Collaborative problem solving (CPS) enables student groups to complete learning tasks, construct knowledge, and solve problems. Previous research has argued the importance to examine the complexity of CPS, including its multimodality, dynamics, and synergy from the complex adaptive systems perspective. However, there is limited empirical research examining the adaptive and temporal characteristics of CPS which might lead to an oversimplified representation of the real complexity of the CPS process. To further understand the nature of CPS in online interaction settings, this research collected multimodal process and performance data (i.e., verbal audios, computer screen recordings, concept map data) and proposed a three-layered analytical framework that integrated AI algorithms with learning analytics to analyze the regularity of groups collaboration patterns. The results detected three types of collaborative patterns in groups, namely the behaviour-oriented collaborative pattern (Type 1) associated with medium-level performance, the communication - behaviour - synergistic collaborative pattern (Type 2) associated with high-level performance, and the communication-oriented collaborative pattern (Type 3) associated with low-level performance. The research further highlighted the multimodal, dynamic, and synergistic characteristics of groups collaborative patterns to explain the emergence of an adaptive, self-organizing system during the CPS process.

We create a ranking algorithm, the naive Bayes asset ranker. Our algorithm computes the posterior probability that individual assets will be ranked higher than other portfolio constituents. Unlike earlier algorithms, such as the weighted majority, our algorithm allows poor-performing experts to have increased weight when they start performing well. We outperform the long-only holding of the S&P 500 index and a regress-then-rank baseline.

Cardiovascular activities are directly related to the response of a body in a stressed condition. Stress, based on its intensity, can be divided into two types i.e. Acute stress (short-term stress) and Chronic stress (long-term stress). Repeated acute stress and continuous chronic stress may play a vital role in inflammation in the circulatory system and thus leads to a heart attack or to a stroke. In this study, we have reviewed commonly used machine learning classification techniques applied to different stress-indicating parameters used in stress monitoring devices. These parameters include Photoplethysmograph (PPG), Electrocardiographs (ECG), Electromyograph (EMG), Galvanic Skin Response (GSR), Heart Rate Variation (HRV), skin temperature, respiratory rate, Electroencephalograph (EEG) and salivary cortisol, used in stress monitoring devices. This study also provides a discussion on choosing a classifier, which depends upon a number of factors other than accuracy, like the number of subjects involved in an experiment, type of signals processing and computational limitations.

We consider the task of estimating a structural model of dynamic decisions by a human agent based upon the observable history of implemented actions and visited states. This problem has an inherent nested structure: in the inner problem, an optimal policy for a given reward function is identified while in the outer problem, a measure of fit is maximized. Several approaches have been proposed to alleviate the computational burden of this nested-loop structure, but these methods still suffer from high complexity when the state space is either discrete with large cardinality or continuous in high dimensions. Other approaches in the inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) literature emphasize policy estimation at the expense of reduced reward estimation accuracy. In this paper we propose a single-loop estimation algorithm with finite time guarantees that is equipped to deal with high-dimensional state spaces without compromising reward estimation accuracy. In the proposed algorithm, each policy improvement step is followed by a stochastic gradient step for likelihood maximization. We show that the proposed algorithm converges to a stationary solution with a finite-time guarantee. Further, if the reward is parameterized linearly, we show that the algorithm approximates the maximum likelihood estimator sublinearly. Finally, by using robotics control problems in MuJoCo and their transfer settings, we show that the proposed algorithm achieves superior performance compared with other IRL and imitation learning benchmarks.

In this paper, we compare the performances of traditional machine learning models using feature engineering and word vectors and the state-of-the-art language model BERT using word embeddings on three datasets. We also consider the time and cost efficiency of feature engineering compared to BERT. From our results we conclude that the use of the BERT model was only worth the time and cost trade-off for one of the three datasets we used for comparison, where the BERT model significantly outperformed any kind of traditional classifier that uses feature vectors, instead of embeddings. Using the BERT model for the other datasets only achieved an increase of 0.03 and 0.05 of accuracy and F1 score respectively, which could be argued makes its use not worth the time and cost of GPU.

