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"The 'AI' Cosmos" --Intelligent Algorithms Begin Processing the Universe

#artificialintelligence

This June, 2020, NASA announced that intelligent computer systems will be installed on space probes to direct the search for life on distant planets and moons, starting with the 2022/23 ESA ExoMars mission, before moving beyond to moons such as Jupiter's Europa, and of Saturn's Enceladus and Titan. "This is a visionary step in space exploration." said NASA researcher Victoria Da Poian. "It means that over time we'll have moved from the idea that humans are involved with nearly everything in space, to the idea that computers are equipped with intelligent systems, and they are trained to make some decisions and are able to transmit in priority the most interesting or time-critical information". "When first gathered, the data produced by the Mars Organic Molecule Analyzer (MOMA) toaster-sized life-searching instrument will not shout out'I've found life here', but will give us probabilities which will need to be analyzed," says Eric Lyness, software lead in the Planetary Environments Lab at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center. "We'll still need humans to interpret the findings, but the first filter will be the AI system".


The Guardian view on artificial intelligence's revolution: learning but not as we know it

#artificialintelligence

Bosses don't often play down their products. Sam Altman, the CEO of artificial intelligence company OpenAI, did just that when people went gaga over his company's latest software: the Generative Pretrained Transformer 3 (GPT-3). For some, GPT-3 represented a moment in which one scientific era ends and another is born. Mr Altman rightly lowered expectations. "The GPT-3 hype is way too much," he tweeted last month.


Hedging and machine learning driven crude oil data analysis using a refined Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper, a refined Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard (BN-S) model is implemented to find an optimal hedging strategy for commodity markets. The refinement of the BN-S model is obtained with various machine and deep learning algorithms. The refinement leads to the extraction of a deterministic parameter from the empirical data set. The problem is transformed to an appropriate classification problem with a couple of different approaches: the volatility approach and the duration approach. The analysis is implemented to the Bakken crude oil data and the aforementioned deterministic parameter is obtained for a wide range of data sets. With the implementation of this parameter in the refined model, the resulting model performs much better than the classical BN-S model.


Text Classification based on Multi-granularity Attention Hybrid Neural Network

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Neural network-based approaches have become the driven forces for Natural Language Processing (NLP) tasks. Conventionally, there are two mainstream neural architectures for NLP tasks: the recurrent neural network (RNN) and the convolution neural network (ConvNet). RNNs are good at modeling long-term dependencies over input texts, but preclude parallel computation. ConvNets do not have memory capability and it has to model sequential data as un-ordered features. Therefore, ConvNets fail to learn sequential dependencies over the input texts, but it is able to carry out high-efficient parallel computation. As each neural architecture, such as RNN and ConvNets, has its own pro and con, integration of different architectures is assumed to be able to enrich the semantic representation of texts, thus enhance the performance of NLP tasks. However, few investigation explores the reconciliation of these seemingly incompatible architectures. To address this issue, we propose a hybrid architecture based on a novel hierarchical multi-granularity attention mechanism, named Multi-granularity Attention-based Hybrid Neural Network (MahNN). The attention mechanism is to assign different weights to different parts of the input sequence to increase the computation efficiency and performance of neural models. In MahNN, two types of attentions are introduced: the syntactical attention and the semantical attention. The syntactical attention computes the importance of the syntactic elements (such as words or sentence) at the lower symbolic level and the semantical attention is used to compute the importance of the embedded space dimension corresponding to the upper latent semantics. We adopt the text classification as an exemplifying way to illustrate the ability of MahNN to understand texts.


Mathematical Reasoning via Self-supervised Skip-tree Training

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We examine whether self-supervised language modeling applied to mathematical formulas enables logical reasoning. We suggest several logical reasoning tasks that can be used to evaluate language models trained on formal mathematical statements, such as type inference, suggesting missing assumptions and completing equalities. To train language models for formal mathematics, we propose a novel skip-tree task. We find that models trained on the skip-tree task show surprisingly strong mathematical reasoning abilities, and outperform models trained on standard skip-sequence tasks. We also analyze the models' ability to formulate new conjectures by measuring how often the predictions are provable and useful in other proofs.


Ranking Enhanced Dialogue Generation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

How to effectively utilize the dialogue history is a crucial problem in multi-turn dialogue generation. Previous works usually employ various neural network architectures (e.g., recurrent neural networks, attention mechanisms, and hierarchical structures) to model the history. However, a recent empirical study by Sankar et al. has shown that these architectures lack the ability of understanding and modeling the dynamics of the dialogue history. For example, the widely used architectures are insensitive to perturbations of the dialogue history, such as words shuffling, utterances missing, and utterances reordering. To tackle this problem, we propose a Ranking Enhanced Dialogue generation framework in this paper. Despite the traditional representation encoder and response generation modules, an additional ranking module is introduced to model the ranking relation between the former utterance and consecutive utterances. Specifically, the former utterance and consecutive utterances are treated as query and corresponding documents, and both local and global ranking losses are designed in the learning process. In this way, the dynamics in the dialogue history can be explicitly captured. To evaluate our proposed models, we conduct extensive experiments on three public datasets, i.e., bAbI, PersonaChat, and JDC. Experimental results show that our models produce better responses in terms of both quantitative measures and human judgments, as compared with the state-of-the-art dialogue generation models. Furthermore, we give some detailed experimental analysis to show where and how the improvements come from.


