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 Learning Graphical Models


Bayesian Physics Informed Neural Networks for Linear Inverse problems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Inverse problems arise almost everywhere in science and engineering where we need to infer on a quantity from indirect observation. The cases of medical, biomedical, and industrial imaging systems are the typical examples. A very high overview of classification of the inverse problems method can be: i) Analytical, ii) Regularization, and iii) Bayesian inference methods. Even if there are straight links between them, we can say that the Bayesian inference based methods are the most powerful, as they give the possibility of accounting for prior knowledge and can account for errors and uncertainties in general. One of the main limitations stay in computational costs in particular for high dimensional imaging systems. Neural Networks (NN), and in particular Deep NNs (DNN), have been considered as a way to push farther this limit. Physics Informed Neural Networks (PINN) concept integrates physical laws with deep learning techniques to enhance the speed, accuracy and efficiency of the above mentioned problems. In this work, a new Bayesian framework for the concept of PINN (BPINN) is presented and discussed which includes the deterministic one if we use the Maximum A Posteriori (MAP) estimation framework. We consider two cases of supervised and unsupervised for training step, obtain the expressions of the posterior probability of the unknown variables, and deduce the posterior laws of the NN's parameters. We also discuss about the challenges of implementation of these methods in real applications.


Tell Me Why: Incentivizing Explanations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Common sense suggests that when individuals explain why they believe something, we can arrive at more accurate conclusions than when they simply state what they believe. Yet, there is no known mechanism that provides incentives to elicit explanations for beliefs from agents. This likely stems from the fact that standard Bayesian models make assumptions (like conditional independence of signals) that preempt the need for explanations, in order to show efficient information aggregation. A natural justification for the value of explanations is that agents' beliefs tend to be drawn from overlapping sources of information, so agents' belief reports do not reveal all that needs to be known. Indeed, this work argues that rationales-explanations of an agent's private information-lead to more efficient aggregation by allowing agents to efficiently identify what information they share and what information is new. Building on this model of rationales, we present a novel 'deliberation mechanism' to elicit rationales from agents in which truthful reporting of beliefs and rationales is a perfect Bayesian equilibrium.


Atomic Proximal Policy Optimization for Electric Robo-Taxi Dispatch and Charger Allocation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Pioneering companies such as Waymo have deployed robo-taxi services in several U.S. cities. These robo-taxis are electric vehicles, and their operations require the joint optimization of ride matching, vehicle repositioning, and charging scheduling in a stochastic environment. We model the operations of the ride-hailing system with robo-taxis as a discrete-time, average reward Markov Decision Process with infinite horizon. As the fleet size grows, the dispatching is challenging as the set of system state and the fleet dispatching action set grow exponentially with the number of vehicles. To address this, we introduce a scalable deep reinforcement learning algorithm, called Atomic Proximal Policy Optimization (Atomic-PPO), that reduces the action space using atomic action decomposition. We evaluate our algorithm using real-world NYC for-hire vehicle data and we measure the performance using the long-run average reward achieved by the dispatching policy relative to a fluid-based reward upper bound. Our experiments demonstrate the superior performance of our Atomic-PPO compared to benchmarks. Furthermore, we conduct extensive numerical experiments to analyze the efficient allocation of charging facilities and assess the impact of vehicle range and charger speed on fleet performance.


SymAgent: A Neural-Symbolic Self-Learning Agent Framework for Complex Reasoning over Knowledge Graphs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent advancements have highlighted that Large Language Models (LLMs) are prone to hallucinations when solving complex reasoning problems, leading to erroneous results. To tackle this issue, researchers incorporate Knowledge Graphs (KGs) to improve the reasoning ability of LLMs. However, existing methods face two limitations: 1) they typically assume that all answers to the questions are contained in KGs, neglecting the incompleteness issue of KGs, and 2) they treat the KG as a static repository and overlook the implicit logical reasoning structures inherent in KGs. In this paper, we introduce SymAgent, an innovative neural-symbolic agent framework that achieves collaborative augmentation between KGs and LLMs. We conceptualize KGs as dynamic environments and transform complex reasoning tasks into a multi-step interactive process, enabling KGs to participate deeply in the reasoning process. SymAgent consists of two modules: Agent-Planner and Agent-Executor. The Agent-Planner leverages LLM's inductive reasoning capability to extract symbolic rules from KGs, guiding efficient question decomposition. The Agent-Executor autonomously invokes predefined action tools to integrate information from KGs and external documents, addressing the issues of KG incompleteness. Furthermore, we design a self-learning framework comprising online exploration and offline iterative policy updating phases, enabling the agent to automatically synthesize reasoning trajectories and improve performance. Experimental results demonstrate that SymAgent with weak LLM backbones (i.e., 7B series) yields better or comparable performance compared to various strong baselines. Further analysis reveals that our agent can identify missing triples, facilitating automatic KG updates.


