We make the following striking observation: fully convolutional VAE models trained on 32x32 ImageNet can generalize well, not just to 64x64 but also to far larger photographs, with no changes to the model. We use this property, applying fully convolutional models to lossless compression, demonstrating a method to scale the VAE-based 'Bits-Back with ANS' algorithm for lossless compression to large color photographs, and achieving state of the art for compression of full size ImageNet images. We release Craystack, an open source library for convenient prototyping of lossless compression using probabilistic models, along with full implementations of all of our compression results.

Non-homogeneous hidden Markov models (NHHMM) are a subclass of dependent mixture models used for semi-supervised learning, where both transition probabilities between the latent states and mean parameter of the probability distribution of the responses (for a given state) depend on the set of $p$ covariates. A priori we do not know which (and how) covariates influence the transition probabilities and the mean parameters. This induces a complex combinatorial optimization problem for model selection with $4^p$ potential configurations. To address the problem, in this article we propose an adaptive (A) simulated annealing (SA) expectation maximization (EM) algorithm (ASA-EM) for joint optimization of models and their parameters with respect to a criterion of interest.

Time perception is the phenomenological experience of time by an individual. In this paper, we study how to replicate neural mechanisms involved in time perception, allowing robots to take a step towards temporal cognition. Our framework follows a twofold biologically inspired approach. The first step consists of estimating the passage of time from sensor measurements, since environmental stimuli influence the perception of time. Sensor data is modeled as Gaussian processes that represent the second-order statistics of the natural environment. The estimated elapsed time between two events is computed from the maximum likelihood estimate of the joint distribution of the data collected between them. Moreover, exactly how time is encoded in the brain remains unknown, but there is strong evidence of the involvement of dopaminergic neurons in timing mechanisms. Since their phasic activity has a similar behavior to the reward prediction error of temporal-difference learning models, the latter are used to replicate this behavior. The second step of this approach consists therefore of applying the agent's estimate of the elapsed time in a reinforcement learning problem, where a feature representation called Microstimuli is used. We validate our framework by applying it to an experiment that was originally conducted with mice, and conclude that a robot using this framework is able to reproduce the timing mechanisms of the animal's brain.

There exists a dichotomy between classical probabilistic graphical models, such as Bayesian networks (BNs), and modern tractable models, such as sum-product networks (SPNs). The former have generally intractable inference, but allow a high level of interpretability, while the latter admits a wide range of tractable inference routines, but are typically harder to interpret. Due to this dichotomy, tools to convert between BNs and SPNs are desirable. While one direction -- compiling BNs into SPNs -- is well discussed in Darwiche's seminal work on arithmetic circuit compilation, the converse direction -- decompiling SPNs into BNs -- has received surprisingly little attention. In this paper, we fill this gap by proposing SPN2BN, an algorithm that decompiles an SPN into a BN. SPN2BN has several salient features when compared to the only other two works decompiling SPNs. Most significantly, the BNs returned by SPN2BN are minimal independence-maps. Secondly, SPN2BN is more parsimonious with respect to the introduction of latent variables. Thirdly, the output BN produced by SPN2BN can be precisely characterized with respect to the compiled BN. More specifically, a certain set of directed edges will be added to the input BN, giving what we will call the moral-closure. It immediately follows that there is a set of BNs related to the input BN that will also return the same moral closure. Lastly, it is established that our compilation-decompilation process is idempotent. We confirm our results with systematic experiments on a number of synthetic BNs.

Arguments in favor of injecting symbolic knowledge into neural architectures abound. When done right, constraining a sub-symbolic model can substantially improve its performance and sample complexity and prevent it from predicting invalid configurations. Focusing on deep probabilistic (logical) graphical models -- i.e., constrained joint distributions whose parameters are determined (in part) by neural nets based on low-level inputs -- we draw attention to an elementary but unintended consequence of symbolic knowledge: that the resulting constraints can propagate the negative effects of adversarial examples.

Continuous-time event sequences represent discrete events occurring in continuous time. Such sequences arise frequently in real-life and cover a wide variety of natural events, such as earthquakes, or events corresponding to human actions, such as medical administrations. Usually we expect the event sequences to follow some regular pattern over time. However, sometimes these regular patterns may be interrupted by unexpected absence or unexpected occurrences of events. Identification of these unexpected cases can be very important as they may point to abnormal situations that need human attention. In this work, we study and develop methods for detecting outliers in continuous-time event sequences, including unexpected absence and unexpected occurrences of events. Since the patterns that event sequences tend to follow may change in different contexts, we develop outlier detection methods based on point processes that take into account different contexts. Our outlier scoring methods are based on Bayesian decision theory and hypothesis testing with theoretical guarantees. To test the performance of the methods, we conduct experiments on both synthetic data and real-world clinical data and show the effectiveness of the proposed methods.