Learning to Reason in Round-based Games: Multi-task Sequence Generation for Purchasing Decision Making in First-person Shooters

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Sequential reasoning is a complex human ability, with extensive previous research focusing on gaming AI in a single continuous game, round-based decision makings extending to a sequence of games remain less explored. Counter-Strike: Global Offensive (CS:GO), as a round-based game with abundant expert demonstrations, provides an excellent environment for multi-player round-based sequential reasoning. In this work, we propose a Sequence Reasoner with Round Attribute Encoder and Multi-Task Decoder to interpret the strategies behind the round-based purchasing decisions. We adopt few-shot learning to sample multiple rounds in a match, and modified model agnostic meta-learning algorithm Reptile for the meta-learning loop. We formulate each round as a multi-task sequence generation problem. Our state representations combine action encoder, team encoder, player features, round attribute encoder, and economy encoders to help our agent learn to reason under this specific multi-player round-based scenario. A complete ablation study and comparison with the greedy approach certify the effectiveness of our model. Our research will open doors for interpretable AI for understanding episodic and long-term purchasing strategies beyond the gaming community.


Confidence-Aware Learning for Deep Neural Networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Despite the power of deep neural networks for a wide range of tasks, an overconfident prediction issue has limited their practical use in many safety-critical applications. Many recent works have been proposed to mitigate this issue, but most of them require either additional computational costs in training and/or inference phases or customized architectures to output confidence estimates separately. In this paper, we propose a method of training deep neural networks with a novel loss function, named Correctness Ranking Loss, which regularizes class probabilities explicitly to be better confidence estimates in terms of ordinal ranking according to confidence. The proposed method is easy to implement and can be applied to the existing architectures without any modification. Also, it has almost the same computational costs for training as conventional deep classifiers and outputs reliable predictions by a single inference. Extensive experimental results on classification benchmark datasets indicate that the proposed method helps networks to produce well-ranked confidence estimates. We also demonstrate that it is effective for the tasks closely related to confidence estimation, out-of-distribution detection and active learning.


Adaptive Tensor Learning with Tensor Networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Tensor decomposition techniques have shown great successes in machine learning and data science by extending classical algorithms based on matrix factorization to multi-modal and multi-way data. However, there exist many tensor decomposition models (CP, Tucker, Tensor Train, etc.) and the rank of such a decomposition is typically a collection of integers rather than a unique number, making model and hyper-parameter selection a tedious and costly task. At the same time, tensor network methods are powerful tools developed in the physics community which have recently shown their potential for machine learning applications and offer a unifying view of the various tensor decomposition models. In this paper, we leverage the tensor network formalism to develop a generic and efficient adaptive algorithm for tensor learning. Our method is based on a simple greedy approach optimizing a differentiable loss function starting from a rank one tensor and successively identifying the most promising tensor network edges for small rank increments. Our algorithm can adaptively identify tensor network structures with small number of parameters that effectively optimize the objective function from data. The framework we introduce is very broad and encompasses many common tensor optimization problems. Experiments on tensor decomposition and tensor completion tasks with both synthetic and real world data demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.


Leveraging Automated Mixed-Low-Precision Quantization for tiny edge microcontrollers

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The severe on-chip memory limitations are currently preventing the deployment of the most accurate Deep Neural Network (DNN) models on tiny MicroController Units (MCUs), even if leveraging an effective 8-bit quantization scheme. To tackle this issue, in this paper we present an automated mixed-precision quantization flow based on the HAQ framework but tailored for the memory and computational characteristics of MCU devices. Specifically, a Reinforcement Learning agent searches for the best uniform quantization levels, among 2, 4, 8 bits, of individual weight and activation tensors, under the tight constraints on RAM and FLASH embedded memory sizes. We conduct an experimental analysis on MobileNetV1, MobileNetV2 and MNasNet models for Imagenet classification. Concerning the quantization policy search, the RL agent selects quantization policies that maximize the memory utilization. Given an MCU-class memory bound of 2MB for weight-only quantization, the compressed models produced by the mixed-precision engine result as accurate as the state-of-the-art solutions quantized with a non-uniform function, which is not tailored for CPUs featuring integer-only arithmetic. This denotes the viability of uniform quantization, required for MCU deployments, for deep weights compression. When also limiting the activation memory budget to 512kB, the best MobileNetV1 model scores up to 68.4% on Imagenet thanks to the found quantization policy, resulting to be 4% more accurate than the other 8-bit networks fitting the same memory constraints.