Learning Graphical Models
Towards Principled Multi-Agent Task Agnostic Exploration
Zamboni, Riccardo, Mutti, Mirco, Restelli, Marcello
In reinforcement learning, we typically refer to task-agnostic exploration when we aim to explore the environment without access to the task specification a priori. In a single-agent setting the problem has been extensively studied and mostly understood. A popular approach cast the task-agnostic objective as maximizing the entropy of the state distribution induced by the agent's policy, from which principles and methods follows. In contrast, little is known about task-agnostic exploration in multi-agent settings, which are ubiquitous in the real world. How should different agents explore in the presence of others? In this paper, we address this question through a generalization to multiple agents of the problem of maximizing the state distribution entropy. First, we investigate alternative formulations, highlighting respective positives and negatives. Then, we present a scalable, decentralized, trust-region policy search algorithm to address the problem in practical settings. Finally, we provide proof of concept experiments to both corroborate the theoretical findings and pave the way for task-agnostic exploration in challenging multi-agent settings.
Learning in Markets with Heterogeneous Agents: Dynamics and Survival of Bayesian vs. No-Regret Learners
Easley, David, Kolumbus, Yoav, Tardos, Eva
We analyze the performance of heterogeneous learning agents in asset markets with stochastic payoffs. Our agents aim to maximize the expected growth rate of their wealth but have different theories on how to learn this best. We focus on comparing Bayesian and no-regret learners in market dynamics. Bayesian learners with a prior over a finite set of models that assign positive prior probability to the correct model have posterior probabilities that converge exponentially to the correct model. Consequently, they survive even in the presence of agents who invest according to the correct model of the stochastic process. Bayesians with a continuum prior converge to the correct model at a rate of $O((\log T)/T)$. Online learning theory provides no-regret algorithms for maximizing the log of wealth in this setting, achieving a worst-case regret bound of $O(\log T)$ without assuming a steady underlying stochastic process but comparing to the best fixed investment rule. This regret, as we observe, is of the same order of magnitude as that of a Bayesian learner with a continuum prior. However, we show that even such low regret may not be sufficient for survival in asset markets: an agent can have regret as low as $O(\log T)$, but still vanish in market dynamics when competing against agents who invest according to the correct model or even against a perfect Bayesian with a finite prior. On the other hand, we show that Bayesian learning is fragile, while no-regret learning requires less knowledge of the environment and is therefore more robust. Any no-regret learner will drive out of the market an imperfect Bayesian whose finite prior or update rule has even small errors. We formally establish the relationship between notions of survival, vanishing, and market domination studied in economics and the framework of regret minimization, thus bridging these theories.
Data Sensor Fusion In Digital Twin Technology For Enhanced Capabilities In A Home Environment
Momoh, Benjamin, Yahaya, Salisu
This paper investigates the integration of data sensor fusion in digital twin technology to bolster home environment capabilities, particularly in the context of challenges brought on by the coronavirus pandemic and its economic effects. The study underscores the crucial role of digital transformation in not just adapting to, but also mitigating disruptions during the fourth industrial revolution. Using the Wit Motion sensor, data was collected for activities such as walking, working, sitting, and lying, with sensors measuring accelerometers, gyroscopes, and magnetometers. The research integrates Cyber-physical systems, IoT, AI, and robotics to fortify digital twin capabilities. The paper compares sensor fusion methods, including feature-level fusion, decision-level fusion, and Kalman filter fusion, alongside machine learning models like SVM, GBoost, and Random Forest to assess model effectiveness. Results show that sensor fusion significantly improves the accuracy and reliability of these models, as it compensates for individual sensor weaknesses, particularly with magnetometers. Despite higher accuracy in ideal conditions, integrating data from multiple sensors ensures more consistent and reliable results in real-world settings, thereby establishing a robust system that can be confidently applied in practical scenarios.
Necessary and Sufficient Oracles: Toward a Computational Taxonomy For Reinforcement Learning
Rohatgi, Dhruv, Foster, Dylan J.
Algorithms for reinforcement learning (RL) in large state spaces crucially rely on supervised learning subroutines to estimate objects such as value functions or transition probabilities. Since only the simplest supervised learning problems can be solved provably and efficiently, practical performance of an RL algorithm depends on which of these supervised learning "oracles" it assumes access to (and how they are implemented). But which oracles are better or worse? Is there a minimal oracle? In this work, we clarify the impact of the choice of supervised learning oracle on the computational complexity of RL, as quantified by the oracle strength. First, for the task of reward-free exploration in Block MDPs in the standard episodic access model -- a ubiquitous setting for RL with function approximation -- we identify two-context regression as a minimal oracle, i.e. an oracle that is both necessary and sufficient (under a mild regularity assumption). Second, we identify one-context regression as a near-minimal oracle in the stronger reset access model, establishing a provable computational benefit of resets in the process. Third, we broaden our focus to Low-Rank MDPs, where we give cryptographic evidence that the analogous oracle from the Block MDP setting is insufficient.
Off-Switching Not Guaranteed
We have seen rapid progress in the field of Artificial Intelligence (AI). If this progress continues, perhaps one day we will create powerful artificial agents. If we do so, how do we ensure that such AI agents do not go out of control? One approach is to make sure that we can switch off AI agents when they act against our interests. Put another way, we want to make sure that AI agents will defer to us.
