Learning Graphical Models
Choroidal image analysis for OCT image sequences with applications in systemic health
The choroid, a highly vascular layer behind the retina, is an extension of the central nervous system and has parallels with the renal cortex, with blood flow far exceeding that of the brain and kidney. Thus, there has been growing interest of choroidal blood flow reflecting physiological status of systemic disease. Optical coherence tomography (OCT) enables high-resolution imaging of the choroid, but conventional analysis methods remain manual or semi-automatic, limiting reproducibility, standardisation and clinical utility. In this thesis, I develop several new methods to analyse the choroid in OCT image sequences, with each successive method improving on its predecessors. I first develop two semi-automatic approaches for choroid region (Gaussian Process Edge Tracing, GPET) and vessel (Multi-scale Median Cut Quantisation, MMCQ) analysis, which improve on manual approaches but remain user-dependent. To address this, I introduce DeepGPET, a deep learning-based region segmentation method which improves on execution time, reproducibility, and end-user accessibility, but lacks choroid vessel analysis and automatic feature measurement. Improving on this, I developed Choroidalyzer, a deep learning-based pipeline to segment the choroidal space and vessels and generate fully automatic, clinically meaningful and reproducible choroidal features. I provide rigorous evaluation of these four approaches and consider their potential clinical value in three applications into systemic health: OCTANE, assessing choroidal changes in renal transplant recipients and donors; PREVENT, exploring choroidal associations with Alzheimer's risk factors at mid-life; D-RISCii, assessing choroidal variation and feasibility of OCT in critical care. In short, this thesis contributes many open-source tools for standardised choroidal measurement and highlights the choroid's potential as a biomarker in systemic health.
Integrating Artificial Intelligence and Geophysical Insights for Earthquake Forecasting: A Cross-Disciplinary Review
Ying, Zhang, Congcong, Wen, Didier, Sornette, Chengxiang, Zhan
Earthquake forecasting remains a significant scientific challenge, with current methods falling short of achieving the performance necessary for meaningful societal benefits. Traditional models, primarily based on past seismicity and geomechanical data, struggle to capture the complexity of seismic patterns and often overlook valuable non-seismic precursors such as geophysical, geochemical, and atmospheric anomalies. The integration of such diverse data sources into forecasting models, combined with advancements in AI technologies, offers a promising path forward. AI methods, particularly deep learning, excel at processing complex, large-scale datasets, identifying subtle patterns, and handling multidimensional relationships, making them well-suited for overcoming the limitations of conventional approaches. This review highlights the importance of combining AI with geophysical knowledge to create robust, physics-informed forecasting models. It explores current AI methods, input data types, loss functions, and practical considerations for model development, offering guidance to both geophysicists and AI researchers. While many AI-based studies oversimplify earthquake prediction, neglecting critical features such as data imbalance and spatio-temporal clustering, the integration of specialized geophysical insights into AI models can address these shortcomings. We emphasize the importance of interdisciplinary collaboration, urging geophysicists to experiment with AI architectures thoughtfully and encouraging AI experts to deepen their understanding of seismology. By bridging these disciplines, we can develop more accurate, reliable, and societally impactful earthquake forecasting tools.
Bayesian Optimization by Kernel Regression and Density-based Exploration
Zhu, Tansheng, Zhou, Hongyu, Jin, Ke, Xu, Xusheng, Yuan, Qiufan, Ji, Lijie
Bayesian optimization is highly effective for optimizing expensive-to-evaluate black-box functions, but it faces significant computational challenges due to the high computational complexity of Gaussian processes, which results in a total time complexity that is quartic with respect to the number of iterations. To address this limitation, we propose the Bayesian Optimization by Kernel regression and density-based Exploration (BOKE) algorithm. BOKE uses kernel regression for efficient function approximation, kernel density for exploration, and the improved kernel regression upper confidence bound criteria to guide the optimization process, thus reducing computational costs to quadratic. Our theoretical analysis rigorously establishes the global convergence of BOKE and ensures its robustness. Through extensive numerical experiments on both synthetic and real-world optimization tasks, we demonstrate that BOKE not only performs competitively compared to Gaussian process-based methods but also exhibits superior computational efficiency. These results highlight BOKE's effectiveness in resource-constrained environments, providing a practical approach for optimization problems in engineering applications.
