ and $\bar{u}$ and the outcome of $u$. Once inferred, the latent attributes (or confounders) of $u$ captures the spillover effect of $\bar{u}$ on $u$. Using a network of users from job training dataset (LaLonde (1986)) and co-purchase dataset from Amazon e-commerce domain, we show that LCVA is significantly more robust than existing methods in capturing spillover effects.

Due to the popularity of the Internet and smart mobile devices, more and more financial transactions and activities have been digitalized. Compared to traditional financial fraud detection strategies using credit-related features, customers are generating a large amount of unstructured behavioral data every second. In this paper, we propose an Recurrent Neural Netword (RNN) based deep-learning structure integrated with Markov Transition Field (MTF) for predicting online fraud behaviors using customer's interactions with websites or smart-phone apps as a series of states. In practice, we tested and proved that the proposed network structure for processing sequential behavioral data could significantly boost fraud predictive ability comparing with the multilayer perceptron network and distance based classifier with Dynamic Time Warping(DTW) as distance metric.

We present a training framework for neural abstractive summarization based on actor-critic approaches from reinforcement learning. In the traditional neural network based methods, the objective is only to maximize the likelihood of the predicted summaries, no other assessment constraints are considered, which may generate low-quality summaries or even incorrect sentences. To alleviate this problem, we employ an actor-critic framework to enhance the training procedure. For the actor, we employ the typical attention based sequence-to-sequence (seq2seq) framework as the policy network for summary generation. For the critic, we combine the maximum likelihood estimator with a well designed global summary quality estimator which is a neural network based binary classifier aiming to make the generated summaries indistinguishable from the human-written ones. Policy gradient method is used to conduct the parameter learning. An alternating training strategy is proposed to conduct the joint training of the actor and critic models. Extensive experiments on some benchmark datasets in different languages show that our framework achieves improvements over the state-of-the-art methods.

Reinforcement learning (RL) is an area of research that has blossomed tremendously in recent years and has shown remarkable potential for artificial intelligence based opponents in computer games. This success is primarily due to the vast capabilities of convolutional neural networks, that can extract useful features from noisy and complex data. Games are excellent tools to test and push the boundaries of novel RL algorithms because they give valuable insight into how well an algorithm can perform in isolated environments without the real-life consequences. Real-time strategy games (RTS) is a genre that has tremendous complexity and challenges the player in short and long-term planning. There is much research that focuses on applied RL in RTS games, and novel advances are therefore anticipated in the not too distant future. However, there are to date few environments for testing RTS AIs. Environments in the literature are often either overly simplistic, such as microRTS, or complex and without the possibility for accelerated learning on consumer hardware like StarCraft II. This paper introduces the Deep RTS game environment for testing cutting-edge artificial intelligence algorithms for RTS games. Deep RTS is a high-performance RTS game made specifically for artificial intelligence research. It supports accelerated learning, meaning that it can learn at a magnitude of 50 000 times faster compared to existing RTS games. Deep RTS has a flexible configuration, enabling research in several different RTS scenarios, including partially observable state-spaces and map complexity. We show that Deep RTS lives up to our promises by comparing its performance with microRTS, ELF, and StarCraft II on high-end consumer hardware. Using Deep RTS, we show that a Deep Q-Network agent beats random-play agents over 70% of the time. Deep RTS is publicly available at https://github.com/cair/DeepRTS.

Running high-resolution physical models is computationally expensive and essential for many disciplines. Agriculture, transportation, and energy are sectors that depend on high-resolution weather models, which typically consume many hours of large High Performance Computing (HPC) systems to deliver timely results. Many users cannot afford to run the desired resolution and are forced to use low resolution output. One simple solution is to interpolate results for visualization. It is also possible to combine an ensemble of low resolution models to obtain a better prediction. However, these approaches fail to capture the redundant information and patterns in the low-resolution input that could help improve the quality of prediction. In this paper, we propose and evaluate a strategy based on a deep neural network to learn a high-resolution representation from low-resolution predictions using weather forecast as a practical use case. We take a supervised learning approach, since obtaining labeled data can be done automatically. Our results show significant improvement when compared with standard practices and the strategy is still lightweight enough to run on modest computer systems.

Abstract-- In this paper, we propose an novel implementation of a simultaneous localization and mapping (SLAM) system based on a monocular camera from an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) using Depth prediction performed with Capsule Networks (CapsNet), which possess improvements over the drawbacks of the more widely-used Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN). An Extended Kalman Filter will assist in estimating the position of the UAV so that we are able to update the belief for the environment. Results will be evaluated on a benchmark dataset to portray the accuracy of our intended approach. I. INTRODUCTION Simultaneous localization and mapping (SLAM) has a significant role to play in helping autonomous robots to navigate their way around an uncertain environment and this has many widespread implications in various industries. For instance, drones can be programmed to find their way in a logistics warehouse without prior knowledge of the space, in order to retrieve information of a particular package.

The last few years have brought advances in computer vision at an amazing pace, grounded on new findings in deep neural network construction and training as well as the availability of large labeled datasets. Applying these networks to images demands a high computational effort and pushes the use of state-of-the-art networks on real-time video data out of reach of embedded platforms. Many recent works focus on reducing network complexity for real-time inference on embedded computing platforms. We adopt an orthogonal viewpoint and propose a novel algorithm exploiting the spatio-temporal sparsity of pixel changes. This optimized inference procedure resulted in an average speed-up of 9.1x over cuDNN on the Tegra X2 platform at a negligible accuracy loss of <0.1% and no retraining of the network for a semantic segmentation application. Similarly, an average speed-up of 7.0x has been achieved for a pose detection DNN on static camera video surveillance data. These throughput gains combined with a lower power consumption result in an energy efficiency of 511 GOp/s/W compared to 70 GOp/s/W for the baseline.

Summary: There are some interesting use cases where combining CNNs and RNN/LSTMs seems to make sense and a number of researchers pursuing this. However, the latest trends in CNNs may make this obsolete. There are things that just don't seem to go together. Take oil and water for instance. Both valuable, but try putting them together?

Even more impressive, it can explain its choices. Explain yourself: The black box has long been a challenge in artificial intelligence. This refers to the tendency of algorithms to spit out results without explaining what went into them--and it can make weeding out bias difficult. The news: In a paper released in Nature Medicine yesterday, DeepMind researchers described an AI system that can identify more than 50 diseases, refer them to a specialist, and, most important, indicate which portion of a medical scan prompted the diagnosis. Why it matters: Explainability is crucial if AI is to see increased use in medicine.

The brain has always been considered the main inspiration for the field of artificial intelligence(AI). For many AI researchers, the ultimate goal of AI is to emulate the capabilities of the brain. That seems like a nice statement but its an incredibly daunting task considering that neuroscientist are still struggling trying to understand the cognitive mechanism that power the magic of our brains. Despite the challenges, more regularly we are seeing AI research and implementation algorithms that are inspired by specific cognition mechanisms in the human brain and that have been producing incredibly promising results. Recently, the DeepMind team published a paper about neuroscience-inspired AI that summarizes the circle of influence between AI and neuroscience research.