The mixture of multivariate Bernoulli distributions (MMB) is a statistical model for high-dimensional binary data in widespread use. Recently, the MMB has been used to model the sequence of packet receptions and losses of wireless links in sensor networks. Given an MMB trained on long data traces recorded from links of a deployed network, one can then use samples from the MMB to test different routing algorithms for as long as desired. However, learning an accurate model for a new link requires collecting from it long traces over periods of hours, a costly process in practice (e.g. limited battery life). We propose an algorithm that can adapt a preexisting MMB trained with extensive data to a new link from which very limited data is available. Our approach constrains the new MMB's parameters through a nonlinear transformation of the existing MMB's parameters. The transformation has a small number of parameters that are estimated using a generalized EM algorithm with an inner loop of BFGS iterations. We demonstrate the efficacy of the approach using the MNIST dataset of handwritten digits, and wireless link data from a sensor network. We show we can learn accurate models from data traces of about 1 minute, about 10 times shorter than needed if training an MMB from scratch.

Markov Decision Processes arise as a natural model for many renewable resources allocation problems. In many such problems, high stakes decisions with potentially catastrophic outcomes (such as the collapse of an entire ecosystem) need to be taken by carefully balancing social, economic, and ecologic goals. We introduce a broad class of such MDP models with a risk averse attitude of the decision maker, in order to obtain policies that are more balanced with respect to the welfare of future generations. We prove that they admit a closed form solution that can be efficiently computed. We show an application of the proposed framework to the Pacific Halibut marine fishery, obtaining new and more cautious policies. Our results strengthen findings of related policies from the literature by providing new evidence that a policy based on periodic closures of the fishery should be employed, in place of the one traditionally used that harvests a constant proportion of the stock every year.

Today, mobile robots are increasingly expected to operate in ever more complex and dynamic environments.In order to carry out many of the higher level tasks envisioned a semantic understanding of a workspace is pivotal. Here our field has benefited significantly from successes in machine learning and vision: applications in robotics of off-the-shelf object detectors are plentiful. This paper outlines an online, any-time planning framework enabling the active exploration of such detections. Our approach exploits the ability to move to different vantage points and implicitly weighs the benefits of gaining more certainty about the existence of an object against the physical cost of the exploration required. The result is a robot which plans trajectories specifically to decrease the entropy of putative detections. Our system is demonstrated to significantly improve detection performance and trajectory length in simulated and real robot experiments.

Many systems use Markov models to generate finite-length sequences that imitate a given style. These systems often need to enforce specific control constraints on the sequences to generate. Unfortunately, control constraints are not compatible with Markov models, as they induce long-range dependencies that violate the Markov hypothesis of limited memory. Attempts to solve this issue using heuristic search do not give any guarantee on the nature and probability of the sequences generated. We propose a novel and efficient approach to controlled Markov generation for a specific class of control constraints that 1) guarantees that generated sequences satisfy control constraints and 2) follow the statistical distribution of the initial Markov model. Revisiting Markov generation in the framework of constraint satisfaction, we show how constraints can be compiled into a non-homogeneous Markov model, using arc-consistency techniques and renormalization. We illustrate the approach on a melody generation problem and sketch some realtime applications in which control constraints are given by gesture controllers.

As tweets has become a comprehensive repository of fresh information, Semantic Role Labeling (SRL) for tweets has aroused great research interests because of its center role in a wide range of tweet related studies such as fine-grained information extraction, sentiment analysis and summarization. However, the fact that a tweet is often too short and informal to provide sufficient information poses a main challenge. To tackle this challenge, we propose a new method to collectively label similar tweets. The underlying idea is to exploit similar tweets to make up for the lack of information in a tweet. Specifically, similar tweets are first grouped together by clustering. Then for each cluster a two-stage labeling is conducted: One labeler conducts SRL to get statistical information, such as the predicate/argument/role triples that occur frequently, from its highly confidently labeled results; then in the second stage, another labeler performs SRL with such statistical information to refine the results. Experimental results on a human annotated dataset show that our approach remarkably improves SRL by 3.1% F1.

Field classification is an extension of the traditional classification framework, by breaking the i.i.d. assumption. In field classification, patterns occur as groups (fields) of homogeneous styles. By utilizing style consistency, classifying groups of patterns is often more accurate than classifying single patterns. In this paper, we extend the Bayes decision theory, and develop the Field Bayesian Model (FBM) to deal with field classification. Specifically, we propose to learn a Style Normalized Transformation (SNT) for each field. Via the SNTs, the data of different fields are transformed to a uniform style space (i.i.d. space). The proposed model is a general and systematic framework, under which many probabilistic models can be easily extended for field classification. To transfer the model to unseen styles, we propose a transductive model called Transfer Bayesian Rule (TBR) based on self-training. We conducted extensive experiments on face, speech and a large-scale handwriting dataset, and got significant error rate reduction compared to the state-of-the-art methods.

In contrast to the studied in single-period optimization [Miller and Wagner, standard approach that studies the expected performance, 1965; Prékopa, 1970]. However, little has been done in we consider the policy that maximizes the context of sequential decision problem including MDPs. the probability of achieving a predetermined target The standard approaches in risk-averse MDPs include maximization performance, a criterion we term probabilistic of expected utility function [Bertsekas, 1995], goal Markov decision processes. We show that and optimization of a coherent risk measure [Riedel, 2004; this problem is NPhard, but can be solved using a Le Tallec, 2007]. Both approaches lead to formulations that pseudo-polynomial algorithm. We further consider can not be solved in polynomial time, except for special a variant dubbed "chance-constraint Markov decision cases including exponential utility function [Chung and Sobel, problems," that treats the probability of achieving 1987], piecewise linear utility function with a single target performance as a constraint instead of the break down point [Liu and Koenig, 2005], and risk measures maximizing objective. This variant is NPhard, but that can be reduced to robust MDPs satisfying the socalled can be solved in pseudo-polynomial time.

Plan recognition is the problem of inferring the goals and plans of an agent from partial observations of her behavior. Recently, it has been shown that the problem can be formulated and solved using planners, reducing plan recognition to plan generation. In this work, we extend this model-based approach to plan recognition to the POMDP setting, where actions are stochastic and states are partially observable. The task is to infer a probability distribution over the possible goals of an agent whose behavior results from a POMDP model. The POMDP model is shared between agent and observer except for the true goal of the agent that is hidden to the observer. The observations are action sequences O that may contain gaps as some or even most of the actions done by the agent may not be observed. We show that the posterior goal distribution P ( G | O ) can be computed from the value function V G ( b ) over beliefs b  generated by the POMDP planner for each possible goal G. Some extensions of the basic framework are discussed, and a number of experiments are reported.

Topic models have been used successfully for a variety of problems, often in the form of application-specific extensions of the basic Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) model. Because deriving these new models in order to encode domain knowledge can be difficult and time-consuming, we propose the Fold·all model, which allows the user to specify general domain knowledge in First-Order Logic (FOL). However, combining topic modeling with FOL can result in inference problems beyond the capabilities of existing techniques. We have therefore developed a scalable inference technique using stochastic gradient descent which may also be useful to the Markov Logic Network (MLN) research community. Experiments demonstrate the expresive power of Fold·all, as well as the scalability of our proposed inference method.

The paper describes a method of relation extraction, which is based on parsing the input text using a combination of a generic HPSG-based grammar and a highly focused domain- and relation-specific lexicon. We also show a method of unsupervised acquisition of such a lexicon from a large unlabeled corpus. Together, the methods introduce a novel approach to the “Open IE” task, which is superior in accuracy and in quality of relation identification to the existing approaches.