The Sparsest Permutation (SP) algorithm is accurate but limited to about 9 variables in practice; the Greedy Sparest Permutation (GSP) algorithm is faster but less weak theoretically. A compromise can be given, the Best Order Score Search, which gives results as accurate as SP but for much larger and denser graphs. BOSS (Best Order Score Search) is more accurate for two reason: (a) It assumes the "brute faithfuness" assumption, which is weaker than faithfulness, and (b) it uses a different traversal of permutations than the depth first traversal used by GSP, obtained by taking each variable in turn and moving it to the position in the permutation that optimizes the model score. Results are given comparing BOSS to several related papers in the literature in terms of performance, for linear, Gaussian data. In all cases, with the proper parameter settings, accuracy of BOSS is lifted considerably with respect to competing approaches. In configurations tested, models with 60 variables are feasible with large samples out to about an average degree of 12 in reasonable time, with near-perfect accuracy, and sparse models with an average degree of 4 are feasible out to about 300 variables on a laptop, again with near-perfect accuracy. Mixed continuous discrete and all-discrete datasets were also tested. The mixed data analysis showed advantage for BOSS over GES more apparent at higher depths with the same score; the discrete data analysis showed a very small advantage for BOSS over GES with the same score, perhaps not enough to prefer it.

Several real-world scenarios, such as remote control and sensing, are comprised of action and observation delays. The presence of delays degrades the performance of reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms, often to such an extent that algorithms fail to learn anything substantial. This paper formally describes the notion of Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) with stochastic delays and shows that delayed MDPs can be transformed into equivalent standard MDPs (without delays) with significantly simplified cost structure. We employ this equivalence to derive a model-free Delay-Resolved RL framework and show that even a simple RL algorithm built upon this framework achieves near-optimal rewards in environments with stochastic delays in actions and observations. The delay-resolved deep Q-network (DRDQN) algorithm is bench-marked on a variety of environments comprising of multi-step and stochastic delays and results in better performance, both in terms of achieving near-optimal rewards and minimizing the computational overhead thereof, with respect to the currently established algorithms.

In this paper, we propose a new framework, exploiting the multi-agent deep deterministic policy gradient (MADDPG) algorithm, to enable a base station (BS) and user equipment (UE) to come up with a medium access control (MAC) protocol in a multiple access scenario. In this framework, the BS and UEs are reinforcement learning (RL) agents that need to learn to cooperate in order to deliver data. The network nodes can exchange control messages to collaborate and deliver data across the network, but without any prior agreement on the meaning of the control messages. In such a framework, the agents have to learn not only the channel access policy, but also the signaling policy. The collaboration between agents is shown to be important, by comparing the proposed algorithm to ablated versions where either the communication between agents or the central critic is removed. The comparison with a contention-free baseline shows that our framework achieves a superior performance in terms of goodput and can effectively be used to learn a new protocol.

The field of cardiac electrophysiology (EP) had adopted simple artificial intelligence (AI) methodologies for decades. Recent renewed interest in deep learning techniques has opened new frontiers in electrocardiography analysis including signature identification of diseased states. Artificial intelligence advances coupled with simultaneous rapid growth in computational power, sensor technology, and availability of web-based platforms have seen the rapid growth of AI-aided applications and big data research. Changing lifestyles with an expansion of the concept of internet of things and advancements in telecommunication technology have opened doors to population-based detection of atrial fibrillation in ways, which were previously unimaginable. Artificial intelligence-aided advances in 3D cardiac imaging heralded the concept of virtual hearts and the simulation of cardiac arrhythmias. Robotics, completely non-invasive ablation therapy, and the concept of extended realities show promise to revolutionize the future of EP. In this review, we discuss the impact of AI and recent technological advances in all aspects of arrhythmia care. As artificial intelligence (AI) has entered the medical field in recent years, machine learning (ML) approaches have made progress in assisting healthcare professionals in optimizing personalized treatment in a given situation, in particular in electrocardiography and image interpretation. Artificial intelligence methodologies are increasingly being adopted into all aspects of patient care and are paving the way to minimally invasive or non-invasive treatment modalities. This article offers a state-of-the-art overview on milestones achieved, but also on future integration of this information into diagnostic and therapeutic measures, and its likely impact on all aspects of arrhythmia care.

