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 Learning Graphical Models


Predictive Red Teaming: Breaking Policies Without Breaking Robots

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Is it possible to expose the vulnerabilities of a given robot policy with respect to changes in environmental factors such as lighting, visual distractors, and object placement without performing hardware evaluations in these scenarios? As we seek to deploy robots in environments with ever-increasing complexity, it becomes imperative to develop scalable methods for predicting how well they will generalize when faced with unseen scenarios. Performing hardware evaluations to discover vulnerabilities -- which can depend in surprising ways on the specifics of policy training and architecture -- is often prohibitively expensive to set up and execute, especially when the goal is to test the limits of safe deployment in a sufficiently diverse set of scenarios. As an example, consider a visuomotor diffusion policy [1] trained to perform pick-and-place tasks via behavior cloning (Figure 1). The policy is trained with a large dataset: over 3K+ demonstrations with varied objects, locations, and visual distractors. Will the policy generalize well to a change in the height of the table by a few centimeters (as one may plausibly predict due to the variations in 2D object locations in the training dataset) compared to when a human is standing closer to the table than seen during training? If so, what is the absolute degradation of the success rate in each case? As it turns out, the above prediction is incorrect: the success rate of the policy degrades from 65% under nominal conditions to 10% by changing the table height, and remains roughly constant with a human close to the table. Predicting the relative and absolute impact of other factors (e.g., lighting, table backgrounds, object distractors; Figure 1) can be even more challenging.


VINP: Variational Bayesian Inference with Neural Speech Prior for Joint ASR-Effective Speech Dereverberation and Blind RIR Identification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Reverberant speech, denoting the speech signal degraded by the process of reverberation, contains crucial knowledge of both anechoic source speech and room impulse response (RIR). This work proposes a variational Bayesian inference (VBI) framework with neural speech prior (VINP) for joint speech dereverberation and blind RIR identification. In VINP, a probabilistic signal model is constructed in the time-frequency (T-F) domain based on convolution transfer function (CTF) approximation. For the first time, we propose using an arbitrary discriminative dereverberation deep neural network (DNN) to predict the prior distribution of anechoic speech within a probabilistic model. By integrating both reverberant speech and the anechoic speech prior, VINP yields the maximum a posteriori (MAP) and maximum likelihood (ML) estimations of the anechoic speech spectrum and CTF filter, respectively. After simple transformations, the waveforms of anechoic speech and RIR are estimated. Moreover, VINP is effective for automatic speech recognition (ASR) systems, which sets it apart from most deep learning (DL)-based single-channel dereverberation approaches. Experiments on single-channel speech dereverberation demonstrate that VINP reaches an advanced level in most metrics related to human perception and displays unquestionable state-of-the-art (SOTA) performance in ASR-related metrics. For blind RIR identification, experiments indicate that VINP attains the SOTA level in blind estimation of reverberation time at 60 dB (RT60) and direct-to-reverberation ratio (DRR). Codes and audio samples are available online.


Advancing Precision Oncology Through Modeling of Longitudinal and Multimodal Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Cancer evolves continuously over time through a complex interplay of genetic, epigenetic, microenvironmental, and phenotypic changes. This dynamic behavior drives uncontrolled cell growth, metastasis, immune evasion, and therapy resistance, posing challenges for effective monitoring and treatment. However, today's data-driven research in oncology has primarily focused on cross-sectional analysis using data from a single modality, limiting the ability to fully characterize and interpret the disease's dynamic heterogeneity. Advances in multiscale data collection and computational methods now enable the discovery of longitudinal multimodal biomarkers for precision oncology. Longitudinal data reveal patterns of disease progression and treatment response that are not evident from single-timepoint data, enabling timely abnormality detection and dynamic treatment adaptation. Multimodal data integration offers complementary information from diverse sources for more precise risk assessment and targeting of cancer therapy. In this review, we survey methods of longitudinal and multimodal modeling, highlighting their synergy in providing multifaceted insights for personalized care tailored to the unique characteristics of a patient's cancer. We summarize the current challenges and future directions of longitudinal multimodal analysis in advancing precision oncology.


