This paper investigates the use of Reinforcement Learning for the robust design of low-thrust interplanetary trajectories in presence of severe disturbances, modeled alternatively as Gaussian additive process noise, observation noise, control actuation errors on thrust magnitude and direction, and possibly multiple missed thrust events. The optimal control problem is recast as a time-discrete Markov Decision Process to comply with the standard formulation of reinforcement learning. An open-source implementation of the state-of-the-art algorithm Proximal Policy Optimization is adopted to carry out the training process of a deep neural network, used to map the spacecraft (observed) states to the optimal control policy. The resulting Guidance and Control Network provides both a robust nominal trajectory and the associated closed-loop guidance law. Numerical results are presented for a typical Earth-Mars mission. First, in order to validate the proposed approach, the solution found in a (deterministic) unperturbed scenario is compared with the optimal one provided by an indirect technique. Then, the robustness and optimality of the obtained closed-loop guidance laws is assessed by means of Monte Carlo campaigns performed in the considered uncertain scenarios.

Intelligent signal processing for wireless communications is a vital task in modern wireless systems, but it faces new challenges because of network heterogeneity, diverse service requirements, a massive number of connections, and various radio characteristics. Owing to recent advancements in big data and computing technologies, artificial intelligence (AI) has become a useful tool for radio signal processing and has enabled the realization of intelligent radio signal processing. This survey covers four intelligent signal processing topics for the wireless physical layer, including modulation classification, signal detection, beamforming, and channel estimation. In particular, each theme is presented in a dedicated section, starting with the most fundamental principles, followed by a review of up-to-date studies and a summary. To provide the necessary background, we first present a brief overview of AI techniques such as machine learning, deep learning, and federated learning. Finally, we highlight a number of research challenges and future directions in the area of intelligent radio signal processing. We expect this survey to be a good source of information for anyone interested in intelligent radio signal processing, and the perspectives we provide therein will stimulate many more novel ideas and contributions in the future.

The sparse Cholesky parametrization of the inverse covariance matrix can be interpreted as a Gaussian Bayesian network; however its counterpart, the covariance Cholesky factor, has received, with few notable exceptions, little attention so far, despite having a natural interpretation as a hidden variable model for ordered signal data. To fill this gap, in this paper we focus on arbitrary zero patterns in the Cholesky factor of a covariance matrix. We discuss how these models can also be extended, in analogy with Gaussian Bayesian networks, to data where no apparent order is available. For the ordered scenario, we propose a novel estimation method that is based on matrix loss penalization, as opposed to the existing regression-based approaches. The performance of this sparse model for the Cholesky factor, together with our novel estimator, is assessed in a simulation setting, as well as over spatial and temporal real data where a natural ordering arises among the variables. We give guidelines, based on the empirical results, about which of the methods analysed is more appropriate for each setting.

In this paper, we propose a flexible model for survival analysis using neural networks along with scalable optimization algorithms. One key technical challenge for directly applying maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) to censored data is that evaluating the objective function and its gradients with respect to model parameters requires the calculation of integrals. To address this challenge, we recognize that the MLE for censored data can be viewed as a differential-equation constrained optimization problem, a novel perspective. Following this connection, we model the distribution of event time through an ordinary differential equation and utilize efficient ODE solvers and adjoint sensitivity analysis to numerically evaluate the likelihood and the gradients. Using this approach, we are able to 1) provide a broad family of continuous-time survival distributions without strong structural assumptions, 2) obtain powerful feature representations using neural networks, and 3) allow efficient estimation of the model in large-scale applications using stochastic gradient descent. Through both simulation studies and real-world data examples, we demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method in comparison to existing state-of-the-art deep learning survival analysis models.

In conducting non-linear dimensionality reduction and feature learning, it is common to suppose that the data lie near a lower-dimensional manifold. A class of model-based approaches for such problems includes latent variables in an unknown non-linear regression function; this includes Gaussian process latent variable models and variational auto-encoders (VAEs) as special cases. VAEs are artificial neural networks (ANNs) that employ approximations to make computation tractable; however, current implementations lack adequate uncertainty quantification in estimating the parameters, predictive densities, and lower-dimensional subspace, and can be unstable and lack interpretability in practice. We attempt to solve these problems by deploying Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling algorithms (MCMC) for Bayesian inference in ANN models with latent variables. We address issues of identifiability by imposing constraints on the ANN parameters as well as by using anchor points. This is demonstrated on simulated and real data examples. We find that current MCMC sampling schemes face fundamental challenges in neural networks involving latent variables, motivating new research directions.

