Ensembles of deep neural networks have achieved great success recently, but they do not offer a proper Bayesian justification. Moreover, while they allow for averaging of predictions over several hypotheses, they do not provide any guarantees for their diversity, leading to redundant solutions in function space. In contrast, particle-based inference methods, such as Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD), offer a Bayesian framework, but rely on the choice of a kernel to measure the similarity between ensemble members. In this work, we study different SVGD methods operating in the weight space, function space, and in a hybrid setting. We compare the SVGD approaches to other ensembling-based methods in terms of their theoretical properties and assess their empirical performance on synthetic and real-world tasks. We find that SVGD using functional and hybrid kernels can overcome the limitations of deep ensembles. It improves on functional diversity and uncertainty estimation and approaches the true Bayesian posterior more closely. Moreover, we show that using stochastic SVGD updates, as opposed to the standard deterministic ones, can further improve the performance.

In this chapter, we will give comprehensive examples of applying RL in optimizing the physical layer of wireless communications by defining different class of problems and the possible solutions to handle them. In Section 9.2, we present all the basic theory needed to address a RL problem, i.e. Markov decision process (MDP), Partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP), but also two very important and widely used algorithms for RL, i.e. the Q-learning and SARSA algorithms. We also introduce the deep reinforcement learning (DRL) paradigm and the section ends with an introduction to the multi-armed bandits (MAB) framework. Section 9.3 focuses on some toy examples to illustrate how the basic concepts of RL are employed in communication systems. We present applications extracted from literature with simplified system models using similar notation as in Section 9.2 of this Chapter. In Section 9.3, we also focus on modeling RL problems, i.e. how action and state spaces and rewards are chosen. The Chapter is concluded in Section 9.4 with a prospective thought on RL trends and it ends with a review of a broader state of the art in Section 9.5.

Just a few years ago, there were no legions of deep learning scientists developing intelligent products and services at major companies and startups. When the youngest among us (the authors) entered the field, machine learning did not command headlines in daily newspapers. Our parents had no idea what machine learning was, let alone why we might prefer it to a career in medicine or law. Machine learning was a forward-looking academic discipline with a narrow set of real-world applications. And those applications, e.g., speech recognition and computer vision, required so much domain knowledge that they were often regarded as separate areas entirely for which machine learning was one small component. Neural networks then, the antecedents of the deep learning models that we focus on in this book, were regarded as outmoded tools. In just the past five years, deep learning has taken the world by surprise, driving rapid progress in fields as diverse as computer vision, natural language processing, automatic speech recognition, reinforcement learning, and statistical modeling. With these advances in hand, we can now build cars that drive themselves with more autonomy than ever before (and less autonomy than some companies might have you believe), smart reply systems that automatically draft the most mundane emails, helping people dig out from oppressively large inboxes, and software agents that dominate the worldʼs best humans at board games like Go, a feat once thought to be decades away. Already, these tools exert ever-wider impacts on industry and society, changing the way movies are made, diseases are diagnosed, and playing a growing role in basic sciences--from astrophysics to biology.

We develop nested variational inference (NVI), a family of methods that learn proposals for nested importance samplers by minimizing an forward or reverse KL divergence at each level of nesting. NVI is applicable to many commonly-used importance sampling strategies and provides a mechanism for learning intermediate densities, which can serve as heuristics to guide the sampler. Our experiments apply NVI to (a) sample from a multimodal distribution using a learned annealing path (b) learn heuristics that approximate the likelihood of future observations in a hidden Markov model and (c) to perform amortized inference in hierarchical deep generative models. We observe that optimizing nested objectives leads to improved sample quality in terms of log average weight and effective sample size.

Reinforcement Learning (RL) has achieved several remarkable empirical successes in the last decade, which include playing Atari 2600 video games at superhuman levels (Mnih et al., 2015), AlphaGo or AlphaGo Zero surpassing champions in Go (Silver et al., 2018), AlphaStar's victory over top-ranked professional players in StarCraft (Vinyals et al., 2019), or practical self-driving cars. These applications all correspond to the setting of rich observations, where the state space is very large and where observations may be images, text or audio data. In contrast, most provably efficient RL algorithms are still limited to the classical tabular setting where the state space is small (Kearns and Singh, 2002; Brafman and Tennenholtz, 2002; Azar et al., 2017; Dann et al., 2019) and do not scale to the rich observation setting. To derive guarantees for large state spaces, much of the existing work in RL theory relies on a realizability and a low-rank assumption (Krishnamurthy et al., 2016; Jiang et al., 2017; Dann et al., 2018; Du et al., 2019a; Misra et al., 2020; Agarwal et al., 2020b). Different notions of rank have been adopted in the literature, including that of a low-rank transition matrix (Jin et al., 2020a), a low Bellman rank (Jiang et al., 2017), Wittness rank (Sun et al., 2019), Eluder dimension (Osband and Van Roy, 2014), Bellman-Eluder dimension (Jin et al., 2021), or bilinear classes (Du et al., 2021).

