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 Learning Graphical Models


Neural Spatiotemporal Point Processes: Trends and Challenges

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Spatiotemporal point processes (STPPs) are probabilistic models for events occurring in continuous space and time. Real-world event data often exhibit intricate dependencies and heterogeneous dynamics. By incorporating modern deep learning techniques, STPPs can model these complexities more effectively than traditional approaches. Consequently, the fusion of neural methods with STPPs has become an active and rapidly evolving research area. In this review, we categorize existing approaches, unify key design choices, and explain the challenges of working with this data modality. We further highlight emerging trends and diverse application domains. Finally, we identify open challenges and gaps in the literature.


Optimal Algorithms in Linear Regression under Covariate Shift: On the Importance of Precondition

arXiv.org Machine Learning

A common pursuit in modern statistical learning is to attain satisfactory generalization out of the source data distribution (OOD). In theory, the challenge remains unsolved even under the canonical setting of covariate shift for the linear model. This paper studies the foundational (high-dimensional) linear regression where the ground truth variables are confined to an ellipse-shape constraint and addresses two fundamental questions in this regime: (i) given the target covariate matrix, what is the min-max \emph{optimal} algorithm under covariate shift? (ii) for what kinds of target classes, the commonly-used SGD-type algorithms achieve optimality? Our analysis starts with establishing a tight lower generalization bound via a Bayesian Cramer-Rao inequality. For (i), we prove that the optimal estimator can be simply a certain linear transformation of the best estimator for the source distribution. Given the source and target matrices, we show that the transformation can be efficiently computed via a convex program. The min-max optimal analysis for SGD leverages the idea that we recognize both the accumulated updates of the applied algorithms and the ideal transformation as preconditions on the learning variables. We provide sufficient conditions when SGD with its acceleration variants attain optimality.


Review for NeurIPS paper: Learning Restricted Boltzmann Machines with Sparse Latent Variables

Neural Information Processing Systems

Additional Feedback: I found the phrase "few latent variables" to be confusing, since this is not really what the authors mean. In particular, their bounds use "s", which is bounded by the number of latent variables connected to any variable in the Markov blanket of Xi in the marginal distribution over the visible X. This was not clear, in my view, until the formal definition (150-155). Since this style of RBM is not well studied, the practical significance of learning rates is not clear. The type of model is intuitively appealing (many models use "local" latent variables or encourage sparseness), and perhaps the work would spur application of these styles of RBM, but it's difficult to say that this is improving the theory for a well-established problem of importance.


On Herding and the Perceptron Cycling Theorem

Neural Information Processing Systems

The paper develops a connection between traditional perceptron algorithms and recently introduced herding algorithms. It is shown that both algorithms can be viewed as an application of the perceptron cycling theorem. This connection strengthens some herding results and suggests new (supervised) herding algorithms that, like CRFs or discriminative RBMs, make predictions by conditioning on the input attributes. We develop and investigate variants of conditional herding, and show that conditional herding leads to practical algorithms that perform better than or on par with related classifiers such as the voted perceptron and the discriminative RBM.



Conditional Random Field Autoencoders for Unsupervised Structured Prediction

Neural Information Processing Systems

We introduce a framework for unsupervised learning of structured predictors with overlapping, global features. Each input's latent representation is predicted conditional on the observed data using a feature-rich conditional random field (CRF). Then a reconstruction of the input is (re)generated, conditional on the latent structure, using a generative model which factorizes similarly to the CRF. The autoencoder formulation enables efficient exact inference without resorting to unrealistic independence assumptions or restricting the kinds of features that can be used. We illustrate connections to traditional autoencoders, posterior regularization, and multi-view learning. We then show competitive results with instantiations of the framework for two canonical tasks in natural language processing: part-of-speech induction and bitext word alignment, and show that training the proposed model can be substantially more efficient than a comparable feature-rich baseline.


Asynchronous Anytime Sequential Monte Carlo

Neural Information Processing Systems

We introduce a new sequential Monte Carlo algorithm we call the particle cascade. The particle cascade is an asynchronous, anytime alternative to traditional sequential Monte Carlo algorithms that is amenable to parallel and distributed implementations. It uses no barrier synchronizations which leads to improved particle throughput and memory efficiency. It is an anytime algorithm in the sense that it can be run forever to emit an unbounded number of particles while keeping within a fixed memory budget. We prove that the particle cascade provides an unbiased marginal likelihood estimator which can be straightforwardly plugged into existing pseudo-marginal methods.


Review for NeurIPS paper: Active Structure Learning of Causal DAGs via Directed Clique Trees

Neural Information Processing Systems

They lower bound the minimal number of interventions required to orient any graph in terms of the size of the largest cliques in the essential graph of the causal model.


Advancing machine fault diagnosis: A detailed examination of convolutional neural networks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The growing complexity of machinery and the increasing demand for operational efficiency and safety have driven the development of advanced fault diagnosis techniques. Among these, convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have emerged as a powerful tool, offering robust and accurate fault detection and classification capabilities. This comprehensive review delves into the application of CNNs in machine fault diagnosis, covering its theoretical foundation, architectural variations, and practical implementations. The strengths and limitations of CNNs are analyzed in this domain, discussing their effectiveness in handling various fault types, data complexities, and operational environments. Furthermore, we explore the evolving landscape of CNN-based fault diagnosis, examining recent advancements in data augmentation, transfer learning, and hybrid architectures. Finally, we highlight future research directions and potential challenges to further enhance the application of CNNs for reliable and proactive machine fault diagnosis.


2D Integrated Bayesian Tomography of Plasma Electron Density Profile for HL-3 Based on Gaussian Process

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper introduces an integrated Bayesian model that combines line integral measurements and point values using Gaussian Process (GP). The proposed method leverages Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) to incorporate point values into 2D profiles and employs coordinate mapping to integrate magnetic flux information for 2D inversion. The average relative error of the reconstructed profile, using the integrated Bayesian tomography model with normalized magnetic flux, is as low as 3.60*10^(-4). Additionally, sensitivity tests were conducted on the number of grids, the standard deviation of synthetic diagnostic data, and noise levels, laying a solid foundation for the application of the model to experimental data. This work not only achieves accurate 2D inversion using the integrated Bayesian model but also provides a robust framework for decoupling pressure information from equilibrium reconstruction, thus making it possible to optimize equilibrium reconstruction using inversion results.