Learning Graphical Models
Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization: Theory and Applications in Machine Learning
Kuhn, Daniel, Esfahani, Peyman Mohajerin, Nguyen, Viet Anh, Shafieezadeh-Abadeh, Soroosh
Many decision problems in science, engineering and economics are affected by uncertain parameters whose distribution is only indirectly observable through samples. The goal of data-driven decision-making is to learn a decision from finitely many training samples that will perform well on unseen test samples. This learning task is difficult even if all training and test samples are drawn from the same distribution---especially if the dimension of the uncertainty is large relative to the training sample size. Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization seeks data-driven decisions that perform well under the most adverse distribution within a certain Wasserstein distance from a nominal distribution constructed from the training samples. In this tutorial we will argue that this approach has many conceptual and computational benefits. Most prominently, the optimal decisions can often be computed by solving tractable convex optimization problems, and they enjoy rigorous out-of-sample and asymptotic consistency guarantees. We will also show that Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization has interesting ramifications for statistical learning and motivates new approaches for fundamental learning tasks such as classification, regression, maximum likelihood estimation or minimum mean square error estimation, among others.
Reinforcement Learning in Healthcare: A Survey
Yu, Chao, Liu, Jiming, Nemati, Shamim
As a subfield of machine learning, \emph{reinforcement learning} (RL) aims at empowering one's capabilities in behavioural decision making by using interaction experience with the world and an evaluative feedback. Unlike traditional supervised learning methods that usually rely on one-shot, exhaustive and supervised reward signals, RL tackles with sequential decision making problems with sampled, evaluative and delayed feedback simultaneously. Such distinctive features make RL technique a suitable candidate for developing powerful solutions in a variety of healthcare domains, where diagnosing decisions or treatment regimes are usually characterized by a prolonged and sequential procedure. This survey will discuss the broad applications of RL techniques in healthcare domains, in order to provide the research community with systematic understanding of theoretical foundations, enabling methods and techniques, existing challenges, and new insights of this emerging paradigm. By first briefly examining theoretical foundations and key techniques in RL research from efficient and representational directions, we then provide an overview of RL applications in a variety of healthcare domains, ranging from dynamic treatment regimes in chronic diseases and critical care, automated medical diagnosis from both unstructured and structured clinical data, as well as many other control or scheduling domains that have infiltrated many aspects of a healthcare system. Finally, we summarize the challenges and open issues in current research, and point out some potential solutions and directions for future research.
Practical Risk Measures in Reinforcement Learning
Di Castro, Dotan, Oren, Joel, Mannor, Shie
Practical application of Reinforcement Learning (RL) often involves risk considerations. We study a generalized approximation scheme for risk measures, based on Monte-Carlo simulations, where the risk measures need not necessarily be \emph{coherent}. We demonstrate that, even in simple problems, measures such as the variance of the reward-to-go do not capture the risk in a satisfactory manner. In addition, we show how a risk measure can be derived from model's realizations. We propose a neural architecture for estimating the risk and suggest the risk critic architecture that can be use to optimize a policy under general risk measures. We conclude our work with experiments that demonstrate the efficacy of our approach.
Opponent Aware Reinforcement Learning
Gallego, Victor, Naveiro, Roi, Insua, David Rios, Oteiza, David Gomez-Ullate
In several reinforcement learning (RL) scenarios such as security settings, there may be adversaries trying to interfere with the reward generating process for their own benefit. We introduce Threatened Markov Decision Processes (TMDPs) as a framework to support an agent against potential opponents in a RL context. We also propose a level-k thinking scheme resulting in a novel learning approach to deal with TMDPs. After introducing our framework and deriving theoretical results, relevant empirical evidence is given via extensive experiments, showing the benefits of accounting for adversaries in RL while the agent learns
Double Reinforcement Learning for Efficient Off-Policy Evaluation in Markov Decision Processes
Kallus, Nathan, Uehara, Masatoshi
Off-policy evaluation (OPE) in reinforcement learning allows one to evaluate novel decision policies without needing to conduct exploration, which is often costly or otherwise infeasible. We consider for the first time the semiparametric efficiency limits of OPE in Markov decision processes (MDPs), where actions, rewards, and states are memoryless. We show existing OPE estimators may fail to be efficient in this setting. We develop a new estimator based on cross-fold estimation of $q$-functions and marginalized density ratios, which we term double reinforcement learning (DRL). We show that DRL is efficient when both components are estimated at fourth-root rates and is also doubly robust when only one component is consistent. We investigate these properties empirically and demonstrate the performance benefits due to harnessing memorylessness efficiently.
