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 Learning Graphical Models


Internet of Things and Bayesian Networks

@machinelearnbot

As big data becomes more of cliche with every passing day, do you feel Internet of Things is the next marketing buzzword to grapple our lives. So what exactly is Internet of Thing (IoT) and why are we going to hear more about it in the coming days. Internet of thing (IoT) today denotes advanced connectivity of devices,systems and services that goes beyond machine to machine communications and covers a wide variety of domains and applications specifically in the manufacturing and power, oil and gas utilities. An application in IoT can be an automobile that has built in sensors to alert the driver when the tyre pressure is low. Built-in sensors on equipment's present in the power plant which transmit real time data and thereby enable to better transmission planning,load balancing.


Spatial Semantic Scan: Jointly Detecting Subtle Events and their Spatial Footprint

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Many methods have been proposed for detecting emerging events in text streams using topic modeling. However, these methods have shortcomings that make them unsuitable for rapid detection of locally emerging events on massive text streams. We describe Spatially Compact Semantic Scan (SCSS) that has been developed specifically to overcome the shortcomings of current methods in detecting new spatially compact events in text streams. SCSS employs alternating optimization between using semantic scan to estimate contrastive foreground topics in documents, and discovering spatial neighborhoods with high occurrence of documents containing the foreground topics. We evaluate our method on Emergency Department chief complaints dataset (ED dataset) to verify the effectiveness of our method in detecting real-world disease outbreaks from free-text ED chief complaint data.


Gauss quadrature for matrix inverse forms with applications

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We present a framework for accelerating a spectrum of machine learning algorithms that require computation of bilinear inverse forms $u^\top A^{-1}u$, where $A$ is a positive definite matrix and $u$ a given vector. Our framework is built on Gauss-type quadrature and easily scales to large, sparse matrices. Further, it allows retrospective computation of lower and upper bounds on $u^\top A^{-1}u$, which in turn accelerates several algorithms. We prove that these bounds tighten iteratively and converge at a linear (geometric) rate. To our knowledge, ours is the first work to demonstrate these key properties of Gauss-type quadrature, which is a classical and deeply studied topic. We illustrate empirical consequences of our results by using quadrature to accelerate machine learning tasks involving determinantal point processes and submodular optimization, and observe tremendous speedups in several instances.


Variational Tempering

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Variational inference (VI) combined with data subsampling enables approximate posterior inference over large data sets, but suffers from poor local optima. We first formulate a deterministic annealing approach for the generic class of conditionally conjugate exponential family models. This approach uses a decreasing temperature parameter which deterministically deforms the objective during the course of the optimization. A well-known drawback to this annealing approach is the choice of the cooling schedule. We therefore introduce variational tempering, a variational algorithm that introduces a temperature latent variable to the model. In contrast to related work in the Markov chain Monte Carlo literature, this algorithm results in adaptive annealing schedules. Lastly, we develop local variational tempering, which assigns a latent temperature to each data point; this allows for dynamic annealing that varies across data. Compared to the traditional VI, all proposed approaches find improved predictive likelihoods on held-out data.


Naïve-Bayes Technique for Machine Learning

#artificialintelligence

"We are to admit no more causes of natural things than such as are both true and sufficient to explain their appearances." "When you have two competing theories that make exactly the same predictions, the simpler one is the better." One famous example of Occam's Razor in action is found in conspiracy theories surrounding the NASA moon landings. Many conspiracy theorists believe that the first Moon Landing was staged and filmed in a studio, part of an elaborate hoax. Their justification relies upon many twisted and convoluted theories, whereas the NASA argument is fairly straightforward.


Let Me Hear Your Voice and I'll Tell You How You Feel

#artificialintelligence

Creating mood sensing technology has become very popular in recent years. There is a wide range of companies trying to detect your emotions from what you write, the tone of your voice, or from the expressions on your face. All of these companies offer their technology online through cloud-based programming interfaces (APIs). As part of my offline emotion sensing hardware (Project Jammin), I have already built early prototypes of facial expression and speech content recognition for emotion detection. In this short article I describe the missing part, a voice tone analyzer.


Mastering Machine Learning With scikit-learn

#artificialintelligence

If you are a software developer who wants to learn how machine learning models work and how to apply them effectively, this book is for you. Familiarity with machine learning fundamentals and Python will be helpful, but is not essential. This book examines machine learning models including logistic regression, decision trees, and support vector machines, and applies them to common problems such as categorizing documents and classifying images. It begins with the fundamentals of machine learning, introducing you to the supervised-unsupervised spectrum, the uses of training and test data, and evaluating models. You will learn how to use generalized linear models in regression problems, as well as solve problems with text and categorical features. You will be acquainted with the use of logistic regression, regularization, and the various loss functions that are used by generalized linear models.


EEF: Exponentially Embedded Families with Class-Specific Features for Classification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this letter, we present a novel exponentially embedded families (EEF) based classification method, in which the probability density function (PDF) on raw data is estimated from the PDF on features. With the PDF construction, we show that class-specific features can be used in the proposed classification method, instead of a common feature subset for all classes as used in conventional approaches. We apply the proposed EEF classifier for text categorization as a case study and derive an optimal Bayesian classification rule with class-specific feature selection based on the Information Gain (IG) score. The promising performance on real-life data sets demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed approach and indicates its wide potential applications.


Particle Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithms

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper proposes a new sampling scheme based on Langevin dynamics that is applicable within pseudo-marginal and particle Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms. We investigate this algorithm's theoretical properties under standard asymptotics, which correspond to an increasing dimension of the parameters, $n$. Our results show that the behaviour of the algorithm depends crucially on how accurately one can estimate the gradient of the log target density. If the error in the estimate of the gradient is not sufficiently controlled as dimension increases, then asymptotically there will be no advantage over the simpler random-walk algorithm. However, if the error is sufficiently well-behaved, then the optimal scaling of this algorithm will be $O(n^{-1/6})$ compared to $O(n^{-1/2})$ for the random walk. Our theory also gives guidelines on how to tune the number of Monte Carlo samples in the likelihood estimate and the proposal step-size.


Variational Bayesian Inference for Hidden Markov Models With Multivariate Gaussian Output Distributions

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Hidden Markov Models (HMM) have been used for several years in many time series analysis or pattern recognitions tasks. HMM are often trained by means of the Baum-Welch algorithm which can be seen as a special variant of an expectation maximization (EM) algorithm. Second-order training techniques such as Variational Bayesian Inference (VI) for probabilistic models regard the parameters of the probabilistic models as random variables and define distributions over these distribution parameters, hence the name of this technique. VI can also bee regarded as a special case of an EM algorithm. In this article, we bring both together and train HMM with multivariate Gaussian output distributions with VI. The article defines the new training technique for HMM. An evaluation based on some case studies and a comparison to related approaches is part of our ongoing work.