Feature selection is a crucial preprocessing step in data analytics and machine learning. Classical feature selection algorithms select features based on the correlations between predictive features and the class variable and do not attempt to capture causal relationships between them. It has been shown that the knowledge about the causal relationships between features and the class variable has potential benefits for building interpretable and robust prediction models, since causal relationships imply the underlying mechanism of a system. Consequently, causality-based feature selection has gradually attracted greater attentions and many algorithms have been proposed. In this paper, we present a comprehensive review of recent advances in causality-based feature selection. To facilitate the development of new algorithms in the research area and make it easy for the comparisons between new methods and existing ones, we develop the first open-source package, called CausalFS, which consists of most of the representative causality-based feature selection algorithms (available at https://github.com/kuiy/CausalFS). Using CausalFS, we conduct extensive experiments to compare the representative algorithms with both synthetic and real-world data sets. Finally, we discuss some challenging problems to be tackled in future causality-based feature selection research.

A BSTRACT Transformers have increasingly outperformed gated RNNs in obtaining new state-of-the-art results on supervised tasks involving text sequences. Inspired by this trend, we study the question of how Transformer-based models can improve the performance of sequential decision-making agents. We present the Working Memory Graph (WMG), an agent that employs multi-head self-attention to reason over a dynamic set of vectors representing observed and recurrent state. We evaluate WMG in two partially observable environments, one that requires complex reasoning over past observations, and another that features factored observations. We find that WMG significantly outperforms gated RNNs on these tasks, supporting the hypothesis that WMG's inductive bias in favor of learning and leveraging factored representations can dramatically boost sample efficiency in environments featuring such structure. In the RNN-based approach of Sutskever et al. (2014), an encoder RNN maps an input sentence to a series of internal hidden state vectors. The encoder's final hidden state is copied into a decoder RNN, which then generates another sequence of hidden states that determine the selection of output tokens in the target language. This model can be trained to translate sentences, but translation quality deteriorates on long sentences where long-term dependencies become critical.

Evidence often grounds temporal probabilistic relational models over time, which makes reasoning infeasible. To counteract groundings over time and to keep reasoning polynomial by restoring a lifted representation, we present temporal approximate merging (T AMe), which incorporates (i) clustering for grouping submodels as well as (ii) statistical significance checks to test the fitness of the clustering outcome. In exchange for faster runtimes, T AMe introduces a bounded error that becomes negligible over time. Empirical results show that T AMe significantly improves the runtime performance of inference, while keeping errors small. Introduction Temporal probabilistic relational models express relations between objects, modelling uncertainty as well as temporal aspects. Within one time step, a temporal model is considered static. Performing inference on such models requires algorithms to efficiently handle the temporal aspect to be able to efficiently answer queries. Reasoning in lifted representations has a complexity polynomial in domain sizes. But, models dissolve into ground instances through evidence, which no longer permits reasoning in polynomial time, making query answering infeasible for any reasoning algorithm, exact or approximate. Thus, a key challenge during inference in temporal models is to restore a lifted, i.e., non-grounded, representation. Therefore, we formulate and study the problem of keeping reasoning polynomial (KRP) in temporal models to tame the effect of evidence for efficient query answering. First-order probabilistic inference leverages the relational aspect of a static model, using representatives for groups of indistinguishable, known objects, also known as lifting (Poole 2003). Poole (2003) presents parametric factor graphs as relational models and proposes lifted variable elimination (L VE) as an exact inference algorithm on relational models.

The de facto standard for causal inference is the randomized controlled trial, where one compares an manipulated group with a control group in order to determine the effect of an intervention. However, this research design is not always realistically possible due to pragmatic or ethical concerns. In these situations, quasi-experimental designs may provide a solution, as these allow for causal conclusions at the cost of additional design assumptions. In this paper, we provide a generic framework for quasi-experimental design using Bayesian model comparison, and we show how it can be used as an alternative to several common research designs. We provide a theoretical motivation for a Gaussian process based approach and demonstrate its convenient use in a number of simulations. Finally, we apply the framework to determine the effect of population-based thresholds for municipality funding in France, of the 2005 smoking ban in Sicily on the number of acute coronary events, and of the effect of an alleged historical phantom border in the Netherlands on Dutch voting behaviour.

