A family of parsimonious Gaussian cluster-weighted models is presented. This family concerns a multivariate extension to cluster-weighted modelling that can account for correlations between multivariate responses. Parsimony is attained by constraining parts of an eigen-decomposition imposed on the component covariance matrices. A sufficient condition for identifiability is provided and an expectation-maximization algorithm is presented for parameter estimation. Model performance is investigated on both synthetic and classical real data sets and compared with some popular approaches. Finally, accounting for linear dependencies in the presence of a linear regression structure is shown to offer better performance, vis-\`{a}-vis clustering, over existing methodologies.

We propose a Bayesian approximate inference method for learning the dependence structure of a Gaussian graphical model. Using pseudo-likelihood, we derive an analytical expression to approximate the marginal likelihood for an arbitrary graph structure without invoking any assumptions about decomposability. The majority of the existing methods for learning Gaussian graphical models are either restricted to decomposable graphs or require specification of a tuning parameter that may have a substantial impact on learned structures. By combining a simple sparsity inducing prior for the graph structures with a default reference prior for the model parameters, we obtain a fast and easily applicable scoring function that works well for even high-dimensional data. We demonstrate the favourable performance of our approach by large-scale comparisons against the leading methods for learning non-decomposable Gaussian graphical models. A theoretical justification for our method is provided by showing that it yields a consistent estimator of the graph structure.

Decentralized partially observable Markov decision processes (Dec-POMDPs) provide a general model for decision-making under uncertainty in decentralized settings, but are difficult to solve optimally (NEXP-Complete). As a new way of solving these problems, we introduce the idea of transforming a Dec-POMDP into a continuous-state deterministic MDP with a piecewise-linear and convex value function. This approach makes use of the fact that planning can be accomplished in a centralized offline manner, while execution can still be decentralized. This new Dec-POMDP formulation, which we call an occupancy MDP, allows powerful POMDP and continuous-state MDP methods to be used for the first time. To provide scalability, we refine this approach by combining heuristic search and compact representations that exploit the structure present in multi-agent domains, without losing the ability to converge to an optimal solution. In particular, we introduce a feature-based heuristic search value iteration (FB-HSVI) algorithm that relies on feature-based compact representations, point-based updates and efficient action selection. A theoretical analysis demonstrates that FB-HSVI terminates in finite time with an optimal solution. We include an extensive empirical analysis using well-known benchmarks, thereby demonstrating that our approach provides significant scalability improvements compared to the state of the art.

Link prediction is a fundamental task in statistical network analysis. Recent advances have been made on learning flexible nonparametric Bayesian latent feature models for link prediction. In this paper, we present a max-margin learning method for such nonparametric latent feature relational models. Our approach attempts to unite the ideas of max-margin learning and Bayesian nonparametrics to discover discriminative latent features for link prediction. It inherits the advances of nonparametric Bayesian methods to infer the unknown latent social dimension, while for discriminative link prediction, it adopts the max-margin learning principle by minimizing a hinge-loss using the linear expectation operator, without dealing with a highly nonlinear link likelihood function. For posterior inference, we develop an efficient stochastic variational inference algorithm under a truncated mean-field assumption. Our methods can scale up to large-scale real networks with millions of entities and tens of millions of positive links. We also provide a full Bayesian formulation, which can avoid tuning regularization hyper-parameters. Experimental results on a diverse range of real datasets demonstrate the benefits inherited from max-margin learning and Bayesian nonparametric inference.

We define Recurrent Gaussian Processes (RGP) models, a general family of Bayesian nonparametric models with recurrent GP priors which are able to learn dynamical patterns from sequential data. Similar to Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), RGPs can have different formulations for their internal states, distinct inference methods and be extended with deep structures. In such context, we propose a novel deep RGP model whose autoregressive states are latent, thereby performing representation and dynamical learning simultaneously. To fully exploit the Bayesian nature of the RGP model we develop the Recurrent Variational Bayes (REVARB) framework, which enables efficient inference and strong regularization through coherent propagation of uncertainty across the RGP layers and states. We also introduce a RGP extension where variational parameters are greatly reduced by being reparametrized through RNN-based sequential recognition models. We apply our model to the tasks of nonlinear system identification and human motion modeling. The promising obtained results indicate that our RGP model maintains its highly flexibility while being able to avoid overfitting and being applicable even when larger datasets are not available.