Trajectory prediction of vehicles at the city scale is of great importance to various location-based applications such as vehicle navigation, traffic management, and location-based recommendations. Existing methods typically represent a trajectory as a sequence of grid cells, road segments or intention sets. None of them is ideal, as the cell-based representation ignores the road network structures and the other two are less efficient in analyzing city-scale road networks. In addition, most models focus on predicting the immediate next position, and are difficult to generalize for longer sequences. To address these problems, we propose a novel sequence-to-sequence model named D-LSTM (Direction-based Long Short-Term Memory), which represents each trajectory as a sequence of intersections and associated movement directions, and then feeds them into a LSTM encoder-decoder network for future trajectory generation. Furthermore, we introduce a spatial attention mechanism to capture dynamic spatial dependencies in road networks, and a temporal attention mechanism with a sliding context window to capture both short- and long-term temporal dependencies in trajectory data. Extensive experiments based on two real-world large-scale taxi trajectory datasets show that D-LSTM outperforms the existing state-of-the-art methods for vehicle trajectory prediction, validating the effectiveness of the proposed trajectory representation method and spatiotemporal attention mechanisms.

When studying robots collaborating with humans, much of the focus has been on robot policies that coordinate fluently with human teammates in collaborative tasks. However, less emphasis has been placed on the effect of the environment on coordination behaviors. To thoroughly explore environments that result in diverse behaviors, we propose a framework for procedural generation of environments that are (1) stylistically similar to human-authored environments, (2) guaranteed to be solvable by the human-robot team, and (3) diverse with respect to coordination measures. We analyze the procedurally generated environments in the Overcooked benchmark domain via simulation and an online user study. Results show that the environments result in qualitatively different emerging behaviors and statistically significant differences in collaborative fluency metrics, even when the robot runs the same planning algorithm.

Correlation plots are the best way to show the pattern and relationship. If you have utilized some other correlation plot please mention in the comment box will include the same. The post Correlation Analysis Different Types of Plots in R appeared first on finnstats.

The technological revolution taking place in the fields of robotics and artificial intelligence seems to indicate a future shift in our human-centred social paradigm towards a greater inclusion of artificial cognitive agents in our everyday environments. This means that collaborative scenarios between humans and robots will become more frequent and will have a deeper impact on everyday life. In this setting, research regarding trust in human–robot interactions (HRI) assumes a major importance in order to ensure the highest quality of the interaction itself, as trust directly affects the willingness of people to accept information produced by a robot and to cooperate with it. Many studies have already explored trust that humans give to robots and how this can be enhanced by tuning both the design and the behaviour of the machine, but not so much research has focused on the opposite scenario, that is the trust that artificial agents can assign to people. Despite this, the latter is a critical factor in joint tasks where humans and robots depend on each other's effort to achieve a shared goal: whereas a robot can fail, so can a person. For an artificial agent to know when to trust or distrust somebody and adapt its plans to this prediction can make all the difference in the success or failure of the task. Our work is centred on the design and development of an artificial cognitive architecture for a humanoid autonomous robot that incorporates trust, theory of mind (ToM) and episodic memory, as we believe these are the three key factors for the purpose of estimating the trustworthiness of others. We have tested our architecture on an established developmental psychology experiment [1] and the results we obtained confirm that our approach successfully models trust mechanisms and dynamics in cognitive robots. Trust is a fundamental, unavoidable component of social interactions that can be defined as the willingness of a party (the trustor) to rely on the actions of another party (the trustee), with the former having no control over the latter [2].

There are many solutions proposed for classification purposes. Most of them share one common approach. Calculate the probability that a given sample belongs to a specific class. After that it is more subjective to decide if the given probability is an indication of class membership which is derived by cut-off threshold. This threshold is mainly determined by the utility function or risk-aversion policies.