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 Learning Graphical Models


Human alignment of neural network representations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Today's computer vision models achieve human or near-human level performance across a wide variety of vision tasks. However, their architectures, data, and learning algorithms differ in numerous ways from those that give rise to human vision. In this paper, we investigate the factors that affect the alignment between the representations learned by neural networks and human mental representations inferred from behavioral responses. We find that model scale and architecture have essentially no effect on the alignment with human behavioral responses, whereas the training dataset and objective function both have a much larger impact. These findings are consistent across three datasets of human similarity judgments collected using two different tasks. Linear transformations of neural network representations learned from behavioral responses from one dataset substantially improve alignment with human similarity judgments on the other two datasets. In addition, we find that some human concepts such as food and animals are well-represented by neural networks whereas others such as royal or sports-related objects are not. Overall, although models trained on larger, more diverse datasets achieve better alignment with humans than models trained on ImageNet alone, our results indicate that scaling alone is unlikely to be sufficient to train neural networks with conceptual representations that match those used by humans. Representation learning is a fundamental part of modern computer vision systems, but the paradigm has its roots in cognitive science. When Rumelhart et al. (1986) developed backpropagation, their goal was to find a method that could learn representations of concepts that are distributed across neurons, similarly to the human brain. The discovery that representations learned by backpropagation could replicate nontrivial aspects of human concept learning was a key factor in its rise to popularity in the late 1980s (Sutherland, 1986; Ng & Hinton, 2017). A string of empirical successes has since shifted the primary focus of representation learning research away from its similarities to human cognition and toward practical applications. This shift has been fruitful. By some metrics, the best computer vision models now outperform the best individual humans on benchmarks such as ImageNet (Shankar et al., 2020; Beyer et al., 2020; Vasudevan et al., 2022). As computer vision systems become increasingly widely used outside of research, we would like to know if they see the world in the same way that humans do.


Polarity based Sarcasm Detection using Semigraph

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Sarcasm is an advanced linguistic expression often found on various online platforms. Sarcasm detection is challenging in natural language processing tasks that affect sentiment analysis. This article presents the inventive method of the semigraph, including semigraph construction and sarcasm detection processes. A variation of the semigraph is suggested in the pattern-relatedness of the text document. The proposed method is to obtain the sarcastic and non-sarcastic polarity scores of a document using a semigraph. The sarcastic polarity score represents the possibility that a document will become sarcastic. Sarcasm is detected based on the polarity scoring model. The performance of the proposed model enhances the existing prior art approach to sarcasm detection. In the Amazon product review, the model achieved the accuracy, recall, and f-measure of 0.87, 0.79, and 0.83, respectively.


Investigation of risk-aware MDP and POMDP contingency management autonomy for UAS

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) are being increasingly adopted for various applications. The risk UAS poses to people and property must be kept to acceptable levels. This paper proposes risk-aware contingency management autonomy to prevent an accident in the event of component malfunction, specifically propulsion unit failure and/or battery degradation. The proposed autonomy is modeled as a Markov Decision Process (MDP) whose solution is a contingency management policy that appropriately executes emergency landing, flight termination or continuation of planned flight actions. Motivated by the potential for errors in fault/failure indicators, partial observability of the MDP state space is investigated. The performance of optimal policies is analyzed over varying observability conditions in a high-fidelity simulator. Results indicate that both partially observable MDP (POMDP) and maximum a posteriori MDP policies performed similarly over different state observability criteria, given the nearly deterministic state transition model.


Detecting Fake Job Postings Using Bidirectional LSTM

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Fake job postings have become prevalent in the online job market, posing significant challenges to job seekers and employers. Despite the growing need to address this problem, there is limited research that leverages deep learning techniques for the detection of fraudulent job advertisements. This study aims to fill the gap by employing a Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (Bi-LSTM) model to identify fake job advertisements. Our approach considers both numeric and text features, effectively capturing the underlying patterns and relationships within the data. The proposed model demonstrates a superior performance, achieving a 0.91 ROC AUC score and a 98.71% accuracy rate, indicating its potential for practical applications in the online job market. The findings of this research contribute to the development of robust, automated tools that can help combat the proliferation of fake job postings and improve the overall integrity of the job search process. Moreover, we discuss challenges, future research directions, and ethical considerations related to our approach, aiming to inspire further exploration and development of practical solutions to combat online job fraud.


Artificial neural networks and time series of counts: A class of nonlinear INGARCH models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Time series of counts are frequently analyzed using generalized integer-valued autoregressive models with conditional heteroskedasticity (INGARCH). These models employ response functions to map a vector of past observations and past conditional expectations to the conditional expectation of the present observation. In this paper, it is shown how INGARCH models can be combined with artificial neural network (ANN) response functions to obtain a class of nonlinear INGARCH models. The ANN framework allows for the interpretation of many existing INGARCH models as a degenerate version of a corresponding neural model. Details on maximum likelihood estimation, marginal effects and confidence intervals are given. The empirical analysis of time series of bounded and unbounded counts reveals that the neural INGARCH models are able to outperform reasonable degenerate competitor models in terms of the information loss.