Predictive Red Teaming: Breaking Policies Without Breaking Robots
Majumdar, Anirudha, Sharma, Mohit, Kalashnikov, Dmitry, Singh, Sumeet, Sermanet, Pierre, Sindhwani, Vikas
Is it possible to expose the vulnerabilities of a given robot policy with respect to changes in environmental factors such as lighting, visual distractors, and object placement without performing hardware evaluations in these scenarios? As we seek to deploy robots in environments with ever-increasing complexity, it becomes imperative to develop scalable methods for predicting how well they will generalize when faced with unseen scenarios. Performing hardware evaluations to discover vulnerabilities -- which can depend in surprising ways on the specifics of policy training and architecture -- is often prohibitively expensive to set up and execute, especially when the goal is to test the limits of safe deployment in a sufficiently diverse set of scenarios. As an example, consider a visuomotor diffusion policy [1] trained to perform pick-and-place tasks via behavior cloning (Figure 1). The policy is trained with a large dataset: over 3K+ demonstrations with varied objects, locations, and visual distractors. Will the policy generalize well to a change in the height of the table by a few centimeters (as one may plausibly predict due to the variations in 2D object locations in the training dataset) compared to when a human is standing closer to the table than seen during training? If so, what is the absolute degradation of the success rate in each case? As it turns out, the above prediction is incorrect: the success rate of the policy degrades from 65% under nominal conditions to 10% by changing the table height, and remains roughly constant with a human close to the table. Predicting the relative and absolute impact of other factors (e.g., lighting, table backgrounds, object distractors; Figure 1) can be even more challenging.
VINP: Variational Bayesian Inference with Neural Speech Prior for Joint ASR-Effective Speech Dereverberation and Blind RIR Identification
Wang, Pengyu, Fang, Ying, Li, Xiaofei
Reverberant speech, denoting the speech signal degraded by the process of reverberation, contains crucial knowledge of both anechoic source speech and room impulse response (RIR). This work proposes a variational Bayesian inference (VBI) framework with neural speech prior (VINP) for joint speech dereverberation and blind RIR identification. In VINP, a probabilistic signal model is constructed in the time-frequency (T-F) domain based on convolution transfer function (CTF) approximation. For the first time, we propose using an arbitrary discriminative dereverberation deep neural network (DNN) to predict the prior distribution of anechoic speech within a probabilistic model. By integrating both reverberant speech and the anechoic speech prior, VINP yields the maximum a posteriori (MAP) and maximum likelihood (ML) estimations of the anechoic speech spectrum and CTF filter, respectively. After simple transformations, the waveforms of anechoic speech and RIR are estimated. Moreover, VINP is effective for automatic speech recognition (ASR) systems, which sets it apart from most deep learning (DL)-based single-channel dereverberation approaches. Experiments on single-channel speech dereverberation demonstrate that VINP reaches an advanced level in most metrics related to human perception and displays unquestionable state-of-the-art (SOTA) performance in ASR-related metrics. For blind RIR identification, experiments indicate that VINP attains the SOTA level in blind estimation of reverberation time at 60 dB (RT60) and direct-to-reverberation ratio (DRR). Codes and audio samples are available online.
Advancing Precision Oncology Through Modeling of Longitudinal and Multimodal Data
Zhuang, Luoting, Park, Stephen H., Skates, Steven J., Prosper, Ashley E., Aberle, Denise R., Hsu, William
Cancer evolves continuously over time through a complex interplay of genetic, epigenetic, microenvironmental, and phenotypic changes. This dynamic behavior drives uncontrolled cell growth, metastasis, immune evasion, and therapy resistance, posing challenges for effective monitoring and treatment. However, today's data-driven research in oncology has primarily focused on cross-sectional analysis using data from a single modality, limiting the ability to fully characterize and interpret the disease's dynamic heterogeneity. Advances in multiscale data collection and computational methods now enable the discovery of longitudinal multimodal biomarkers for precision oncology. Longitudinal data reveal patterns of disease progression and treatment response that are not evident from single-timepoint data, enabling timely abnormality detection and dynamic treatment adaptation. Multimodal data integration offers complementary information from diverse sources for more precise risk assessment and targeting of cancer therapy. In this review, we survey methods of longitudinal and multimodal modeling, highlighting their synergy in providing multifaceted insights for personalized care tailored to the unique characteristics of a patient's cancer. We summarize the current challenges and future directions of longitudinal multimodal analysis in advancing precision oncology.
