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 Learning Graphical Models


Collaborative Graph Walk for Semi-supervised Multi-Label Node Classification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Personal use of this material is permitted. Abstract --In this work, we study semi-supervised multi-label node classification problem in attributed graphs. Classic solutions to multi-label node classification follow two steps, first learn node embedding and then build a node classifier on the learned embedding. T o improve the discriminating power of the node embedding, we propose a novel collaborative graph walk, named Multi-Label-Graph-Walk, to finely tune node representations with the available label assignments in attributed graphs via reinforcement learning. The proposed method formulates the multi-label node classification task as simultaneous graph walks conducted by multiple label-specific agents. Furthermore, policies of the label-wise graph walks are learned in a cooperative way to capture first the predictive relation between node labels and structural attributes of graphs; and second, the correlation among the multiple label-specific classification tasks. A comprehensive experimental study demonstrates that the proposed method can achieve significantly better multi-label classification performance than the state-of-the-art approaches and conduct more efficient graph exploration. Index T erms --Multi-label node classification, Semi-supervised attributed graph embedding, Reinforcement learning I. I NTRODUCTION Graph-structured data are frequently witnessed in many real-world applications, such as social graphs and academic graphs. In the graph structure, nodes represent entities (e.g., users in social graphs and papers in citation graphs), whereas edges linking two nodes denote the relationship between the entities (e.g., user friendship and paper citation). Usually both nodes and edges possess their own attributes.


Collapsed Amortized Variational Inference for Switching Nonlinear Dynamical Systems

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose an efficient inference method for switching nonlinear dynamical systems. The key idea is to learn an inference network which can be used as a proposal distribution for the continuous latent variables, while performing exact marginalization of the discrete latent variables. This allows us to use the reparameterization trick, and apply end-to-end training with stochastic gradient descent. We show that the proposed method can successfully segment time series data (including videos) into meaningful "regimes", by using the piece-wise nonlinear dynamics.


On Predictive Information Sub-optimality of RNNs

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Certain biological neurons demonstrate a remarkable capability to optimally compress the history of sensory inputs while being maximally informative about the future. In this work, we investigate if the same can be said of artificial neurons in recurrent neural networks (RNNs) trained with maximum likelihood. In experiments on two datasets, restorative Brownian motion and a hand-drawn sketch dataset, we find that RNNs are sub-optimal in the information plane. Instead of optimally compressing past information, they extract additional information that is not relevant for predicting the future. Overcoming this limitation may require alternative training procedures and architectures, or objectives beyond maximum likelihood estimation. Remembering past events is a critical component of predicting the future and acting in the world. An information-theoretic quantification of how much observing the past can help in predicting the future is given by the predictive information (Bialek et al., 2001). The predictive information is the mutual information (MI) between a finite set of observations (the past of a sequence) and an infinite number of additional draws from the same process (the future of a sequence).


Multi-Resolution Weak Supervision for Sequential Data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Since manually labeling training data is slow and expensive, recent industrial and scientific research efforts have turned to weaker or noisier forms of supervision sources. However, existing weak supervision approaches fail to model multi-resolution sources for sequential data, like video, that can assign labels to individual elements or collections of elements in a sequence. A key challenge in weak supervision is estimating the unknown accuracies and correlations of these sources without using labeled data. Multi-resolution sources exacerbate this challenge due to complex correlations and sample complexity that scales in the length of the sequence. We propose Dugong, the first framework to model multi-resolution weak supervision sources with complex correlations to assign probabilistic labels to training data. Theoretically, we prove that Dugong, under mild conditions, can uniquely recover the unobserved accuracy and correlation parameters and use parameter sharing to improve sample complexity. Our method assigns clinician-validated labels to population-scale biomedical video repositories, helping outperform traditional supervision by 36.8 F1 points and addressing a key use case where machine learning has been severely limited by the lack of expert labeled data. On average, Dugong improves over traditional supervision by 16.0 F1 points and existing weak supervision approaches by 24.2 F1 points across several video and sensor classification tasks.


Approximate Sampling using an Accelerated Metropolis-Hastings based on Bayesian Optimization and Gaussian Processes

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have a drawback when working with a target distribution or likelihood function that is computationally expensive to evaluate, specially when working with big data. This paper focuses on Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm for unimodal distributions. Here, an enhanced MH algorithm is proposed that requires less number of expensive function evaluations, has shorter burn-in period, and uses a better proposal distribution. The main innovations include the use of Bayesian optimization to reach the high probability region quickly, emulating the target distribution using Gaussian processes (GP), and using Laplace approximation of the GP to build a proposal distribution that captures the underlying correlation better. The experiments show significant improvement over the regular MH. Statistical comparison between the results from two algorithms is presented.