Inferring the structure of a causal model with feedback loops from observational data is a notoriously difficult--if not impossible--problem, particularly if one also seeks to guard against presence of latent confounders [9, 29]. We consider this problem for linear causal models given by mixed graphs (or path diagrams) with directed and bidirected edges. As detailed in Section 2, the vertices of such a graph correspond to the observed variables, and the directed edges encode structural equations that relate these variables up to stochastic noise. The bidirected edges indicate possible correlations among the noise terms, as may be induced by latent confounders. Much work has gone into algorithms that exploit conditional independence relations for learning the structure of causal models, or rather suitable equivalence classes of graphs encoding this structure; see, e.g., [10, 17, 18, 24, 25] or also the review of Spirtes and Zhang in [21, §18]. While methods have been developed that use information about conditional independence relations also in settings with feedback loops or latent variables, there is an inherent limitation to this approach as causal models with feedback loops or latent variables can generally not be characterized using conditional independence constraints alone [8, 27, 31, 32]. Alternatively, structure learning can be approached using score-based search techniques; see, e.g., [3, 28, 30].

Deep kernel learning (DKL) leverages the connection between Gaussian process (GP) and neural networks (NN) to build an end-to-end, hybrid model. It combines the capability of NN to learn rich representations under massive data and the non-parametric property of GP to achieve automatic regularization that incorporates a trade-off between model fit and model complexity. However, the deterministic encoder may weaken the model regularization of the following GP part, especially on small datasets, due to the free latent representation. We therefore present a complete deep latent-variable kernel learning (DLVKL) model wherein the latent variables perform stochastic encoding for regularized representation. We further enhance the DLVKL from two aspects: (i) the expressive variational posterior through neural stochastic differential equation (NSDE) to improve the approximation quality, and (ii) the hybrid prior taking knowledge from both the SDE prior and the posterior to arrive at a flexible trade-off. Intensive experiments imply that the DLVKL-NSDE performs similarly to the well calibrated GP on small datasets, and outperforms existing deep GPs on large datasets.

Machine learning (ML) pervades an increasing number of academic disciplines and industries. Its impact is profound, and several fields have been fundamentally altered by it, autonomy and computer vision for example; reliability engineering and safety will undoubtedly follow suit. There is already a large but fragmented literature on ML for reliability and safety applications, and it can be overwhelming to navigate and integrate into a coherent whole. In this work, we facilitate this task by providing a synthesis of, and a roadmap to this ever-expanding analytical landscape and highlighting its major landmarks and pathways. We first provide an overview of the different ML categories and sub-categories or tasks, and we note several of the corresponding models and algorithms. We then look back and review the use of ML in reliability and safety applications. We examine several publications in each category/sub-category, and we include a short discussion on the use of Deep Learning to highlight its growing popularity and distinctive advantages. Finally, we look ahead and outline several promising future opportunities for leveraging ML in service of advancing reliability and safety considerations. Overall, we argue that ML is capable of providing novel insights and opportunities to solve important challenges in reliability and safety applications. It is also capable of teasing out more accurate insights from accident datasets than with traditional analysis tools, and this in turn can lead to better informed decision-making and more effective accident prevention.

Many Reinforcement Learning (RL) approaches use joint control signals (positions, velocities, torques) as action space for continuous control tasks. We propose to lift the action space to a higher level in the form of subgoals for a motion generator (a combination of motion planner and trajectory executor). We argue that, by lifting the action space and by leveraging sampling-based motion planners, we can efficiently use RL to solve complex, long-horizon tasks that could not be solved with existing RL methods in the original action space. We propose ReLMoGen -- a framework that combines a learned policy to predict subgoals and a motion generator to plan and execute the motion needed to reach these subgoals. To validate our method, we apply ReLMoGen to two types of tasks: 1) Interactive Navigation tasks, navigation problems where interactions with the environment are required to reach the destination, and 2) Mobile Manipulation tasks, manipulation tasks that require moving the robot base. These problems are challenging because they are usually long-horizon, hard to explore during training, and comprise alternating phases of navigation and interaction. Our method is benchmarked on a diverse set of seven robotics tasks in photo-realistic simulation environments. In all settings, ReLMoGen outperforms state-of-the-art Reinforcement Learning and Hierarchical Reinforcement Learning baselines. ReLMoGen also shows outstanding transferability between different motion generators at test time, indicating a great potential to transfer to real robots.

Latent variables may lead to spurious relationships that can be misinterpreted as causal relationships. In Bayesian Networks (BNs), this challenge is known as learning under causal insufficiency. Structure learning algorithms that assume causal insufficiency tend to reconstruct the ancestral graph of a BN, where bi-directed edges represent confounding and directed edges represent direct or ancestral relationships. This paper describes a hybrid structure learning algorithm, called CCHM, which combines the constraint-based part of cFCI with hill-climbing score-based learning. The score-based process incorporates Pearl s do-calculus to measure causal effects and orientate edges that would otherwise remain undirected, under the assumption the BN is a linear Structure Equation Model where data follow a multivariate Gaussian distribution. Experiments based on both randomised and well-known networks show that CCHM improves the state-of-the-art in terms of reconstructing the true ancestral graph.