In a standard multi-output classification scenario, both features and labels of training data are partially observed. This challenging issue is widely witnessed due to sensor or database failures, crowd-sourcing and noisy communication channels in industrial data analytic services. Classic methods for handling multi-output classification with incomplete supervision information usually decompose the problem into an imputation stage that reconstructs the missing training information, and a learning stage that builds a classifier based on the imputed training set. These methods fail to fully leverage the dependencies between features and labels. In order to take full advantage of these dependencies we consider a purely probabilistic setting in which the features imputation and multi-label classification problems are jointly solved. Indeed, we show that a simple Restricted Boltzmann Machine can be trained with an adapted algorithm based on mean-field equations to efficiently solve problems of inductive and transductive learning in which both features and labels are missing at random. The effectiveness of the approach is demonstrated empirically on various datasets, with particular focus on a real-world Internet-of-Things security dataset.

Analyzing electronic health records (EHR) poses significant challenges because often few samples are available describing a patient's health and, when available, their information content is highly diverse. The problem we consider is how to integrate sparsely sampled longitudinal data, missing measurements informative of the underlying health status and fixed demographic information to produce estimated survival distributions updated through a patient's follow up. We propose a nonparametric probabilistic model that generates survival trajectories from an ensemble of Bayesian trees that learns variable interactions over time without specifying beforehand the longitudinal process. We show performance improvements on Primary Biliary Cirrhosis patient data.

The thesis contributes in several important ways to the research area of 3D object category learning and recognition. To cope with the mentioned limitations, we look at human cognition, in particular at the fact that human beings learn to recognize object categories ceaselessly over time. This ability to refine knowledge from the set of accumulated experiences facilitates the adaptation to new environments. Inspired by this capability, we seek to create a cognitive object perception and perceptual learning architecture that can learn 3D object categories in an open-ended fashion. In this context, ``open-ended'' implies that the set of categories to be learned is not known in advance, and the training instances are extracted from actual experiences of a robot, and thus become gradually available, rather than being available since the beginning of the learning process. In particular, this architecture provides perception capabilities that will allow robots to incrementally learn object categories from the set of accumulated experiences and reason about how to perform complex tasks. This framework integrates detection, tracking, teaching, learning, and recognition of objects. An extensive set of systematic experiments, in multiple experimental settings, was carried out to thoroughly evaluate the described learning approaches. Experimental results show that the proposed system is able to interact with human users, learn new object categories over time, as well as perform complex tasks. The contributions presented in this thesis have been fully implemented and evaluated on different standard object and scene datasets and empirically evaluated on different robotic platforms.

An Intrusion Detection System (IDS) is a key cybersecurity tool for network administrators as it identifies malicious traffic and cyberattacks. With the recent successes of machine learning techniques such as deep learning, more and more IDS are now using machine learning algorithms to detect attacks faster. However, these systems lack robustness when facing previously unseen types of attacks. With the increasing number of new attacks, especially against Internet of Things devices, having a robust IDS able to spot unusual and new attacks becomes necessary. This work explores the possibility of leveraging generative adversarial models to improve the robustness of machine learning based IDS. More specifically, we propose a new method named SIGMA, that leverages adversarial examples to strengthen IDS against new types of attacks. Using Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN) and metaheuristics, SIGMA %Our method consists in generates adversarial examples, iteratively, and uses it to retrain a machine learning-based IDS, until a convergence of the detection rate (i.e. until the detection system is not improving anymore). A round of improvement consists of a generative phase, in which we use GANs and metaheuristics to generate instances ; an evaluation phase in which we calculate the detection rate of those newly generated attacks ; and a training phase, in which we train the IDS with those attacks. We have evaluated the SIGMA method for four standard machine learning classification algorithms acting as IDS, with a combination of GAN and a hybrid local-search and genetic algorithm, to generate new datasets of attacks. Our results show that SIGMA can successfully generate adversarial attacks against different machine learning based IDS. Also, using SIGMA, we can improve the performance of an IDS to up to 100\% after as little as two rounds of improvement.