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Interpretable Disease Prediction based on Reinforcement Path Reasoning over Knowledge Graphs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Objective: To combine medical knowledge and medical data to interpretably predict the risk of disease. Methods: We formulated the disease prediction task as a random walk along a knowledge graph (KG). Specifically, we build a KG to record relationships between diseases and risk factors according to validated medical knowledge. Then, a mathematical object walks along the KG. It starts walking at a patient entity, which connects the KG based on the patient current diseases or risk factors and stops at a disease entity, which represents the predicted disease. The trajectory generated by the object represents an interpretable disease progression path of the given patient. The dynamics of the object are controlled by a policy-based reinforcement learning (RL) module, which is trained by electronic health records (EHRs). Experiments: We utilized two real-world EHR datasets to evaluate the performance of our model. In the disease prediction task, our model achieves 0.743 and 0.639 in terms of macro area under the curve (AUC) in predicting 53 circulation system diseases in the two datasets, respectively. This performance is comparable to the commonly used machine learning (ML) models in medical research. In qualitative analysis, our clinical collaborator reviewed the disease progression paths generated by our model and advocated their interpretability and reliability. Conclusion: Experimental results validate the proposed model in interpretably evaluating and optimizing disease prediction. Significance: Our work contributes to leveraging the potential of medical knowledge and medical data jointly for interpretable prediction tasks.


Sample complexity and effective dimension for regression on manifolds

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We consider the theory of regression on a manifold using reproducing kernel Hilbert space methods. Manifold models arise in a wide variety of modern machine learning problems, and our goal is to help understand the effectiveness of various implicit and explicit dimensionality-reduction methods that exploit manifold structure. Our first key contribution is to establish a novel nonasymptotic version of the Weyl law from differential geometry. From this we are able to show that certain spaces of smooth functions on a manifold are effectively finite-dimensional, with a complexity that scales according to the manifold dimension rather than any ambient data dimension. Finally, we show that given (potentially noisy) function values taken uniformly at random over a manifold, a kernel regression estimator (derived from the spectral decomposition of the manifold) yields minimax-optimal error bounds that are controlled by the effective dimension.


GMH: A General Multi-hop Reasoning Model for KG Completion

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Knowledge graphs are essential for numerous downstream natural language processing applications, but are typically incomplete with many facts missing. This results in research efforts on multi-hop reasoning task, which can be formulated as a search process and current models typically perform short distance reasoning. However, the long-distance reasoning is also vital with the ability to connect the superficially unrelated entities. To the best of our knowledge, there lacks a general framework that approaches multi-hop reasoning in both short and long scenarios. We argue that there are two key issues for long distance reasoning: i) which edge to select, and ii) when to stop the search. In this work, we propose a general model which resolves the issues with three modules: 1) the local-global knowledge module to estimate the possible paths, 2) the differentiated action dropout module to explore a diverse set of paths, and 3) the adaptive stopping search module to avoid over searching. The comprehensive results on three datasets demonstrate the superiority of our model with significant improvements against baselines in both short and long distance reasoning scenarios.


End-to-End Variational Bayesian Training of Tensorized Neural Networks with Automatic Rank Determination

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Low-rank tensor decomposition is one of the most effective approaches to reduce the memory and computing requirements of large-size neural networks, enabling their efficient deployment on various hardware platforms. While post-training tensor compression can greatly reduce the cost of inference, uncompressed training still consumes excessive hardware resources, run-time and energy. It is highly desirable to directly train a compact low-rank tensorized model from scratch with a low memory and computational cost. However, this is a very challenging task because it is hard to determine a proper tensor rank a priori, which controls the model complexity and compression ratio in the training process. This paper presents a novel end-to-end framework for low-rank tensorized training of neural networks. We first develop a flexible Bayesian model that can handle various low-rank tensor formats (e.g., CP, Tucker, tensor train and tensor-train matrix) that compress neural network parameters in training. This model can automatically determine the tensor ranks inside a nonlinear forward model, which is beyond the capability of existing Bayesian tensor methods. We further develop a scalable stochastic variational inference solver to estimate the posterior density of large-scale problems in training. Our work provides the first general-purpose rank-adaptive framework for end-to-end tensorized training. Our numerical results on various neural network architectures show orders-of-magnitude parameter reduction and little accuracy loss (or even better accuracy) in the training process.


Why Are Convolutional Nets More Sample-Efficient than Fully-Connected Nets?

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Convolutional neural networks often dominate fully-connected counterparts in generalization performance, especially on image classification tasks. This is often explained in terms of 'better inductive bias'. However, this has not been made mathematically rigorous, and the hurdle is that the fully connected net can always simulate the convolutional net (for a fixed task). Thus the training algorithm plays a role. The current work describes a natural task on which a provable sample complexity gap can be shown, for standard training algorithms. We construct a single natural distribution on $\mathbb{R}^d\times\{\pm 1\}$ on which any orthogonal-invariant algorithm (i.e. fully-connected networks trained with most gradient-based methods from gaussian initialization) requires $\Omega(d^2)$ samples to generalize while $O(1)$ samples suffice for convolutional architectures. Furthermore, we demonstrate a single target function, learning which on all possible distributions leads to an $O(1)$ vs $\Omega(d^2/\varepsilon)$ gap. The proof relies on the fact that SGD on fully-connected network is orthogonal equivariant. Similar results are achieved for $\ell_2$ regression and adaptive training algorithms, e.g. Adam and AdaGrad, which are only permutation equivariant.


