We provide non-asymptotic bounds for the well-known temporal difference learning algorithm TD(0) with linear function approximators. These include high-probability bounds as well as bounds in expectation. Our analysis suggests that a step-size inversely proportional to the number of iterations cannot guarantee optimal rate of convergence unless we assume (partial) knowledge of the stationary distribution for the Markov chain underlying the policy considered. We also provide bounds for the iterate averaged TD(0) variant, which gets rid of the step-size dependency while exhibiting the optimal rate of convergence. Furthermore, we propose a variant of TD(0) with linear approximators that incorporates a centering sequence, and establish that it exhibits an exponential rate of convergence in expectation. We demonstrate the usefulness of our bounds on two synthetic experimental settings.

Observations depending on sums of random variables are common throughout many fields; however, no efficient solution is currently known for performing max-product inference on these sums of general discrete distributions (max-product inference can be used to obtain maximum a posteriori estimates). The limiting step to max-product inference is the max-convolution problem (sometimes presented in log-transformed form and denoted as "infimal convolution", "min-convolution", or "convolution on the tropical semiring"), for which no O(k log(k)) method is currently known. Here I present a O(k log(k)) numerical method for estimating the max-convolution of two nonnegative vectors (e.g., two probability mass functions), where k is the length of the larger vector. This numerical max-convolution method is then demonstrated by performing fast max-product inference on a convolution tree, a data structure for performing fast inference given information on the sum of n discrete random variables in O(n k log(n k) log(n) ) steps (where each random variable has an arbitrary prior distribution on k contiguous possible states). The numerical max-convolution method can be applied to specialized classes of hidden Markov models to reduce the runtime of computing the Viterbi path from n k^2 to n k log(k), and has potential application to the all-pairs shortest paths problem.

Online learning algorithms are designed to perform in non-stationary environments, but generally there is no notion of a dynamic state to model constraints on current and future actions as a function of past actions. State-based models are common in stochastic control settings, but commonly used frameworks such as Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) assume a known stationary environment. In recent years, there has been a growing interest in combining the above two frameworks and considering an MDP setting in which the cost function is allowed to change arbitrarily after each time step. However, most of the work in this area has been algorithmic: given a problem, one would develop an algorithm almost from scratch. Moreover, the presence of the state and the assumption of an arbitrarily varying environment complicate both the theoretical analysis and the development of computationally efficient methods. This paper describes a broad extension of the ideas proposed by Rakhlin et al. to give a general framework for deriving algorithms in an MDP setting with arbitrarily changing costs. This framework leads to a unifying view of existing methods and provides a general procedure for constructing new ones. Several new methods are presented, and one of them is shown to have important advantages over a similar method developed from scratch via an online version of approximate dynamic programming.

With an eye towards human-centered automation, we contribute to the development of a systematic means to infer features of human decision-making from behavioral data. Motivated by the common use of softmax selection in models of human decision-making, we study the maximum likelihood parameter estimation problem for softmax decision-making models with linear objective functions. We present conditions under which the likelihood function is convex. These allow us to provide sufficient conditions for convergence of the resulting maximum likelihood estimator and to construct its asymptotic distribution. In the case of models with nonlinear objective functions, we show how the estimator can be applied by linearizing about a nominal parameter value. We apply the estimator to fit the stochastic UCL (Upper Credible Limit) model of human decision-making to human subject data. We show statistically significant differences in behavior across related, but distinct, tasks.

Deep learning methods have shown great promise in many practical applications, ranging from speech recognition, visual object recognition, to text processing. However, most of the current deep learning methods suffer from scalability problems for large-scale applications, forcing researchers or users to focus on small-scale problems with fewer parameters. In this paper, we consider a well-known machine learning model, deep belief networks (DBNs) that have yielded impressive classification performance on a large number of benchmark machine learning tasks. To scale up DBN, we propose an approach that can use the computing clusters in a distributed environment to train large models, while the dense matrix computations within a single machine are sped up using graphics processors (GPU). When training a DBN, each machine randomly drops out a portion of neurons in each hidden layer, for each training case, making the remaining neurons only learn to detect features that are generally helpful for producing the correct answer. Within our approach, we have developed four methods to combine outcomes from each machine to form a unified model. Our preliminary experiment on the mnst handwritten digit database demonstrates that our approach outperforms the state of the art test error rate.

