Learning to imitate expert behavior given action demonstrations containing high-dimensional, continuous observations and unknown dynamics is a difficult problem in robotic control. Simple approaches based on behavioral cloning (BC) suffer from state distribution shift, while more complex methods that generalize to out-of-distribution states can be difficult to use, since they typically involve adversarial optimization. We propose an alternative that combines the simplicity of BC with the robustness of adversarial imitation learning. The key insight is that under the maximum entropy model of expert behavior, BC corresponds to fitting a soft Q function that maximizes the likelihood of observed actions. This perspective suggests a way to regularize BC so that it generalizes to out-of-distribution states: combine the standard maximum-likelihood objective with a penalty on the soft Bellman error of the soft Q function. We show that this penalty term gives the agent an incentive to take actions that lead it back to demonstrated states when it encounters new states. Experiments show that our method outperforms BC and GAIL on a variety of image-based and low-dimensional environments in Box2D, Atari, and MuJoCo.

Point estimation of class prevalences in the presence of data set shift has been a popular research topic for more than two decades. Less attention has been paid to the construction of confidence and prediction intervals for estimates of class prevalences. One little considered question is whether or not it is necessary for practical purposes to distinguish confidence and prediction intervals. Another question so far not yet conclusively answered is whether or not the discriminatory power of the classifier or score at the basis of an estimation method matters for the accuracy of the estimates of the class prevalences. This paper presents a simulation study aimed at shedding some light on these and other related questions.

Credit risk modelling is an integral part of the global financial system. While there has been great attention paid to neural network models for credit default prediction, such models often lack the required interpretation mechanisms and measures of the uncertainty around their predictions. This work develops and compares Bayesian Neural Networks(BNNs) for credit card default modelling. This includes a BNNs trained by Gaussian approximation and the first implementation of BNNs trained by Hybrid Monte Carlo(HMC) in credit risk modelling. The results on the Taiwan Credit Dataset show that BNNs with Automatic Relevance Determination(ARD) outperform normal BNNs without ARD. The results also show that BNNs trained by Gaussian approximation display similar predictive performance to those trained by the HMC. The results further show that BNN with ARD can be used to draw inferences about the relative importance of different features thus critically aiding decision makers in explaining model output to consumers. The robustness of this result is reinforced by high levels of congruence between the features identified as important using the two different approaches for training BNNs.

We propose to learn deep undirected graphical models (i.e., MRFs), with a non-ELBO objective for which we can calculate exact gradients. In particular, we optimize a saddle-point objective deriving from the Bethe free energy approximation to the partition function. Unlike much recent work in approximate inference, the derived objective requires no sampling, and can be efficiently computed even for very expressive MRFs. We furthermore amortize this optimization with trained inference networks. Experimentally, we find that the proposed approach compares favorably with loopy belief propagation, but is faster, and it allows for attaining better held out log likelihood than other recent approximate inference schemes.

ABSTRACT This paper aims to propose a novel deep learning-integrated framework for deriving reliable simulation input models through incorporating multi-source information. The framework sources and extracts multisource data generated from construction operations, which provides rich information for input modeling. The framework implements Bayesian deep neural networks to facilitate the purpose of incorporating richer information in input modeling. A case study on road paving operation is performed to test the feasibility and applicability of the proposed framework. Overall, this research enhances input modeling by deriving detailed input models, thereby, augmenting the decision-making processes in construction operations.

We develop a framework for interacting with uncertain environments in reinforcement learning (RL) by leveraging preferences in the form of utility functions. We claim that there is value in considering different risk measures during learning. In this framework, the preference for risk can be tuned by variation of the parameter $\beta$ and the resulting behavior can be risk-averse, risk-neutral or risk-taking depending on the parameter choice. We evaluate our framework for learning problems with model uncertainty. We measure and control for \emph{epistemic} risk using dynamic programming (DP) and policy gradient-based algorithms. The risk-averse behavior is then compared with the behavior of the optimal risk-neutral policy in environments with epistemic risk.

Building performance discrepancies between building design and operation are one of the causes that lead many new designs fail to achieve their goals and objectives. One of main factors contributing to the discrepancy is occupant behaviors. Occupants responding to a new design are influenced by several factors. Existing building performance models (BPMs) ignore or partially address those factors (called contextual factors) while developing BPMs. To potentially reduce the discrepancies and improve the prediction accuracy of BPMs, this paper proposes a computational framework for learning mixture models by using Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) that appropriately combining existing BPMs with knowledge on occupant behaviors to contextual factors in new designs. Immersive virtual environments (IVEs) experiments are used to acquire data on such behaviors. Performance targets are used to guide appropriate combination of existing BPMs with knowledge on occupant behaviors. The resulting model obtained is called an augmented BPM. Two different experiments related to occupant lighting behaviors are shown as case study. The results reveal that augmented BPMs significantly outperformed existing BPMs with respect to achieving specified performance targets. The case study confirms the potential of the computational framework for improving prediction accuracy of BPMs during design.

Smart Meters (SMs) are an important component of smart electrical grids, but they have also generated serious concerns about privacy data of consumers. In this paper, we present a general formulation of the privacy-preserving problem in SMs from an information-theoretic perspective. In order to capture the casual time series structure of the power measurements, we employ Directed Information (DI) as an adequate measure of privacy. On the other hand, to cope with a variety of potential applications of SMs data, we study different distortion measures along with the standard squared-error distortion. This formulation leads to a quite general training objective (or loss) which is optimized under a deep learning adversarial framework where two Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), referred to as the releaser and the attacker, are trained with opposite goals. An exhaustive empirical study is then performed to validate the proposed approach for different privacy problems in three actual data sets. Finally, we study the impact of the data mismatch problem, which occurs when the releaser and the attacker have different training data sets and show that privacy may not require a large level of distortion in real-world scenarios.

Today, the dominant paradigm for training neural networks involves minimizing task loss on a large dataset. Using world knowledge to inform a model, and yet retain the ability to perform end-to-end training remains an open question. In this paper, we present a novel framework for introducing declarative knowledge to neural network architectures in order to guide training and prediction. Our framework systematically compiles logical statements into computation graphs that augment a neural network without extra learnable parameters or manual redesign. We evaluate our modeling strategy on three tasks: machine comprehension, natural language inference, and text chunking. Our experiments show that knowledge-augmented networks can strongly improve over baselines, especially in low-data regimes.

In classical federated learning a central server coordinates the training of a single model on a massively distributed network of devices. This setting can be naturally extended to a multi-task learning framework, to handle real-world federated datasets that typically show strong non-IID data distributions among devices. Even though federated multi-task learning has been shown to be an effective paradigm for real world datasets, it has been applied only to convex models. In this work we introduce VIRTUAL, an algorithm for federated multi-task learning with non-convex models. In VIRTUAL the federated network of the server and the clients is treated as a star-shaped Bayesian network, and learning is performed on the network using approximated variational inference. We show that this method is effective on real-world federated datasets, outperforming the current state-of-the-art for federated learning.