The universal-set naive Bayes classifier (UNB)~\cite{Komiya:13}, defined using likelihood ratios (LRs), was proposed to address imbalanced classification problems. However, the LR estimator used in the UNB overestimates LRs for low-frequency data, degrading the classification performance. Our previous study~\cite{Kikuchi:19} proposed an effective LR estimator even for low-frequency data. This estimator uses regularization to suppress the overestimation, but we did not consider imbalanced data. In this paper, we integrated the estimator with the UNB. Our experiments with imbalanced data showed that our proposed classifier effectively adjusts the classification scores according to the class balance using regularization parameters and improves the classification performance.

Phenomenology is the rigorous descriptive study of conscious experience. Recent attempts to formalize Husserlian phenomenology provide us with a mathematical model of perception as a function of prior knowledge and expectation. In this paper, we re-examine elements of Husserlian phenomenology through the lens of active inference. In doing so, we aim to advance the project of computational phenomenology, as recently outlined by proponents of active inference. We propose that key aspects of Husserl's descriptions of consciousness can be mapped onto aspects of the generative models associated with the active inference approach. We first briefly review active inference. We then discuss Husserl's phenomenology, with a focus on time consciousness. Finally, we present our mapping from Husserlian phenomenology to active inference.

Learning from imbalanced tabular data is a significant challenge in real-world classification tasks. In such cases, neural network performance is substantially impaired due to implicit bias toward the majority class. Existing solutions attempt to eliminate the bias through data re-sampling or re-weighting the loss in the learning process. Still, these methods tend to overfit the minority samples and perform poorly when the structure of the minority class is highly irregular. Here, we propose a novel deep meta-learning technique to augment a given imbalanced dataset with new minority instances. These additional data are incorporated during the classifier's training process, and their contributions are learned explicitly. The augmented samples are modified throughout the training to optimize the classifiers' average-precision score on a validation set. Multiple experiments with synthetic and real-world imbalanced datasets demonstrate the advantage of the proposed method, leading to a significant gap in comparison to many existing baselines.

In practical applications, data is used to make decisions in two steps: estimation and optimization. First, a machine learning model estimates parameters for a structural model relating decisions to outcomes. Second, a decision is chosen to optimize the structural model's predicted outcome as if its parameters were correctly estimated. Due to its flexibility and simple implementation, this ``estimate-then-optimize'' approach is often used for data-driven decision-making. Errors in the estimation step can lead estimate-then-optimize to sub-optimal decisions that result in regret, i.e., a difference in value between the decision made and the best decision available with knowledge of the structural model's parameters. We provide a novel bound on this regret for smooth and unconstrained optimization problems. Using this bound, in settings where estimated parameters are linear transformations of sub-Gaussian random vectors, we provide a general procedure for experimental design to minimize the regret resulting from estimate-then-optimize. We demonstrate our approach on simple examples and a pandemic control application.

Many network analysis and graph learning techniques are based on models of random walks which require to infer transition matrices that formalize the underlying stochastic process in an observed graph. For weighted graphs, it is common to estimate the entries of such transition matrices based on the relative weights of edges. However, we are often confronted with incomplete data, which turns the construction of the transition matrix based on a weighted graph into an inference problem. Moreover, we often have access to additional information, which capture topological constraints of the system, i.e. which edges in a weighted graph are (theoretically) possible and which are not, e.g. transportation networks, where we have access to passenger trajectories as well as the physical topology of connections, or a set of social interactions with the underlying social structure. Combining these two different sources of information to infer transition matrices is an open challenge, with implications on the downstream network analysis tasks. Addressing this issue, we show that including knowledge on such topological constraints can improve the inference of transition matrices, especially for small datasets. We derive an analytically tractable Bayesian method that uses repeated interactions and a topological prior to infer transition matrices data-efficiently. We compare it against commonly used frequentist and Bayesian approaches both in synthetic and real-world datasets, and we find that it recovers the transition probabilities with higher accuracy and that it is robust even in cases when the knowledge of the topological constraint is partial. Lastly, we show that this higher accuracy improves the results for downstream network analysis tasks like cluster detection and node ranking, which highlights the practical relevance of our method for analyses of various networked systems.