One of the key information pieces in improving energy efficiency of buildings is the appliance level breakdown of energy consumption. Energy disaggregation is the process of obtaining this breakdown from a building level aggregate data using computational techniques. Most of the current research focuses on residential buildings, obtaining this information from a single smart meter and often relying on high frequency data. This work is directed at commercial buildings equipped with building management and automation systems providing low frequency operational and contextual data. This paper presents a machine learning method to disaggregate energy consumption of the building using this operational data as input features. Experimental results on two publicly available datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of the approach, which surpasses existing methods. For all but one appliance of House 2 of the publicly available REDD dataset, improvements in normalized error in assigned power range between 20% (Lighting) and 220% (Stove). For another dataset from an educational facility in Singapore, disaggregation accuracy of 92% is reported for the facility's cooling system.

It may (2010) to estimate the probability of each possible goal be that one agent needs to monitor the activities of another based on the difference between the cost of the best plan agent, attempt to assist the other agent, or simply avoid getting for the goal given the observed actions, Cost(G O), and the in the way while performing its own duties. For all of cost of the best plan for the goal without the observed actions, these cases the agent needs to be able to realize what the Cost(G O). The big difference here is that the observations other agent is doing. In the absence of full and timely communication only indirectly give us probabilities for actions in of plans and goals, goal and plan recognition becomes the plan graph. We therefore first construct a Bayesian Network essential. Many goal recognition techniques allow the (BN) to estimate these action probabilities, and then sequence of observations to be incomplete, but few consider use this probability information in the plan graph to compute the possibility of noisy observations. In practice, this is not expected cost for each goal, given the observations.

Prior work on viewing plan recognition as parsing of grammars has assumed completely observable actions. This paper provides an algorithm to rewrite plan grammars to allow for recognizing partially observable actions.  For the ELEXIR (Geib 2009) system, the impact of this rewriting on plan recognition runtime is shown to be limited to those plans that actually use the partially observable actions.

In this paper, we focus on the problem of learning a Bayesian network over distributed data stored in a commodity cluster. Specifically, we address the challenge of computing the scoring function over distributed data in a scalable manner, which is a fundamental task during learning. We propose a novel approach designed to achieve: (a) scalable score computation using the principle of gossiping; (b) lower resource consumption via a probabilistic approach for maintaining scores using the properties of a Markov chain; and (c) effective distribution of tasks during score computation (on large datasets) by synergistically combining well-known hashing techniques. Through theoretical analysis, we show that our approach is superior to a MapReduce-style computation in terms of communication bandwidth. Further, it is superior to the batch-style processing of MapReduce for recomputing scores when new data are available.

Context-recognition and activity recognition systems in multi-user environments such as smart homes, usually assume to know the number of occupants in the environment. However, being able to count the number of users in the environment is important in order to accurately recognize the activities of (groups of) agents. For smart environments without cameras, the problem of counting the number of agents is non-trivial. This is in part due to the difficulty of using a single non-vision based sensors to discriminate between one or several persons, and thus information from several sensors must be combined in order to reason about the presence of several agents. In this paper we address the problem of counting the number of agents in a topologically known environment using simple sensors that can indicate anonymous human presence. To do so, we connect an ontology to a probabilistic model (a Hidden Markov Model) in order to estimate the number of agents in each section of the environment. We evaluate our methods on a smart home setup where a number of motion and pressure sensors are distributed in various rooms of the home.

It is often critical in real-world applications to: (i) perform inverse learning of the cost parameters of a multi-objective reward based on observed agent behavior; (ii) perform sensitivity analyses of policies to various parameter settings; and (iii) analyze and optimize policy performance as a function of policy parameters. When such problems have mixed discrete and continuous state and/or action spaces, this leads to parameterized hybrid MDPs (PHMDPs) that are often approximately solved via discretization, sampling, and/or local gradient methods (when optimization is involved). In this paper we combine two recent advances that allow for the first exact solution and optimization of PHMDPs. We first show how each of the aforementioned use cases can be formalized as PHMDPs, which can then be solved via an extension of symbolic dynamic programming (SDP) even when the solution is piecewise nonlinear. Secondly, we leverage recent advances in non-convex solvers such as dReal and dOp (that offer δ-optimality guarantees for nonlinear problems given a symbolic function) for non-convex global optimization in (i), (ii), and (iii) using SDP to derive symbolic solutions to each PHMDP formalization. We demonstrate the efficacy and scalability of our framework by calculating the first known exact solutions to complex nonlinear examples of each of the aforementioned use cases.

While recent advances in offline reasoning techniques and online execution strategies have made planning under uncertainty more robust, the application of plans in partially-known environments is still a difficult and important topic. In this paper we present an approach for predicting new information about a partially-known initial state, represented as a multigraph utilizing Maximum-Margin Multi-Valued Regression. We evaluate this approach in four different domains, demonstrating high recall and accuracy.

We propose a framework for semi-automated annotation of video frames where the video is of an object that at any point in time can be labeled as being in one of a finite number of discrete states. A Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is used to model (1) the behavior of the underlying object and (2) the noisy observation of its state through an image processing algorithm. The key insight of this approach is that the annotation of frame-by-frame video can be reduced from a problem of labeling every single image to a problem of detecting a transition between states of the underlying objected being recording on video. The performance of the framework is evaluated on a driver gaze classification dataset composed of 16,000,000 images that were fully annotated over 6,000 hours of direct manual annotation labor. On this dataset, we achieve a 13x reduction in manual annotation for an average accuracy of 99.1% and a 84x reduction for an average accuracy of 91.2%.

This work addresses the problem of choosing an appropriate plan for achieving a goal in any realistic complex situation where an agent has to respond and act upon uncertain and/or an unknown information. We use the belief-desire-intention (BDI) model, a popular model for developing agents. The flexibility of choosing among different plans to achieve a desired goal is one of the benefits of this model. This paper describes a particular algorithm for selecting the most appropriate plan. Since the agent may have to reason with incomplete or uncertain information, we explore how to integrate probabilities in the agent model for taking an appropriate action and keeping the system behavior within acceptable boundaries and compliance to acceptable norms. Considering the uncertainty of the current state of the environment, this process relies on probability and utility theory. The plan selection algorithm has been implemented with Jadex

For a multitude of tasks that come naturally to humans, performance of AI systems is inferior to human level performance. We show how human intellect made available via crowdsourcing can be used to complement an existing system during execution. We introduce a hybrid workflow that queries people to verify and correct the output of the system and present a simulation-based workflow optimization method to balance the cost of human input with the expected improvement in performance. Through empirical evaluations on an image captioning system, we show that the hybrid system, which combines the AI system with human input, significantly outperforms the automated system by properly trading off the cost of human input with expected benefit. Finally, we show that human input collected at execution time can be used to teach the system about its errors and limitations.