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 Learning Graphical Models



Efficient Stochastic Optimal Control through Approximate Bayesian Input Inference

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Optimal control under uncertainty is a prevailing challenge for many reasons. One of the critical difficulties lies in producing tractable solutions for the underlying stochastic optimization problem. We show how advanced approximate inference techniques can be used to handle the statistical approximations principled and practically by framing the control problem as a problem of input estimation. Analyzing the Gaussian setting, we present an inference-based solver that is effective in stochastic and deterministic settings and was found to be superior to popular baselines on nonlinear simulated tasks. We draw connections that relate this inference formulation to previous approaches for stochastic optimal control and outline several advantages that this inference view brings due to its statistical nature.


py-irt: A Scalable Item Response Theory Library for Python

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

py-irt is a Python library for fitting Bayesian Item Response Theory (IRT) models. py-irt estimates latent traits of subjects and items, making it appropriate for use in IRT tasks as well as ideal-point models. py-irt is built on top of the Pyro and PyTorch frameworks and uses GPU-accelerated training to scale to large data sets. Code, documentation, and examples can be found at https://github.com/nd-ball/py-irt. py-irt can be installed from the GitHub page or the Python Package Index (PyPI).


Causal AI & Bayesian Networks - DataScienceCentral.com

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We are all familiar with the dictum that "correlation does not imply causation". Furthermore, given a data file with samples of two variables x and z, we all know how to calculate the correlation between x and z. But it's only an elite minority, the few, the proud, the Bayesian Network aficionados, that know how to calculate the causal connection between x and z. Neural Net aficionados are incapable of doing this. Their Neural nets are just too wimpy to cut it.


Near-optimal Offline Reinforcement Learning with Linear Representation: Leveraging Variance Information with Pessimism

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Offline reinforcement learning, which seeks to utilize offline/historical data to optimize sequential decision-making strategies, has gained surging prominence in recent studies. Due to the advantage that appropriate function approximators can help mitigate the sample complexity burden in modern reinforcement learning problems, existing endeavors usually enforce powerful function representation models (e.g. neural networks) to learn the optimal policies. However, a precise understanding of the statistical limits with function representations, remains elusive, even when such a representation is linear. Towards this goal, we study the statistical limits of offline reinforcement learning with linear model representations. To derive the tight offline learning bound, we design the variance-aware pessimistic value iteration (VAPVI), which adopts the conditional variance information of the value function for time-inhomogeneous episodic linear Markov decision processes (MDPs). VAPVI leverages estimated variances of the value functions to reweight the Bellman residuals in the least-square pessimistic value iteration and provides improved offline learning bounds over the best-known existing results (whereas the Bellman residuals are equally weighted by design). More importantly, our learning bounds are expressed in terms of system quantities, which provide natural instance-dependent characterizations that previous results are short of. We hope our results draw a clearer picture of what offline learning should look like when linear representations are provided.


Markov Decision Processes - DataScienceCentral.com

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The Markov Decision Process (MDP) provides a mathematical framework for solving the RL problem. Almost all RL problems can be modeled as an MDP. MDPs are widely used for solving various optimization problems. In this section, we will understand what an MDP is and how it is used in RL. To understand an MDP, first, we need to learn about the Markov property and Markov chain.


Deep Learning Roadmap 2022- Step-by-Step Career Path

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The first step or skill in deep learning is mathematical skills. It helps you to understand how deep learning and machine learning algorithms work. Now, let's see how all these subjects' knowledge will help you in machine learning and in deep learning. But before that, let me clear one thing, don't think you can directly jump into deep learning without learning machine learning. That's why I am discussing all the skills that are required for deep learning as well as machine learning.


Scalable Online Planning for Multi-Agent MDPs

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

We present a scalable tree search planning algorithm for large multi-agent sequential decision problems that require dynamic collaboration. Teams of agents need to coordinate decisions in many domains, but naive approaches fail due to the exponential growth of the joint action space with the number of agents. We circumvent this complexity through an approach that allows us to trade computation for approximation quality and dynamically coordinate actions. Our algorithm comprises three elements: online planning with Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS), factored representations of local agent interactions with coordination graphs, and the iterative Max-Plus method for joint action selection. We evaluate our approach on the benchmark SysAdmin domain with static coordination graphs and achieve comparable performance with much lower computation cost than our MCTS baselines. We also introduce a multi-drone delivery domain with dynamic coordination graphs, and demonstrate how our approach scales to large problems on this domain that are intractable for other MCTS methods.


Bengio & LeCun debate on how to crack human level AI

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The trio discussed the latest advancements in AI and machine learning and possible paths to human-level intelligence. "I believe we are still far from human-level AI," said Bengio. He said one of the ways to think about the gap is to look at problems humans are good at tackling compared to machines. He said we can take inspiration from how the brain switches. We know a lot about conscious processing that we can integrate into machine learning.


Machine Learning Classification Bootcamp in Python

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Apply advanced machine learning models to perform sentiment analysis and classify customer reviews such as Amazon Alexa products reviews Understand the theory and intuition behind several machine learning algorithms such as K-Nearest Neighbors, Support Vector Machines (SVM), Decision Trees, Random Forest, Naive Bayes, and Logistic Regression Implement classification algorithms in Scikit-Learn for K-Nearest Neighbors, Support Vector Machines (SVM), Decision Trees, Random Forest, Naive Bayes, and Logistic Regression Build an e-mail spam classifier using Naive Bayes classification Technique Apply machine learning models to Healthcare applications such as Cancer and Kyphosis diseases classification Develop Models to predict customer behavior towards targeted Facebook Ads Classify data using K-Nearest Neighbors, Support Vector Machines (SVM), Decision Trees, Random Forest, Naive Bayes, and Logistic Regression Build an in-store feature to predict customer's size using their features Develop a fraud detection classifier using Machine Learning Techniques Master Python Seaborn library for statistical plots Understand the difference between Machine Learning, Deep Learning and Artificial Intelligence Perform feature engineering and clean your training and testing data to remove outliers Master Python and Scikit-Learn for Data Science and Machine Learning Learn to use Python Matplotlib library for data Plotting Build an in-store feature to predict customer's size using their features Are you ready to master Machine Learning techniques and Kick-off your career as a Data Scientist?! You came to the right place! Machine Learning skill is one of the top skills to acquire in 2019 with an average salary of over $114,000 in the United States according to PayScale! The total number of ML jobs over the past two years has grown around 600 percent and expected to grow even more by 2020. In this course, we are going to provide students with knowledge of key aspects of state-of-the-art classification techniques.