Abstract-- In highway scenarios, an alert human driver will typically anticipate early cutin and cutout maneuvers of surrounding vehicles using only visual cues. Different sizes of the regions around the vehicles are analyzed, evaluating the importance of the interaction between vehicles and the context information in the performance. I. INTRODUCTION One of the closest and most plausible scenarios in the To deal with lane-change prediction of surrounding vehicles, adoption of the autonomous vehicles is autonomous navigation in this paper we pose the problem as an action at SAE L3 (chauffeur) or L4 (autopilot) on highways, recognition problem using visual information from cameras. The most advanced The idea behind our proposal is to use the same source of information automation systems to date are the Highway Chauffeur (visual cues) and the same type of approach (action (HC) and the Highway Autopilot (HA), which includes the recognition) that drivers use to anticipate these maneuvers. HC is mostly considered as L3 and HA as L4[1].

We explore the application of normalizing flows for improving the performance of trajectory planning for autonomous vehicles (AVs). Normalizing flows provide an invertible mapping from a known prior distribution to a potentially complex, multi-modal target distribution and allow for fast sampling with exact PDF inference. By modeling a trajectory planner's cost manifold as an energy function we learn a scene conditioned mapping from the prior to a Boltzmann distribution over the AV control space. This mapping allows for control samples and their associated energy to be generated jointly and in parallel. We propose using neural autoregressive flow (NAF) as part of an end-to-end deep learned system that allows for utilizing sensors, map, and route information to condition the flow mapping. Finally, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach on real world datasets over IL and hand constructed trajectory sampling techniques.

Deep Q-Learning is an important algorithm, used to solve sequential decision making problems. It involves training a Deep Neural Network, called a Deep Q-Network (DQN), to approximate a function associated with optimal decision making, the Q-function. Although wildly successful in laboratory conditions, serious gaps between theory and practice prevent its use in the real-world. In this paper, we present a comprehensive analysis of the popular and practical version of the algorithm, under realistic verifiable assumptions. An important contribution is the characterization of its performance as a function of training. To do this, we view the algorithm as an evolving dynamical system. This facilitates associating a closely-related measure process with training. Then, the long-term behavior of Deep Q-Learning is determined by the limit of the aforementioned measure process. Empirical inferences, such as the qualitative advantage of using experience replay, and performance inconsistencies even after training, are explained using our analysis. Also, our theory is general and accommodates state Markov processes with multiple stationary distributions.

A major drawback of cross-network recommender solutions is that they can only be applied to users that are overlapped across networks. Thus, the non-overlapped users, which form the majority of users are ignored. As a solution, we propose CnGAN, a novel multi-task learning based, encoder-GAN-recommender architecture. The proposed model synthetically generates source network user preferences for non-overlapped users by learning the mapping from target to source network preference manifolds. The resultant user preferences are used in a Siamese network based neural recommender architecture. Furthermore, we propose a novel user based pairwise loss function for recommendations using implicit interactions to better guide the generation process in the multi-task learning environment.We illustrate our solution by generating user preferences on the Twitter source network for recommendations on the YouTube target network. Extensive experiments show that the generated preferences can be used to improve recommendations for non-overlapped users. The resultant recommendations achieve superior performance compared to the state-of-the-art cross-network recommender solutions in terms of accuracy, novelty and diversity.

Algorithmic decision making has proliferated and now impacts our daily lives in both mundane and consequential ways. Machine learning practitioners make use of a myriad of algorithms for predictive models in applications as diverse as movie recommendations, medical diagnoses, and parole recommendations without delving into the reasons driving specific predictive decisions. Machine learning algorithms in such applications are often chosen for their superior performance, however popular choices such as random forest and deep neural networks fail to provide an interpretable understanding of the predictive model. In recent years, rule-based algorithms have been used to address this issue. Wang et al. (2017) presented an or-of-and (disjunctive normal form) based classification technique that allows for classification rule mining of a single class in a binary classification; this method is also shown to perform comparably to other modern algorithms. In this work, we extend this idea to provide classification rules for both classes simultaneously. That is, we provide a distinct set of rules for both positive and negative classes. In describing this approach, we also present a novel and complete taxonomy of classifications that clearly capture and quantify the inherent ambiguity in noisy binary classifications in the real world. We show that this approach leads to a more granular formulation of the likelihood model and a simulated-annealing based optimization achieves classification performance competitive with comparable techniques. We apply our method to synthetic as well as real world data sets to compare with other related methods that demonstrate the utility of our proposal.