Task Offloading in Vehicular Edge Computing using Deep Reinforcement Learning: A Survey
Uddin, Ashab, Sakr, Ahmed Hamdi, Zhang, Ning
The increasing demand for Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) has introduced significant challenges in managing the complex, computation-intensive tasks generated by modern vehicles while offloading tasks to external computing infrastructures such as edge computing (EC), nearby vehicular , and UAVs has become influential solution to these challenges. However, traditional computational offloading strategies often struggle to adapt to the dynamic and heterogeneous nature of vehicular environments. In this study, we explored the potential of Reinforcement Learning (RL) and Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) frameworks to optimize computational offloading through adaptive, real-time decision-making, and we have thoroughly investigated the Markov Decision Process (MDP) approaches on the existing literature. The paper focuses on key aspects such as standardized learning models, optimized reward structures, and collaborative multi-agent systems, aiming to advance the understanding and application of DRL in vehicular networks. Our findings offer insights into enhancing the efficiency, scalability, and robustness of ITS, setting the stage for future innovations in this rapidly evolving field.
Tighter Value-Function Approximations for POMDPs
Krale, Merlijn, Koops, Wietze, Junges, Sebastian, Simão, Thiago D., Jansen, Nils
Solving partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) typically requires reasoning about the values of exponentially many state beliefs. Towards practical performance, state-of-the-art solvers use value bounds to guide this reasoning. However, sound upper value bounds are often computationally expensive to compute, and there is a tradeoff between the tightness of such bounds and their computational cost. This paper introduces new and provably tighter upper value bounds than the commonly used fast informed bound. Our empirical evaluation shows that, despite their additional computational overhead, the new upper bounds accelerate state-of-the-art POMDP solvers on a wide range of benchmarks.
Boosting of Classification Models with Human-in-the-Loop Computational Visual Knowledge Discovery
Williams, Alice, Kovalerchuk, Boris
High-risk artificial intelligence and machine learning classification tasks, such as healthcare diagnosis, require accurate and interpretable prediction models. However, classifier algorithms typically sacrifice individual case-accuracy for overall model accuracy, limiting analysis of class overlap areas regardless of task significance. The Adaptive Boosting meta-algorithm, which won the 2003 G\"odel Prize, analytically assigns higher weights to misclassified cases to reclassify. However, it relies on weaker base classifiers that are iteratively strengthened, limiting improvements from base classifiers. Combining visual and computational approaches enables selecting stronger base classifiers before boosting. This paper proposes moving boosting methodology from focusing on only misclassified cases to all cases in the class overlap areas using Computational and Interactive Visual Learning (CIVL) with a Human-in-the-Loop. It builds classifiers in lossless visualizations integrating human domain expertise and visual insights. A Divide and Classify process splits cases to simple and complex, classifying these individually through computational analysis and data visualization with lossless visualization spaces of Parallel Coordinates or other General Line Coordinates. After finding pure and overlap class areas simple cases in pure areas are classified, generating interpretable sub-models like decision rules in Propositional and First-order Logics. Only multidimensional cases in the overlap areas are losslessly visualized simplifying end-user cognitive tasks to identify difficult case patterns, including engineering features to form new classifiable patterns. Demonstration shows a perfectly accurate and losslessly interpretable model of the Iris dataset, and simulated data shows generalized benefits to accuracy and interpretability of models, increasing end-user confidence in discovered models.
Model-Based Offline Reinforcement Learning with Reliability-Guaranteed Sequence Modeling
Model-based offline reinforcement learning (MORL) aims to learn a policy by exploiting a dynamics model derived from an existing dataset. Applying conservative quantification to the dynamics model, most existing works on MORL generate trajectories that approximate the real data distribution to facilitate policy learning by using current information (e.g., the state and action at time step $t$). However, these works neglect the impact of historical information on environmental dynamics, leading to the generation of unreliable trajectories that may not align with the real data distribution. In this paper, we propose a new MORL algorithm \textbf{R}eliability-guaranteed \textbf{T}ransformer (RT), which can eliminate unreliable trajectories by calculating the cumulative reliability of the generated trajectory (i.e., using a weighted variational distance away from the real data). Moreover, by sampling candidate actions with high rewards, RT can efficiently generate high-return trajectories from the existing offline data. We theoretically prove the performance guarantees of RT in policy learning, and empirically demonstrate its effectiveness against state-of-the-art model-based methods on several benchmark tasks.