Single-Agent Planning in a Multi-Agent System: A Unified Framework for Type-Based Planners
We consider a general problem where an agent is in a multi-agent environment and must plan for herself without any prior information about her opponents. At each moment, this pivotal agent is faced with a trade-off between exploiting her currently accumulated information about the other agents and exploring further to improve future (re-)planning. We propose a theoretic framework that unifies a spectrum of planners for the pivotal agent to address this trade-off. The planner at one end of this spectrum aims to find exact solutions, while those towards the other end yield approximate solutions as the problem scales up. Beyond theoretical analysis, we also implement \textbf{13} planners and conduct experiments in a specific domain called \textit{multi-agent route planning} with the number of agents \textbf{up to~50}, to compare their performaces in various scenarios. One interesting observation comes from a class of planners that we call \textit{safe-agents} and their enhanced variants by incorporating domain-specific knowledge, which is a simple special case under the proposed general framework, but performs sufficiently well in most cases. Our unified framework, as well as those induced planners, provides new insights on multi-agent decision-making, with potential applications to related areas such as mechanism design.
Salience-Invariant Consistent Policy Learning for Generalization in Visual Reinforcement Learning
Jingbo, Sun, Songjun, Tu, Qichao, Zhang, Ke, Chen, Dongbin, Zhao
Generalizing policies to unseen scenarios remains a critical challenge in visual reinforcement learning, where agents often overfit to the specific visual observations of the training environment. In unseen environments, distracting pixels may lead agents to extract representations containing task-irrelevant information. As a result, agents may deviate from the optimal behaviors learned during training, thereby hindering visual generalization.To address this issue, we propose the Salience-Invariant Consistent Policy Learning (SCPL) algorithm, an efficient framework for zero-shot generalization. Our approach introduces a novel value consistency module alongside a dynamics module to effectively capture task-relevant representations. The value consistency module, guided by saliency, ensures the agent focuses on task-relevant pixels in both original and perturbed observations, while the dynamics module uses augmented data to help the encoder capture dynamic- and reward-relevant representations. Additionally, our theoretical analysis highlights the importance of policy consistency for generalization. To strengthen this, we introduce a policy consistency module with a KL divergence constraint to maintain consistent policies across original and perturbed observations.Extensive experiments on the DMC-GB, Robotic Manipulation, and CARLA benchmarks demonstrate that SCPL significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods in terms of generalization. Notably, SCPL achieves average performance improvements of 14\%, 39\%, and 69\% in the challenging DMC video hard setting, the Robotic hard setting, and the CARLA benchmark, respectively.Project Page: https://sites.google.com/view/scpl-rl.
Handwritten Text Recognition: A Survey
Garrido-Munoz, Carlos, Rios-Vila, Antonio, Calvo-Zaragoza, Jorge
Handwritten Text Recognition (HTR) has become an essential field within pattern recognition and machine learning, with applications spanning historical document preservation to modern data entry and accessibility solutions. The complexity of HTR lies in the high variability of handwriting, which makes it challenging to develop robust recognition systems. This survey examines the evolution of HTR models, tracing their progression from early heuristic-based approaches to contemporary state-of-the-art neural models, which leverage deep learning techniques. The scope of the field has also expanded, with models initially capable of recognizing only word-level content progressing to recent end-to-end document-level approaches. Our paper categorizes existing work into two primary levels of recognition: (1) \emph{up to line-level}, encompassing word and line recognition, and (2) \emph{beyond line-level}, addressing paragraph- and document-level challenges. We provide a unified framework that examines research methodologies, recent advances in benchmarking, key datasets in the field, and a discussion of the results reported in the literature. Finally, we identify pressing research challenges and outline promising future directions, aiming to equip researchers and practitioners with a roadmap for advancing the field.
Copula-based mixture model identification for subgroup clustering with imaging applications
Zheng, Fei, Duchateau, Nicolas
Model-based clustering techniques have been widely applied to various application areas, while most studies focus on canonical mixtures with unique component distribution form. However, this strict assumption is often hard to satisfy. In this paper, we consider the more flexible Copula-Based Mixture Models (CBMMs) for clustering, which allow heterogeneous component distributions composed by flexible choices of marginal and copula forms. More specifically, we propose an adaptation of the Generalized Iterative Conditional Estimation (GICE) algorithm to identify the CBMMs in an unsupervised manner, where the marginal and copula forms and their parameters are estimated iteratively. GICE is adapted from its original version developed for switching Markov model identification with the choice of realization time. Our CBMM-GICE clustering method is then tested on synthetic two-cluster data (N=2000 samples) with discussion of the factors impacting its convergence. Finally, it is compared to the Expectation Maximization identified mixture models with unique component form on the entire MNIST database (N=70000), and on real cardiac magnetic resonance data (N=276) to illustrate its value for imaging applications.
Wrapped Gaussian on the manifold of Symmetric Positive Definite Matrices
de Surrel, Thibault, Lotte, Fabien, Chevallier, Sylvain, Yger, Florian
Circular and non-flat data distributions are prevalent across diverse domains of data science, yet their specific geometric structures often remain underutilized in machine learning frameworks. A principled approach to accounting for the underlying geometry of such data is pivotal, particularly when extending statistical models, like the pervasive Gaussian distribution. In this work, we tackle those issue by focusing on the manifold of symmetric positive definite matrices, a key focus in information geometry. We introduced a non-isotropic wrapped Gaussian by leveraging the exponential map, we derive theoretical properties of this distribution and propose a maximum likelihood framework for parameter estimation. Furthermore, we reinterpret established classifiers on SPD through a probabilistic lens and introduce new classifiers based on the wrapped Gaussian model. Experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate the robustness and flexibility of this geometry-aware distribution, underscoring its potential to advance manifold-based data analysis. This work lays the groundwork for extending classical machine learning and statistical methods to more complex and structured data.