For self-supervised learning, Rationality implies generalization, provably

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We prove a new upper bound on the generalization gap of classifiers that are obtained by first using self-supervision to learn a representation $r$ of the training data, and then fitting a simple (e.g., linear) classifier $g$ to the labels. Specifically, we show that (under the assumptions described below) the generalization gap of such classifiers tends to zero if $\mathsf{C}(g) \ll n$, where $\mathsf{C}(g)$ is an appropriately-defined measure of the simple classifier $g$'s complexity, and $n$ is the number of training samples. We stress that our bound is independent of the complexity of the representation $r$. We do not make any structural or conditional-independence assumptions on the representation-learning task, which can use the same training dataset that is later used for classification. Rather, we assume that the training procedure satisfies certain natural noise-robustness (adding small amount of label noise causes small degradation in performance) and rationality (getting the wrong label is not better than getting no label at all) conditions that widely hold across many standard architectures. We show that our bound is non-vacuous for many popular representation-learning based classifiers on CIFAR-10 and ImageNet, including SimCLR, AMDIM and MoCo.


Learning Robust Algorithms for Online Allocation Problems Using Adversarial Training

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We address the challenge of finding algorithms for online allocation (i.e. bipartite matching) using a machine learning approach. In this paper, we focus on the AdWords problem, which is a classical online budgeted matching problem of both theoretical and practical significance. In contrast to existing work, our goal is to accomplish algorithm design {\em tabula rasa}, i.e., without any human-provided insights or expert-tuned training data beyond specifying the objective and constraints of the optimization problem. We construct a framework based on insights and ideas from game theory, adversarial training and GANs Key to our approach is to generate adversarial examples that expose the weakness of any given algorithm. A unique challenge in our context is to generate complete examples from scratch rather than perturbing given examples and we demonstrate this can be accomplished for the Adwords problem. We use this framework to co-train an algorithm network and an adversarial network against each other until they converge to an equilibrium. This approach finds algorithms and adversarial examples that are consistent with known optimal results. Secondly, we address the question of robustness of the algorithm, namely can we design algorithms that are both strong under practical distributions, as well as exhibit robust performance against adversarial instances. To accomplish this, we train algorithm networks using a mixture of adversarial and practical distributions like power-laws; the resulting networks exhibit a smooth trade-off between the two input regimes.


Auxiliary Task Reweighting for Minimum-data Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Supervised learning requires a large amount of training data, limiting its application where labeled data is scarce. To compensate for data scarcity, one possible method is to utilize auxiliary tasks to provide additional supervision for the main task. Assigning and optimizing the importance weights for different auxiliary tasks remains an crucial and largely understudied research question. In this work, we propose a method to automatically reweight auxiliary tasks in order to reduce the data requirement on the main task. Specifically, we formulate the weighted likelihood function of auxiliary tasks as a surrogate prior for the main task. By adjusting the auxiliary task weights to minimize the divergence between the surrogate prior and the true prior of the main task, we obtain a more accurate prior estimation, achieving the goal of minimizing the required amount of training data for the main task and avoiding a costly grid search. In multiple experimental settings (e.g. semi-supervised learning, multi-label classification), we demonstrate that our algorithm can effectively utilize limited labeled data of the main task with the benefit of auxiliary tasks compared with previous task reweighting methods. We also show that under extreme cases with only a few extra examples (e.g. few-shot domain adaptation), our algorithm results in significant improvement over the baseline.


Deep Volumetric Ambient Occlusion

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We present a novel deep learning based technique for volumetric ambient occlusion in the context of direct volume rendering. Our proposed Deep Volumetric Ambient Occlusion (DVAO) approach can predict per-voxel ambient occlusion in volumetric data sets, while considering global information provided through the transfer function. The proposed neural network only needs to be executed upon change of this global information, and thus supports real-time volume interaction. Accordingly, we demonstrate DVAOs ability to predict volumetric ambient occlusion, such that it can be applied interactively within direct volume rendering. To achieve the best possible results, we propose and analyze a variety of transfer function representations and injection strategies for deep neural networks. Based on the obtained results we also give recommendations applicable in similar volume learning scenarios. Lastly, we show that DVAO generalizes to a variety of modalities, despite being trained on computed tomography data only.


Projecting to Manifolds via Unsupervised Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We present a new mechanism, called adversarial projection, that projects a given signal onto the intrinsically low dimensional manifold of true data. This operator can be used for solving inverse problems, which consists of recovering a signal from a collection of noisy measurements. Rather than attempt to encode prior knowledge via an analytic regularizer, we leverage available data to project signals directly onto the (possibly nonlinear) manifold of true data (i.e., regularize via an indicator function of the manifold). Our approach avoids the difficult task of forming a direct representation of the manifold. Instead, we directly learn the projection operator by solving a sequence of unsupervised learning problems, and we prove our method converges in probability to the desired projection. This operator can then be directly incorporated into optimization algorithms in the same manner as Plug-and-Play methods, but now with robust theoretical guarantees. Numerical examples are provided.