Integrals over Gaussians under Linear Domain Constraints

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Integrals of linearly constrained multivariate Gaussian densities are a frequent problem in machine learning and statistics, arising in tasks like generalized linear models and Bayesian optimization. Yet they are notoriously hard to compute, and to further complicate matters, the numerical values of such integrals may be very small. We present an efficient black-box algorithm that exploits geometry for the estimation of integrals over a small, truncated Gaussian volume, and to simulate therefrom. Our algorithm uses the Holmes-Diaconis-Ross (HDR) method combined with an analytic version of elliptical slice sampling (ESS). Adapted to the linear setting, ESS allows for efficient, rejection-free sampling, because intersections of ellipses and domain boundaries have closed-form solutions. The key idea of HDR is to decompose the integral into easier-to-compute conditional probabilities by using a sequence of nested domains. Remarkably, it allows for direct computation of the logarithm of the integral value and thus enables the computation of extremely small probability masses. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our tailored combination of HDR and ESS on high-dimensional integrals and on entropy search for Bayesian optimization.


Aggregated Gradient Langevin Dynamics

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper, we explore a general Aggregated Gradient Langevin Dynamics framework (AGLD) for the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling. We investigate the nonasymptotic convergence of AGLD with a unified analysis for different data accessing (e.g. random access, cyclic access and random reshuffle) and snapshot updating strategies, under convex and nonconvex settings respectively. It is the first time that bounds for I/O friendly strategies such as cyclic access and random reshuffle have been established in the MCMC literature. The theoretic results also indicate that methods in AGLD possess the merits of both the low per-iteration computational complexity and the short mixture time. Empirical studies demonstrate that our framework allows to derive novel schemes to generate high-quality samples for large-scale Bayesian posterior learning tasks.


Adversarial Anomaly Detection for Marked Spatio-Temporal Streaming Data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Spatio-temporal event data are becoming increasingly available in a wide variety of applications, such as electronic transaction records, social network data, and crime data. How to efficiently detect anomalies in these dynamic systems using these streaming event data? We propose a novel anomaly detection framework for such event data combining the Long short-term memory (LSTM) and marked spatio-temporal point processes. The detection procedure can be computed in an online and distributed fashion via feeding the streaming data through an LSTM and a neural network-based discriminator. We study the false-alarm-rate and detection delay using theory and simulation and show that it can achieve weak signal detection by aggregating local statistics over time and networks. Finally, we demonstrate the good performance using real-world datasets.


Embedded Bayesian Network Classifiers

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Low-dimensional probability models for local distribution functions in a Bayesian network include decision trees, decision graphs, and causal independence models. We describe a new probability model for discrete Bayesian networks, which we call an embedded Bayesian network classifier or EBNC. The model for a node $Y$ given parents $\bf X$ is obtained from a (usually different) Bayesian network for $Y$ and $\bf X$ in which $\bf X$ need not be the parents of $Y$. We show that an EBNC is a special case of a softmax polynomial regression model. Also, we show how to identify a non-redundant set of parameters for an EBNC, and describe an asymptotic approximation for learning the structure of Bayesian networks that contain EBNCs. Unlike the decision tree, decision graph, and causal independence models, we are unaware of a semantic justification for the use of these models. Experiments are needed to determine whether the models presented in this paper are useful in practice.


Making Bayesian Predictive Models Interpretable: A Decision Theoretic Approach

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

A salient approach to interpretable machine learning is to restrict modeling to simple and hence understandable models. In the Bayesian framework, this can be pursued by restricting the model structure and prior to favor interpretable models. Fundamentally, however, interpretability is about users' preferences, not the data generation mechanism: it is more natural to formulate interpretability as a utility function. In this work, we propose an interpretability utility, which explicates the trade-off between explanation fidelity and interpretability in the Bayesian framework. The method consists of two steps. First, a reference model, possibly a black-box Bayesian predictive model compromising no accuracy, is constructed and fitted to the training data. Second, a proxy model from an interpretable model family that best mimics the predictive behaviour of the reference model is found by optimizing the interpretability utility function. The approach is model agnostic - neither the interpretable model nor the reference model are restricted to be from a certain class of models - and the optimization problem can be solved using standard tools in the chosen model family. Through experiments on real-word data sets using decision trees as interpretable models and Bayesian additive regression models as reference models, we show that for the same level of interpretability, our approach generates more accurate models than the earlier alternative of restricting the prior. We also propose a systematic way to measure stabilities of interpretabile models constructed by different interpretability approaches and show that our proposed approach generates more stable models.