Precision medicine is a medical model, which proposes customization of the healthcare to a subgroup of patients, based on a genetics, lifestyle and environment. This technique allows doctors and researchers to prognosis treatment and prevention strategies for a specific disease which can work on a group of people. It is opposed to a one-size-fits-all approach, in which disease treatment and prevention techniques are advanced for the average individual with much less attention for the variations among individuals. There is an overlap between the terms "precision medication" and "personalized medicine." As per the National Research Council, "personalized medicine" is a traditional word with a meaning close to "precision medication."

This paper presents a new variable selection approach integrated with Gaussian process (GP) regression. We consider a sparse projection of input variables and a general stationary covariance model that depends on the Euclidean distance between the projected features. The sparse projection matrix is considered as an unknown parameter. We propose a forward stagewise approach with embedded gradient descent steps to co-optimize the parameter with other covariance parameters based on the maximization of a non-convex marginal likelihood function with a concave sparsity penalty, and some convergence properties of the algorithm are provided. The proposed model covers a broader class of stationary covariance functions than the existing automatic relevance determination approaches, and the solution approach is more computationally feasible than the existing MCMC sampling procedures for the automatic relevance parameter estimation with a sparsity prior. The approach is evaluated for a large number of simulated scenarios. The choice of tuning parameters and the accuracy of the parameter estimation are evaluated with the simulation study. In the comparison to some chosen benchmark approaches, the proposed approach has provided a better accuracy in the variable selection. It is applied to an important problem of identifying environmental factors that affect an atmospheric corrosion of metal alloys.

Uncertainty quantification is a fundamental yet unsolved problem for deep learning. The Bayesian framework provides a principled way of uncertainty estimation but is often not scalable to modern deep neural nets (DNNs) that have a large number of parameters. Non-Bayesian methods are simple to implement but often conflate different sources of uncertainties and require huge computing resources. We propose a new method for quantifying uncertainties of DNNs from a dynamical system perspective. The core of our method is to view DNN transformations as state evolution of a stochastic dynamical system and introduce a Brownian motion term for capturing epistemic uncertainty. Based on this perspective, we propose a neural stochastic differential equation model (SDE-Net) which consists of (1) a drift net that controls the system to fit the predictive function; and (2) a diffusion net that captures epistemic uncertainty. We theoretically analyze the existence and uniqueness of the solution to SDE-Net. Our experiments demonstrate that the SDE-Net model can outperform existing uncertainty estimation methods across a series of tasks where uncertainty plays a fundamental role.

In this paper, we propose a novel information criteria-based approach to select the dimensionality of the word2vec Skip-gram (SG). From the perspective of the probability theory, SG is considered as an implicit probability distribution estimation under the assumption that there exists a true contextual distribution among words. Therefore, we apply information criteria with the aim of selecting the best dimensionality so that the corresponding model can be as close as possible to the true distribution. We examine the following information criteria for the dimensionality selection problem: the Akaike Information Criterion, Bayesian Information Criterion, and Sequential Normalized Maximum Likelihood (SNML) criterion. SNML is the total codelength required for the sequential encoding of a data sequence on the basis of the minimum description length. The proposed approach is applied to both the original SG model and the SG Negative Sampling model to clarify the idea of using information criteria. Additionally, as the original SNML suffers from computational disadvantages, we introduce novel heuristics for its efficient computation. Moreover, we empirically demonstrate that SNML outperforms both BIC and AIC. In comparison with other evaluation methods for word embedding, the dimensionality selected by SNML is significantly closer to the optimal dimensionality obtained by word analogy or word similarity tasks.

Understanding data and reaching valid conclusions are of paramount importance in the present era of big data. Machine learning and probability theory methods have widespread application for this purpose in different fields. One critically important yet less explored aspect is how data and model uncertainties are captured and analyzed. Proper quantification of uncertainty provides valuable information for optimal decision making. This paper reviewed related studies conducted in the last 30 years (from 1991 to 2020) in handling uncertainties in medical data using probability theory and machine learning techniques. Medical data is more prone to uncertainty due to the presence of noise in the data. So, it is very important to have clean medical data without any noise to get accurate diagnosis. The sources of noise in the medical data need to be known to address this issue. Based on the medical data obtained by the physician, diagnosis of disease, and treatment plan are prescribed. Hence, the uncertainty is growing in healthcare and there is limited knowledge to address these problems. We have little knowledge about the optimal treatment methods as there are many sources of uncertainty in medical science. Our findings indicate that there are few challenges to be addressed in handling the uncertainty in medical raw data and new models. In this work, we have summarized various methods employed to overcome this problem. Nowadays, application of novel deep learning techniques to deal such uncertainties have significantly increased.