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 Learning Graphical Models


FlashAdventure: A Benchmark for GUI Agents Solving Full Story Arcs in Diverse Adventure Games

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

GUI agents powered by LLMs show promise in interacting with diverse digital environments. Among these, video games offer a valuable testbed due to their varied interfaces, with adventure games posing additional challenges through complex, narrative-driven interactions. Existing game benchmarks, however, lack diversity and rarely evaluate agents on completing entire storylines. To address this, we introduce FlashAdventure, a benchmark of 34 Flash-based adventure games designed to test full story arc completion and tackle the observation-behavior gap: the challenge of remembering and acting on earlier gameplay information. We also propose CUA-as-a-Judge, an automated gameplay evaluator, and COAST, an agentic framework leveraging long-term clue memory to better plan and solve sequential tasks. Experiments show current GUI agents struggle with full story arcs, while COAST improves milestone completion by bridging the observation-behavior gap. Nonetheless, a marked discrepancy between humans and best-performing agents warrants continued research efforts to narrow this divide.


Asymptotically optimal reinforcement learning in Block Markov Decision Processes

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The curse of dimensionality renders Reinforcement Learning (RL) impractical in many real-world settings with exponentially large state and action spaces. Yet, many environments exhibit exploitable structure that can accelerate learning. To formalize this idea, we study RL in Block Markov Decision Processes (BMDPs). BMDPs model problems with large observation spaces, but where transition dynamics are fully determined by latent states. Recent advances in clustering methods have enabled the efficient recovery of this latent structure. However, a regret analysis that exploits these techniques to determine their impact on learning performance remained open. We are now addressing this gap by providing a regret analysis that explicitly leverages clustering, demonstrating that accurate latent state estimation can indeed effectively speed up learning. Concretely, this paper analyzes a two-phase RL algorithm for BMDPs that first learns the latent structure through random exploration and then switches to an optimism-guided strategy adapted to the uncovered structure. This algorithm achieves a regret that is $O(\sqrt{T}+n)$ on a large class of BMDPs susceptible to clustering. Here, $T$ denotes the number of time steps, $n$ is the cardinality of the observation space, and the Landau notation $O(\cdot)$ holds up to constants and polylogarithmic factors. This improves the best prior bound, $O(\sqrt{T}+n^2)$, especially when $n$ is large. Moreover, we prove that no algorithm can achieve lower regret uniformly on this same class of BMDPs. This establishes that, on this class, the algorithm achieves asymptotic optimality.


Towards an Asymptotic Efficiency Theory on Regular Parameter Manifolds

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Asymptotic efficiency theory is one of the pillars in the foundations of modern mathematical statistics. Not only does it serve as a rigorous theoretical benchmark for evaluating statistical methods, but it also sheds light on how to develop and unify novel statistical procedures. For example, the calculus of influence functions has led to many important statistical breakthroughs in the past decades. Responding to the pressing challenge of analyzing increasingly complex datasets, particularly those with non-Euclidean/nonlinear structures, many novel statistical models and methods have been proposed in recent years. However, the existing efficiency theory is not always readily applicable to these cases, as the theory was developed, for the most part, under the often neglected premise that both the sample space and the parameter space are normed linear spaces. As a consequence, efficiency results outside normed linear spaces are quite rare and isolated, obtained on a case-by-case basis. This paper aims to develop a more unified asymptotic efficiency theory, allowing the sample space, the parameter space, or both to be Riemannian manifolds satisfying certain regularity conditions. We build a vocabulary that helps translate essential concepts in efficiency theory from normed linear spaces to Riemannian manifolds, such as (locally) regular estimators, differentiable functionals, etc. Efficiency bounds are established under conditions parallel to those for normed linear spaces. We also demonstrate the conceptual advantage of the new framework by applying it to two concrete examples in statistics: the population Frechet mean and the regression coefficient vector of Single-Index Models.


Near-Optimality of Contrastive Divergence Algorithms

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We perform a non-asymptotic analysis of the contrastive divergence (CD) algorithm, a training method for unnormalized models. While prior work has established that (for exponential family distributions) the CD iterates asymptotically converge at an $O(n^{-1 / 3})$ rate to the true parameter of the data distribution, we show, under some regularity assumptions, that CD can achieve the parametric rate $O(n^{-1 / 2})$. Our analysis provides results for various data batching schemes, including the fully online and minibatch ones. We additionally show that CD can be near-optimal, in the sense that its asymptotic variance is close to the Cramér-Rao lower bound.


Efficient Inference for Coupled Hidden Markov Models in Continuous Time and Discrete Space

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Systems of interacting continuous-time Markov chains are a powerful model class, but inference is typically intractable in high dimensional settings. Auxiliary information, such as noisy observations, is typically only available at discrete times, and incorporating it via a Doob's $h-$transform gives rise to an intractable posterior process that requires approximation. We introduce Latent Interacting Particle Systems, a model class parameterizing the generator of each Markov chain in the system. Our inference method involves estimating look-ahead functions (twist potentials) that anticipate future information, for which we introduce an efficient parameterization. We incorporate this approximation in a twisted Sequential Monte Carlo sampling scheme. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach on a challenging posterior inference task for a latent SIRS model on a graph, and on a neural model for wildfire spread dynamics trained on real data.


