Lifted inference allows to perform inference in polynomial time w.r.t. domain sizes. For a lifted algorithm, completeness investigates model classes for which the algorithm is guaranteed to compute a lifted solution. We contribute, to the best of our knowledge, the first completeness and complexity analysis for a temporal lifted algorithm, the so-called lifted dynamic junction tree algorithm (LDJT). To treat time as a first class citizen, LDJT introduces some constraints. Given these constraints, we analyse the classes of liftable models. Further, we show that LDJT has many advantages from a complexity point of view compared to a propositional temporal inference algorithm w.r.t. domain sizes. Therefore, LDJT advances the number of models for which inference tasks can be solved in reasonable time not only from a practically point of view, but also from a theoretical point of view.

Graphs from complex systems often share a partial underlying structure across domains while retaining individual features. Thus, identifying common structures can shed light on the underlying signal, for instance, when applied to scientific discoveries or clinical diagnoses. Furthermore, growing evidence shows that the shared structure across domains boosts the estimation power of graphs, particularly for high-dimensional data. However, building a joint estimator to extract the common structure may be more complicated than it seems, most often due to data heterogeneity across sources. This manuscript surveys recent work on statistical inference of joint Gaussian graphical models, identifying model structures that fit various data generation processes. Simulations under different data generation processes are implemented with detailed discussions on the choice of models.

Reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms can be used to provide personalized services, which rely on users' private and sensitive data. To protect the users' privacy, privacy-preserving RL algorithms are in demand. In this paper, we study RL with linear function approximation and local differential privacy (LDP) guarantees. We propose a novel $(\varepsilon, \delta)$-LDP algorithm for learning a class of Markov decision processes (MDPs) dubbed linear mixture MDPs, and obtains an $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}( d^{5/4}H^{7/4}T^{3/4}\left(\log(1/\delta)\right)^{1/4}\sqrt{1/\varepsilon})$ regret, where $d$ is the dimension of feature mapping, $H$ is the length of the planning horizon, and $T$ is the number of interactions with the environment. We also prove a lower bound $\Omega(dH\sqrt{T}/\left(e^{\varepsilon}(e^{\varepsilon}-1)\right))$ for learning linear mixture MDPs under $\varepsilon$-LDP constraint. Experiments on synthetic datasets verify the effectiveness of our algorithm. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first provable privacy-preserving RL algorithm with linear function approximation.

We study off-policy evaluation and learning from sequential data in a structured class of Markov decision processes that arise from repeated interactions with an exogenous sequence of arrivals with contexts, which generate unknown individual-level responses to agent actions. This model can be thought of as an offline generalization of contextual bandits with resource constraints. We formalize the relevant causal structure of problems such as dynamic personalized pricing and other operations management problems in the presence of potentially high-dimensional user types. The key insight is that an individual-level response is often not causally affected by the state variable and can therefore easily be generalized across timesteps and states. When this is true, we study implications for (doubly robust) off-policy evaluation and learning by instead leveraging single time-step evaluation, estimating the expectation over a single arrival via data from a population, for fitted-value iteration in a marginal MDP. We study sample complexity and analyze error amplification that leads to the persistence, rather than attenuation, of confounding error over time. In simulations of dynamic and capacitated pricing, we show improved out-of-sample policy performance in this class of relevant problems.

Data-efficient learning algorithms are essential in many practical applications for which data collection and labeling is expensive or infeasible, e.g., for autonomous cars. To address this problem, meta-learning infers an inductive bias from a set of meta-training tasks in order to learn new, but related, task using a small number of samples. Most studies assume the meta-learner to have access to labeled data sets from a large number of tasks. In practice, one may have available only unlabeled data sets from the tasks, requiring a costly labeling procedure to be carried out before use in standard meta-learning schemes. To decrease the number of labeling requests for meta-training tasks, this paper introduces an information-theoretic active task selection mechanism which quantifies the epistemic uncertainty via disagreements among the predictions obtained under different inductive biases. We detail an instantiation for nonparametric methods based on Gaussian Process Regression, and report its empirical performance results that compare favourably against existing heuristic acquisition mechanisms.

