Recently, autonomous vehicles and those equipped with an Advanced Driver Assistance System (ADAS) are emerging. They share the road with regular ones operated by human drivers entirely. To ensure guaranteed safety for passengers and other road users, it becomes essential for autonomous vehicles and ADAS to anticipate traffic accidents from natural driving scenes. The dynamic spatial-temporal interaction of the traffic agents is complex, and visual cues for predicting a future accident are embedded deeply in dashcam video data. Therefore, early anticipation of traffic accidents remains a challenge. To this end, the paper presents a dynamic spatial-temporal attention (DSTA) network for early anticipation of traffic accidents from dashcam videos. The proposed DSTA-network learns to select discriminative temporal segments of a video sequence with a module named Dynamic Temporal Attention (DTA). It also learns to focus on the informative spatial regions of frames with another module named Dynamic Spatial Attention (DSA). The spatial-temporal relational features of accidents, along with scene appearance features, are learned jointly with a Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) network. The experimental evaluation of the DSTA-network on two benchmark datasets confirms that it has exceeded the state-of-the-art performance. A thorough ablation study evaluates the contributions of individual components of the DSTA-network, revealing how the network achieves such performance. Furthermore, this paper proposes a new strategy that fuses the prediction scores from two complementary models and verifies its effectiveness in further boosting the performance of early accident anticipation.

This book develops an effective theory approach to understanding deep neural networks of practical relevance. Beginning from a first-principles component-level picture of networks, we explain how to determine an accurate description of the output of trained networks by solving layer-to-layer iteration equations and nonlinear learning dynamics. A main result is that the predictions of networks are described by nearly-Gaussian distributions, with the depth-to-width aspect ratio of the network controlling the deviations from the infinite-width Gaussian description. We explain how these effectively-deep networks learn nontrivial representations from training and more broadly analyze the mechanism of representation learning for nonlinear models. From a nearly-kernel-methods perspective, we find that the dependence of such models' predictions on the underlying learning algorithm can be expressed in a simple and universal way. To obtain these results, we develop the notion of representation group flow (RG flow) to characterize the propagation of signals through the network. By tuning networks to criticality, we give a practical solution to the exploding and vanishing gradient problem. We further explain how RG flow leads to near-universal behavior and lets us categorize networks built from different activation functions into universality classes. Altogether, we show that the depth-to-width ratio governs the effective model complexity of the ensemble of trained networks. By using information-theoretic techniques, we estimate the optimal aspect ratio at which we expect the network to be practically most useful and show how residual connections can be used to push this scale to arbitrary depths. With these tools, we can learn in detail about the inductive bias of architectures, hyperparameters, and optimizers.

With the rise of deep learning models in the field of computer vision, new possibilities for their application in industrial processes proves to return great benefits. Nevertheless, the actual fit of machine learning for highly standardised industrial processes is still under debate. This paper addresses the challenges on the industrial realization of the AI tools, considering the use case of Laser Beam Welding quality control as an example. We use object detection algorithms from the TensorFlow object detection API and adapt them to our use case using transfer learning. The baseline models we develop are used as benchmarks and evaluated and compared to models that undergo dataset scaling and hyperparameter tuning. We find that moderate scaling of the dataset via image augmentation leads to improvements in intersection over union (IoU) and recall, whereas high levels of augmentation and scaling may lead to deterioration of results. Finally, we put our results into perspective of the underlying use case and evaluate their fit.

In active visual tracking, it is notoriously difficult when distracting objects appear, as distractors often mislead the tracker by occluding the target or bringing a confusing appearance. To address this issue, we propose a mixed cooperative-competitive multi-agent game, where a target and multiple distractors form a collaborative team to play against a tracker and make it fail to follow. Through learning in our game, diverse distracting behaviors of the distractors naturally emerge, thereby exposing the tracker's weakness, which helps enhance the distraction-robustness of the tracker. For effective learning, we then present a bunch of practical methods, including a reward function for distractors, a cross-modal teacher-student learning strategy, and a recurrent attention mechanism for the tracker. The experimental results show that our tracker performs desired distraction-robust active visual tracking and can be well generalized to unseen environments. We also show that the multi-agent game can be used to adversarially test the robustness of trackers.

