Two major goals in machine learning are the discovery and improvement of solutions to complex problems. In this paper, we argue that complexification, i.e. the incremental elaboration of solutions through adding new structure, achieves both these goals. We demonstrate the power of complexification through the NeuroEvolution of Augmenting Topologies (NEAT) method, which evolves increasingly complex neural network architectures. NEAT is applied to an open-ended coevolutionary robot duel domain where robot controllers compete head to head. Because the robot duel domain supports a wide range of strategies, and because coevolution benefits from an escalating arms race, it serves as a suitable testbed for studying complexification. When compared to the evolution of networks with fixed structure, complexifying evolution discovers significantly more sophisticated strategies. The results suggest that in order to discover and improve complex solutions, evolution, and search in general, should be allowed to complexify as well as optimize.

Hierarchical latent class (HLC) models are tree-structured Bayesian networks where leaf nodes are observed while internal nodes are latent. There are no theoretically well justified model selection criteria for HLC models in particular and Bayesian networks with latent nodes in general. Nonetheless, empirical studies suggest that the BIC score is a reasonable criterion to use in practice for learning HLC models. Empirical studies also suggest that sometimes model selection can be improved if standard model dimension is replaced with effective model dimension in the penalty term of the BIC score. Effective dimensions are difficult to compute. In this paper, we prove a theorem that relates the effective dimension of an HLC model to the effective dimensions of a number of latent class models. The theorem makes it computationally feasible to compute the effective dimensions of large HLC models. The theorem can also be used to compute the effective dimensions of general tree models.

We develop and test new machine learning methods for the prediction oftopological representations of protein structures in the form of coarse-or fine-grained contact or distance maps that are translation androtation invariant. The methods are based on generalized input-output hidden Markov models (GIOHMMs) and generalized recursive neural networks (GRNNs). The methods are used to predict topologydirectly in the fine-grained case and, in the coarsegrained case,indirectly by first learning how to score candidate graphs and then using the scoring function to search the space of possible configurations. Computer simulations show that the predictors achievestate-of-the-art performance.

We develop and test new machine learning methods for the prediction of topological representations of protein structures in the form of coarse-or fine-grained contact or distance maps that are translation and rotation invariant. The methods are based on generalized input-output hidden Markov models (GIOHMMs) and generalized recursive neural networks (GRNNs). The methods are used to predict topology directly in the fine-grained case and, in the coarsegrained case, indirectly by first learning how to score candidate graphs and then using the scoring function to search the space of possible configurations. Computer simulations show that the predictors achieve state-of-the-art performance.

We develop and test new machine learning methods for the prediction of topological representations of protein structures in the form of coarse-or fine-grained contact or distance maps that are translation and rotation invariant. The methods are based on generalized input-output hidden Markov models (GIOHMMs) and generalized recursive neural networks (GRNNs). The methods are used to predict topology directly in the fine-grained case and, in the coarsegrained case, indirectly by first learning how to score candidate graphs and then using the scoring function to search the space of possible configurations. Computer simulations show that the predictors achieve state-of-the-art performance.

The dimensional and featural approaches have different strengths and weaknesses. Dimensional representations are constrained by the metric axioms, such as the tri-- angle inequality, that are violated by some empirical data.

Classification trees are one of the most popular types of classifiers, with ease of implementation and interpretation being among their attractive features. Despite the widespread use of classification trees, theoretical analysis of their performance is scarce. In this paper, we show that a new family of classification trees, called dyadic classification trees (DCTs), are near optimal (in a minimax sense) for a very broad range of classification problems. This demonstrates that other schemes (e.g., neural networks, support vector machines) cannot perform significantly better than DCTs in many cases. We also show that this near optimal performance is attained with linear (in the number of training data) complexity growing and pruning algorithms. Moreover, the performance of DCTs on benchmark datasets compares favorably to that of standard CART, which is generally more computationally intensive and which does not possess similar near optimality properties. Our analysis stems from theoretical results on structural risk minimization, on which the pruning rule for DCTs is based.

Well-known applications include part-of-speech (POS) tagging, named entity classification, information extraction, text segmentation and phoneme classification in text and speech processing [7] as well as problems like protein homology detection, secondary structure prediction or gene classification in computational biology [3]. Up to now, the predominant formalism for modeling and predicting label sequences has been based on Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) and variations thereof. Yet, despite its success, generative probabilistic models - of which HMMs are a special case - have two major shortcomings, which this paper is not the first one to point out. First, generative probabilistic models are typically trained using maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) for a joint sampling model of observation and label sequences. As has been emphasized frequently, MLE based on the joint probability model is inherently non-discriminative and thus may lead to suboptimal prediction accuracy. Secondly, efficient inference and learning in this setting often requires to make questionable conditional independence assumptions.

This paper focuses on people's short-run behavior by examining dynamical versions of these three theories, and comparing their predictions to a real-world dataset.

We focus on the problem of efficient learning of dependency trees. It is well-known that given the pairwise mutual information coefficients, a minimum-weight spanning tree algorithm solves this problem exactly and in polynomial time. However, for large data-sets it is the construction of the correlation matrix that dominates the running time. We have developed a new spanning-tree algorithm which is capable of exploiting partial knowledge about edge weights. The partial knowledge we maintain is a probabilistic confidence interval on the coefficients, which we derive by examining just a small sample of the data. The algorithm is able to flag the need to shrink an interval, which translates to inspection of more data for the particular attribute pair. Experimental results show running time that is near-constant in the number of records, without significant loss in accuracy of the generated trees. Interestingly, our spanning-tree algorithm is based solely on Tarjan's red-edge rule, which is generally considered a guaranteed recipe for bad performance.