Learning Graphical Models
Reviews: Unsupervised Risk Estimation Using Only Conditional Independence Structure
I found the paper very well presented and enjoyable to read. The basic problem is interesting, and the approach presented as some salient features, notably the fact that one does not have to make parametric assumption on the underlying distribution. The high-level idea of imposing structural assumptions but nonetheless relying on discriminative models was quite elegant. The basic insight in estimating the risk from unlabelled data is that by encoding a certain structural assumption - namely, that the data comprises three independent views - one implicitly gets information about the class-conditional risks by considering the first three moments of the label vectors. This leads to a system of equations which may be solved to infer the class-conditional risks.
Reviews: Scan Order in Gibbs Sampling: Models in Which it Matters and Bounds on How Much
I think this paper addresses an important issue and makes valuable contributions, and thus should be published. I have a few concerns, hence my lower rating for the last question above (which I think could be addressed relatively easily, however). I think this is fundamentally *OK* and even perhaps a positive thing. However, I think a bit more discussion needs to be given to how the arguments might be made more formal. For example, in Section 2.1, I think the proof is intended to hold only in the limit of M going to infinity. Please give a stament of what should hold in what limit-- this wasn't clear to me.
Reviews: Learning Treewidth-Bounded Bayesian Networks with Thousands of Variables
The proposed method is very similar to previous work by Nie et al. -- both use k-trees to search for low-treewidth Bayesian networks, both start with a randomly chosen initial clique, and both propose using an A* method for finding the best tree. The differences are that Nie et al. score k-trees using a mutual information score and use BDeu for choosing the final consistent Bayesian network, while this paper proposes using BIC and incrementally building the Bayesian network along with the k-tree, using the BN to score the k-tree. This paper also includes the additional restriction that the complete variable (partial) order is chosen randomly, while in Nie et al. The main justification for these differences is the ability to scale to large treewidths. However, in the experiments, the previous S2 algorithm also can scale to large treewidths.
Reviews: Launch and Iterate: Reducing Prediction Churn
The problem articulated and addressed by the paper is important, the techniques introduces are very general in their applicability, and the experimental results successfully demonstrate the utility of the techniques to addressing the problem. The fixed-point MCMC approach is very conceptually compelling, although it lacked theoretical analysis and rigor, and appeared to be not that significant to achieving good results (the results suggest a single iteration may be sufficient). After reading the highly suggestive section on the Markov chain, the theoretical results appeared underwhelming. A rigorous analysis of the Markov chain would have made the paper more self-contained and increased its technical strength. Alternatively, focusing on the single-step stabilization operator case, and obtaining more general theoretical results within that restricted setting, would have made the paper more self-contained and cohesive.
Reviews: Optimal Tagging with Markov Chain Optimization
Optimization of the link structure for PR is not a new topic. Apart from papers mentioned in Related work, there are also those not reviewed, including "PageRank Optimization by Edge Selection" by Csaji et al., "Maximizing PageRank with New Backlinks" by Olsen, "PageRank Optimization in Polynomial Time by Stochastic Shortest Path Reformulation" by Csaji et al. **The novelty** of the study is questionable. The probability of reaching the target state \sigma can be viewed as the state's stationary probability for the graph, where the added edges are directed to the state \sigma and the matrix of transition probabilities is raised to an appropriate power. This observation does not immediately reduce the problem of the paper to a known task, however, it may partially explain the similarity between the theoretical part and the works of Olsen, where the stationary probability is maximized. In particular, Section 4 resembles the work "Maximizing PageRank with New Backlinks" (not cited in the paper), where M. Olsen considered a reduction of a Markov chain optimization problem to the independent set problem, which is equivalent to the vertex cover problem. Theorems 5.1, 5.3 are reasonable, but very simple and resemble Lemmas 1,2 from [15].
Reviews: Pairwise Choice Markov Chains
This paper considers the problem of developing flexible choice models that are not constrained to satisfy traditional, restrictive choice axioms (such as Luce's axiom of independence of irrelevant attributes, IIA), but that can be tractably inferred from data. A (discrete) choice model over n items specifies probabilities of the form p(i,S) Prob( i chosen from S) for each subset of items S \subseteq [n] and each item i \in S. One of the most widely used models of discrete choice is the multinomial logit (MNL) choice model, which can be inferred efficiently from data but which is constrained to satisfy IIA and other restrictive assumptions. The paper proposes a new Markov chain based model of discrete choice that is parametrized by a (n x n) pairwise selection probability matrix. The model avoids several of the earlier restrictive assumptions, but is shown to satisfy an interesting property termed contractibility, which in turn also implies a reasonable property of uniform expansion. Parameter estimation in the model is done by maximum likelihood (the log-likelihood function is non-concave in general, but the experiments suggest that good parameters are learned).
Reviews: A Bayesian method for reducing bias in neural representational similarity analysis
The paper explains well how computing RSA using estimates of regression weights can result in a biased similarity matrix. However, in many cases in neuroscience, the RSA is computed directly on the patterns of activity, and not the estimates of regression weights beta. This diminishes the relevance of this paper to the neuroscience field. The authors very briefly address this alternate way of computing RSA in lines 123-128. It is unclear how this alternative RSA computation is biased if it does not depend on a proxy for beta estimates, and needs to be addressed further.
Reviews: Safe Exploration in Finite Markov Decision Processes with Gaussian Processes
The paper is well-written and clear. The proposed idea is interesting. I have the following comments/questions: 1) Does the Liptschiz assumption hold here with a probability or is it assumed to always hold? 2) Figure 1: should it be \bar{s}_2 instead of s_2 in the caption? The use of bar for non-sets is confusing. I do not see the need for the last intersection in Equation 4. 4) When you repeatedly apply Equation 4, the number of states that satisfy the safety constraint shrinks because you use Liptschiz in the worst scenario sense.
Reviews: Confusions over Time: An Interpretable Bayesian Model to Characterize Trends in Decision Making
The authors motivate the proposed model with the setting in which items have "true" but unobserved labels/ratings and the observed labels/ratings given by evaluators are potentially incorrect. This differs from the very common problem in recommendation systems or collaborative filtering where evaluators provide their subjective ratings but there is not assumed to be any "true" rating (e.g., users of Netflix giving 1-5 star ratings to movies). This seems like a common but underexplored setting that is worthy of further study within machine learning. The authors are also right to highlight interpretability as a desired aspect of any machine learning solution that may yield post-hoc insights into common human biases and thus suggest corrective measures. This paper does a good job of motivating the proposed model and situating it within the crowdsourcing and human annotation literature.
Reviews: Near-Optimal Smoothing of Structured Conditional Probability Matrices
If my understanding is correct, Theorem 1 of the authors does not quite apply to their algorithm ADD-1/2-Smoothed Low-Rank. Instead, it applies to the non-computable algorithm where they assume that they have a minimizer of the objective function in Theorem 3. It is not clear if the alternating optimization algorithm proposed in the paper is guaranteed to converge to a minimizer of the objective in Theorem 3. If this is true, the authors should mention this before stating Theorem 1 to avoid misleading the reader. The "discounting" seems important from the Experiments section but this is not described in the main paper. If this is so important, the authors should make room for this in the main paper. The main results (Theorem 1 and 2) are not so surprising given that this is almost a parametric estimation problem with mk parameters (so the rates should be km/n).