Compressibility Measures Complexity: Minimum Description Length Meets Singular Learning Theory

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study neural network compressibility by using singular learning theory to extend the minimum description length (MDL) principle to singular models like neural networks. Through extensive experiments on the Pythia suite with quantization, factorization, and other compression techniques, we find that complexity estimates based on the local learning coefficient (LLC) are closely, and in some cases, linearly correlated with compressibility. Our results provide a path toward rigorously evaluating the limits of model compression.


Dendrograms of Mixing Measures for Softmax-Gated Gaussian Mixture of Experts: Consistency without Model Sweeps

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We develop a unified statistical framework for softmax-gated Gaussian mixture of experts (SGMoE) that addresses three long-standing obstacles in parameter estimation and model selection: (i) non-identifiability of gating parameters up to common translations, (ii) intrinsic gate-expert interactions that induce coupled differential relations in the likelihood, and (iii) the tight numerator-denominator coupling in the softmax-induced conditional density. Our approach introduces Voronoi-type loss functions aligned with the gate-partition geometry and establishes finite-sample convergence rates for the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE). In over-specified models, we reveal a link between the MLE's convergence rate and the solvability of an associated system of polynomial equations characterizing near-nonidentifiable directions. For model selection, we adapt dendrograms of mixing measures to SGMoE, yielding a consistent, sweep-free selector of the number of experts that attains pointwise-optimal parameter rates under overfitting while avoiding multi-size training. Simulations on synthetic data corroborate the theory, accurately recovering the expert count and achieving the predicted rates for parameter estimation while closely approximating the regression function. Under model misspecification (e.g., $ε$-contamination), the dendrogram selection criterion is robust, recovering the true number of mixture components, while the Akaike information criterion, the Bayesian information criterion, and the integrated completed likelihood tend to overselect as sample size grows. On a maize proteomics dataset of drought-responsive traits, our dendrogram-guided SGMoE selects two experts, exposes a clear mixing-measure hierarchy, stabilizes the likelihood early, and yields interpretable genotype-phenotype maps, outperforming standard criteria without multi-size training.


Learning Latent Energy-Based Models via Interacting Particle Langevin Dynamics

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We develop interacting particle algorithms for learning latent variable models with energy-based priors. To do so, we leverage recent developments in particle-based methods for solving maximum marginal likelihood estimation (MMLE) problems. Specifically, we provide a continuous-time framework for learning latent energy-based models, by defining stochastic differential equations (SDEs) that provably solve the MMLE problem. We obtain a practical algorithm as a discretisation of these SDEs and provide theoretical guarantees for the convergence of the proposed algorithm. Finally, we demonstrate the empirical effectiveness of our method on synthetic and image datasets.


Variational Rank Reduction Autoencoders

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Deterministic Rank Reduction Autoencoders (RRAEs) enforce by construction a regularization on the latent space by applying a truncated SVD. While this regularization makes Autoencoders more powerful, using them for generative purposes is counter-intuitive due to their deterministic nature. On the other hand, Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) are well known for their generative abilities by learning a probabilistic latent space. In this paper, we present Variational Rank Reduction Autoencoders (VRRAEs), a model that leverages the advantages of both RRAEs and VAEs. Our claims and results show that when carefully sampling the latent space of RRAEs and further regularizing with the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence (similarly to VAEs), VRRAEs outperform RRAEs and VAEs. Additionally, we show that the regularization induced by the SVD not only makes VRRAEs better generators than VAEs, but also reduces the possibility of posterior collapse. Our results include a synthetic dataset of a small size that showcases the robustness of VRRAEs against collapse, and three real-world datasets; the MNIST, CelebA, and CIFAR-10, over which VRRAEs are shown to outperform both VAEs and RRAEs on many random generation and interpolation tasks based on the FID score. We developed an open-source implementation of VRRAEs in JAX (Equinox), available at https://github.com/JadM133/RRAEs.git.


Dynamics-aware Diffusion Models for Planning and Control

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Abstract-- This paper addresses the problem of generating dynamically admissible trajectories for control tasks using diffusion models, particularly in scenarios where the environment is complex and system dynamics are crucial for practical application. We propose a novel framework that integrates system dynamics directly into the diffusion model's denoising process through a sequential prediction and projection mechanism. This mechanism, aligned with the diffusion model's noising schedule, ensures generated trajectories are both consistent with expert demonstrations and adhere to underlying physical constraints. Notably, our approach can generate maximum likelihood trajectories and accurately recover trajectories generated by linear feedback controllers, even when explicit dynamics knowledge is unavailable. Our code repository is available at www.github.com/ Diffusion models have emerged as powerful tools for learning complex data distributions, demonstrating significant potential in control and robotics, particularly for high-dimensional trajectory generation [1]. Their ability to learn and replicate expert demonstrations makes them attractive for imitation learning and decision-making. However, a critical limitation arises from their inherent lack of explicit dynamics awareness.