An open problem in artificial intelligence is how systems can flexibly learn discrete abstractions that are useful for solving inherently continuous problems. Previous work in computational neuroscience has considered this functional integration of discrete and continuous variables during decision-making under the formalism of active inference (Parr, Friston & de Vries, 2017; Parr & Friston, 2018). However, their focus is on the expressive physical implementation of categorical decisions and the hierarchical mixed generative model is assumed to be known. As a consequence, it is unclear how this framework might be extended to learning. We therefore present a novel hierarchical hybrid active inference agent in which a high-level discrete active inference planner sits above a low-level continuous active inference controller. We make use of recent work in recurrent switching linear dynamical systems (rSLDS) which implement end-to-end learning of meaningful discrete representations via the piecewise linear decomposition of complex continuous dynamics (Linderman et al., 2016). The representations learned by the rSLDS inform the structure of the hybrid decision-making agent and allow us to (1) specify temporally-abstracted sub-goals in a method reminiscent of the options framework, (2) lift the exploration into discrete space allowing us to exploit information-theoretic exploration bonuses and (3) `cache' the approximate solutions to low-level problems in the discrete planner. We apply our model to the sparse Continuous Mountain Car task, demonstrating fast system identification via enhanced exploration and successful planning through the delineation of abstract sub-goals.

Given the growth in the variety and precision of astronomical datasets of interest for cosmology, the best cosmological constraints are invariably obtained by combining data from different experiments. At the likelihood level, one complication in doing so is the need to marginalise over large-dimensional parameter models describing the data of each experiment. These include both the relatively small number of cosmological parameters of interest and a large number of "nuisance" parameters. Sampling over the joint parameter space for multiple experiments can thus become a very computationally expensive operation. This can be significantly simplified if one could sample directly from the marginal cosmological posterior distribution of preceding experiments, depending only on the common set of cosmological parameters. In this paper, we show that this can be achieved by emulating marginal posterior distributions via normalising flows. The resulting trained normalising flow models can be used to efficiently combine cosmological constraints from independent datasets without increasing the dimensionality of the parameter space under study. We show that the method is able to accurately describe the posterior distribution of real cosmological datasets, as well as the joint distribution of different datasets, even when significant tension exists between experiments. The resulting joint constraints can be obtained in a fraction of the time it would take to combine the same datasets at the level of their likelihoods. We construct normalising flow models for a set of public cosmological datasets of general interests and make them available, together with the software used to train them, and to exploit them in cosmological parameter inference.

This paper investigates the impact of cooperative perception on autonomous driving decision making on urban roads. The extended perception range contributed by the cooperative perception can be properly leveraged to address the implicit dependencies within the vehicles, thereby the vehicle decision making performance can be improved. Meanwhile, we acknowledge the inherent limitation of wireless communication and propose a Cooperative Perception on Demand (CPoD) strategy, where the cooperative perception will only be activated when the extended perception range is necessary for proper situation-awareness. The situation-aware decision making with CPoD is modeled as a Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP) and solved in an online manner. The evaluation results demonstrate that the proposed approach can function safely and efficiently for autonomous driving on urban roads.

Digital twins (DTs) have emerged as a promising enabler for representing the real-time states of physical worlds and realizing self-sustaining systems. In practice, DTs of physical devices, such as mobile users (MUs), are commonly deployed in multi-access edge computing (MEC) networks for the sake of reducing latency. To ensure the accuracy and fidelity of DTs, it is essential for MUs to regularly synchronize their status with their DTs. However, MU mobility introduces significant challenges to DT synchronization. Firstly, MU mobility triggers DT migration which could cause synchronization failures. Secondly, MUs require frequent synchronization with their DTs to ensure DT fidelity. Nonetheless, DT migration among MEC servers, caused by MU mobility, may occur infrequently. Accordingly, we propose a two-timescale DT synchronization and migration framework with reliability consideration by establishing a non-convex stochastic problem to minimize the long-term average energy consumption of MUs. We use Lyapunov theory to convert the reliability constraints and reformulate the new problem as a partially observable Markov decision-making process (POMDP). Furthermore, we develop a heterogeneous agent proximal policy optimization with Beta distribution (Beta-HAPPO) method to solve it. Numerical results show that our proposed Beta-HAPPO method achieves significant improvements in energy savings when compared with other benchmarks.

Designing a safe policy for uncertain environments is crucial in real-world control applications. However, this challenge remains inadequately addressed within the Markov decision process (MDP) framework. This paper presents the first algorithm capable of identifying a near-optimal policy in a robust constrained MDP (RCMDP), where an optimal policy minimizes cumulative cost while satisfying constraints in the worst-case scenario across a set of environments. We first prove that the conventional Lagrangian max-min formulation with policy gradient methods can become trapped in suboptimal solutions by encountering a sum of conflicting gradients from the objective and constraint functions during its inner minimization problem. To address this, we leverage the epigraph form of the RCMDP problem, which resolves the conflict by selecting a single gradient from either the objective or the constraints. Building on the epigraph form, we propose a binary search algorithm with a policy gradient subroutine and prove that it identifies an $\varepsilon$-optimal policy in an RCMDP with $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(\varepsilon^{-4})$ policy evaluations.