Uncertainty Propagation in Node Classification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Quantifying predictive uncertainty of neural networks has recently attracted increasing attention. In this work, we focus on measuring uncertainty of graph neural networks (GNNs) for the task of node classification. Most existing GNNs model message passing among nodes. The messages are often deterministic. Questions naturally arise: Does there exist uncertainty in the messages? How could we propagate such uncertainty over a graph together with messages? To address these issues, we propose a Bayesian uncertainty propagation (BUP) method, which embeds GNNs in a Bayesian modeling framework, and models predictive uncertainty of node classification with Bayesian confidence of predictive probability and uncertainty of messages. Our method proposes a novel uncertainty propagation mechanism inspired by Gaussian models. Moreover, we present an uncertainty oriented loss for node classification that allows the GNNs to clearly integrate predictive uncertainty in learning procedure. Consequently, the training examples with large predictive uncertainty will be penalized. We demonstrate the BUP with respect to prediction reliability and out-of-distribution (OOD) predictions. The learned uncertainty is also analyzed in depth. The relations between uncertainty and graph topology, as well as predictive uncertainty in the OOD cases are investigated with extensive experiments. The empirical results with popular benchmark datasets demonstrate the superior performance of the proposed method.


Risk-Sensitive and Robust Model-Based Reinforcement Learning and Planning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Many sequential decision-making problems that are currently automated, such as those in manufacturing or recommender systems, operate in an environment where there is either little uncertainty, or zero risk of catastrophe. As companies and researchers attempt to deploy autonomous systems in less constrained environments, it is increasingly important that we endow sequential decision-making algorithms with the ability to reason about uncertainty and risk. In this thesis, we will address both planning and reinforcement learning (RL) approaches to sequential decision-making. In the planning setting, it is assumed that a model of the environment is provided, and a policy is optimised within that model. Reinforcement learning relies upon extensive random exploration, and therefore usually requires a simulator in which to perform training. In many real-world domains, it is impossible to construct a perfectly accurate model or simulator. Therefore, the performance of any policy is inevitably uncertain due to the incomplete knowledge about the environment. Furthermore, in stochastic domains, the outcome of any given run is also uncertain due to the inherent randomness of the environment. These two sources of uncertainty are usually classified as epistemic, and aleatoric uncertainty, respectively. The over-arching goal of this thesis is to contribute to developing algorithms that mitigate both sources of uncertainty in sequential decision-making problems. We make a number of contributions towards this goal, with a focus on model-based algorithms...


A Survey on Audio Diffusion Models: Text To Speech Synthesis and Enhancement in Generative AI

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Generative AI has demonstrated impressive performance in various fields, among which speech synthesis is an interesting direction. With the diffusion model as the most popular generative model, numerous works have attempted two active tasks: text to speech and speech enhancement. This work conducts a survey on audio diffusion model, which is complementary to existing surveys that either lack the recent progress of diffusion-based speech synthesis or highlight an overall picture of applying diffusion model in multiple fields. Specifically, this work first briefly introduces the background of audio and diffusion model. As for the text-to-speech task, we divide the methods into three categories based on the stage where diffusion model is adopted: acoustic model, vocoder and end-to-end framework. Moreover, we categorize various speech enhancement tasks by either certain signals are removed or added into the input speech. Comparisons of experimental results and discussions are also covered in this survey.


Mastering Pair Trading with Risk-Aware Recurrent Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Although pair trading is the simplest hedging strategy for an investor to eliminate market risk, it is still a great challenge for reinforcement learning (RL) methods to perform pair trading as human expertise. It requires RL methods to make thousands of correct actions that nevertheless have no obvious relations to the overall trading profit, and to reason over infinite states of the time-varying market most of which have never appeared in history. However, existing RL methods ignore the temporal connections between asset price movements and the risk of the performed trading. These lead to frequent tradings with high transaction costs and potential losses, which barely reach the human expertise level of trading. Therefore, we introduce CREDIT, a risk-aware agent capable of learning to exploit long-term trading opportunities in pair trading similar to a human expert. CREDIT is the first to apply bidirectional GRU along with the temporal attention mechanism to fully consider the temporal correlations embedded in the states, which allows CREDIT to capture long-term patterns of the price movements of two assets to earn higher profit. We also design the risk-aware reward inspired by the economic theory, that models both the profit and risk of the tradings during the trading period. It helps our agent to master pair trading with a robust trading preference that avoids risky trading with possible high returns and losses. Experiments show that it outperforms existing reinforcement learning methods in pair trading and achieves a significant profit over five years of U.S. stock data.


Connected and Automated Vehicles in Mixed-Traffic: Learning Human Driver Behavior for Effective On-Ramp Merging

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Highway merging scenarios featuring mixed traffic conditions pose significant modeling and control challenges for connected and automated vehicles (CAVs) interacting with incoming on-ramp human-driven vehicles (HDVs). In this paper, we present an approach to learn an approximate information state model of CAV-HDV interactions for a CAV to maneuver safely during highway merging. In our approach, the CAV learns the behavior of an incoming HDV using approximate information states before generating a control strategy to facilitate merging. First, we validate the efficacy of this framework on real-world data by using it to predict the behavior of an HDV in mixed traffic situations extracted from the Next-Generation Simulation repository. Then, we generate simulation data for HDV-CAV interactions in a highway merging scenario using a standard inverse reinforcement learning approach. Without assuming a prior knowledge of the generating model, we show that our approximate information state model learns to predict the future trajectory of the HDV using only observations. Subsequently, we generate safe control policies for a CAV while merging with HDVs, demonstrating a spectrum of driving behaviors, from aggressive to conservative. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach by performing numerical simulations.