Techniques for making future predictions based upon the present and past data, has always been an area with direct application to various real life problems. We are discussing a similar problem in this paper. The problem statement is provided by Kaggle, which also serves as an ongoing competition on the Kaggle platform. In this project, we worked with a challenging time-series dataset consisting of daily sales data, kindly provided by one of the largest Russian software firms - 1C Company. The objective is to predict the total sales for every product and store in the next month given the past data. In order to perform forecasting for next month, we have deployed eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) based network architecture to perform learning task. Root mean squared error (RMSE) between the actual and predicted target values is used to evaluate the performance, and make comparisons between the deployed algorithms. It has been found that XGBoost fared better than LSTM over this dataset which can be attributed to its relatively higher sparsity.

Many recent advances in neural information retrieval models, which predict top-K items given a query, learn directly from a large training set of (query, item) pairs. However, they are often insufficient when there are many previously unseen (query, item) combinations, often referred to as the cold start problem. Furthermore, the search system can be biased towards items that are frequently shown to a query previously, also known as the 'rich get richer' (a.k.a. feedback loop) problem. In light of these problems, we observed that most online content platforms have both a search and a recommender system that, while having heterogeneous input spaces, can be connected through their common output item space and a shared semantic representation. In this paper, we propose a new Zero-Shot Heterogeneous Transfer Learning framework that transfers learned knowledge from the recommender system component to improve the search component of a content platform. First, it learns representations of items and their natural-language features by predicting (item, item) correlation graphs derived from the recommender system as an auxiliary task. Then, the learned representations are transferred to solve the target search retrieval task, performing query-to-item prediction without having seen any (query, item) pairs in training. We conduct online and offline experiments on one of the world's largest search and recommender systems from Google, and present the results and lessons learned. We demonstrate that the proposed approach can achieve high performance on offline search retrieval tasks, and more importantly, achieved significant improvements on relevance and user interactions over the highly-optimized production system in online experiments.

Fatigue is one of the key factors in the loss of work efficiency and health-related quality of life, and most fatigue assessment methods were based on self-reporting, which may suffer from many factors such as recall bias. To address this issue, we developed an automated system using wearable sensing and machine learning techniques for objective fatigue assessment. ECG/Actigraphy data were collected from subjects in free-living environments. Preprocessing and feature engineering methods were applied, before interpretable solution and deep learning solution were introduced. Specifically, for interpretable solution, we proposed a feature selection approach which can select less correlated and high informative features for better understanding system's decision-making process. For deep learning solution, we used state-of-the-art self-attention model, based on which we further proposed a consistency self-attention (CSA) mechanism for fatigue assessment. Extensive experiments were conducted, and very promising results were achieved.

We prove that a randomly initialized neural network of *any architecture* has its Tangent Kernel (NTK) converge to a deterministic limit, as the network widths tend to infinity. We demonstrate how to calculate this limit. In prior literature, the heuristic study of neural network gradients often assumes every weight matrix used in forward propagation is independent from its transpose used in backpropagation (Schoenholz et al. 2017). This is known as the *gradient independence assumption (GIA)*. We identify a commonly satisfied condition, which we call *Simple GIA Check*, such that the NTK limit calculation based on GIA is correct. Conversely, when Simple GIA Check fails, we show GIA can result in wrong answers. Our material here presents the NTK results of Yang (2019a) in a friendly manner and showcases the *tensor programs* technique for understanding wide neural networks. We provide reference implementations of infinite-width NTKs of recurrent neural network, transformer, and batch normalization at https://github.com/thegregyang/NTK4A.

Predictive business process monitoring (PBPM) is a class of techniques designed to predict behaviour, such as next activities, in running traces. PBPM techniques aim to improve process performance by providing predictions to process analysts, supporting them in their decision making. However, the PBPM techniques' limited predictive quality was considered as the essential obstacle for establishing such techniques in practice. With the use of deep neural networks (DNNs), the techniques' predictive quality could be improved for tasks like the next activity prediction. While DNNs achieve a promising predictive quality, they still lack comprehensibility due to their hierarchical approach of learning representations. Nevertheless, process analysts need to comprehend the cause of a prediction to identify intervention mechanisms that might affect the decision making to secure process performance. In this paper, we propose XNAP, the first explainable, DNN-based PBPM technique for the next activity prediction. XNAP integrates a layer-wise relevance propagation method from the field of explainable artificial intelligence to make predictions of a long short-term memory DNN explainable by providing relevance values for activities. We show the benefit of our approach through two real-life event logs.

Visualization tools for supervised learning allow users to interpret, introspect, and gain an intuition for the successes and failures of their models. While reinforcement learning practitioners ask many of the same questions, existing tools are not applicable to the RL setting as these tools address challenges typically found in the supervised learning regime. In this work, we design and implement an interactive visualization tool for debugging and interpreting RL algorithms. Our system addresses many features missing from previous tools such as (1) tools for supervised learning often are not interactive; (2) while debugging RL policies researchers use state representations that are different from those seen by the agent; (3) a framework designed to make the debugging RL policies more conducive. We provide an example workflow of how this system could be used, along with ideas for future extensions.

In this second part of our graph deep learning tutorial, we demonstrate how to move from spectral to spatial domain with convolutions.

But they are a few problems relating to using a traditional R CNN. Mainly that processing an image takes a lot of time. As the model is extracting 2000 regions to check. Prediction with the model takes around 40 seconds. A better version of R CNN was created by the same person.

From Spectral to Spatial DomainContinue reading on Towards Data Science » Source

Due to the overwhelming response to our previous expert paper suggestion blog, we had to do another. We asked some of our expert community the papers they would suggest everybody read when working in the field. Haven't seen the first blog? You can read the recommendations of Andrew Ng, Jeff Clune, Myriam Cote and more here. Alexia suggested this paper as it explains how many classifiers can be thought of as estimating an f-divergence.