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 Learning Graphical Models


Meta Variationally Intrinsic Motivated Reinforcement Learning for Decentralized Traffic Signal Control

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The goal of traffic signal control is to coordinate multiple traffic signals to improve the traffic efficiency of a district or a city. In this work, we propose a novel Meta Variationally Intrinsic Motivated (MetaVIM) RL method, and aim to learn the decentralized polices of each traffic signal only conditioned on its local observation. MetaVIM makes three novel contributions. Firstly, to make the model available to new unseen target scenarios, we formulate the traffic signal control as a meta-learning problem over a set of related tasks. The train scenario is divided as multiple partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) tasks, and each task corresponds to a traffic light. In each task, the neighbours are regarded as an unobserved part of the state. Secondly, we assume that the reward, transition and policy functions vary across different tasks but share a common structure, and a learned latent variable conditioned on the past trajectories is proposed for each task to represent the specific information of the current task in these functions, then is further brought into policy for automatically trade off between exploration and exploitation to induce the RL agent to choose the reasonable action. In addition, to make the policy learning stable, four decoders are introduced to predict the received observations and rewards of the current agent with/without neighbour agents' policies, and a novel intrinsic reward is designed to encourage the received observation and reward invariant to the neighbour agents. Empirically, extensive experiments conducted on CityFlow demonstrate that the proposed method substantially outperforms existing methods and shows superior generalizability.


A Symmetric Loss Perspective of Reliable Machine Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

When minimizing the empirical risk in binary classification, it is a common practice to replace the zero-one loss with a surrogate loss to make the learning objective feasible to optimize. Examples of well-known surrogate losses for binary classification include the logistic loss, hinge loss, and sigmoid loss. It is known that the choice of a surrogate loss can highly influence the performance of the trained classifier and therefore it should be carefully chosen. Recently, surrogate losses that satisfy a certain symmetric condition (aka., symmetric losses) have demonstrated their usefulness in learning from corrupted labels. In this article, we provide an overview of symmetric losses and their applications. First, we review how a symmetric loss can yield robust classification from corrupted labels in balanced error rate (BER) minimization and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) maximization. Then, we demonstrate how the robust AUC maximization method can benefit natural language processing in the problem where we want to learn only from relevant keywords and unlabeled documents. Finally, we conclude this article by discussing future directions, including potential applications of symmetric losses for reliable machine learning and the design of non-symmetric losses that can benefit from the symmetric condition.


Improving Training Result of Partially Observable Markov Decision Process by Filtering Beliefs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this study I proposed a filtering beliefs method for improving performance of Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes(POMDPs), which is a method wildly used in autonomous robot and many other domains concerning control policy. My method search and compare every similar belief pair. Because a similar belief have insignificant influence on control policy, the belief is filtered out for reducing training time. The empirical results show that the proposed method outperforms the point-based approximate POMDPs in terms of the quality of training results as well as the efficiency of the method.


Stochastic Optimization for Vaccine and Testing Kit Allocation for the COVID-19 Pandemic

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The pandemic caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus has exposed many flaws in the decision-making strategies used to distribute resources to combat global health crises. In this paper, we leverage reinforcement learning and optimization to improve upon the allocation strategies for various resources. In particular, we consider a problem where a central controller must decide where to send testing kits to learn about the uncertain states of the world (active learning); then, use the new information to construct beliefs about the states and decide where to allocate resources. We propose a general model coupled with a tunable lookahead policy for making vaccine allocation decisions without perfect knowledge about the state of the world. The lookahead policy is compared to a population-based myopic policy which is more likely to be similar to the present strategies in practice. Each vaccine allocation policy works in conjunction with a testing kit allocation policy to perform active learning. Our simulation results demonstrate that an optimization-based lookahead decision making strategy will outperform the presented myopic policy.


Recoding latent sentence representations -- Dynamic gradient-based activation modification in RNNs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), encoding information in a suboptimal or erroneous way can impact the quality of representations based on later elements in the sequence and subsequently lead to wrong predictions and a worse model performance. In humans, challenging cases like garden path sentences (an instance of this being the infamous "The horse raced past the barn fell") can lead their language understanding astray. However, they are still able to correct their representation accordingly and recover when new information is encountered. Inspired by this, I propose an augmentation to standard RNNs in form of a gradient-based correction mechanism: This way I hope to enable such models to dynamically adapt their inner representation of a sentence, adding a way to correct deviations as soon as they occur. This could therefore lead to more robust models using more flexible representations, even during inference time. I conduct different experiments in the context of language modeling, where the impact of using such a mechanism is examined in detail. To this end, I look at modifications based on different kinds of time-dependent error signals and how they influence the model performance. Furthermore, this work contains a study of the model's confidence in its predictions during training and for challenging test samples and the effect of the manipulation thereof. Lastly, I also study the difference in behavior of these novel models compared to a standard LSTM baseline and investigate error cases in detail to identify points of future research. I show that while the proposed approach comes with promising theoretical guarantees and an appealing intuition, it is only able to produce minor improvements over the baseline due to challenges in its practical application and the efficacy of the tested model variants.