Task Offloading in Vehicular Edge Computing using Deep Reinforcement Learning: A Survey

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The increasing demand for Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) has introduced significant challenges in managing the complex, computation-intensive tasks generated by modern vehicles while offloading tasks to external computing infrastructures such as edge computing (EC), nearby vehicular , and UAVs has become influential solution to these challenges. However, traditional computational offloading strategies often struggle to adapt to the dynamic and heterogeneous nature of vehicular environments. In this study, we explored the potential of Reinforcement Learning (RL) and Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) frameworks to optimize computational offloading through adaptive, real-time decision-making, and we have thoroughly investigated the Markov Decision Process (MDP) approaches on the existing literature. The paper focuses on key aspects such as standardized learning models, optimized reward structures, and collaborative multi-agent systems, aiming to advance the understanding and application of DRL in vehicular networks. Our findings offer insights into enhancing the efficiency, scalability, and robustness of ITS, setting the stage for future innovations in this rapidly evolving field.


Tighter Value-Function Approximations for POMDPs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Solving partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) typically requires reasoning about the values of exponentially many state beliefs. Towards practical performance, state-of-the-art solvers use value bounds to guide this reasoning. However, sound upper value bounds are often computationally expensive to compute, and there is a tradeoff between the tightness of such bounds and their computational cost. This paper introduces new and provably tighter upper value bounds than the commonly used fast informed bound. Our empirical evaluation shows that, despite their additional computational overhead, the new upper bounds accelerate state-of-the-art POMDP solvers on a wide range of benchmarks.


Boosting of Classification Models with Human-in-the-Loop Computational Visual Knowledge Discovery

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

High-risk artificial intelligence and machine learning classification tasks, such as healthcare diagnosis, require accurate and interpretable prediction models. However, classifier algorithms typically sacrifice individual case-accuracy for overall model accuracy, limiting analysis of class overlap areas regardless of task significance. The Adaptive Boosting meta-algorithm, which won the 2003 G\"odel Prize, analytically assigns higher weights to misclassified cases to reclassify. However, it relies on weaker base classifiers that are iteratively strengthened, limiting improvements from base classifiers. Combining visual and computational approaches enables selecting stronger base classifiers before boosting. This paper proposes moving boosting methodology from focusing on only misclassified cases to all cases in the class overlap areas using Computational and Interactive Visual Learning (CIVL) with a Human-in-the-Loop. It builds classifiers in lossless visualizations integrating human domain expertise and visual insights. A Divide and Classify process splits cases to simple and complex, classifying these individually through computational analysis and data visualization with lossless visualization spaces of Parallel Coordinates or other General Line Coordinates. After finding pure and overlap class areas simple cases in pure areas are classified, generating interpretable sub-models like decision rules in Propositional and First-order Logics. Only multidimensional cases in the overlap areas are losslessly visualized simplifying end-user cognitive tasks to identify difficult case patterns, including engineering features to form new classifiable patterns. Demonstration shows a perfectly accurate and losslessly interpretable model of the Iris dataset, and simulated data shows generalized benefits to accuracy and interpretability of models, increasing end-user confidence in discovered models.


Model-Based Offline Reinforcement Learning with Reliability-Guaranteed Sequence Modeling

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Model-based offline reinforcement learning (MORL) aims to learn a policy by exploiting a dynamics model derived from an existing dataset. Applying conservative quantification to the dynamics model, most existing works on MORL generate trajectories that approximate the real data distribution to facilitate policy learning by using current information (e.g., the state and action at time step $t$). However, these works neglect the impact of historical information on environmental dynamics, leading to the generation of unreliable trajectories that may not align with the real data distribution. In this paper, we propose a new MORL algorithm \textbf{R}eliability-guaranteed \textbf{T}ransformer (RT), which can eliminate unreliable trajectories by calculating the cumulative reliability of the generated trajectory (i.e., using a weighted variational distance away from the real data). Moreover, by sampling candidate actions with high rewards, RT can efficiently generate high-return trajectories from the existing offline data. We theoretically prove the performance guarantees of RT in policy learning, and empirically demonstrate its effectiveness against state-of-the-art model-based methods on several benchmark tasks.