We develop a new compressive sensing (CS) inversion algorithm by utilizing the Gaussian mixture model (GMM). While the compressive sensing is performed globally on the entire image as implemented in our lensless camera, a low-rank GMM is imposed on the local image patches. This low-rank GMM is derived via eigenvalue thresholding of the GMM trained on the projection of the measurement data, thus learned {\em in situ}. The GMM and the projection of the measurement data are updated iteratively during the reconstruction. Our GMM algorithm degrades to the piecewise linear estimator (PLE) if each patch is represented by a single Gaussian model. Inspired by this, a low-rank PLE algorithm is also developed for CS inversion, constituting an additional contribution of this paper. Extensive results on both simulation data and real data captured by the lensless camera demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed algorithm. Furthermore, we compare the CS reconstruction results using our algorithm with the JPEG compression. Simulation results demonstrate that when limited bandwidth is available (a small number of measurements), our algorithm can achieve comparable results as JPEG.

We present two new statistical machine learning methods designed to learn on fully homomorphic encrypted (FHE) data. The introduction of FHE schemes following Gentry (2009) opens up the prospect of privacy preserving statistical machine learning analysis and modelling of encrypted data without compromising security constraints. We propose tailored algorithms for applying extremely random forests, involving a new cryptographic stochastic fraction estimator, and na\"{i}ve Bayes, involving a semi-parametric model for the class decision boundary, and show how they can be used to learn and predict from encrypted data. We demonstrate that these techniques perform competitively on a variety of classification data sets and provide detailed information about the computational practicalities of these and other FHE methods.

Dirichlet Process(DP) is a Bayesian non-parametric prior for infinite mixture modeling, where the number of mixture components grows with the number of data items. The Hierarchical Dirichlet Process (HDP), is an extension of DP for grouped data, often used for non-parametric topic modeling, where each group is a mixture over shared mixture densities. The Nested Dirichlet Process (nDP), on the other hand, is an extension of the DP for learning group level distributions from data, simultaneously clustering the groups. It allows group level distributions to be shared across groups in a non-parametric setting, leading to a non-parametric mixture of mixtures. The nCRF extends the nDP for multilevel non-parametric mixture modeling, enabling modeling topic hierarchies. However, the nDP and nCRF do not allow sharing of distributions as required in many applications, motivating the need for multi-level non-parametric admixture modeling. We address this gap by proposing multi-level nested HDPs (nHDP) where the base distribution of the HDP is itself a HDP at each level thereby leading to admixtures of admixtures at each level. Because of couplings between various HDP levels, scaling up is naturally a challenge during inference. We propose a multi-level nested Chinese Restaurant Franchise (nCRF) representation for the nested HDP, with which we outline an inference algorithm based on Gibbs Sampling. We evaluate our model with the two level nHDP for non-parametric entity topic modeling where an inner HDP creates a countably infinite set of topic mixtures and associates them with author entities, while an outer HDP associates documents with these author entities. In our experiments on two real world research corpora, the nHDP is able to generalize significantly better than existing models and detect missing author entities with a reasonable level of accuracy.

We investigate a Gaussian mixture model (GMM) with component means constrained in a pre-selected subspace. Applications to classification and clustering are explored. An EM-type estimation algorithm is derived. We prove that the subspace containing the component means of a GMM with a common covariance matrix also contains the modes of the density and the class means. This motivates us to find a subspace by applying weighted principal component analysis to the modes of a kernel density and the class means. To circumvent the difficulty of deciding the kernel bandwidth, we acquire multiple subspaces from the kernel densities based on a sequence of bandwidths. The GMM constrained by each subspace is estimated; and the model yielding the maximum likelihood is chosen. A dimension reduction property is proved in the sense of being informative for classification or clustering. Experiments on real and simulated data sets are conducted to examine several ways of determining the subspace and to compare with the reduced rank mixture discriminant analysis (MDA). Our new method with the simple technique of spanning the subspace only by class means often outperforms the reduced rank MDA when the subspace dimension is very low, making it particularly appealing for visualization.

A recurring problem when building probabilistic latent variable models is regularization and model selection, for instance, the choice of the dimensionality of the latent space. In the context of belief networks with latent variables, this problem has been adressed with Automatic Relevance Determination (ARD) employing Monte Carlo inference. We present a variational inference approach to ARD for Deep Generative Models using doubly stochastic variational inference to provide fast and scalable learning. We show empirical results on a standard dataset illustrating the effects of contracting the latent space automatically. We show that the resulting latent representations are significantly more compact without loss of expressive power of the learned models.