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Unified Automatic Control of Vehicular Systems with Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Emerging vehicular systems with increasing proportions of automated components present opportunities for optimal control to mitigate congestion and increase efficiency. There has been a recent interest in applying deep reinforcement learning (DRL) to these nonlinear dynamical systems for the automatic design of effective control strategies. Despite conceptual advantages of DRL being model-free, studies typically nonetheless rely on training setups that are painstakingly specialized to specific vehicular systems. This is a key challenge to efficient analysis of diverse vehicular and mobility systems. To this end, this article contributes a streamlined methodology for vehicular microsimulation and discovers high performance control strategies with minimal manual design. A variable-agent, multi-task approach is presented for optimization of vehicular Partially Observed Markov Decision Processes. The methodology is experimentally validated on mixed autonomy traffic systems, where fractions of vehicles are automated; empirical improvement, typically 15-60% over a human driving baseline, is observed in all configurations of six diverse open or closed traffic systems. The study reveals numerous emergent behaviors resembling wave mitigation, traffic signaling, and ramp metering. Finally, the emergent behaviors are analyzed to produce interpretable control strategies, which are validated against the learned control strategies.


ANOVA-based Automatic Attribute Selection and a Predictive Model for Heart Disease Prognosis

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Studies show that Studies that cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are malignant for human health. Thus, it is important to have an efficient way of CVD prognosis. In response to this, the healthcare industry has adopted machine learning-based smart solutions to alleviate the manual process of CVD prognosis. Thus, this work proposes an information fusion technique that combines key attributes of a person through analysis of variance (ANOVA) and domain experts' knowledge. It also introduces a new collection of CVD data samples for emerging research. There are thirty-eight experiments conducted exhaustively to verify the performance of the proposed framework on four publicly available benchmark datasets and the newly created dataset in this work. The ablation study shows that the proposed approach can achieve a competitive mean average accuracy (mAA) of 99.2% and a mean average AUC of 97.9%.


A Bayesian Approach to Learning Bandit Structure in Markov Decision Processes

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In the reinforcement learning literature, there are many algorithms developed for either Contextual Bandit (CB) or Markov Decision Processes (MDP) environments. However, when deploying reinforcement learning algorithms in the real world, even with domain expertise, it is often difficult to know whether it is appropriate to treat a sequential decision making problem as a CB or an MDP. In other words, do actions affect future states, or only the immediate rewards? Making the wrong assumption regarding the nature of the environment can lead to inefficient learning, or even prevent the algorithm from ever learning an optimal policy, even with infinite data. In this work we develop an online algorithm that uses a Bayesian hypothesis testing approach to learn the nature of the environment. Our algorithm allows practitioners to incorporate prior knowledge about whether the environment is that of a CB or an MDP, and effectively interpolate between classical CB and MDP-based algorithms to mitigate against the effects of misspecifying the environment. We perform simulations and demonstrate that in CB settings our algorithm achieves lower regret than MDP-based algorithms, while in non-bandit MDP settings our algorithm is able to learn the optimal policy, often achieving comparable regret to MDP-based algorithms.


Enhanced gradient-based MCMC in discrete spaces

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The recent introduction of gradient-based MCMC for discrete spaces holds great promise, and comes with the tantalising possibility of new discrete counterparts to celebrated continuous methods such as MALA and HMC. Towards this goal, we introduce several discrete Metropolis-Hastings samplers that are conceptually-inspired by MALA, and demonstrate their strong empirical performance across a range of challenging sampling problems in Bayesian inference and energy-based modelling. Methodologically, we identify why discrete analogues to preconditioned MALA are generally intractable, motivating us to introduce a new kind of preconditioning based on auxiliary variables and the `Gaussian integral trick'.


Bayesian nonparametric mixture inconsistency for the number of components: How worried should we be in practice?

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We consider the Bayesian mixture of finite mixtures (MFMs) and Dirichlet process mixture (DPM) models for clustering. Recent asymptotic theory has established that DPMs overestimate the number of clusters for large samples and that estimators from both classes of models are inconsistent for the number of clusters under misspecification, but the implications for finite sample analyses are unclear. The final reported estimate after fitting these models is often a single representative clustering obtained using an MCMC summarisation technique, but it is unknown how well such a summary estimates the number of clusters. Here we investigate these practical considerations through simulations and an application to gene expression data, and find that (i) DPMs overestimate the number of clusters even in finite samples, but only to a limited degree that may be correctable using appropriate summaries, and (ii) misspecification can lead to considerable overestimation of the number of clusters in both DPMs and MFMs, but results are nevertheless often still interpretable. We provide recommendations on MCMC summarisation and suggest that although the more appealing asymptotic properties of MFMs provide strong motivation to prefer them, results obtained using MFMs and DPMs are often very similar in practice.