Enhancing healthcare infrastructure resilience through agent-based simulation methods

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Critical infrastructures face demanding challenges due to natural and human-generated threats, such as pandemics, workforce shortages or cyber-attacks, which might severely compromise service quality. To improve system resilience, decision-makers would need intelligent tools for quick and efficient resource allocation. This article explores an agent-based simulation model that intends to capture a part of the complexity of critical infrastructure systems, particularly considering the interdependencies of healthcare systems with information and telecommunication systems. Such a model enables to implement a simulation-based optimization approach in which the exposure of critical systems to risks is evaluated, while comparing the mitigation effects of multiple tactical and strategical decision alternatives to enhance their resilience. The proposed model is designed to be parameterizable, to enable adapting it to risk scenarios with different severity, and it facilitates the compilation of relevant performance indicators enabling monitoring at both agent level and system level. To validate the agent-based model, a literature-supported methodology has been used to perform cross-validation, sensitivity analysis and test the usefulness of the proposed model through a use case. The use case analyzes the impact of a concurrent pandemic and a cyber-attack on a hospital and compares different resiliency-enhancing countermeasures using contingency tables. Overall, the use case illustrates the feasibility and versatility of the proposed approach to enhance resiliency.


One-Shot Learning for k-SAT

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Consider a $k$-SAT formula $\Phi$ where every variable appears at most $d$ times, and let $\sigma$ be a satisfying assignment of $\Phi$ sampled proportionally to $e^{\beta m(\sigma)}$ where $m(\sigma)$ is the number of variables set to true and $\beta$ is a real parameter. Given $\Phi$ and $\sigma$, can we learn the value of $\beta$ efficiently? This problem falls into a recent line of works about single-sample ("one-shot") learning of Markov random fields. The $k$-SAT setting we consider here was recently studied by Galanis, Kandiros, and Kalavasis (SODA'24) where they showed that single-sample learning is possible when roughly $d\leq 2^{k/6.45}$ and impossible when $d\geq (k+1) 2^{k-1}$. Crucially, for their impossibility results they used the existence of unsatisfiable instances which, aside from the gap in $d$, left open the question of whether the feasibility threshold for one-shot learning is dictated by the satisfiability threshold of $k$-SAT formulas of bounded degree. Our main contribution is to answer this question negatively. We show that one-shot learning for $k$-SAT is infeasible well below the satisfiability threshold; in fact, we obtain impossibility results for degrees $d$ as low as $k^2$ when $\beta$ is sufficiently large, and bootstrap this to small values of $\beta$ when $d$ scales exponentially with $k$, via a probabilistic construction. On the positive side, we simplify the analysis of the learning algorithm and obtain significantly stronger bounds on $d$ in terms of $\beta$. In particular, for the uniform case $\beta\rightarrow 0$ that has been studied extensively in the sampling literature, our analysis shows that learning is possible under the condition $d\lesssim 2^{k/2}$. This is nearly optimal (up to constant factors) in the sense that it is known that sampling a uniformly-distributed satisfying assignment is NP-hard for $d\gtrsim 2^{k/2}$.


Bayesian Optimization for Building Social-Influence-Free Consensus

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We introduce Social Bayesian Optimization (SBO), a vote-efficient algorithm for consensus-building in collective decision-making. In contrast to single-agent scenarios, collective decision-making encompasses group dynamics that may distort agents' preference feedback, thereby impeding their capacity to achieve a social-influence-free consensus -- the most preferable decision based on the aggregated agent utilities. We demonstrate that under mild rationality axioms, reaching social-influence-free consensus using noisy feedback alone is impossible. To address this, SBO employs a dual voting system: cheap but noisy public votes (e.g., show of hands in a meeting), and more accurate, though expensive, private votes (e.g., one-to-one interview). We model social influence using an unknown social graph and leverage the dual voting system to efficiently learn this graph. Our theoretical findigns show that social graph estimation converges faster than the black-box estimation of agents' utilities, allowing us to reduce reliance on costly private votes early in the process. This enables efficient consensus-building primarily through noisy public votes, which are debiased based on the estimated social graph to infer social-influence-free feedback. We validate the efficacy of SBO across multiple real-world applications, including thermal comfort, team building, travel negotiation, and energy trading collaboration.