Sorting the Babble in Babel: Assessing the Performance of Language Detection Algorithms on the OpenAlex Database

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This project aims to compare various language classification procedures, procedures combining various Python language detection algorithms and metadata-based corpora extracted from manually-annotated articles sampled from the OpenAlex database. Following an analysis of precision and recall performance for each algorithm, corpus, and language as well as of processing speeds recorded for each algorithm and corpus type, overall procedure performance at the database level was simulated using probabilistic confusion matrices for each algorithm, corpus, and language as well as a probabilistic model of relative article language frequencies for the whole OpenAlex database. Results show that procedure performance strongly depends on the importance given to each of the measures implemented: for contexts where precision is preferred, using the LangID algorithm on the greedy corpus gives the best results; however, for all cases where recall is considered at least slightly more important than precision or as soon as processing times are given any kind of consideration, the procedure combining the FastSpell algorithm and the Titles corpus outperforms all other alternatives. Given the lack of truly multilingual, large-scale bibliographic databases, it is hoped that these results help confirm and foster the unparalleled potential of the OpenAlex database for cross-linguistic, bibliometric-based research and analysis.


Algorithmic causal structure emerging through compression

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We explore the relationship between causality, symmetry, and compression. We build on and generalize the known connection between learning and compression to a setting where causal models are not identifiable. We propose a framework where causality emerges as a consequence of compressing data across multiple environments. We define algorithmic causality as an alternative definition of causality when traditional assumptions for causal identifiability do not hold. We demonstrate how algorithmic causal and symmetric structures can emerge from minimizing upper bounds on Kolmogorov complexity, without knowledge of intervention targets. We hypothesize that these insights may also provide a novel perspective on the emergence of causality in machine learning models, such as large language models, where causal relationships may not be explicitly identifiable.


Uncertainty-Aware Graph Structure Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have become a prominent approach for learning from graph-structured data. However, their effectiveness can be significantly compromised when the graph structure is suboptimal. To address this issue, Graph Structure Learning (GSL) has emerged as a promising technique that refines node connections adaptively. Nevertheless, we identify two key limitations in existing GSL methods: 1) Most methods primarily focus on node similarity to construct relationships, while overlooking the quality of node information. Blindly connecting low-quality nodes and aggregating their ambiguous information can degrade the performance of other nodes. 2) The constructed graph structures are often constrained to be symmetric, which may limit the model's flexibility and effectiveness. To overcome these limitations, we propose an Uncertainty-aware Graph Structure Learning (UnGSL) strategy. UnGSL estimates the uncertainty of node information and utilizes it to adjust the strength of directional connections, where the influence of nodes with high uncertainty is adaptively reduced.Importantly, UnGSL serves as a plug-in module that can be seamlessly integrated into existing GSL methods with minimal additional computational cost. In our experiments, we implement UnGSL into six representative GSL methods, demonstrating consistent performance improvements. The code is available at https://github.com/UnHans/UnGSL.


The Relationship Between Head Injury and Alzheimer's Disease: A Causal Analysis with Bayesian Networks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This study examines the potential causal relationship between head injury and the risk of developing Alzheimer's disease (AD) using Bayesian networks and regression models. Using a dataset of 2,149 patients, we analyze key medical history variables, including head injury history, memory complaints, cardiovascular disease, and diabetes. Logistic regression results suggest an odds ratio of 0.88 for head injury, indicating a potential but statistically insignificant protective effect against AD. In contrast, memory complaints exhibit a strong association with AD, with an odds ratio of 4.59. Linear regression analysis further confirms the lack of statistical significance for head injury (coefficient: -0.0245, p = 0.469) while reinforcing the predictive importance of memory complaints. These findings highlight the complex interplay of medical history factors in AD risk assessment and underscore the need for further research utilizing larger datasets and advanced causal modeling techniques.


Efficient and Sharp Off-Policy Learning under Unobserved Confounding

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We develop a novel method for personalized off-policy learning in scenarios with unobserved confounding. Thereby, we address a key limitation of standard policy learning: standard policy learning assumes unconfoundedness, meaning that no unobserved factors influence both treatment assignment and outcomes. However, this assumption is often violated, because of which standard policy learning produces biased estimates and thus leads to policies that can be harmful. To address this limitation, we employ causal sensitivity analysis and derive a statistically efficient estimator for a sharp bound on the value function under unobserved confounding. Our estimator has three advantages: (1) Unlike existing works, our estimator avoids unstable minimax optimization based on inverse propensity weighted outcomes. (2) Our estimator is statistically efficient. (3) We prove that our estimator leads to the optimal confounding-robust policy. Finally, we extend our theory to the related task of policy improvement under unobserved confounding, i.e., when a baseline policy such as the standard of care is available. We show in experiments with synthetic and real-world data that our method outperforms simple plug-in approaches and existing baselines. Our method is highly relevant for decision-making where unobserved confounding can be problematic, such as in healthcare and public policy.


Enhanced uncertainty quantification variational autoencoders for the solution of Bayesian inverse problems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Among other uses, neural networks are a powerful tool for solving deterministic and Bayesian inverse problems in real-time. In the Bayesian framework, variational autoencoders, a specialized type of neural network, enable the estimation of model parameters and their distribution based on observational data allowing to perform real-time inverse uncertainty quantification. In this work, we build upon existing research [Goh, H. et al., Proceedings of Machine Learning Research, 2022] by proposing a novel loss function to train variational autoencoders for Bayesian inverse problems. When the forward map is affine, we provide a theoretical proof of the convergence of the latent states of variational autoencoders to the posterior distribution of the model parameters. We validate this theoretical result through numerical tests and we compare the proposed variational autoencoder with the existing one in the literature. Finally, we test the proposed variational autoencoder on the Laplace equation.