One of the key problems in multi-label text classification is how to take advantage of the correlation among labels. However, it is very challenging to directly model the correlations among labels in a complex and unknown label space. In this paper, we propose a Label Mask multi-label text classification model (LM-MTC), which is inspired by the idea of cloze questions of language model. LM-MTC is able to capture implicit relationships among labels through the powerful ability of pre-train language models. On the basis, we assign a different token to each potential label, and randomly mask the token with a certain probability to build a label based Masked Language Model (MLM). We train the MTC and MLM together, further improving the generalization ability of the model. A large number of experiments on multiple datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our method.

Counterfactual explanations and adversarial examples have emerged as critical research areas for addressing the explainability and robustness goals of machine learning (ML). While counterfactual explanations were developed with the goal of providing recourse to individuals adversely impacted by algorithmic decisions, adversarial examples were designed to expose the vulnerabilities of ML models. While prior research has hinted at the commonalities between these frameworks, there has been little to no work on systematically exploring the connections between the literature on counterfactual explanations and adversarial examples. In this work, we make one of the first attempts at formalizing the connections between counterfactual explanations and adversarial examples. More specifically, we theoretically analyze salient counterfactual explanation and adversarial example generation methods, and highlight the conditions under which they behave similarly. Our analysis demonstrates that several popular counterfactual explanation and adversarial example generation methods such as the ones proposed by Wachter et. al. and Carlini and Wagner (with mean squared error loss), and C-CHVAE and natural adversarial examples by Zhao et. al. are equivalent. We also bound the distance between counterfactual explanations and adversarial examples generated by Wachter et. al. and DeepFool methods for linear models. Finally, we empirically validate our theoretical findings using extensive experimentation with synthetic and real world datasets.

Limited availability of labeled-data makes any supervised learning problem challenging. Alternative learning settings like semi-supervised and universum learning alleviate the dependency on labeled data, but still require a large amount of unlabeled data, which may be unavailable or expensive to acquire. GAN-based synthetic data generation methods have recently shown promise by generating synthetic samples to improve task at hand. However, these samples cannot be used for other purposes. In this paper, we propose a GAN game which provides improved discriminator accuracy under limited data settings, while generating realistic synthetic data. This provides the added advantage that now the generated data can be used for other similar tasks. We provide the theoretical guarantees and empirical results in support of our approach.

In today's ML, data can be twisted (changed) in various ways, either for bad or good intent. Such twisted data challenges the founding theory of properness for supervised losses which form the basis for many popular losses for class probability estimation. Unfortunately, at its core, properness ensures that the optimal models also learn the twist. In this paper, we analyse such class probability-based losses when they are stripped off the mandatory properness; we define twist-proper losses as losses formally able to retrieve the optimum (untwisted) estimate off the twists, and show that a natural extension of a half-century old loss introduced by S. Arimoto is twist proper. We then turn to a theory that has provided some of the best off-the-shelf algorithms for proper losses, boosting. Boosting can require access to the derivative of the convex conjugate of a loss to compute examples weights. Such a function can be hard to get, for computational or mathematical reasons; this turns out to be the case for Arimoto's loss. We bypass this difficulty by inverting the problem as follows: suppose a blueprint boosting algorithm is implemented with a general weight update function. What are the losses for which boosting-compliant minimisation happens? Our answer comes as a general boosting algorithm which meets the optimal boosting dependence on the number of calls to the weak learner; when applied to Arimoto's loss, it leads to a simple optimisation algorithm whose performances are showcased on several domains and twists.

Deep learning (DL) tools like convolutional neural networks which contain millions of simulated neurons structured in layers enable artificial intelligence (AI) to imitate the learning, reasoning, perception and problem solving of the human brain. This technological change is revolutionizing every dimension of the insurance industry. While insurers, suppliers, insurance brokers and consumers are getting better at implementing DL and AI tools for the improvement of reasoning and productivity, cost minimization and the enhancement of the customer experience, this technological shift will be even faster. In this blog post, we are going to share with you four aspects insurers need to focus on and how they can get prepared so as to get the most out of this tech-driven transformation. The number of connected consumer devices will drastically rise in the near future.

A few people in the ML scene have recommended this book. Statistics is a pretty important topic. Helping you work out how to improve and analyse your datasets. So learning more about the topic should not hurt.