For statistical modeling wherein the data regime is unfavorable in terms of dimensionality relative to the sample size, finding hidden sparsity in the ground truth can be critical in formulating an accurate statistical model. The so-called "l0 norm" which counts the number of non-zero components in a vector, is a strong reliable mechanism of enforcing sparsity when incorporated into an optimization problem. However, in big data settings wherein noisy estimates of the gradient must be evaluated out of computational necessity, the literature is scant on methods that reliably converge. In this paper we present an approach towards solving expectation objective optimization problems with cardinality constraints. We prove convergence of the underlying stochastic process, and demonstrate the performance on two Machine Learning problems.

Infectious diseases pose significant human and economic burdens. Accurately forecasting disease incidence can enable public health agencies to respond effectively to existing or emerging diseases. Despite progress in the field, developing accurate forecasting models remains a significant challenge. This thesis proposes two methodological frameworks using neural networks (NNs) with associated uncertainty estimates - a critical component limiting the application of NNs to epidemic forecasting thus far. We develop our frameworks by forecasting influenza-like illness (ILI) in the United States. Our first proposed method uses Web search activity data in conjunction with historical ILI rates as observations for training NN architectures. Our models incorporate Bayesian layers to produce uncertainty intervals, positioning themselves as legitimate alternatives to more conventional approaches. The best performing architecture: iterative recurrent neural network (IRNN), reduces mean absolute error by 10.3% and improves Skill by 17.1% on average in forecasting tasks across four flu seasons compared to the state-of-the-art. We build on this method by introducing IRNNs, an architecture which changes the sampling procedure in the IRNN to improve the uncertainty estimation. Our second framework uses neural ordinary differential equations to bridge the gap between mechanistic compartmental models and NNs; benefiting from the physical constraints that compartmental models provide. We evaluate eight neural ODE models utilising a mixture of ILI rates and Web search activity data to provide forecasts. These are compared with the IRNN and IRNN0 - the IRNN using only ILI rates. Models trained without Web search activity data outperform the IRNN0 by 16% in terms of Skill. Future work should focus on more effectively using neural ODEs with Web search data to compete with the best performing IRNN.

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) are used to learn representations in partially observable environments. For agents that learn online and continually interact with the environment, it is desirable to train RNNs with real-time recurrent learning (RTRL); unfortunately, RTRL is prohibitively expensive for standard RNNs. A promising direction is to use linear recurrent architectures (LRUs), where dense recurrent weights are replaced with a complex-valued diagonal, making RTRL efficient. In this work, we build on these insights to provide a lightweight but effective approach for training RNNs in online RL. We introduce Recurrent Trace Units (RTUs), a small modification on LRUs that we nonetheless find to have significant performance benefits over LRUs when trained with RTRL. We find RTUs significantly outperform other recurrent architectures across several partially observable environments while using significantly less computation.

Dataset distillation (DD) is an increasingly important technique that focuses on constructing a synthetic dataset capable of capturing the core information in training data to achieve comparable performance in models trained on the latter. While DD has a wide range of applications, the theory supporting it is less well evolved. New methods of DD are compared on a common set of benchmarks, rather than oriented towards any particular learning task. In this work, we present a formal model of DD, arguing that a precise characterization of the underlying optimization problem must specify the inference task associated with the application of interest. Without this task-specific focus, the DD problem is under-specified, and the selection of a DD algorithm for a particular task is merely heuristic. Our formalization reveals novel applications of DD across different modeling environments. We analyze existing DD methods through this broader lens, highlighting their strengths and limitations in terms of accuracy and faithfulness to optimal DD operation. Finally, we present numerical results for two case studies important in contemporary settings. Firstly, we address a critical challenge in medical data analysis: merging the knowledge from different datasets composed of intersecting, but not identical, sets of features, in order to construct a larger dataset in what is usually a small sample setting. Secondly, we consider out-of-distribution error across boundary conditions for physics-informed neural networks (PINNs), showing the potential for DD to provide more physically faithful data. By establishing this general formulation of DD, we aim to establish a new research paradigm by which DD can be understood and from which new DD techniques can arise.

The majority of language model training builds on imitation learning. It covers pretraining, supervised fine-tuning, and affects the starting conditions for reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF). The simplicity and scalability of maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) for next token prediction led to its role as predominant paradigm. However, the broader field of imitation learning can more effectively utilize the sequential structure underlying autoregressive generation. We focus on investigating the inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) perspective to imitation, extracting rewards and directly optimizing sequences instead of individual token likelihoods and evaluate its benefits for fine-tuning large language models. We provide a new angle, reformulating inverse soft-Q-learning as a temporal difference regularized extension of MLE. This creates a principled connection between MLE and IRL and allows trading off added complexity with increased performance and diversity of generations in the supervised fine-tuning (SFT) setting. We find clear advantages for IRL-based imitation, in particular for retaining diversity while maximizing task performance, rendering IRL a strong alternative on fixed SFT datasets even without online data generation. Our analysis of IRL-extracted reward functions further indicates benefits for more robust reward functions via tighter integration of supervised and preference-based LLM post-training.