In this paper, we present a hypergraph--based machine learning algorithm, a datastructure--driven maintenance method, and a planning algorithm based on a probabilistic application of Dijkstra's algorithm. Together, these form a goal agnostic automated planning engine for an autonomous learning agent which incorporates beneficial properties of both classical Machine Learning and traditional Artificial Intelligence. We prove that the algorithm determines optimal solutions within the problem space, mathematically bound learning performance, and supply a mathematical model analyzing system state progression through time yielding explicit predictions for learning curves, goal achievement rates, and response to abstractions and uncertainty. To validate performance, we exhibit results from applying the agent to three archetypal planning problems, including composite hierarchical domains, and highlight empirical findings which illustrate properties elucidated in the analysis.

In the world of advice and financial planning, there is seldom one right answer. While traditional algorithms have been successful in solving linear problems, its success often depends on choosing the right features from a dataset, which can be a challenge for nuanced financial planning scenarios. Reinforcement learning is a machine learning approach that can be employed with complex data sets where picking the right features can be nearly impossible. In this paper, we will explore the use of machine learning for financial forecasting, predicting economic indicators, and creating a savings strategy. Vanguard ML algorithm for goals-based financial planning is based on deep reinforcement learning that identifies optimal savings rates across multiple goals and sources of income to help clients achieve financial success. Vanguard learning algorithms are trained to identify market indicators and behaviors too complex to capture with formulas and rules, instead, it works to model the financial success trajectory of investors and their investment outcomes as a Markov decision process. We believe that reinforcement learning can be used to create value for advisors and end-investors, creating efficiency, more personalized plans, and data to enable customized solutions.

Recent advances in Internet of Things (IoT) technologies and the reduction in the cost of sensors have encouraged the development of smart environments, such as smart homes. Smart homes can offer home assistance services to improve the quality of life, autonomy and health of their residents, especially for the elderly and dependent. To provide such services, a smart home must be able to understand the daily activities of its residents. Techniques for recognizing human activity in smart homes are advancing daily. But new challenges are emerging every day. In this paper, we present recent algorithms, works, challenges and taxonomy of the field of human activity recognition in a smart home through ambient sensors. Moreover, since activity recognition in smart homes is a young field, we raise specific problems, missing and needed contributions. But also propose directions, research opportunities and solutions to accelerate advances in this field.

Statistical Relational Learning (SRL) models have attracted significant attention due to their ability to model complex data while handling uncertainty. However, most of these models have been limited to discrete domains due to their limited potential functions. We introduce Relational Neural Markov Random Fields (RN-MRFs) which allow for handling of complex relational hybrid domains. The key advantage of our model is that it makes minimal data distributional assumptions and can seamlessly allow for human knowledge through potentials or relational rules. We propose a maximum pseudolikelihood estimation-based learning algorithm with importance sampling for training the neural potential parameters. Our empirical evaluations across diverse domains such as image processing and relational object mapping, clearly demonstrate its effectiveness against non-neural counterparts.

Detecting out-of-distribution (OOD) samples is vital for developing machine learning based models for critical safety systems. Common approaches for OOD detection assume access to some OOD samples during training which may not be available in a real-life scenario. Instead, we utilize the {\em predictive normalized maximum likelihood} (pNML) learner, in which no assumptions are made on the tested input. We derive an explicit expression of the pNML and its generalization error, denoted as the {\em regret}, for a single layer neural network (NN). We show that this learner generalizes well when (i) the test vector resides in a subspace spanned by the eigenvectors associated with the large eigenvalues of the empirical correlation matrix of the training data, or (ii) the test sample is far from the decision boundary. Furthermore, we describe how to efficiently apply the derived pNML regret to any pretrained deep NN, by employing the explicit pNML for the last layer, followed by the softmax function. Applying the derived regret to deep NN requires neither additional tunable parameters nor extra data. We extensively evaluate our approach on 74 OOD detection benchmarks using DenseNet-100, ResNet-34, and WideResNet-40 models trained with CIFAR-100, CIFAR-10, SVHN, and ImageNet-30 showing a significant improvement of up to 15.6\% over recent leading methods.