Design Space of Behaviour Planning for Autonomous Driving
Ilievski, Marko, Sedwards, Sean, Gaurav, Ashish, Balakrishnan, Aravind, Sarkar, Atrisha, Lee, Jaeyoung, Bouchard, Frédéric, De Iaco, Ryan, Czarnecki, Krzysztof
--We explore the complex design space of behaviour planning for autonomous driving. Design choices that successfully address one aspect of behaviour planning can critically constrain others. T o aid the design process, in this work we decompose the design space with respect to important choices arising from the current state of the art approaches, and describe the resulting tradeoffs. In doing this, we also identify interesting directions of future work. In this work we consider the design space [1] of behaviour planning--high level decision making--for autonomous driving. To simplify the design process, we decompose the design space into three principal axes of design choices, based on our practical experience [2] and with reference to the current state of the art. Within each axis, we discuss the inevitable qualitative tradeoffs that exist and review the relevant literature. We illustrate our decomposition using feature diagrams [3]. In doing this, we identify potentially interesting areas of research within the behaviour planning design space. The motivation of our decomposition is as follows. Human driver control actions are continuous, yet driving also contains discrete episodes, arising from road connectivity, signs, signals, road-user interactions, etc. The vehicle must nevertheless follow a smooth continuous trajectory on the road.
Minimum Description Length Revisited
This is an up-to-date introduction to and overview of the Minimum Description Length (MDL) Principle, a theory of inductive inference that can be applied to general problems in statistics, machine learning and pattern recognition. While MDL was originally based on data compression ideas, this introduction can be read without any knowledge thereof. It takes into account all major developments since 2007, the last time an extensive overview was written. These include new methods for model selection and averaging and hypothesis testing, as well as the first completely general definition of {\em MDL estimators}. Incorporating these developments, MDL can be seen as a powerful extension of both penalized likelihood and Bayesian approaches, in which penalization functions and prior distributions are replaced by more general luckiness functions, average-case methodology is replaced by a more robust worst-case approach, and in which methods classically viewed as highly distinct, such as AIC vs BIC and cross-validation vs Bayes can, to a large extent, be viewed from a unified perspective.
Hierarchical Bayesian Personalized Recommendation: A Case Study and Beyond
Liu, Zitao, Xu, Zhexuan, Yan, Yan
Items in modern recommender systems are often organized in hierarchical structures. These hierarchical structures and the data within them provide valuable information for building personalized recommendation systems. In this paper, we propose a general hierarchical Bayesian learning framework, i.e., \emph{HBayes}, to learn both the structures and associated latent factors. Furthermore, we develop a variational inference algorithm that is able to learn model parameters with fast empirical convergence rate. The proposed HBayes is evaluated on two real-world datasets from different domains. The results demonstrate the benefits of our approach on item recommendation tasks, and show that it can outperform the state-of-the-art models in terms of precision, recall, and normalized discounted cumulative gain. To encourage the reproducible results, we make our code public on a git repo: \url{https://tinyurl.com/ycruhk4t}.
A Deep Actor-Critic Reinforcement Learning Framework for Dynamic Multichannel Access
Zhong, Chen, Lu, Ziyang, Gursoy, M. Cenk, Velipasalar, Senem
To make efficient use of limited spectral resources, we in this work propose a deep actor-critic reinforcement learning based framework for dynamic multichannel access. We consider both a single-user case and a scenario in which multiple users attempt to access channels simultaneously. We employ the proposed framework as a single agent in the single-user case, and extend it to a decentralized multi-agent framework in the multi-user scenario. In both cases, we develop algorithms for the actor-critic deep reinforcement learning and evaluate the proposed learning policies via experiments and numerical results. In the single-user model, in order to evaluate the performance of the proposed channel access policy and the framework's tolerance against uncertainty, we explore different channel switching patterns and different switching probabilities. In the case of multiple users, we analyze the probabilities of each user accessing channels with favorable channel conditions and the probability of collision. We also address a time-varying environment to identify the adaptive ability of the proposed framework. Additionally, we provide comparisons (in terms of both the average reward and time efficiency) between the proposed actor-critic deep reinforcement learning framework, Deep-Q network (DQN) based approach, random access, and the optimal policy when the channel dynamics are known.
Saccader: Improving Accuracy of Hard Attention Models for Vision
Elsayed, Gamaleldin F., Kornblith, Simon, Le, Quoc V.
Although deep convolutional neural networks achieve state-of-the-art performance across nearly all image classification tasks, they are often regarded as black boxes. Because they compute a nonlinear function of the entire input image, their decisions are difficult to interpret. One approach that offers some level of interpretability by design is \textit{hard attention}, which selects only relevant portions of the image. However, training hard attention models with only class label supervision is challenging, and hard attention has proved difficult to scale to complex datasets. Here, we propose a novel hard attention model, which we term Saccader, as well as a self-supervised pretraining procedure for this model that does not suffer from optimization challenges. Through pretraining and policy gradient optimization, the Saccader model estimates the relevance of different image patches to the downstream task, and uses a novel cell to select patches to classify at different times. Our approach achieves high accuracy on ImageNet while providing more interpretable predictions.