Robust Rayleigh Regression Method for SAR Image Processing in Presence of Outliers

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The presence of outliers (anomalous values) in synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data and the misspecification in statistical image models may result in inaccurate inferences. To avoid such issues, the Rayleigh regression model based on a robust estimation process is proposed as a more realistic approach to model this type of data. This paper aims at obtaining Rayleigh regression model parameter estimators robust to the presence of outliers. The proposed approach considered the weighted maximum likelihood method and was submitted to numerical experiments using simulated and measured SAR images. Monte Carlo simulations were employed for the numerical assessment of the proposed robust estimator performance in finite signal lengths, their sensitivity to outliers, and the breakdown point. For instance, the non-robust estimators show a relative bias value $65$-fold larger than the results provided by the robust approach in corrupted signals. In terms of sensitivity analysis and break down point, the robust scheme resulted in a reduction of about $96\%$ and $10\%$, respectively, in the mean absolute value of both measures, in compassion to the non-robust estimators. Moreover, two SAR data sets were used to compare the ground type and anomaly detection results of the proposed robust scheme with competing methods in the literature.


Multi-channel neural networks for predicting influenza A virus hosts and antigenic types

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Influenza occurs every season and occasionally causes pandemics. Despite its low mortality rate, influenza is a major public health concern, as it can be complicated by severe diseases like pneumonia. A fast, accurate and low-cost method to predict the origin host and subtype of influenza viruses could help reduce virus transmission and benefit resource-poor areas. In this work, we propose multi-channel neural networks to predict antigenic types and hosts of influenza A viruses with hemagglutinin and neuraminidase protein sequences. An integrated data set containing complete protein sequences were used to produce a pre-trained model, and two other data sets were used for testing the model's performance. One test set contained complete protein sequences, and another test set contained incomplete protein sequences. The results suggest that multi-channel neural networks are applicable and promising for predicting influenza A virus hosts and antigenic subtypes with complete and partial protein sequences.


Reweighted Manifold Learning of Collective Variables from Enhanced Sampling Simulations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Enhanced sampling methods are indispensable in computational physics and chemistry, where atomistic simulations cannot exhaustively sample the high-dimensional configuration space of dynamical systems due to the sampling problem. A class of such enhanced sampling methods works by identifying a few slow degrees of freedom, termed collective variables (CVs), and enhancing the sampling along these CVs. Selecting CVs to analyze and drive the sampling is not trivial and often relies on physical and chemical intuition. Despite routinely circumventing this issue using manifold learning to estimate CVs directly from standard simulations, such methods cannot provide mappings to a low-dimensional manifold from enhanced sampling simulations as the geometry and density of the learned manifold are biased. Here, we address this crucial issue and provide a general reweighting framework based on anisotropic diffusion maps for manifold learning that takes into account that the learning data set is sampled from a biased probability distribution. We consider manifold learning methods based on constructing a Markov chain describing transition probabilities between high-dimensional samples. We show that our framework reverts the biasing effect yielding CVs that correctly describe the equilibrium density. This advancement enables the construction of low-dimensional CVs using manifold learning directly from data generated by enhanced sampling simulations. We call our framework reweighted manifold learning. We show that it can be used in many manifold learning techniques on data from both standard and enhanced sampling simulations.


Contrastive UCB: Provably Efficient Contrastive Self-Supervised Learning in Online Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In view of its power in extracting feature representation, contrastive self-supervised learning has been successfully integrated into the practice of (deep) reinforcement learning (RL), leading to efficient policy learning in various applications. Despite its tremendous empirical successes, the understanding of contrastive learning for RL remains elusive. To narrow such a gap, we study how RL can be empowered by contrastive learning in a class of Markov decision processes (MDPs) and Markov games (MGs) with low-rank transitions. For both models, we propose to extract the correct feature representations of the low-rank model by minimizing a contrastive loss. Moreover, under the online setting, we propose novel upper confidence bound (UCB)-type algorithms that incorporate such a contrastive loss with online RL algorithms for MDPs or MGs. We further theoretically prove that our algorithm recovers the true representations and simultaneously achieves sample efficiency in learning the optimal policy and Nash equilibrium in MDPs and MGs. We also provide empirical studies to demonstrate the efficacy of the UCB-based contrastive learning method for RL. To the best of our knowledge, we provide the first provably efficient online RL algorithm that incorporates contrastive learning for representation learning. Our codes are available at https://github.com/Baichenjia/Contrastive-UCB.


Latent Properties of Lifelong Learning Systems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Creating artificial intelligence (AI) systems capable of demonstrating lifelong learning is a fundamental challenge, and many approaches and metrics have been proposed to analyze algorithmic properties. However, for existing lifelong learning metrics, algorithmic contributions are confounded by task and scenario structure. To mitigate this issue, we introduce an algorithm-agnostic explainable surrogate-modeling approach to estimate latent properties of lifelong learning algorithms. To validate the structure of the surrogate model, we analyze real performance data from a collection of popular lifelong learning approaches and baselines adapted for lifelong classification and lifelong reinforcement learning. Inspired by the way that humans acquire new skills sequentially and improve over time, lifelong or continual learning (Chen & Liu (2018); Silver et al. (2013)) describes the goal of enabling AI systems to learn tasks sequentially over time while improving performance on both previous and future tasks. Lifelong learning has received much attention in the AI community, and many algorithms have been proposed for both supervised (Delange et al. (2021)) and reinforcement learning (Khetarpal et al. (2020)). We include additional review of lifelong learning approaches in Appendix A.2.