Sentiment Analysis for Open Domain Conversational Agent

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Sentiment analysis analysis models to open domain human continues to be highly challenging with the research robot interaction is investigated within this community attempting many sub-problems paper. The models are used on a dataset that have not been completely solved (Pozzi et al., specific to user interaction with the Alana 2017b). With this in mind, it is expected that system (a Alexa prize system) in order scripted conversations between two humans like to determine which would be more appropriate what is done in movies, unscripted conversations for the task of identifying sentiment between two humans, and human-machine interaction when a user interacts with a nonhuman systems will contain a varying amount of driven socialbot. With the identification sentiment with very different dialogue. of a model, various improvements Working with a large dataset in the area of are attempted and detailed prior to human-machine interaction systems allows the integration into the Alana system. The evaluation of already existing tools and machine study showed that a Random Forest Model learning techniques to better optimise development with 25 trees trained on the dataset specific within this area. The model is integrated to user interaction with the Alana system into Alana (a 2017 Alexa prize system (Ram et al., combined with the dataset present in 2017) consisting of an ensemble of bots, combining NLTK Vader outperforms other models.


Factor Analysis, Probabilistic Principal Component Analysis, Variational Inference, and Variational Autoencoder: Tutorial and Survey

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This is a tutorial and survey paper on factor analysis, probabilistic Principal Component Analysis (PCA), variational inference, and Variational Autoencoder (VAE). These methods, which are tightly related, are dimensionality reduction and generative models. They asssume that every data point is generated from or caused by a low-dimensional latent factor. By learning the parameters of distribution of latent space, the corresponding low-dimensional factors are found for the sake of dimensionality reduction. For their stochastic and generative behaviour, these models can also be used for generation of new data points in the data space. In this paper, we first start with variational inference where we derive the Evidence Lower Bound (ELBO) and Expectation Maximization (EM) for learning the parameters. Then, we introduce factor analysis, derive its joint and marginal distributions, and work out its EM steps. Probabilistic PCA is then explained, as a special case of factor analysis, and its closed-form solutions are derived. Finally, VAE is explained where the encoder, decoder and sampling from the latent space are introduced. Training VAE using both EM and backpropagation are explained.


Learning optimal Bayesian prior probabilities from data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Noninformative uniform priors are staples of Bayesian inference, especially in Bayesian machine learning. This study challenges the assumption that they are optimal and their use in Bayesian inference yields optimal outcomes. Instead of using arbitrary noninformative uniform priors, we propose a machine learning based alternative method, learning optimal priors from data by maximizing a target function of interest. Applying na\"ive Bayes text classification methodology and a search algorithm developed for this study, our system learned priors from data using the positive predictive value metric as the target function. The task was to find Wikipedia articles that had not (but should have) been categorized under certain Wikipedia categories. We conducted five sets of experiments using separate Wikipedia categories. While the baseline models used the popular Bayes-Laplace priors, the study models learned the optimal priors for each set of experiments separately before using them. The results showed that the study models consistently outperformed the baseline models with a wide margin of statistical significance (p < 0.001). The measured performance improvement of the study model over the baseline was as high as 443% with the mean value of 193% over five Wikipedia categories.


A Survey of Community Detection Approaches: From Statistical Modeling to Deep Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Community detection, a fundamental task for network analysis, aims to partition a network into multiple sub-structures to help reveal their latent functions. Community detection has been extensively studied in and broadly applied to many real-world network problems. Classical approaches to community detection typically utilize probabilistic graphical models and adopt a variety of prior knowledge to infer community structures. As the problems that network methods try to solve and the network data to be analyzed become increasingly more sophisticated, new approaches have also been proposed and developed, particularly those that utilize deep learning and convert networked data into low dimensional representation. Despite all the recent advancement, there is still a lack of insightful understanding of the theoretical and methodological underpinning of community detection, which will be critically important for future development of the area of network analysis. In this paper, we develop and present a unified architecture of network community-finding methods to characterize the state-of-the-art of the field of community detection. Specifically, we provide a comprehensive review of the existing community detection methods and introduce a new taxonomy that divides the existing methods into two categories, namely probabilistic graphical model and deep learning. We then discuss in detail the main idea behind each method in the two categories. Furthermore, to promote future development of community detection, we release several benchmark datasets from several problem domains and highlight their applications to various network analysis tasks. We conclude with discussions of the challenges of the field and suggestions of possible directions for future research.


A Joint Learning and Communication Framework for Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning over Noisy Channels

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose a novel formulation of the "effectiveness problem" in communications, put forth by Shannon and Weaver in their seminal work [2], by considering multiple agents communicating over a noisy channel in order to achieve better coordination and cooperation in a multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) framework. Specifically, we consider a multi-agent partially observable Markov decision process (MA-POMDP), in which the agents, in addition to interacting with the environment can also communicate with each other over a noisy communication channel. The noisy communication channel is considered explicitly as part of the dynamics of the environment and the message each agent sends is part of the action that the agent can take. As a result, the agents learn not only to collaborate with each other but also to communicate "effectively" over a noisy channel. This framework generalizes both the traditional communication problem, where the main goal is to convey a message reliably over a noisy channel, and the "learning to communicate" framework that has received recent attention in the MARL literature, where the underlying communication channels are assumed to be error-free. We show via examples that the joint policy learned using the proposed framework is superior to that where the communication is considered separately from the underlying MA-POMDP. This is a very powerful framework, which has many real world applications, from autonomous vehicle planning to drone swarm control, and opens up the rich toolbox of deep reinforcement learning for the design of multi-user communication systems. This work was supported in part by the European Research Council (ERC) Starting Grant BEACON (grant agreement no. An earlier version of this work was presented at the IEEE Global Communications Conference (GLOBECOM) in December 2020 [1]. Communication is essential for our society. Humans use language to communicate ideas, which has given rise to complex social structures, and scientists have observed either gestural or vocal communication in other animal groups, complexity of which increases with the complexity of the social structure of the group [3].