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 Learning Graphical Models


Probabilistic Horn abduction and Bayesian networks

Classics

This paper presents a simple framework for Horn-clause abduction, with probabilities associated with hypotheses. The framework incorporates assumptions about the rule base and independence assumptions amongst hypotheses. It is shown how any probabilistic knowledge representable in a discrete Bayesian belief network can be represented in this framework. The main contribution is in finding a relationship between logical and probabilistic notions of evidential reasoning. This provides a useful representation language in its own right, providing a compromise between heuristic and epistemic adequacy. It also shows how Bayesian networks can be extended beyond a propositional language.


Approximating probabilistic inference in Bayesian belief networks is NP-hard

Classics

It is known that exact computation of conditional probabilities in belief networks is NP-hard. Many investigators in the AI community have tacitly assumed that algorithms for performing approximate inference with belief networks are of polynomial complexity. Indeed, special cases of approximate inference can be performed in time polynomial in the input size. However, we have discovered that the general problem of approximating conditional probabilities with belief networks, like exact inference, resides in the NP-hard complexity class. We develop a complexity analysis to elucidate the difficulty of approximate probabilistic inference.



Improved Hidden Markov Model Speech Recognition Using Radial Basis Function Networks

Neural Information Processing Systems

The RBF network consists of an input layer, a hidden layer composed of Gaussian basis functions, and an output layer. Connections from the input layer to the hidden layer are fixed at unity while those from the hidden layer to the output layer are trained by minimizing the overall mean-square error between actual and desired output values. Each RBF output node has a corresponding state in a set of HMM word models which represent the words in the vocabulary. HMM word models are left-to-right with no skip states and have a one-state background noise model at either end. The background noise models are identical for all words.


Markov Random Fields Can Bridge Levels of Abstraction

Neural Information Processing Systems

Network vision systems must make inferences from evidential information across levels of representational abstraction, from low level invariants, through intermediate scene segments, to high level behaviorally relevant object descriptions. This paper shows that such networks can be realized as Markov Random Fields (MRFs). We show first how to construct an MRF functionally equivalent to a Hough transform parameter network, thus establishing a principled probabilistic basis for visual networks. Second, we show that these MRF parameter networks are more capable and flexible than traditional methods. In particular, they have a well-defined probabilistic interpretation, intrinsically incorporate feedback, and offer richer representations and decision capabilities.



Best-First Model Merging for Dynamic Learning and Recognition

Neural Information Processing Systems

"Best-first model merging" is a general technique for dynamically choosing the structure of a neural or related architecture while avoiding overfitting. It is applicable to both leaming and recognition tasks and often generalizes significantly better than fixed structures. We demonstrate the approach applied to the tasks of choosing radial basis functions for function learning, choosing local affine models for curve and constraint surface modelling, and choosing the structure of a balltree or bumptree to maximize efficiency of access.


Fault Diagnosis of Antenna Pointing Systems using Hybrid Neural Network and Signal Processing Models

Neural Information Processing Systems

We describe in this paper a novel application of neural networks to system health monitoring of a large antenna for deep space communications. The paper outlines our approach to building a monitoring system using hybrid signal processing and neural network techniques, including autoregressive modelling, pattern recognition, and Hidden Markov models. We discuss several problems which are somewhat generic in applications of this kind - in particular we address the problem of detecting classes which were not present in the training data. Experimental results indicate that the proposed system is sufficiently reliable for practical implementation. 1 Background: The Deep Space Network The Deep Space Network (DSN) (designed and operated by the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) for the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)) is unique in terms of providing end-to-end telecommunication capabilities between earth and various interplanetary spacecraft throughout the solar system. The ground component of the DSN consists of three ground station complexes located in California, Spain and Australia, giving full 24-hour coverage for deep space communications.


Unsupervised learning of distributions on binary vectors using two layer networks

Neural Information Processing Systems

We study a particular type of Boltzmann machine with a bipartite graph structure called a harmonium. Our interest is in using such a machine to model a probability distribution on binary input vectors. We analyze the class of probability distributions that can be modeled by such machines.


Neural Network - Gaussian Mixture Hybrid for Speech Recognition or Density Estimation

Neural Information Processing Systems

The subject of this paper is the integration of multi-layered Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) with probability density functions such as Gaussian mixtures found in continuous density Hidden Markov Models (HMM). In the first part of this paper we present an ANN/HMM hybrid in which all the parameters of the the system are simultaneously optimized with respect to a single criterion. In the second part of this paper, we study the relationship between the density of the inputs of the network and the density of the outputs of the networks. A few experiments are presented to explore how to perform density estimation with ANNs. 1 INTRODUCTION This paper studies the integration of Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) with probability density functions (pdf) such as the Gaussian mixtures often used in continuous density Hidden Markov Models. The ANNs considered here are multi-layered or recurrent networks with hyperbolic tangent hidden units.