Learning Graphical Models
Learning Gaussian Process Kernels via Hierarchical Bayes
Schwaighofer, Anton, Tresp, Volker, Yu, Kai
We present a novel method for learning with Gaussian process regression ina hierarchical Bayesian framework. In a first step, kernel matrices on a fixed set of input points are learned from data using a simple and efficient EM algorithm. This step is nonparametric, in that it does not require a parametric form of covariance function. In a second step, kernel functions are fitted to approximate the learned covariance matrix using a generalized Nyström method, which results in a complex, data driven kernel. We evaluate our approach as a recommendation engine for art images, where the proposed hierarchical Bayesian method leads to excellent prediction performance.
Constraining a Bayesian Model of Human Visual Speed Perception
Stocker, Alan A., Simoncelli, Eero P.
It has been demonstrated that basic aspects of human visual motion perception arequalitatively consistent with a Bayesian estimation framework, where the prior probability distribution on velocity favors slow speeds. Here, we present a refined probabilistic model that can account for the typical trial-to-trial variabilities observed in psychophysical speed perception experiments. We also show that data from such experiments can be used to constrain both the likelihood and prior functions of the model. Specifically, we measured matching speeds and thresholds in a two-alternative forced choice speed discrimination task. Parametric fits to the data reveal that the likelihood function is well approximated by a LogNormal distribution with a characteristic contrast-dependent variance, andthat the prior distribution on velocity exhibits significantly heavier tails than a Gaussian, and approximately follows a power-law function.
Modeling Conversational Dynamics as a Mixed-Memory Markov Process
Choudhury, Tanzeem, Basu, Sumit
In this work, we quantitatively investigate the ways in which a given person influences the joint turn-taking behavior in a conversation. After collecting an auditory database of social interactions among a group of twenty-three people via wearable sensors (66 hours of data each over two weeks), we apply speech and conversation detection methods to the auditory streams. These methods automatically locate the conversations, determine their participants, and mark which participant was speaking when. We then model the joint turn-taking behavior as a Mixed-Memory Markov Model [1] that combines the statistics of the individual subjects' self-transitions and the partners' cross-transitions. The mixture parameters in this model describe how much each person's individual behavior contributes to the joint turn-taking behavior of the pair.
Exponentiated Gradient Algorithms for Large-margin Structured Classification
Bartlett, Peter L., Collins, Michael, Taskar, Ben, McAllester, David A.
We consider the problem of structured classification, where the task is to predict a label y from an input x, and y has meaningful internal structure. Ourframework includes supervised training of Markov random fields and weighted context-free grammars as special cases. We describe an algorithm that solves the large-margin optimization problem defined in [12], using an exponential-family (Gibbs distribution) representation of structured objects. The algorithm is efficient--even in cases where the number of labels y is exponential in size--provided that certain expectations underGibbs distributions can be calculated efficiently. The method for structured labels relies on a more general result, specifically the application ofexponentiated gradient updates [7, 8] to quadratic programs.
A Hidden Markov Model for de Novo Peptide Sequencing
Fischer, Bernd, Roth, Volker, Grossmann, Jonas, Baginsky, Sacha, Gruissem, Wilhelm, Roos, Franz, Widmayer, Peter, Buhmann, Joachim M.
De novo Sequencing of peptides is a challenging task in proteome research. Whilethere exist reliable DNAsequencing methods, the highthroughput denovo sequencing of proteins by mass spectrometry is still an open problem. Current approaches suffer from a lack in precision to detect mass peaks in the spectrograms. In this paper we present a novel method for de novo peptide sequencing based on a hidden Markov model. Experiments effectively demonstrate that this new method significantly outperformsstandard approaches in matching quality.
Schema Learning: Experience-Based Construction of Predictive Action Models
Holmes, Michael P., Jr., Charles
Schema learning is a way to discover probabilistic, constructivist, predictive actionmodels (schemas) from experience. It includes methods for finding and using hidden state to make predictions more accurate. Weextend the original schema mechanism [1] to handle arbitrary discrete-valued sensors, improve the original learning criteria to handle POMDP domains, and better maintain hidden state by using schema predictions. Theseextensions show large improvement over the original schema mechanism in several rewardless POMDPs, and achieve very low prediction error in a difficult speech modeling task. Further, we compare extended schema learning to the recently introduced predictive state representations [2],and find their predictions of next-step action effects to be approximately equal in accuracy. This work lays the foundation for a schema-based system of integrated learning and planning.
Conditional Random Fields for Object Recognition
Quattoni, Ariadna, Collins, Michael, Darrell, Trevor
We present a discriminative part-based approach for the recognition of object classes from unsegmented cluttered scenes. Objects are modeled as flexible constellations of parts conditioned on local observations found by an interest operator. For each object class the probability of a given assignment of parts to local features is modeled by a Conditional Random Field(CRF). We propose an extension of the CRF framework that incorporates hidden variables and combines class conditional CRFs into a unified framework for part-based object recognition. The parameters of the CRF are estimated in a maximum likelihood framework and recognition proceedsby finding the most likely class under our model. The main advantage of the proposed CRF framework is that it allows us to relax the assumption of conditional independence of the observed data (i.e.
Planning for Markov Decision Processes with Sparse Stochasticity
Likhachev, Maxim, Thrun, Sebastian, Gordon, Geoffrey J.
Planning algorithms designed for deterministic worlds, such as A* search, usually run much faster than algorithms designed for worlds with uncertain action outcomes, such as value iteration. Real-world planning problems often exhibit uncertainty, which forces us to use the slower algorithms to solve them. Many real-world planning problems exhibit sparse uncertainty: there are long sequences of deterministic actions which accomplish tasks like moving sensor platforms into place, interspersed witha small number of sensing actions which have uncertain outcomes. In this paper we describe a new planning algorithm, called MCP (short for MDP Compression Planning), which combines A* search with value iteration for solving Stochastic Shortest Path problem in MDPs with sparse stochasticity. We present experiments which show that MCP can run substantially faster than competing planners in domains with sparse uncertainty; these experiments are based on a simulation of a ground robot cooperating with a helicopter to fill in a partial map and move to a goal location.