This paper describes the hierarchical infinite relational model (HIRM), a new probabilistic generative model for noisy, sparse, and heterogeneous relational data. Given a set of relations defined over a collection of domains, the model first infers multiple non-overlapping clusters of relations using a top-level Chinese restaurant process. Within each cluster of relations, a Dirichlet process mixture is then used to partition the domain entities and model the probability distribution of relation values. The HIRM generalizes the standard infinite relational model and can be used for a variety of data analysis tasks including dependence detection, clustering, and density estimation. We present new algorithms for fully Bayesian posterior inference via Gibbs sampling. We illustrate the efficacy of the method on a density estimation benchmark of twenty object-attribute datasets with up to 18 million cells and use it to discover relational structure in real-world datasets from politics and genomics.

Probabilistic Models in Machine Learning is the use of the codes of statistics to data examination. It was one of the initial methods of machine learning. It's quite extensively used to this day. Individual of the best-known algorithms in this group is the Naive Bayes algorithm. Probabilistic modelling delivers a framework for accepting what learning is.

For the binary prevalence quantification problem under prior probability shift, we determine the asymptotic variance of the maximum likelihood estimator. We find that it is a function of the Brier score for the regression of the class label against the features under the test data set distribution. This observation suggests that optimising the accuracy of a base classifier on the training data set helps to reduce the variance of the related quantifier on the test data set. Therefore, we also point out training criteria for the base classifier that imply optimisation of both of the Brier scores on the training and the test data sets.

This paper presents Bayesian parameter estimation for first order Grey system models' parameters (or sometimes referred to as hyperparameters). There are different forms of first-order Grey System Models. These include $GM(1,1)$, $GM(1,1| \cos(\omega t)$, $GM(1,1| \sin(\omega t)$, and $GM(1,1| \cos(\omega t), \sin(\omega t)$. The whitenization equation of these models is a first-order linear differential equation of the form \[ \frac{dx}{dt} + a x = f(t) \] where $a$ is a parameter and $f(t) = b$ in $GM(1,1|)$ , $f(t) = b_1\cos(\omega t) + b_2$ in $GM(1,1| cos(\omega t)$, $f(t) = b_1\sin(\omega t)+b_2$ in $GM(1,1| \sin(\omega t)$, $f(t) = b_1\sin(\omega t) + b_2\cos(\omega t) + b_3$ in $GM(1,1| \cos(\omega t), \sin(\omega t)$, $f(t) = b x^2$ in Grey Verhulst model (GVM), and where $b, b_1, b_2$, and $b_3$ are parameters. The results from Bayesian estimations are compared to the least square estimated models with fixed $\omega$. We found that using rolling Bayesian estimations for GM parameters can allow us to estimate the parameters in all possible forms. Based on the data used for the comparison, the numerical results showed that models with Bayesian parameter estimations are up to 45\% more accurate in mean squared errors.

We introduce a noisy channel approach for language model prompting in few-shot text classification. Instead of computing the likelihood of the label given the input (referred as direct models), channel models compute the conditional probability of the input given the label, and are thereby required to explain every word in the input. We use channel models for recently proposed few-shot learning methods with no or very limited updates to the language model parameters, via either in-context demonstration or prompt tuning. Our experiments show that, for both methods, channel models significantly outperform their direct counterparts, which we attribute to their stability, i.e., lower variance and higher worst-case accuracy. We also present extensive ablations that provide recommendations for when to use channel prompt tuning instead of other competitive models (e.g., direct head tuning): channel prompt tuning is preferred when the number of training examples is small, labels in the training data are imbalanced, or generalization to unseen labels is required.

When faced with severely imbalanced binary classification problems, we often train models on bootstrapped data in which the number of instances of each class occur in a more favorable ratio, e.g., one. We view algorithmic inequity through the lens of imbalanced classification: in order to balance the performance of a classifier across groups, we can bootstrap to achieve training sets that are balanced with respect to both labels and group identity. For an example problem with severe class imbalance---prediction of suicide death from administrative patient records---we illustrate how an equity-directed bootstrap can bring test set sensitivities and specificities much closer to satisfying the equal odds criterion. In the context of na\"ive Bayes and logistic regression, we analyze the equity-directed bootstrap, demonstrating that it works by bringing odds ratios close to one, and linking it to methods involving intercept adjustment, thresholding, and weighting.