We propose a simple and efficient method for ranking features in multi-label classification. The method produces a ranking of features showing their relevance in predicting labels, which in turn allows to choose a final subset of features. The procedure is based on Markov Networks and allows to model the dependencies between labels and features in a direct way. In the first step we build a simple network using only labels and then we test how much adding a single feature affects the initial network. More specifically, in the first step we use the Ising model whereas the second step is based on the score statistic, which allows to test a significance of added features very quickly. The proposed approach does not require transformation of label space, gives interpretable results and allows for attractive visualization of dependency structure. We give a theoretical justification of the procedure by discussing some theoretical properties of the Ising model and the score statistic. We also discuss feature ranking procedure based on fitting Ising model using $l_1$ regularized logistic regressions. Numerical experiments show that the proposed methods outperform the conventional approaches on the considered artificial and real datasets.

Classifier chains are popular and effective method to tackle a multi-label classification problem. The aim of this paper is to study the asymptotic properties of the chain model in which the conditional probabilities are of the logistic form. In particular we find conditions on the number of labels and the distribution of feature vector under which the estimated mode of the joint distribution of labels converges to the true mode. Best of our knowledge, this important issue has not yet been studied in the context of multi-label learning. We also investigate how the order of model building in a chain influences the estimation of the joint distribution of labels. We establish the link between the problem of incorrect ordering in the chain and incorrect model specification. We propose a procedure of determining the optimal ordering of labels in the chain, which is based on using measures of correct specification and allows to find the ordering such that the consecutive logistic models are best possibly specified. The other important question raised in this paper is how accurately can we estimate the joint posterior probability when the ordering of labels is wrong or the logistic models in the chain are incorrectly specified. The numerical experiments illustrate the theoretical results.

Automatic description generation from natural images is a challenging problem that has recently received a large amount of interest from the computer vision and natural language processing communities. In this survey, we classify the existing approaches based on how they conceptualize this problem, viz., models that cast description as either generation problem or as a retrieval problem over a visual or multimodal representational space. We provide a detailed review of existing models, highlighting their advantages and disadvantages. Moreover, we give an overview of the benchmark image datasets and the evaluation measures that have been developed to assess the quality of machine-generated image descriptions.

In this paper, we propose a general framework to learn a robust large-margin binary classifier when corrupt measurements, called anomalies, caused by sensor failure might be present in the training set. The goal is to minimize the generalization error of the classifier on non-corrupted measurements while controlling the false alarm rate associated with anomalous samples. By incorporating a non-parametric regularizer based on an empirical entropy estimator, we propose a Geometric-Entropy-Minimization regularized Maximum Entropy Discrimination (GEM-MED) method to learn to classify and detect anomalies in a joint manner. We demonstrate using simulated data and a real multimodal data set. Our GEM-MED method can yield improved performance over previous robust classification methods in terms of both classification accuracy and anomaly detection rate.

Despite the importance of sparsity signal models and the increasing prevalence of high-dimensional streaming data, there are relatively few algorithms for dynamic filtering of time-varying sparse signals. Of the existing algorithms, fewer still provide strong performance guarantees. This paper examines two algorithms for dynamic filtering of sparse signals that are based on efficient l1 optimization methods. We first present an analysis for one simple algorithm (BPDN-DF) that works well when the system dynamics are known exactly. We then introduce a novel second algorithm (RWL1-DF) that is more computationally complex than BPDN-DF but performs better in practice, especially in the case where the system dynamics model is inaccurate. Robustness to model inaccuracy is achieved by using a hierarchical probabilistic data model and propagating higher-order statistics from the previous estimate (akin to Kalman filtering) in the sparse inference process. We demonstrate the properties of these algorithms on both simulated data as well as natural video sequences. Taken together, the algorithms presented in this paper represent the first strong performance analysis of dynamic filtering algorithms for time-varying sparse signals as well as state-of-the-art performance in this emerging application.