--Energy disaggregation, also referred to as a Non-Intrusive Load Monitoring (NILM), is the task of using an aggregate energy signal, for example coming from a whole-home power monitor, to make inferences about the different individual loads of the system. In this paper, we present a novel approach based on the encoder-decoder deep learning framework with an attention mechanism for solving NILM. The attention mechanism is inspired by the temporal attention mechanism that has been recently applied to get state-of-the-art results in neural machine translation, text summarization and speech recognition. The experiments have been conducted on two publicly available datasets AMPds and UK-DALE in seen and unseen conditions. The results show that our proposed deep neural network outperforms the state-of-the-art Denoising Auto-Encoder (DAE) proposed initially by Kelly and Knottenbely (2015) and its extended and improved architecture by Bonfigli et al. (2018), in all the addressed experimental conditions. We also show that modeling attention translates into the ability to correctly detect the state change of each appliance, that is of extreme interest in the field of energy disaggregation. Non-Intrusive Load Monitoring (NILM) is the task of estimating the power demand of each appliance given aggregate power demand signal recorded by a single electric meter monitoring multiple appliances [1]. In the last years, the research on NILM has been particularly active in the field of machine learning.

This paper investigates methods for estimating the optimal stochastic control policy for a Markov Decision Process with unknown transition dynamics and an unknown reward function. This form of model-free reinforcement learning comprises many real world systems such as playing video games, simulated control tasks, and real robot locomotion. Existing methods for estimating the optimal stochastic control policy rely on high variance estimates of the policy descent. However, these methods are not guaranteed to find the optimal stochastic policy, and the high variance gradient estimates make convergence unstable. In order to resolve these problems, we propose a technique using Markov Chain Monte Carlo to generate samples from the posterior distribution of the parameters conditioned on being optimal. Our method provably converges to the globally optimal stochastic policy, and empirically similar variance compared to the policy gradient.

We optimize a six degrees of freedom hovering policy using reinforcement meta-learning. The policy maps flash LIDAR measurements directly to on/off spacecraft body-frame thrust commands, allowing hovering at a fixed position and attitude in the asteroid body-fixed reference frame. Importantly, the policy does not require position and velocity estimates, and can operate in environments with unknown dynamics, and without an asteroid shape model or navigation aids. Indeed, during optimization the agent is confronted with a new randomly generated asteroid for each episode, insuring that it does not learn an asteroid's shape, texture, or environmental dynamics. This allows the deployed policy to generalize well to novel asteroid characteristics, which we demonstrate in our experiments. The hovering controller has the potential to simplify mission planning by allowing asteroid body-fixed hovering immediately upon the spacecraft's arrival to an asteroid. This in turn simplifies shape model generation and allows resource mapping via remote sensing immediately upon arrival at the target asteroid.

Many businesses and consumers are extending the capabilities of voice-based services such as Amazon Alexa, Google Home, Microsoft Cortana, and Apple Siri to create custom voice experiences (also known as skills). As the number of these experiences increases, a key problem is the discovery of skills that can be used to address a user's request. In this paper, we focus on conversational skill discovery and present a conversational agent which engages in a dialog with users to help them find the skills that fulfill their needs. To this end, we start with a rule-based agent and improve it by using reinforcement learning. In this way, we enable the agent to adapt to different user attributes and conversational styles as it interacts with users. We evaluate our approach in a real production setting by deploying the agent to interact with real users, and show the effectiveness of the conversational agent in helping users find the skills that serve their request.

This was the subject of a question asked on Quora: What are the top 10 data mining or machine learning algorithms? Some modern algorithms such as collaborative filtering, recommendation engine, segmentation, or attribution modeling, are missing from the lists below. Algorithms from graph theory (to find the shortest path in a graph, or to detect connected components), from operations research (the simplex, to optimize the supply chain), or from time series, are not listed either. And I could not find MCM (Markov Chain Monte Carlo) and related algorithms used to process hierarchical, spatio-temporal and other Bayesian models. My point of view is of course biased, but I would like to also add some algorithms developed or re-developed at the Data Science Central's research lab: These algorithms are described in the article What you wont learn in statistics classes.

There are a lot of machine learning algorithm available and among them there are some which are used mostly among the use in daily cases. Some of the Machine Learning algorithm are mentioned.